Even though barrels are less impactful nowadays, they're still the best we've got

I read the entire article about OOPSY to learn what the acronym is only to learn there is no acronym, it's just a reminder that no one is perfect and we all make errors. Which is kind of beautiful.

Lots of news to sort through in this one

FanGraphs plans to stretch me out this spring. I'm to prepare to take the keyboard every fifth day

The @fangraphs.com staff league @ottoneu.com draft has just kicked off. @nivshah.com and I have like $0 to spend (ok $27) to fill like half our roster (ok only a quarter...11 spots). this is going to test my patience. already annoyed that @dolphhauldhagen.bsky.social got a $24 Freddie Freeman.

OOPSY's biggest weaknesses for bats last year were R & RBI. Revamped them this year with heavier regression on 1) the hitting components that feed into the R & RBI 2) heavier regression on team impact & 3) on lineup slot impact.

Each MLB org must now produce its own stuff model...soon enough, every MLB pitcher will have to produce their own stuff model, too

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾ Finishing the 2026 position preview series this week w/@enosarris.bsky.social. On Friday, @rosenjordanblum.bsky.social & @jeffwzimmerman.bsky.social joined us to discuss OOPSY, pitcher injury grades + more.... YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Audio: pod.fo/e/38a133

me to anyone with a good preseason projection who's having a rough april

Good to see OBAA among the nominees this year, but is it really that much of an improvement over OPS?

Today should be another reminder that when billionaires take control of vital platforms for communication, it’s not a win for free speech or "free markets." It’s a win for oligarchy.

Here is a list of 101 prospects in an order we determined a couple months ago www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/ar... @baseballprospectus.com

we've released our Top 101 Prospect List over at @baseballprospectus.com today. It's free to read with a basic subscription (no $$ required)

OOPSY fielding projections are now live on FanGraphs Top projected at each position (per IP): C P. Bailey, A. Kirk SS B. Witt, M. Winn CF D. Clarke, PCA 2B N. Hoerner, M. Semien 3B K. Hayes, M. Garcia RF W. Abreu, F. Tatis LF S. Kwan, W. Langford 1B C. Walker, C. Santana

Refreshed Stuff+ training set, removed 2020-2021 to reflect changing pitch environment. Batters have seen the sweeper, and adjusted, so Stuff+ should too. Biggest Stuff+ losers below, some sweeper-guyers there. Will be on FanGraphs shortly, in meantime on ranks here: www.nytimes.com/athletic/701...

Albert and Oliver have briefly emerged from their paper bag before retreating, traditionally a sign that the regular season will not begin for another 6 weeks

anytime anyone says something mean about arraez I boost his OOPSY by one home run

FanGraphs scouting grades are a solid proxy for a prospect's defensive ability in the majors the following season (r = .31)

Updated my profile but some fun personal news: as of this week, I'm now Managing Editor at RotoGraphs ( @fangraphs.com ). Really excited to get started.

2026 Projected Team wRC+ — Composite Projections

2026 Projected Team ERA+ — Composite Projections

Ceddanne Rafaela was so cold at the plate in the second half last year that I saw him spooning with a stockbroker

just a reminder of the official Baseball Prospectus position on this stuff

my takeaway is that going out to protests and organizing with your community like minneapolis has shown us and getting offline, where people are paid to parrot government propaganda, is the best action you can do and reminds you the average person isn’t insane or evil

Visiting @dszymborski.fangraphs.com at ZiPS HQ

Minnesota’s coalition is demanding: 1: ICE must leave Minnesota now. 2: Renee Good’s killer, Jonathan Ross, must be held legally accountable. 3: No additional federal funding for ICE in the upcoming budget. “These are moral common sense for a state that values truth, freedom, and life.”

Viime viikonloppuna Wiffle Ball joukkueemme voitti sen historian ensimmäisen ottelun. Kirjoitin päivästä raportin👇 baseballterapia.fi/blog/espoonl...

Me if anyone tries to criticize steamer

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾ @enosarris.bsky.social continue our 2026 Position Preview series with catchers. (If you want to get into a lot of YouTube thumbnails, have a trident in your post-HR celebration.) YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Audio: pod.fo/e/37cee1

It's "a 100 percent certainty” that MLB owners will push for a salary cap after Hoby Milner’s free agency agreement with the Chicago Cubs, a source tells me

There was a 100% certainty in 1890s, 1985, 1990, 1994, 2002, and every other negotiation since. There was a 100% certainty since the owners abandoned their salary cap proposal during the last CBA negotiations.

The billionaire owners were going to push for a salary cap if the Dodgers spent $1 or $1 billion

Young man yells at cloud

I think this one of the most interesting things I've written in a while. As everyone tries to light up the pitch models, the pitch models are having a tougher time telling everyone apart.

Bari Weiss has been named head of OOPSY in an effort to ensure it sufficiently defends the interests of the rich and powerful. As her first move, OOPSY will now account for each player's whole milk consumption

Bros when criticizing xwOBA's exclusion of spray angle

Breaking down my least favorite OOPSY projections José Ramírez Traditional wRC+ projection (no statcast): 133 wRC+ after adding barrels to the HR component model: 121.2 wRC+ after adding in bat speed, ev50, and sprint speed: 120.8 FanGraphs wRC+ (using their own PF instead of mine): 118

Signing big-time FA after FA...acquiring MLB vets on the trade market. Enough is enough. It's time to break up the Rockies

Protip: If you have a tab in your sheet containing Oopsy projections for batters you can abbreviate that as BOopsy and for pitchers you can call it POopsy. You're welcome.

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾ @enosarris.bsky.social and I continue our position preview series at third base where a few aging stars still lead the way.... YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Audio: pod.fo/e/378b90

🎙️ Rates & Barrels ⚾ @enosarris.bsky.social and I kicked off our annual position preview series with shortstops! YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels Audio: pod.fo/e/37809a

For the first time 2023 NFBC Main Event Champion @dylwhite.bsky.social released redraft rankings for @baseballamerica.com subscribers. See how the former champ is drafting in 2026. www.baseballamerica.com/stories/top-...

Using FanGraphs Guts! (halved) historical park factors, here's how moving in the fences 10 feet impacted scoring at Kauffman the last time they did it (1995-2003). More HR, less 2B and 3B, more scoring overall (comparable to Fenway or GABP's PF today)

Statcast-fueled top projected defensive 3B for 2026 (no comment on arenado's offense)

Statcast-based catcher defense projections for 2026

2026 Pitcher Projections are here on my Substack. Enjoy! open.substack.com/pub/vorosmcc...

Tom Tango when Tommy Pham tries to get him to change the OAA weights

Here's what I'm getting for the top defensive CF for 2026 (OAA-based projections)

Working on OAA-based defense projections...here are my top projected defensive SS for 2026. How's it lookin'