For decades, experts have warned of the risks of war with Iran. Every president since Ronald Reagan listened. The costs clearly outweighed the risks. This 2012 report presciently detailed exactly the problems Trump now confronts in his illegal, unnecessary war. open.substack.com/pub/joecirin...

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A reminder that Trump has the absolute authority to launch nuclear weapons whenever he wants, for whatever reason he wants. No one can stop him. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/201...

Reporters, members of Congress and anyone who cares about a catastrophic escalation of the war on Iran should press Donald Trump to publicly rule out the use of a nuclear weapon in this war. As it becomes clearer that a conventional raid on Isfahan would fail, Trump may be tempted to go nuclear.

The only people dumb enough to believe Donald Trump’s obvious market manipulations are the masters of the universe that run Wall Street. I think that makes them dumber than he is.

Hello Monday! Joining @zerlinamaxwell.bsky.social: National Security Expert + Analyst @joecirin.bsky.social + Career Coach & Author of the upcoming book Healing the Success Wound, Brooke Taylor! ☎️ 866-997-4748 📻 @siriusxmprog.bsky.social Ch. 127 siriusxm.us/Zerlina

Special operations forces have arrived near Iran. Said to be Army Rangers and Navy Seals. These might be units that have trained on retrieving nuclear materials. www.army.mil/article-amp/...

We haven’t talked enough about this being one of Trump’s motivation for attacking Iran.

Here's why I believe Iran could have transferred to Isfahan up to 540 kilograms—possibly all—of its highly-enriched uranium inventory before the June strikes last year. 👇 #Iran #nuclearweapons #uranium #OSINT #nukesky

It is telling that the Trump regime did not send any officials to the Sunday talk shows to defend the war they are losing.

We just saw a record 8 million in the streets for the NO Kings rallies. So where are the pro Trump rallies?! No where. And there is a reason for that. Yet corporate media still covers All Trump, All the time w/o commenting on how hated he is. My article deanobeidallah.substack.com/p/no-kings-s...

One month ago I warned about the stupidity of this war. Sadly, my predictions have been borne out by 30 days of tactical success but strategic failure. thebulletin.org/2026/02/pres...

We were waist deep in the Big Muddy And the big fool said to push on. — Pete Seeger www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

If the estimates were right, there were about 9 million people at No Kings rallies today. That would mean this protest was THIRTY TIMES AS LARGE AS THE TEA PARTY PROTEST which we were told, over and over again, was a massively important sign that US politics had shifted dramatically to the right

Okay, this is a conservative retirement area where my mother and step-father used to live decades ago. It is the last place in America I thought would have a protest against a Republican president.

There is nothing moral or just or legal or right about what the US and Israel are doing in Iran and Lebanon. They are killing schoolgirls, journalists, paramedics and aid workers. They are bombing reservoirs, hospitals, schools and homes. For what? www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...

Sanders: The American people were lied to about the war in Vietnam. We were lied to about the war in Iraq… and we are being lied to today about the war in Iran. He campaigned as a peace candidate. He promised no more forever wars. He lied.

Sanders: At a time when the American people are politically divided, there is one issue that is bringing us together. Conservatives, moderates, and progressives are speaking out in unison: end this war.

Today’s #NoKings rallies are the biggest anti-war protests in history.

There is a very high probability of exactly this. The most stupid war in American history will end in strategic defeat for Trump and, unfortunately, America. Iran will likely retain control of its nuclear material, the Strait and the regime.

Look how aggressively we are sanitizing Kushner's conflicts. The NYT described Kushner as "having business interests" in the Middle East. KUSHNER IS BEING DIRECTLY PAID TENS OF MILLIONS ANNUALLY BY MIDDLE EASTERN GOVERNMENTS

Massive #NoKings march across the Memorial Bridge from the Arlington Cemetery to the Washington Monument. We arrived a half hour late and hundreds were still streaming in. I’d guess 10 thousand? 20? And it was just one of a half dozen in DC today.

Don't miss this timely and important conversation.

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CIP Board Vice Chair @joecirin.bsky.social explains to @deanobeidallah.bsky.social on SiriusXM why the United States is losing its war with Iran: “Iran is not going to defeat the U.S., they’re going to outlast us.”

