🚨 New article out! “Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social 👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000... We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany. Short summary thread below 👇

📢 My last PhD paper is out in Legislative Studies Quarterly 📢 📌 Main finding ➡️ Party control of speaking time in parliament limits MPs’ geographical focus ➡️ Open access increases constituency representation 🔗 Read it open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

@eavigano.bsky.social, Bruno Della Salla, Stefan Stojkovic, & Nils-Christian Bormann: In interwar Italy, violence boosted Fascist support at the polls but weakened the radical left. Suggests violence asymmetrically empowers nationalist, radical-right parties. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

🚨🚨🚨Announcing a special issue on “Political Violence in Democracies” published by @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social and edited by @andrearuggeri.bsky.social, U Daxecker, and me. In this very long 🧵, I will introduce the special issue with its 14 articles. doi.org/10.1177/0022...

⛏️ After a LOT of digging, here's what I found: 🚩 5 estimates outside their CI 🚩 46 estimate-CI duplicates 🚩 20+ cases of asymmetric CIs 🚩 17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others 3dp) 🚩 >50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008 (???) (CI = confidence interval)

🚨 Very happy to have a new paper out in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social‬ with @bdellasala.bsky.social‬, Stefan Stojkovic & Nils-Christian Bormann Using data from interwar Italy, we show that political violence has asymmetric effects: it benefits the radical right while weakening the radical left ⬇️

Together with @paugrau.bsky.social, we have just posted our first Substack, which is our quick take on the outcome of the labour rights and citizenship referendums in Italy on 8-9 June 1/ open.substack.com/pub/simonhix...

Our newest piece on BSW is now published. We show that when attitudes toward Wagenknecht come into the game, policies are no longer that meaningful in predicting behaviour. Personalisation in a personalised party! What a surprise! 😀 @sarahwagner.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

I missed this last month, but the Golder/Bormann Democratic Electoral Systems dataset has an update to v5.0, and now includes democratic elections from 1919 to 1945 mattgolder.com/elections

🚨New article🚨 Why does the ethnic majority expect that ethnic minorities "free ride" and contribute less to the collective? In a new article in @bjpols.bsky.social, I show that negative expectations are driven by the correlates of ethnicity rather than ethnicity itself 🧵👇 OA-link: cup.org/4lOX7jN

🚨 We’ve released the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data and Assemblies (AIEEDA) 🗳️ 25 European democracies, 1919–1939: party positions, cabinet formation, elections (and subnational geo-coded data for 6 countries) 1/2 ⬇️

📚😅🎉 Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher! Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies. Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com #RStats #PyData

Happy to announce that my first article is finally in print in Political Science and Research Methods (PSRM).

Why would the CDU accommodate AfD policies, despite a plethora of research telling them not to? My brilliant friend @philswatton.bsky.social wrote a fantastic, easy to understand piece on measurement: dysfunctionalprogramming.substack.com/p/measuremen...

🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP 📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG... Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...

🚨 Out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social : "Citizens' Preferences for Multidimensional Representation". Jack Blumenau, Fabio Wolkenstein & I investigate citizens' preferences regarding 6 dimensions of representation using surveys conducted in 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇩🇪. Short 🧵(1/10) doi.org/10.1017/S15375

A popular tool in political science for dealing with nonlinearities in invalidated by... ...nonlinearities. datacolada.org/121

Really impressive paper, huge congrats @valentindaur.bsky.social

With #Trump soon in office, #science #skepticism is reaching new heights. 🤔But is science skepticism really about science?🔬🧪 In our new paper on Science and Public Policy, me and Simon Fuglsang investigate this question, focusing on 🌦️climate change and 🐒evolution. academic.oup.com/spp/advance-...

🚨 PhD position in political science at Witten/Herdecke University 📌 Possibility to work on the project 'Democracy, Anger, and Elite Responses' www.erc-danger.de ⏰ Deadline: 15 May. Feel free to get in touch if you have questions. More info here: uni-wh.softgarden.io/job/44051262...

“The policy agenda effects of problem indicators: a comparative study in seven countries” by Thomas A. Kristensen, Peter B. Mortensen, Christoffer Green-Pedersen and @henrikseeberg.bsky.social has received the Peter John Prize for the best article in Volume 43.  Enjoy the paper here: t.ly/csf4e

Online first: "Where do parties talk about what? Party issue salience across communication channels" by Christoph Ivanusch doi.org/10.1080/0140... Polisky

🚨JOB ALERT🚨 I'm hiring two postdocs (2-3 years) for a research project on political polarization hosted at @aarhusuni.bsky.social Application deadline August 15, starting date October 1 or later. Please help share widely! polisky #AcademicSky #PhDChat international.au.dk/about/profil...

