Four-byline alert: 🚨 “.. A broker for Pete Hegseth, the US defence secretary, attempted to make a big investment in major defence companies in the weeks leading up to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, according to three people familiar with the matter.” www.ft.com/content/744e...

New: The White House is signaling that reopening the Strait of Hormuz is not a must-have to end the Iran War, potentially setting the stage for Iran to continue to flex its strategic position over one of the world's busiest oil shipping channels for the foreseeable future

No Kings Tokyo #NoKings #Tokyo

STRATCOM commander echoes DOE assessment that there is no need for the US to conduct explosive nuclear weapons tests. www.reuters.com/world/nomine... As we suspected, Trump’s claim US must begin nuclear tests is political grandstanding, not a national security requirement.

Someone is hacking the DC foreign policy set and sending fake paper post invites for a special dinner party. Beware.

"The United States can only determine with certainty that it has destroyed about a third of Iran's vast missile arsenal" www.reuters.com/world/middle...

We are going to keep bombing you until you abandon all nuclear weapon capabilities is one heck of a strategy. No one wants Iran to have a nuclear weapon but Trump has massively increases Iran's incentive to get a nuclear bomb and reduced the prospects of generating global support to prevent it.

The Iran war is an AI war. But for Americans at home — and for the world — the details are hidden, and the consequences are unclear. @katrinamanson.bsky.social joins Jon Bateman to uncover the shadowy world of AI warfare on today's World Unpacked: www.youtube.com/watch?v=_2XG...

My friend and colleague Toby Dalton has produced an important article reminding Washington of just how bad an idea friendly nuclear proliferation is. The more nuclear states, the greater the risk of use and less security for the US. @carnegieendowment.org bpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/blogs.gwu.ed...

SCOOP: The U.S. military has fired more than 850 Tomahawk cruise missiles in four weeks of war with Iran, burning through the precision weapons at a rate that has alarmed some Pentagon officials and prompted internal discussions about how to make more available. wapo.st/4bDqVNa

Judge on the Anthropic case. "Nothing in the governing statute supports the Orwellian notion that an American company may be branded a potential adversary and saboteur of the U.S. for expressing disagreement with the government" www.nytimes.com/2026/03/26/t...

Could not help but notice that Bibi is not planning on sending Israeli troops into Iran.

Man those $7500/ electric vehicle tax breaks would have been a nice thing to keep around.

David Sacks says his time as Trump's crypto and AI czar has ended

🤦

“A chatbot did not kill those children. People failed to update a database, and other people built a system fast enough to make that failure lethal.” A piece arguing that we should be focusing on Maven not Claude www.theguardian.com/news/2026/ma...

very consistent over many decades from the source and the "reporter".

Trump got lucky when a federal judge dismissed the classified documents case against him and when she rejected DOJ’s request to release the Special Counsel’s report. But now, details have emerged because of sloppiness at DOJ. open.substack.com/pub/joycevan...

Most NATO countries cut off trade with Iran, imposed sanctions on Iran, and EU/UK/FR/Germany led/backed diplomacy that helped the Iran nuclear deal that worked until Trump blew it up. NATO in essence helped build the Iran deal, Trump killed it, and now he NATO won't back his failing war of choice.

Wish I could TM "It was the messenger, not the message" so that when they abandon Trump. I can prevent them from using this excuse or make bank. It is very much the message of nationalism, American exceptionalism, isolationism, protectionism, and unchecked executive power that is flawed.

Honored to participate in the launch today in Geneva of the 2026 Nuclear Weapons Ban Monitor. Published by Norwegian People’s Aid, with nuke arsenal chapter by @mattkorda and me, the report provides snapshot of nuke ban treaty TPNW and arsenals. More here: banmonitor.org

www.axios.com/2026/03/26/a... Talk of a deal that rests on Claude being allowed for “all lawful uses” assumed the Pentagon both follows the law and when it does has a conventional and Constitutional interpretation of the law. Neither appears to be the case with Iran, Venezuela, boat attacks. 1/

Listen to the people Trump claims to be protecting when they tell us he is lying: "120 Harvard Jewish Affiliates Condemn Justice Department Antisemitism Lawsuit" www.thecrimson.com/article/2026...