My biggest concern about the Iran war is that its cheerleaders, both in and outside the administration, will realize that they cannot retrieve or destroy the HEU and centrifuges buried deeply underground. In desperation, they will then turn towards using a nuclear weapon for the job.

"This is part of the hubris of the massive military power we have." @joecirin.bsky.social tells @deanobeidallah.bsky.social tonight about how Trump is actually losing the war against Iran, despite the claims Iran has been defeated.

On the DSR Daily with @djrothkopf.bsky.social, we break down the gulf between Iranian leadership and Trump over a ceasefire, the DOJ paying a $1.25 million settlement to Michael Flynn, huge verdicts against Meta and YouTube, and more. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t... youtu.be/jBYqJ8s1sZs

Netanyahu has occupied southern Lebanon — seizing territory, displacing over a million people, and using white phosphorus in civilian areas. More war crimes, alongside the genocide in Gaza, the occupation of the West Bank, and the bombing of Iran — bankrolled by the American taxpayer.

Nixon said “If the president does it, it’s legal.” But the Trump regime has now topped that.

As I was saying….. Iran has formally rejected Trump’s demands.

Reports suggest the Trump Administration is sending 2,000 troops to the Middle East. We’ve seen this movie before: A forever war, no clear endgame, with American lives at risk. This is a sequel we’re not interested in. www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03...

A month into the war and Trump is changing his objectives. This is what you do when you're losing.

Trump’s demands are ludicrous. No way Iran would agree to anything close to this. They are the demands one would make if you were winning the war. But the strategic initiative has shifted to Iran. Short of nuclear weapons, the US and Israel cannot out-escalate Iran.

Last week, CIP hosted an online briefing on the escalating U.S.–Iran war.  Watch Board Vice Chair @joecirin.bsky.social discuss how the conflict is eroding the global nuclear nonproliferation landscape and sharply raising the risk that more states will pursue nuclear weapons. ⬇️

Our commitment to Israel cannot look like silence. It should be speaking up when it matters most. American Jews have every right and responsibility to question a war launched by the US and Israel without a clear strategy or endgame. More by J Street’s @ilangoldenberg.bsky.social and Nadav Tamir:

This is the number one lesson nations will draw from Trump and Bibi’s illegal, unnecessary war: If you want to protect your country from a US attack, better get a nuclear weapon.

I bought an electric car 7 years ago. When it wears out, I’ll buy another. I have never brought it to a mechanic. I drive by gas stations and glance at their prices only out of curiosity. Trump’s war hasn’t cost me a dime in driving expenses. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/23/o...

Good article.

Trump attacked Obama for sending cash to Iran as part of the Iran Deal, which was working to stop an Iranian nuclear bomb until Trump tore it up. Now to fix a crisis of his own making, Trump is handing Iran $14 billion in sanctions relief—And there is still no articulated plan. We must end this war.

CIP Board Vice Chair @joecirin.bsky.social on the immense operational and political challenges of any U.S. boots-on-the-ground effort in Iran to secure uranium during an active conflict. Via @cnn.com

And there it is. Making official what may of us said when Israel’s invasion began. Israeli officials want to annex southern Lebanon. They have always seen it as rightfully part of “Greater Israel” which extends from the river to the sea. www.reuters.com/world/middle...

This may be my favorite post of the month. Tom: you have a wonderful combination of smarts, snark and humor. Thank you.

Stephen is the man on nuclear budgets. On the anniversary of one of the biggest scams in US history, he reminds us that we have wasted almost a half a trillion dollars on a program that never worked, doesn’t work now and will likely never work. There is no defense to ICBMs.

The worst of all possible worlds. Trump has destroyed the possibility of negotiations but doesn’t have the military means to secure victory. f.io/3n8mQAAR

Trying to sieze the HEU stored at Isfahan may be as close to a Mission Impossible as you can get in war. A high probability of failure. open.substack.com/pub/joecirin...

This has been a deeply troubled ship from the beginning of construction. Defense contractor greed and incompetence may be the single greatest threat to our national security.

Four weeks into his war and Trump is already into Bomb the Dams and Dikes of Vietnam territory.