I jump into the moderation debate. I agree with @adambonica.bsky.social and @gelliottmorris.com on the methodology, but I want to draw attention to a bigger issue. The collapse of candidate effects generally. leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...

📢 Two weeks left to apply for a (2-year) research fellowship @iast.fr A fantastic opportunity to work full-time on your own research, in an interdisciplinary environment, and in a lovely city in the South of France. Deadline: November 15, 2025 How to apply: www.iast.fr/research-fel...

The question now is whether what happened in Madagascar will be repeated elsewhere on the continent. Young people in Africa have been increasingly vocal, calling for major reforms amid growing unrest. The continent has the world's youngest population. https://cnn.it/4nevWhP

The U.S. military has destroyed five boats it has alleged were ferrying drugs into the U.S., killing 27 people. No authority has publicly released the names of any of the dead. One family is believed to be the first to publicly say they believe a relative is among those who were killed.

Another important paper of a new generation of PEDev studies rethinking concepts of "precolonial" politics that the first generation of studies oversimplified www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Scholars & pundits have focussed a lot on the electoral demise of center left, but in doing so we paid to little attention to the electoral problems of the center right. Case-in-points here not only British conservatives or center right in France, but increasingly also the center right in Spain.

Fukuyama gets laughed at all the time because of "The End of History" (or at least because of the title choice), but honestly, "The Origins of Political Order" and "Political Order and Political Decay" are quite good.

It's 2025 and research institutes are still gating working papers/preprints written by academics. I don't know their business model, so they may have a reason, but for academics, posting *preprints* under a paywall without providing an ungated version is very unethical, sorry

Riley's book is an important one.

Nice post by @kylefbutts.bsky.social. I have been puzzled too by papers using randomization inference in obs settings with no discussion of why/when the assignment should be seen as random. www.kylebutts.com/blog/2025-09...

Gabriel Zucman be like

Remember when the left was actively trying to get people fired for right wing tweets? A bunch of people back then said, "hey maybe ceding authority to companies to regulate private speech isn't exactly the leftist position you think it is." They all got called dirty centrists. And here we are.

Great opportunity to work with my fantastic colleague Mateo and a team of top political economy scholars. Consider forwarding to your students.

Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized? In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇

All this thread. Personally, my prior probability that a flashy headline finding is true, especially in the nutrition area, is close to 0.

Fyi statistical methods to detect ballot stuffing were often developed on Russian data because it was so easy to spot and validate

Great paper that clarifies a long-standing doubt of mine on the connection between empirical measures of persuasion and its behavioral definition. Identifying the Effect of Persuasion | Journal of Political Economy: Vol 131, No 8 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

Are there any good reviews of how behavioral games have been used in political science? They are very popular in behavioral economics and psychology but seem underused in political science (for now).

Please share this thread. It is important that political scientists, in Europe and across the world, understand why EPSS exists and why we are encouraging people to attend our inaugural conference, in Belfast next June.

A very interesting article on the logic of elite propaganda and group mobilization, an area with rich empirical evidence but many theoretical open questions. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

One of our “green new scam” research grants that USDOT terminated focused on making transit infrastructure more resilient to more frequent and severe weather events. But “climate change adaptation” was too woke, obviously, and doing this research is clearly unnecessary

We always assume that politicians optimize their chances of staying in office. But it’s also true that politicians can be bad at politics. This is the underlying theme of my take on the Kenyan opposition’s chances in 2027: kenopalo.substack.com/p/how-kenyas...

"As a former police officer, I can tell you that my first reaction to unidentified men in masks converging on me or someone nearby would be to take cover and prepare to fight."

This should not even be controversial. The "it's all unpaid labor" crowd often misses that continued critical engagement with frontier work is the basis of our job.

#Econsky That was a great workshop on Political Economy at @ox.ac.uk - @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social, jointly organized with @iast.fr - @tse-fr.eu and @sciencespo.bsky.social No cheaptalking, the quality was high! Grateful for this life/scientific event 🙏🏼

@sergisme.bsky.social is on Bluesky too!

If you are attending #EPSA2025 and are interested in social identities, attitudes about others, networks, violence, and their measurement, I (co-)author 4 papers on the program. 👇

Inspired by this lineup? Join us at the IAST workshop. ✍️Register by 15/06: www.iast.fr/registration... 👉Organized with care by: A. Degrave, @dwingerfelix.bsky.social @haasvioleta.bsky.social @hlarreguy.bsky.social @giacomolem.bsky.social K. Michelitch, A. Ezzeldin Mohamed & @asimpser.bsky.social

🎙️ Workshop on the Political Economy of Autocratic Rule & Democratic Backsliding 📅 June 23–24, 2025 📍 Toulouse Join us for an interdisciplinary workshop gathering top researchers on autocratic politics and democratic backsliding. Don't forget to register ! 👉 shorturl.at/JpaBe

A little reading project for this summer, the works of Jan Vansina

A gem of a paper, it clarified several things while I worked on my first factorial experiment

[ACTIVITY REPORT] 💡 At IAST, ideas don’t just grow — they collide, transform, and evolve. 2024 saw new faculty, fresh perspectives & a thriving research community. 🔎Read how we’re building the future: www.iast.fr/sites/defaul... #AcademicLife #BehavioralScience @tse-fr.eu @jfbonnefon.bsky.social

The Germans just familiarized themselves with one of the noblest terms of the Italian politics jargon it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franco_...

This April 25 marks 80 years since Italy’s liberation from Nazi-Fascism and transition to democracy. Yet the memory of that moment remains contested. We’ve studied how memories of WWII continue to shape political behavior—and why they remain relevant for defending democracy today. 1/

Buon 25 Aprile

#OTD in 1841. Edgar Allan Poe's short story "The Murders in the Rue Morgue" appears in Graham's Magazine. It will be recognized as the first significant work of detective fiction. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mur... The Murders in the Rue Morgue @ PG www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/2147 #books #literature

ok i know i know it's very dated to be arguing about the new institutional history of africa/murdock map/ethnographic atlas stuff but I'm going to do it anyway (from M&P 2013): why are we comparing political entities like the Songhay Empire with ethnolinguistic categories like 'the Wolof'?

If you too overthink about borders, borderlands, frontiers, boundaries, and amuse yourself with long-form journalism, well...

With his permission, I'm sharing Dean Treanor's response to Ed Martin's letter:

New working paper! In this research note, @bogatyrev.bsky.social, @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @heikekluever.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social, and I present the first systematic test that causally identifies the electoral consequences of state-sponsored homophobia: osf.io/preprints/os... 🧵Thread

Let's check: *checks* No

AfD overwhelmingly won votes from non-voters and the centre-right. This is a standard pattern. It is a myth that the radical right are mainly winning disaffected centre-left voters.