My wish for 2026 is that politicians and political analysts realize that public opinion is endogenous to elite behavior, that polling single issues tells us nothing about electorally successful strategies, that politics means shaping public opinion and that popularism is the death of progressivism.

Our new Munich Security Analysis by @tobiasbunde.bsky.social and @valentindaur.bsky.social shows that Germans want a more self-confident policy toward great powers. Yet, this is only possible in cooperation with European partners. 📖 Read the full text here: securityconference.org/en/publicati...

📣 Nominations are now open for the John McCain Dissertation Award! Each year, we honor authors of exceptional doctoral dissertations on transatlantic relations. If you know a suitable candidate, submit your nomination by December 8. 🔗 securityconference.org/en/news/full...

NEW - Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL "exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population" - @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social #OpenAccess

NEW - How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD "we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians" - @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social #OpenAccess

🚨 Publication alert @fpajrnl.bsky.social In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Check out this new article by my friend and co-author @tobiasrisse.bsky.social! Amazing work!

🚨 We're hiring! Join us at @LMU_Muenchen for the DFG-funded project "Democratic Persuasion: How to Make the Case for Democracy." Interested in making scholarly & societal impact? We’re looking for: 🔹 1 Postdoc (100%) 🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%) Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8 More info ⬇️ (1/7)

Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.

I AM HIRING 2 postdocs (5 years) in my @erc.europa.eu project "The Politics of the Latent Educational Cleavage" at @goetheuni.bsky.social @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social! German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf Please share

Does Mainstream Populism Work❓ I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗ Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:

I’m over the moon that my 1st book, based on my PhD, will be published w/ Oxford University Press. “Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members. I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜

Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social . We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric. Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric. 1/3

Im Interview mit @tobiwan.bsky.social vom Tagesspiegel durfte ich darüber sprechen wie das Thema Migration den Wahlkampf geprägt hat und wie vor allem das Verhalten der anderen Parteien dazu beigetragen hat, die AfD zu stärken. www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/am-e...

Wichtiger Aufsatz von @jwmueller-pu.bsky.social

‼️PostDoc (100% 2.5 years) @lmumuenchen.bsky.social @dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I) ⏰Start: 01.10.2025 ⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025 🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025 job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1... #Academicsky #Polisky

My @polstudies.bsky.social article on stigma & grassroots activism in populist radical right (PRR) parties has now page numbers! journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.... Drawing on the 1st ever comparative survey of PRR party members, I ask how stigma affects their participation in party activities.

🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP 📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG... Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...

Für den @verfassungsblog.de habe ich aufgeschrieben was diese Woche im Bundestag bedeutet. Der Höhepunkt der programmatischen Anpassung an die AfD. Ein Dammbruch der zu ihrer Normalisierung und Legitimation führt. Eine dunkle Stunde für die deutsche Demokratie. verfassungsblog.de/aus-dem-abse...

On this note, here is a thread with recent research on what normalization is and how it happens. It includes links to references, from my work and that of others. I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work. 1/8

How will voters react to CDU shifting away from its strict "no collaboration"-stance toward AfD? During my PhD, I sought to answer this question. Sooner than I had hoped, it is no longer mostly hypothetical. A thread… (1/6) doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Just published on APSR First View: "Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond" by Valentin Daur @valentindaur.bsky.social. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

The super election year is ending, with many winners and losers. Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections? Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness. Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240

🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨 Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties. A thread 👇1/n... doi.org/10.1017/S000...

🚨 Job Alert 🚨: Postdoc Opportunity @ LMU Munich! Join the ERC-funded CIVILSPACE project. We're looking for a postdoc with: 📊 Experience in survey experiments 🤝 Interest in civil society, non-profit, organization or interest group research ⏰ Application deadline: December 8, 2024