Second-order consequences are happening: "The U.S. Postal Service will impose an 8% surcharge on packages to cover the rising cost of fuel, according to two people familiar with the matter." www.wsj.com/us-news/post...

Looking forward to joining some great colleagues -- Jane Darby Menton, Rose Gottemoeller, and Amy McAuliffe -- for a discussion on emerging technology and current nuclear nonproliferation challenges at 2PM Thursday: carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

A 3-year study published in Pediatrics examined newborns in Norway. It found a clear benefit for the baby when mom gets a COVID vaccination during pregnancy. n.pr/4uXOx6X

OpenAI is shutting down Sora, its A.I. video generator, just three months after signing a multiyear deal to bring Disney characters to the service.

NEW TONIGHT: The Pentagon just issued written orders to deploy a couple thousand paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East, U.S. officials said, as President Donald Trump weighs a significant escalation in the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. wapo.st/4d8BZ6e

They killed 165 people in a school, mostly young girls.

Expansionist regime that seeks to create spheres of influence and buffer zones at the expense of people, international law, and global systems of governance.

Excellent piece by @atabatabai.bsky.social and @j-dren.bsky.social on French nuclear changes/evolution under Macron.

Chef’s kiss.

The U.S. Is No Longer the Leader of the Free World www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/o... Carlos stole my line about Michael Corleone.

Minutes before Trump's announcement of “conversations” with Tehran sent crude tumbling yesterday, traders made well-timed oil bets worth $580mn. "You have to wonder who would have been aggressive at selling futures at that point," said a strategist. Read the story on #FTEdit 👉 ft.trib.al/n3wZnOc

How Kim Jong-un Is Using the Iran War to Justify His Nuclear Arsenal www.nytimes.com/2026/03/23/w...

www.technologyreview.com/2026/03/19/1... No, we have figured out the details - it is dangerous for security and for the environment.

ICE agents have zero training on screening xray machines, processing airport travelers, searching bags and screening for banned materials.

Iran has agreed to this statement for decades. It was enshrined in the JCPOA in 2015. They restated it with Witkoff and Kushner 4 weeks ago.

This is Trump’s war. He pulled the trigger. But he has lived a consequence free life and will never accept responsibility for a nuclear Iran or a shattered ME.

1 good thing about Trump’s TACO tendencies is he may be able to back out of escalation corners of his own making. Now common to hear DC voices saying “well we have to go big to show resolve and win.” Much like past wars. Trump appears not to be bound by that dynamic and convinced he can spin a win.

Coming soon, link in bio

In a meeting with Department of Energy officials, a DOGE staffer shot down the long-held notion that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission is an independent body. “Assume the NRC is going to do whatever we tell the NRC to do,” he said, records show. 👉 Full story: https://propub.li/4t51eLu

Trump is in a no-win situation. It is highly unlikely that he can either open the Strait of Hormuz or secure Iran's HEU by military means. He could have accepted Iran's offer to give up the HEU 3 weeks ago, but he chose war. Now, he is facing strategic defeat. I explain. www.ms.now/weekends-wit...

The team(slair.bsky.social, @duitsmanms.bsky.social others) spent the last few weeks examining this video showing a U.S. Patriot launch in Bahrain. We're confident this interceptor was involved in the explosion over Sitra that damaged 60 residences and injured more than 30 people.

Intentionally striking civilian targets is a war crime. It is a war crime when Iran dos it. It is a war crime when Israel does it. It is a war crime when the US does it. Striking a nuclear power plant is specifically prohibited by international agreement for obvious reasons.

Russia failed to defeat Ukraine for six months before it started targeting civilian electricity generation in an effort to get Ukraine to capitulate. It didn’t work.

So much winning.

so the funniest thing possible did in fact happen

An Iranian man and a Romanian woman were arrested on Thursday after trying to enter a naval base in Scotland where nuclear-armed submarines are docked, the police said.