Leo Barasi
@leobarasi.bsky.social
📤 4209
📥 754
📝 391
Mostly climate change & public opinion. Book: The Climate Majority
http://amzn.to/3h73dfm
Excited to use our new kitchen at last! 50 mins later:
7 days ago
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New paper finds 20k cancer cases attributable to living near a nuclear power plant. Surprising to me & challenges my priors. Is it reasonable? Interested what someone who understands the stats/epidemiology makes of it
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Residential proximity to nuclear power plants and cancer incidence in Massachusetts, USA (2000–2018) - Environmental Health
Purpose To investigate the associations between residential proximity to nuclear power plants and ZIP code–level cancer incidence among Massachusetts residents. Methods We assessed proximity of Massac...
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12940-025-01248-6
20 days ago
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If you haven't seen this before (I hadn't) I really think it's the best articulation I've seen of what Britain is - in a way that captures what makes it different from other countries, unlike the usual "we like tradition and fairness, we've got nice landscapes, we're kind to animals"
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27 days ago
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Just realised the etymology of dormouse, a mouse that sleeps a lot, not one that lives in doors. That does make more sense.
about 1 month ago
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Leo Barasi
James Murray
about 2 months ago
Very easy for Treasury to characterise heat pump grants as being kickbacks for middle class families, but they are primarily a mechanism for catalysing a market that will then benefit everyone.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
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Hundreds of thousands to lose heat pump subsidies in Reeves’s budget plan
Exclusive: Supporters say grants largely going to middle-class households, but experts warn move will slow transition from gas boilers
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/13/hundreds-of-thousands-to-lose-heat-pump-subsidies-in-reevess-budget-plan
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If Andrew is right - as he usually is - it once again reflects the problem with political journos covering policy, where they don't ask the question a specialist would think of. In this case, "how will you meet legal climate targets after this change?"
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Brian McNoldy
2 months ago
The average water level measured at Virginia Key (near
#Miami
) set a new monthly record high in October, which is also the new *all-time* record high month. I also feel confident that it was the highest monthly water level there since the last interglacial period... ~120,000 years ago. 🤯🌊🧪
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Why are British signs like this? Are the writers paid per word?
2 months ago
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Why are British signs like this? Are the writers paid per word?
2 months ago
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On this subject, you should all buy
@susannahfisher.bsky.social
’s book on what needs to happen with climate adaptation
www.amazon.co.uk/Sink-Swim-wo...
Can confirm she is a GOD
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3 months ago
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A thing I find remarkable here is there was a bunch of Independent Minded journalists who kept posting that ice volumes were stable until the mid 2010s, and then... just moved on to something else
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3 months ago
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Leo Barasi
James Murray
3 months ago
That England has had its three worst harvests on record inside the past five years really should be being treated as a much bigger cause for concern than is currently the case.
www.businessgreen.com/news/4520171...
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'This is what farming with climate change looks like': England endures second worst harvest on record
New analysis confirms three of the five worst harvests on record have occurred in the past five years on the back of extreme heat, drought, and rainfall
https://www.businessgreen.com/news/4520171/farming-climate-change-looks-england-endures-worst-harvest-record
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🎶 jet planes meeting in the air to be refuelled all these things I love so well 🎶
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3 months ago
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Next time someone says European climate policy just moves pollution abroad - show them this:
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4 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Luke Tryl
4 months ago
🧵Agree great thread, This is really interesting research (and always good to do reruns to track trends). But like Steve i’d also suggest zooming out a little bit before assuming climate scepticism is the new normal. Some additional thoughts… (long thread sorry!)
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Leo Barasi
Steve Akehurst
4 months ago
Somewhat sensationalist headline here obscures some really interesting research - which tallies with other available tracking data - on shifting attitudes to climate in the UK. Below are a few quick thoughts on how to understand this, in my view 👇
t.co/gDqlQgQBHn
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One of the best climate science comms jobs around, helping journalists explain how climate change has influenced extreme weather events, working with a top bunch of scientists at
@wwattribution.bsky.social
including
@frediotto.bsky.social
. London based, closes 5 Sep
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Media Relations Manager (World Weather Attribution and Grantham Institute) at Imperial College London
Explore professional services job openings, including the Media Relations Manager (World Weather Attribution and Grantham Institute) position, on jobs.ac.uk. Apply today and discover more about this r...
https://www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DOK861/media-relations-manager-world-weather-attribution-and-grantham-institute
4 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Susannah Fisher
5 months ago
Delighted to see my new book Sink or Swim about the hard choices ahead to adapt to the impacts of climate change reviewed in the
@financialtimes.com
by
@pilitaclark.bsky.social
along with
@billmckibben.bsky.social
's brilliant new book on the rise of solar power.
