How are America's core allies in Europe & the Indo-Pacific responding to the oscillations in its foreign policy at a time of rising great power competition? I offer an answer in a new article for @iajournal.bsky.social, focusing on Australia, Japan, Poland & the UK. doi.org/10.1093/ia/i...

Despite intelligence dominance in the war with Iran, events suggest the US intelligence community is having little influence on White House decision-making. Read the latest RUSI Commentary by Dan Lomas (@sandbaggerone.bsky.social) and @mtsavill.bsky.social.

In this video commentary @lmhurel.bsky.social and Lewis Sage-Passant ( @encyclopediageopolitica.com) discuss the role of private cyber companies in a time when countries increasingly depend on digital infrastructure. Watch the full discussion: https://bit.ly/4u4OtBe

I’m excited to share that my forthcoming book now has a website and a publication date! You can find out more and even pre-order here: press.georgetown.edu/Book/Blind-T...

A roundtable on my book is now out in @intnatsecjournal.bsky.social Grateful for the thoughtful and generous engagements. A great interdisciplinary exchange on law, intelligence, and security, permitted by @kcsi.uk's Polly Corrigan Book Prize. doi.org/10.1080/0268... @elgarpublishing.bsky.social

Available online now - a fantastic roundtable on The Polly Corrigan Book Prize Winner 2024, The Regulation of Intelligence Activities under International Law, by Sophie Duroy. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Vacancy for a three-year post-doc position at the Universiteit van Amsterdam! This postdoc position, part of the European Research Council (ERC)-sponsored 𝐁𝐋𝐎𝐂𝐊𝐀𝐃𝐄 project, seeks to understand the long legacies of blockades on the post-war order.

🔊 📖 We are delighted to share @ronanmainprize.bsky.social's review of @jrogg.bsky.social's 'The Spy and the State.' Mainprize argues that 'Rogg's book will likely become a key reference for the spy, the state, and the scholar.' 📖 Read the review here ➡️ doi.org/10.1080/1833...

What does the US-Iran conflict tell us about American power in the Middle East and beyond? Make sure to read this excellent article by Ronan to find out:

Why the US remains a major Middle Eastern power | @ronanmainprize.bsky.social engelsbergideas.com/notebook/why...

Today is the final day for submissions for the SIH Annual Conference, held at King's College London this October. @kcsi.uk Submit proposals to: [email protected] View the full CFP at intelligencehistory.org

In recognition of CSIS’s 40th Anniversary, SIH is proud to announce a C$3,400 travel award for Canadian students researching Canadian intelligence. To be considered, note this in your submission. If already applied, email to confirm candidacy. Submit to [email protected] by March 23 @kcsi.uk

This just in: We've just received some intel — we can now offer an excellent opportunity for a Canadian student, which means we are extending the submission deadline! Check back here for more info soon. Submit proposals to [email protected] by March 23 @kcsi.uk #SIHConference2026

The Ax:son Johnson Institute for Statecraft and Diplomacy’s #Intelligence and #Security Digital Seminar Series is in full swing! 💥 Our stellar lineup continues 10 March with Professor Richard J. Aldrich 🇬🇧 🇸🇪 For detals on our forthcoming speakers and to register: www.hhs.se/en/research/...

Dear Friends, Please find in the link below the IMH International Seminar Series programme for the Spring Term 2026. Zoom links to follow, but for now please put these dates in your diary. We look forward to seeing you in person or online. www.linkedin.com/posts/instit... 🗃️ #MilHist #Skystorians

Unlocking new hydrogen fuel technologies could unleash a transformation in warfare as profound as any witnessed over the past five centuries, with far-reaching strategic implications for NATO and the war in Ukraine. Hydrogen warfare | Mara Balasa engelsbergideas.com/notebook/hyd...

Operation Absolute Resolve was a resounding success for American intelligence. But the real test of resolve is just beginning… Some thoughts on how US intelligence can help stabilize post-Maduro Venezuela:

📄 Call for papers 🙌🏼 King's Centre for the Study of Intelligence (KCSI) is delighted to partner with the Society for Intelligence History (SIH) to host the SIH Annual Conference at King's College London on October 11-13, 2026. @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social @socintelhist.bsky.social (1/8)

📚 My review of Mark Lowenthal's excellent study of the US intelligence community, Vigilance Is Not Enough, is available in the @iajournal.bsky.social journal. A comprehensive study of the the development of US intelligence - well worth a read. 🔗 academic.oup.com/ia/article-a...

Agent-running is all about people. The safety of agents – who often treat their case officers as confessional, priest-like figures – is paramount. The art of agent-running | @mpolymer1.bsky.social engelsbergideas.com/notebook/the...

𝗖𝗙𝗣: Join the 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗲𝘁𝘆 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆’s 2026 conference, hosted at King’s College London with the 𝗞𝗶𝗻𝗴’𝘀 𝗖𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝘁𝘂𝗱𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 kcsi.uk and the 𝗗𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗦𝘁𝘂𝗱𝗶𝗲𝘀 @warstudieskcl.bsky.social 𝗗𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 15, send to: [email protected] www.intelligencehistory.org

A ten-part thread on misreading Trump: A number of thoughtful observers argued Trump would not pursue regime change in Venezuela. From the outset I argued that he would on the podcast and in private conversation.

