@zoeschlanger.bsky.social from the @theatlantic.com with an under appreciated dynamic in the discussions swirling around FEMA reforms - the role of private sector consultants. Read with this gift link:

When you see these pictures, remember that the exiting civil servant Chair of the UK Climate Change Committee said, not long back, that 2050 would be very much like today As I said at the time, utter, irresponsible, bollox www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...

😡😡

Study on London 20 mph limits shows: - collisions ⬇️ 35% - casualties ⬇️ 36% - fatal/serious injuries ⬇️ 34% - child casualties ⬇️ 46% - child deaths ⬇️ 75% - walkers, cyclists, motorcyclists killed/seriously injured ⬇️ 28% etsc.eu/20mph-limits...

Watching the shocking imagery of tourists running off the slopes of Etna ahead of a collapsing pyroclastic cloud is making me think of Galeras, Chouet's harmonic tremors...and most importantly, how we need to continue to develop effective warning systems to keep people safe...even adventurous ones

My first word search in tomorrow's #SDR will be "Article 3" www.nato.int/cps/bu/natoh...

Other work I did with @profjohndrury.bsky.social on mass emergencies also found that people co-operate with each other & the idea of selfish 'panic' is a myth. This is shown in the way that #Liverpool has come together after this terrible incident bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

All I can take from this NPSA guidance, is the immense challenge involved in countering vehicle-as-weapon threats. Please, beware the 9 o'clock jury with 'easy' answers. www.npsa.gov.uk/specialised-...

It is a book I have been waiting for and here is my review of @lucygobag.bsky.social 's latest book Come What May. amandacomms1.wordpress.com/2025/05/26/c...

When it rains, it now rains more

So, I've just read the new HMG 'Amber Book', and have to admit I'm impressed. It is comprehensive and IMO provides a more encompassing - 'Whole of Society' cognizant - structure than the old CONOPS. I find it reassuring that Cabinet Office 'get's it'. Also, only 3 typos

News of the #IceStorm in #Ontario, got me reaching for Murphy's ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️forensic analysis of leadership following their 1998 disaster. One of the themes he discusses will be familiar to people here, but it also made me think about direct parallels with the Valcencia floods.

UK: recommended from @hasisd.bsky.social. Linking the EU Preparedness Union strategy back into a UK framing, but also highlighting complementarities across approaches. The operationalisation of WoS is not just LGD-led, but from within sector & then cross-lifeline. Key point on #militarymobility...

Find out more about our ESRC-funded project ‘Perceived threats and “stampedes”: a relational model of collective fear responses’ in our accessible report: Public behaviour in response to perceived hostile threats: An evidence base and guide for practitioners and policymakers doi.org/10.20919/VJV...

Following the publication of the EU Joint Communication on Preparedness, I've written a piece on how strengthening highway sector preparedness could increase national resilience... www.linkedin.com/posts/hugh-d...

A new study shows adding factors like rainfall, wind direction and leaf cover to models improves power outage predictions, aiding better preparation & response🌳⚡ For example the probability of outages was found to be 2-3 times higher in wet conditions. Read more here 👇

I have to say, I really like this proposed definition for 'Natural Hazards'. However, I tend to regard 'multi-hazards' as being situational (e.g., flood -> landslide at location), with the *approach* used to manage to them 'all-hazards' (i.e., nat and tech) www.nature.com/articles/s44...

March 20th...a coincidence? Should the aviation sector start to consider elevating the 'Ides of March' (+/-5) in its Risk Register

Interested in the role of sediment transport processes on increasing #flooding? Our new preprint that systematically explores the role of #rainfall on amplifying flood hazard is out! doi.org/10.21203/rs.... @floodskinner.games @drchrishackney.bsky.social Matt Perks & @bedforms.bsky.social

Show Me the Bodies - the interview with the incomparable ⁦‪@PeteApps‬⁩ and me is now permanently available. It’s a hard listen but an essential listen 👂 www.mixcloud.com/Resonance/cl...

1/3 📢 New Research Alert! How can the Social Identity Approach improve interoperability in multi-agency emergency response teams? A new study by Louise Davidson, Holly Carter, @profjohndrury.bsky.social John Drury, Richard Amlôt, and Alex Haslam

Today the UK Roads Leadership Group (UKLG) has published my latest independent review of UK highway sector resilience. #IEM #Resilience #Lifelines ukrlg.ciht.org.uk/media/jsynzd...