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The true cost of the car and a drive for change — new environment books
The history of snow, power of the sun and our motor vehicle addiction
https://www.ft.com/content/2e62253e-8e09-4e1a-94a7-325d49d4a20a?accessToken=zwAGPUV3_TLAkc8uYiU-jglOGtOUpzJdSdSiCg.MEYCIQDLaXOYEB0TeafE_WY9WfLOM6_2xYX-8TvnFCPURVxSFwIhALeKg6UAYYcKcdveg3TvpYwpQ7Ey7NskzJtFtvMQDzGb&sharetype=gift&token=b3398dc2-efa5-4b86-8f9c-c381180b87a6
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What are we really going to have to do to adapt to climate change? It’s the tricky question that a cracking new book, Sink or Swim, grapples with
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Sink or Swim: How the world needs to adapt to a changing climate : Fisher, Susannah: Amazon.co.uk: Books
Sink or Swim: How the world needs to adapt to a changing climate : Fisher, Susannah: Amazon.co.uk: Books
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Sink-Swim-world-changing-climate/dp/1399414054/ref=mp_s_a_1_1?crid=1K87POX6VBJWD&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.KoXCb5oyaqH6XSmV0P_WthPcDpqp2R9P6p63GBdKpL458AtfO_hITheJvdgnUA-RMRUfUmc812vMAiViSnEtyA.7TcsVSCNMsYVPujOyrifvwWHZtIG-g26kfuQTEXEmRo&dib_tag=se&keywords=sink+or+swim+fisher&qid=1755170159&sprefix=sink+or+swim+fisher%2Cbooks%2C145&sr=8-1
5 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Andrew Sissons
5 months ago
I want to come back properly on this Economist piece that questions Britain's approach to net zero. It gets three things wrong imo: 1. Ignoring periods of v cheap renewable energy 2. Misdiagnosing the relative costs of renewables 3. Looking backwards, not forwards.
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Is Britain’s net-zero push to blame for its high energy prices?
A mighty rise in electricity costs has complicated the drive for clean power
https://www.economist.com/britain/2025/07/31/is-britains-net-zero-push-to-blame-for-its-high-energy-prices
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In last day: Pakistan flood deaths passed 270, Turkey hit 50C & Tampa 100F for first time, study found climate change will increase UK food prices at least 25% in 25 years. Meanwhile, Tories & Reform planning to scrap climate action.
5 months ago
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“Climate change will manifest as a series of disasters viewed through phones with footage that gets closer and closer to where you live until you're the one filming it.”
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6 months ago
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In the last 24 hours: - Texas floods death toll passes 100 - Climate change tripled heat deaths in Europe last month, 1500 climate deaths in 12 cities - Wildfire reaches Marseille, closes airport - OBR finds net zero is 1/4 the cost previously thought; much cheaper than inaction
6 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Jacob Aron
6 months ago
We know heatwaves kill people and climate change makes heatwaves worse, but this rapid calculation really drives home the reality. With recent temperatures of up to 46°C in Europe, 1500 people died who wouldn't have in a world without climate change
www.newscientist.com/article/2487...
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1500 deaths in the recent European heatwave were due to climate change
We now have the ability to rapidly assess the impact of climate change after extreme weather events – a first of its kind analysis has shown that it nearly tripled the death toll from the most recent ...
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2487523-1500-deaths-in-the-recent-european-heatwave-were-due-to-climate-change/
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Leo Barasi
POLITICO Europe
6 months ago
Climate change supercharged last week’s European heat wave and tripled the death toll, a group of scientists said today.
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Climate change tripled recent heat deaths in Europe, scientists say
Global warming caused an additional 1,500 deaths in 12 cities during last week’s heat wave, an analysis found.
https://ow.ly/amcR50WmMM6
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Leo Barasi
Carbon Brief
6 months ago
NEW – OBR: Net-zero is much cheaper than thought for UK – and unchecked global warming far more costly |
@drsimevans.carbonbrief.org
Read here:
buff.ly/OTbsfLG
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Today's OBR report goes big on costs & benefits of climate action. Costs of net zero are much less than previous thought; costs of inaction are much greater. Main point: slow action is about 2x as expensive as fast action (2.5% GDP vs 1.2%)
obr.uk/docs/dlm_upl...