🚨Job Alert 🚨 We are looking for a Post-doc to help us forecast the next German federal election, zweitstimme.org! 3-year position at University Witten/Herdecke. Application deadline: 04 April 2024. Please apply and reach out for questions uni-wh.softgarden.io/job/42530117...

Just out @thejop.bsky.social. The study questions a common mechanism used to explain gender differences in elite behavior: the idea that women are more averse to risk than men. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

My paper "Civil war and state support for conventional arms control" is now available at @conflictmanagement.bsky.social. It explores the relationship between, well, civil war and state support for conventional arms control. See below for the abstract and here for the paper: doi.org/10.1177/0738...

🚨 SUMMER SCHOOL ON PARLIAMENTS This is a great place for PhD students and early career scholars working on topics related to the legislature. Many excellent scholars cover topics ranging from representation to polarization, from government to opposition. ecpr.eu/Events/265

We now have a preprint!🥳 If you’re interested in understanding why radical voters’ satisfaction with democracy decreases even when they make an electoral breakthrough, we have a mixed-method paper for you with @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social Here is our draft: osf.io/7bfka 👀

The political science network on Bluesky is now at just under 1,600 users with almost 74,000 unique connections! I've also published this network as an interactive graph so if anybody wants to find themselves, follow the link: conorgaughan2.github.io/polisky_netw... (*Not mobile-friendly)

hey gendersky polisky, @maryanab.bsky.social and I want to put together a QTA/text-as-data panel for #ecpg2024 methods section 🤓 if you apply methods like these to gender-related topics, or know someone who does, please reach out to us! the deadline is Dec 7 ✅

My paper is out at Legislative Studies Quarterly (open access). I look at whether electoral tiers in a mixed-member systems create different incentives for subnational legislators to try and run for higher office. This is, in fact, the case. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

It is time to turn around the telescope to focus on mainstream parties in their own right! Since Meguid (2008) we have focused almost entirely on niche parties to understand mainstream parties. Christoffer Green-Pedersen & I show that... (1/)

Online first: "Competing on competence: the issue profiles of mainstream parties in Western Europe" by Christoffer Green-Pedersen & @henrikseeberg.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140... Polisky

Delighted that my paper Young People Punish Undemocratic Behavior Less Than Older People is now conditionally accepted at @bjpols.bsky.social. I show what the title suggests using a large amount of survey experimental evidence. Thread below.

No-fault divorce also applies to coalitions! See why 👇🏼 This article was made possible by my inclusive academic village. (among others, @comppollu.bsky.social @hannaeback.bsky.social @agustingoenaga.bsky.social @robertklemmensen.bsky.social Julie Hassing Nielsen and Jon Polk @pollu.bsky.social)

📡The next term of the #TaDa Speaker Series starts next week!! We have six amazing speakers on all things #TextAsData/#NLP lined up for you 👇

Which polisky journals, associations and other types of organisations have already landed here? I know of @ecpr.bsky.social @ecprinterestgroups.bsky.social @duckofminerva.bsky.social @europeanisa.bsky.social? Any others that you know of? Is there a list that is being updated?

NEW PUBLICATION.. ..in which fuse negative campaigning and party issue competition & hatch a new+stronger model of party behavior in parliament between elections. 1/

📣I am happy to announce my new publication📄 on party leaders in Party Politics @SageJournals Now! Open access🔓at: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13…

“Nostalgia in European Party Politics: A Text-Based Measurement Approach” (with Sven-Oliver Proksch) has been accepted for publication in the British Journal of Political Science! Paper (PDF): muellerstefan.net/papers/bjps_... polisky cssky 1/5

Accepted last week at #APSR "Turnout Turnaround: Ethnic Minority Victories Mobilize White Voters" (with Stephanie Zonszein). Ungated draft can be found at osf.io/w2dg8/.

🚨New pub on the legislative cost of ruling: Parties lose voters after entering government (the electoral cost of ruling) - we show this in turn adds legislative costs by making MPs vote against party policy to signal distance from the party ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...