“Arrestingly well-researched and rich in biographical detail, this remarkable book reveals that America’s top spies believed in social science and hoped universities could rescue the early CIA from intelligence failure.” —Richard Aldrich, author of GCHQ: The Uncensored Story.

I have a new piece with The Guardian where I look into the history of aerial confrontations going back to the Cold War. I argue that intruding Russian aircraft must be shot down as a prophylactic measure. There will not be a nuclear war. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

“Companies in the sector have raised €2.4bn since the start of 2022 including €1.4bn in the first seven months of this year alone, up from just €30mn in 2020 and €150mn in 2021” on.ft.com/3VJiU0d

Josephine Baker’s secret war | @matthefler.bsky.social engelsbergideas.com/portraits/jo...

The man who brought Sweden in from the cold | Rikard Westerberg engelsbergideas.com/portraits/th...

Must read from General Hayden and David Gioe www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

Glad speaking with @svenskadagbladet1.bsky.social on US intelligence on Iran and how to consider the public disputes around assessments 🇺🇸 Though hard to guauge from outside, recent events remind us to beware politicization of intelligence or secret services 🌍 English 👇 www.svd.se/a/kwoBJX/exp...

🚨📚 New Publication - The #Intelligence Behind the Strike: Was Everyone Wrong About Iran’s Nuclear Program? 🇮🇱🇮🇷 in @thecipherbrief.bsky.social www.thecipherbrief.com/intelligence...

Thanks to Sweden’s national TV network @svtnyheter.bsky.social for getting my reaction to 🇸🇪's recent intelligence review by Carl Bildt 🌍 I said that a new foreign intelligence agency will take time and must reflect Sweden's security needs and "intelligence culture" 🛠️ 🇸🇪 www.svt.se/nyheter/inri...

Me in @TheCriticMag: David Ben-Gurion believed Israel in its hostile region could never have finality on its terms. It would always have to deter, requiring discipline. Netanyahu's war of temptation on Iran rejects that vision. Decisiveness may elude him. thecritic.co.uk/deterrence-r...

Stuck in Copenhagen airport all day, but luckily I have some great reading material with me 📚

What happens when allies don’t see eye to eye on intelligence? warontherocks.com/20...

American intel agencies have assessed that, despite Israel's attack, Iran has not decided to move to a nuclear weapon. That could change, officials said, if the US attacks Fordo or Israel kills the Supreme leader. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/19/u...

Israel’s secret war inside Iran https://on.ft.com/44or9UI

Exclusive: President Trump told senior aides he approved attack plans for Iran, but is holding off on giving the final order to see if Tehran will abandon its nuclear program.

NEW: In @globeopinion.bsky.social, @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social and I argue that the US should not become a pawn in the Israel-Iran war www.bostonglobe.com/2025/06/18/o...

SCOOP: Tulsi Gabbard cancels Senate Intel briefing

My latest BCISS blog post on the Iran Israel war. Was Iran really close to building a bomb? I doubt it, but who knows?! The pretext and cause for war are far less certain than its consequences. intelligencestudiesreview.blog/2025/06/18/s...

On ‘64, I’d also add Burr and Richelson’s article in International Security (www.jstor.org/stable/2626706) and a @sarabcastro.bsky.social chapter about assumptions and intelligence on China’s nuclear programme (bokforlagetstolpe.com/en/books/int...).

I’ve been thinking a lot about Frank Gavin’s ‘Nuclear Statecraft’, in particular ch. 4 on US policy towards China’s nuclear test in ‘64. Provocative for thinking about the risks of nuclear armed rogue states and proliferation in 2025. An analogy to ‘64 perhaps shows a rush to war is unnecessary?

Will China's spy agencies adopt A.I. tools faster than the west? New report by Recorded Future on Chinese intelligence agencies investments in A.I. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/u...

Podcast alert! 🚨 📻 I had the pleasure of chatting about my collection Intelligence and Contemporary Conflict on "Yukiko and Patrik meet"👇 This book brings together experts on issues of intelligence and security and was produced by the Ax:son Johnson Institute 🌍 open.spotify.com/episode/6VsQ...

With a lot of discussion about the US-Israel alliance in the news, I’m resharing an article I wrote last year for @engelsbergideas.bsky.social on how LBJ and the Cold War 1960s helped establish what became a special relationship 🇺🇸🇮🇱

Ukraine’s drone strike against Russia and Israel’s operations against Hezbollah show how technological advances and good tradecraft can potentially alter the course of wars

Why would a country sabotage its own security agencies in wartime? Israel's leadership crisis reveals a troubling global pattern. warontherocks.com/20...

Donald Trump’s nuclear nightmares | In conversation with Fiona Hill engelsbergideas.com/essays/in-co...