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https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Fiscal-risks-and-sustainability-report-July-2025.pdf
6 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Madison Condon
6 months ago
imagine being an adaptation planner in the UK and you are told, "well, the most likely thing that will happen is your country will get way hotter with a sharp increase in extreme temps... BUT there's a chance the AMOC could break in which case you'll get way way colder" So, prepare for that
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AMOC Collapse Visualisation Map
The interactive map that shows you the effects worldwide of climate change scenarios and the AMOC current collapsing
https://amocscenarios.org/?lat=52&lon=-4&model=cc_RCP45&is_amoc_on=true&is_delta=false&metric=temp_2m
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Leo Barasi
Climate Central
6 months ago
A quick🧵about the devastating Texas flooding -- and how it connects to climate change. ⬇️ (Photo cred:
@nytimes.com
)
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Some lovely old school climate denial from Matt Ridley in today's Telegraph "Stop going on about the heatwave, there was a hot day in 1911" *sniff* you don't see this kind of climate science denial* much these days in the UK media, real blast of 2010s nostalgia
6 months ago
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I wondered if the plagiarising 15 yr old became famous & asked chatgpt if it knew who he was. Its answer: Johann Hari. Totally wrong (for a start he was 20 then) and amazing that it's just assumed he was the answer to a question about a plagiarising journalist.
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Mark Gongloff
6 months ago
Climate change is already as costly as the Great Depression & will soon match the Great Recession in financial impact. Though everybody wants to split the two, climate policy is actually economic policy. My column for
@opinion.bloomberg.com
Now with 🎁 link:
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
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Kid has started reading
@rhi.bsky.social
’s Fighting Fantasy and, my heart, the dedication
6 months ago
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This mad heat is the result of burning fossil fuels. The only way to stop heatwaves getting longer, hotter & more common is net zero. Anyone who says we should scrap net zero needs to answer: how much hotter should we let it get?
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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Wtf
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6 months ago
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Iykyk
7 months ago
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This would be c3 times the death toll of the Valencia floods
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7 months ago
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Leo Barasi
World Weather Attribution
7 months ago
The heat above 32°C in southeast England tomorrow will be 100 times more likely due to fossil fuel-driven warming 🌡️📈 Our super rapid study was published this morning. It is just the second time we’ve studied an event in real-time, using forecast data. It's been hot work. 🧵
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Leo Barasi
Feels so much like a tinfoil conspiracy I find it hard to truly absorb but it's a fact: Oil & gas companies knew about climate change since at least the '70s, lied & created fake doubt to stop action. And today people will die in a heatwave that wouldn't have been a heatwave without their products.
7 months ago
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Feels so much like a tinfoil conspiracy I find it hard to truly absorb but it's a fact: Oil & gas companies knew about climate change since at least the '70s, lied & created fake doubt to stop action. And today people will die in a heatwave that wouldn't have been a heatwave without their products.
7 months ago
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reposted by
Leo Barasi
Prof Friederike Otto
7 months ago
Without our continued burning of fossil fuels, the current heat in London & most of the UK would not have been a heatwave:
www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-chan...
Heatwaves are dangerous. Drink water, lots of it, stay cool, even if you feel invincible, you're probably not.
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Watch as climate deniers test out a pivot from "why should we cut emissions, China isn't" to "China only wants us to cut emissions because it makes all the renewable tech"
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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7 months ago
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Leo Barasi
Richard Dixon
7 months ago
One ensemble member for London is 39.8c: in a month where - per
@aidanmcgivern.bsky.social
below - the record is 35.6c. Yes it likely won't happen, but ensembles show "the possible". The "we've seen it all before in 1976" cries are looking less and less valid with every passing year.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Models suggest could be 42C in England in late June. Unlikely to happen in practice but wild it’s a possibility - and it’ll be a real thing for our kids if we don’t hit net zero quickly.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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This is hair-raising to have a play on. What happens if the Atlantic circulation currents collapse - plausible scenario if carbon emissions continue. A cold snap in Liverpool would be -25C, Arctic sea ice reaches Yarmouth. Brr.
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AMOC Collapse Visualisation Map
The interactive map that shows you the effects worldwide of climate change scenarios and the AMOC current collapsing
https://amocscenarios.org/?lat=51.75&lon=0.25&model=cc_RCP45&is_amoc_on=false&is_delta=false&metric=temp_1_in_10_yr_min
7 months ago
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Kid has come home from playgroup with a glitter picture he made to celebrate world ocean’s day 🤦♂️
7 months ago
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Spotted a fun little thing, with a magic circle law firm publishing then rapidly deleting analysis they hadn't really thought through - short thread
7 months ago
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This is the same as hospitals, police, climate change etc. Huge gap between % who say they want more govt spending and % who say they'd pay more themselves. Task for govt is to make the case for why we need to pay more now, to save money later. Chart from
@steveakehurst.bsky.social
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7 months ago
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Coverage of the case here. Might be some Swiss villagers looking this up today.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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