Nice post by @kylefbutts.bsky.social. I have been puzzled too by papers using randomization inference in obs settings with no discussion of why/when the assignment should be seen as random. www.kylebutts.com/blog/2025-09...

Gabriel Zucman be like

Remember when the left was actively trying to get people fired for right wing tweets? A bunch of people back then said, "hey maybe ceding authority to companies to regulate private speech isn't exactly the leftist position you think it is." They all got called dirty centrists. And here we are.

Great opportunity to work with my fantastic colleague Mateo and a team of top political economy scholars. Consider forwarding to your students.

Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized? In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇

All this thread. Personally, my prior probability that a flashy headline finding is true, especially in the nutrition area, is close to 0.

Fyi statistical methods to detect ballot stuffing were often developed on Russian data because it was so easy to spot and validate

Great paper that clarifies a long-standing doubt of mine on the connection between empirical measures of persuasion and its behavioral definition. Identifying the Effect of Persuasion | Journal of Political Economy: Vol 131, No 8 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

Are there any good reviews of how behavioral games have been used in political science? They are very popular in behavioral economics and psychology but seem underused in political science (for now).

Please share this thread. It is important that political scientists, in Europe and across the world, understand why EPSS exists and why we are encouraging people to attend our inaugural conference, in Belfast next June.

A very interesting article on the logic of elite propaganda and group mobilization, an area with rich empirical evidence but many theoretical open questions. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

One of our “green new scam” research grants that USDOT terminated focused on making transit infrastructure more resilient to more frequent and severe weather events. But “climate change adaptation” was too woke, obviously, and doing this research is clearly unnecessary

We always assume that politicians optimize their chances of staying in office. But it’s also true that politicians can be bad at politics. This is the underlying theme of my take on the Kenyan opposition’s chances in 2027: kenopalo.substack.com/p/how-kenyas...

"As a former police officer, I can tell you that my first reaction to unidentified men in masks converging on me or someone nearby would be to take cover and prepare to fight."

This should not even be controversial. The "it's all unpaid labor" crowd often misses that continued critical engagement with frontier work is the basis of our job.

#Econsky That was a great workshop on Political Economy at @ox.ac.uk - @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, jointly organized with @iast.fr - @tse-fr.eu and @sciencespo.bsky.social No cheaptalking, the quality was high! Grateful for this life/scientific event 🙏🏼

@sergisme.bsky.social is on Bluesky too!

If you are attending #EPSA2025 and are interested in social identities, attitudes about others, networks, violence, and their measurement, I (co-)author 4 papers on the program. 👇

Inspired by this lineup? Join us at the IAST workshop. ✍️Register by 15/06: www.iast.fr/registration... 👉Organized with care by: A. Degrave, @dwingerfelix.bsky.social @haasvioleta.bsky.social @hlarreguy.bsky.social @giacomolem.bsky.social K. Michelitch, A. Ezzeldin Mohamed & @asimpser.bsky.social

🎙️ Workshop on the Political Economy of Autocratic Rule & Democratic Backsliding 📅 June 23–24, 2025 📍 Toulouse Join us for an interdisciplinary workshop gathering top researchers on autocratic politics and democratic backsliding. Don't forget to register ! 👉 shorturl.at/JpaBe

A little reading project for this summer, the works of Jan Vansina

A gem of a paper, it clarified several things while I worked on my first factorial experiment

[ACTIVITY REPORT] 💡 At IAST, ideas don’t just grow — they collide, transform, and evolve. 2024 saw new faculty, fresh perspectives & a thriving research community. 🔎Read how we’re building the future: www.iast.fr/sites/defaul... #AcademicLife #BehavioralScience @tse-fr.eu @jfbonnefon.bsky.social

The Germans just familiarized themselves with one of the noblest terms of the Italian politics jargon it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franco_...

This April 25 marks 80 years since Italy’s liberation from Nazi-Fascism and transition to democracy. Yet the memory of that moment remains contested. We’ve studied how memories of WWII continue to shape political behavior—and why they remain relevant for defending democracy today. 1/

Buon 25 Aprile

#OTD in 1841. Edgar Allan Poe's short story "The Murders in the Rue Morgue" appears in Graham's Magazine. It will be recognized as the first significant work of detective fiction. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mur... The Murders in the Rue Morgue @ PG www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/2147 #books #literature

ok i know i know it's very dated to be arguing about the new institutional history of africa/murdock map/ethnographic atlas stuff but I'm going to do it anyway (from M&P 2013): why are we comparing political entities like the Songhay Empire with ethnolinguistic categories like 'the Wolof'?

If you too overthink about borders, borderlands, frontiers, boundaries, and amuse yourself with long-form journalism, well...

With his permission, I'm sharing Dean Treanor's response to Ed Martin's letter:

New working paper! In this research note, @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social, and I present the first systematic test that causally identifies the electoral consequences of state-sponsored homophobia: osf.io/preprints/os... 🧵Thread

Let's check: *checks* No

AfD overwhelmingly won votes from non-voters and the centre-right. This is a standard pattern. It is a myth that the radical right are mainly winning disaffected centre-left voters.

#UMISR: Preserve At-Risk Government Data! DataLumos, an open-access archive at ICPSR, is working to preserve/share critical govt data. Help keep the data accessible. Donate: datalumos.org Explore & contribute: myumi.ch/egrbW Volunteer: [email protected] #DataPreservation #SocialScience

So if you criticize Elon Musk, Trump’s DOJ will send you this letter. Members of Congress must have the right to forcefully oppose the Trump Administration. I will not be silenced.

The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️

Something refreshing to hear: in a new poll Americans oppose Trump’s pardoning of violent January 6th insurrectionists by 83-14. Credit: Aaron Blake from WaPo

That's the obvious lesson learned from what Trump's America is doing in Ukraine. Supporting appeasement to nuclear powers while claiming to be "pro-peace" is beyond delusional now, plain bad faith. Japan, South Korea, and Poland need nuclear weapons immediately open.substack.com/pub/noahpini...

Things are not developing as I would wish. www.cnn.com/2025/02/18/p...

General view from Munich today after many conversations. - US meetings with Europeans have been positive. Clear sense that US exploring options. Nothing settled. - Question of a European force inside Ukraine is still being debated, with a wide spectrum of views on AIM of such a force & feasibility.

By the way have you read this masterpiece

Associated Press: “Today we were informed by the White House that if AP did not align its editorial standards with President Donald Trump’s executive order renaming the Gulf of Mexico as the Gulf of America, AP would be barred from accessing an event in the Oval Office.“

Where do moralizing religions come from? Useless cognitive by-products?Cultural group selection for complex societies? Our Psych Review paper argues: neither. Let’s rethink their cognitive & evolutionary origins🧵 w/ @manvir.bsky.social @nbaumard @jbaptistandre.bsky.social doi.org/10.1037/rev0...

APSA Statement on Executive Action Impacts on Research Funding, Data Availability and Academic Freedom The American Political Science Association (APSA) is deeply concerned about recent executive actions that have had troubling implications for research funding and academic freedom. In January,…