Really interesting paper on coping capacity vs. building flood losses during extreme events: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

I’ve been thinking about site clearance recently, so this article is fascinating

I've been working on some other stuff and busy with fire recovery for the past week, but should have a new blog post going up tomorrow. In the meantime, catch up on my past travails with the Eaton Fire at themikerothschild.com

Bit of a ranty blog below. 👇 floodmary.com/2025/02/10/b...

Great work by my UBC colleague!

25 Lead Authors. 7 Review Authors. 57 Pages. 31 Figures. But the 14-word TITLE of the World Weather Attribution study is all you need to know:

I'm just checking out the upfreshed International Disasters Charter website. Looks great...what a resource this is! #RemoteSensing #Disasters #SituationalAwareness disasterscharter.org

"A recent study also found that songbirds are inadvertently killing their young by making nests out of contaminated pet fur."

@blueshield-ireland.bsky.social @hasisd.bsky.social @chathamhouse.bsky.social @cen4infores.bsky.social @charlie533080.bsky.social @jsargentr.bsky.social @vatniksoup.bsky.social @rusi.bsky.social @guyyeomans.bsky.social You might know someone ? careers.unesco.org/job/Brussels...

The global sea-level rise could be up to 90cm higher (up to 1.9 m) than earlier estimates by 2100, according to the new study by NTU. Under the low-emissions scenario (1.8 C degree) sea levels are very likely to rise between 0.3m-1m (0.6, IPCC) Previous estimates understated extreme scenarios 🌊🪨

☺️Delighted to 'officially' celebrate BlueSkyReilience's debut on LinkedIn. If #resilience and #preparedness interest you, like and follow me. I look forward to many engaging and capacity building conversations. Personal preparedness matters. LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/.../monikaal....

Met Office three month outlook suggesting a considerably greater chance than normal of mild, wet and windy conditions to dominate, particularly during February & March. Impacts from successive Atlantic storms more likely than normal.

Despite the recent cold in the USA, and the presence of a (weak) La Niña in the Pacific, January is on track to be the warmest January on record. 😬

I'm really not quite sure how to process this paragraph 🤔: "The (EA) said flash flooding had taken place in Somerset because the ground was already saturated. It said it needed to “shepherd” a huge amount of water through the system and stop water spilling on to the low-lying Somerset moors."

Great interview of @alexsteffen.bsky.social by @pbsnews.bsky.social However, as a reader of 'Category 5', Zebrowski and Howard's book about Hurricane Camille's impact on Virginia, the 'Safe haven' narrative for NC never made sense to me.

I recall being told in training that the most dangerous place that a Police Officer can interview a suspect, is in their kitchen. Just too many lethal weapons within easy reach. It's about so much more than knife purchase.

Talk about "money begets money", @microsoft.com how do you justify this level of one-step price increase?

I checked the Red Warning that was given in advance of Storm Arwen in 2021 (which I won't post to prevent confusion). It ran in a strip up the east coast between Middlesborough to Fraserborough. The #StormÉowyn Red warning outline is really worrying me weather.metoffice.gov.uk/warnings-and...

Heads up for the Weather Community! You can now find NOAA (@noaa.gov), NOAA Climate (@climate.noaa.gov) & NWS HQ (@nws.noaa.gov; still being set up) on Bluesky!

Storm Éowyn has been named and is forecast to bring strong winds to much of the UK on Friday and into Saturday. Stay weather aware.

Well, I'm just reading the HMG response to the Covid Inquiry (1) and see that we are apparently due to get our long awaited new CONOPS in the next few months. I know you're all excited, but please contain yourselves. #EmergencyManagement

“LA — and much of the rest of the world — was built for a #climate that no longer exists… We must reimagine how we build our world and the kinds of urban planning, water supplies, building insulation, and public transportation that are necessary to adapt to a hotter climate.” #ClimateCrisis

@lucygobag.bsky.social on BBC, starts my Saturday by absolutely nailing the need for media to reconsider the protocols and ethics of reporting from disaster areas.

I'm going to share this article again, because I'm finding myself using it as the go-to reference for my thinking about how we prepare for increasingly intense extreme weather events. theconversation.com/the-climate-...