Loudoun is over 90% including all of early vote and mail Above the 60-40 margin needed for a comfortable Yes win Will take a while for an official call But this looks like a redo of the 2025 AG race Shy Yes voters were a thing

Weekends are usually the best for Dems Yesterday was biggest first day of Saturday early voting in a Virginia state election Only Presidential elections have been higher Expect something similar next Saturday But obviously don’t know how people are voting so some caution

A much-hyped double album finds the two reveling in a mutual influence that has bloomed for a decade, shaping a scene in the process. n.pr/48wpspN

Governor Spanberger vetoes a proposed referendum for a casino in Fairfax County First big break between Governor and Dem leaders in General Assembly State Senate majority Scott Surovell in particular had been a big proponent But the casino proposal is controversial in the area

👀 State Senator Saddam Salim could be the latest entry into the new proposed VA-7 Shaping up to be a crowded primary But first the Redistricting referendum has to pass…

James Talarico looks on his way to winning the Dem nomination for Texas Senate without a runoff The GOP race likely going to runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Ken Paxton Boosts Dems as they try to overcome long odds to take back Senate

🚨🚨🚨Virginia Supreme Court lays out schedule for redistricting case Allows the April 21 referendum to go forward with early voting starting March 6 BUT seems to leave open possibility of final ruling after referendum This goes back to very limited relief lower court granted

Looks like dems in montana have their own osborn. MT Dems should endorse the independent and not field a candidate

Federal Fallout pod is back with a new episode The long shadow of the 2025 Virginia elections in 2026 Redistricting will get a lot of the attention But Dems are going to do a lot else with their trifecta 3 more constitutional amendments and regular bills too podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f...

The scale of the protests in Iran are absolutely unbelievable. Hard to quantify, but I've seen some speculation that this uprising is more significant than the 2023 protests (themselves the largest challenge to the regime since it came into power in '79.) (Video from @AmirMiresmaeili on Twitter)

There will be a rematch of the 2021 primary between Elizabeth Bennett-Parker and Mark Levine Bennett-Parker knocked off Levine in a House of Delegates primary to become a delegate Now they will face off again in a firehouse primary in SD-39 for a State Senate seat

BREAKING & BIG: Federal judge BLOCKS Texas from implementing new, gerrymandered maps for 2026 midterms. Judge Jeffrey Brown (TRUMP APPOINTEE) wrote opinion, joined by Judge David Guaderrama (Obama appointee). Judge Jerry Smith (Reagan appointee) dissents. storage.courtlistene...

What was YouGov cooking? Their final Virginia poll was underrated Shout out to Chaz and State Navigate for getting LG, AG, and House of Delegates right as well as top of ticket YouGov just had Governor

JUST IN: Katie Wilson cuts Bruce Harrell's lead by more than half with today's ballot drop, cutting her deficit from 9908 votes to 4300 votes. She won today's batch of 55,952 ballots by 10%; that's *more* than she needed to win the outstanding ballots by. Over 50K ballots left to count in Seattle.

This has not gotten much attention, but it should. Virginia under Youngkin returned to an insanely harsh system where people convicted of any felony lose their voting rights FOR LIFE. Dems' win this week mean they'll get to advance a constitutional amendment to end lifetime disenfranchisement.

Delegate Debra Gardner also announces she’s running for State Senate seat being vacated by Ghazala Hashmi Looks like Delegate v. Delegate contest between her and Mike Jones Winner would have to resign House seat So probably going to get another special there

Democratic Rep. Jared Golden, facing a primary challenge from state Auditor Matt Dunlap, says he won't seek reelection in #ME02

Looks like wipe out for Virginia House of Delegates Republicans Dems on track to get at least 60 seats, if not more GOP had 66 seats in 2017 before the elections then Now will be below 40 in second Trump era Will have full break down tomorrow

With 18% of the vote reporting in Virginia: -Abigail Spanberger (D) leads by 16 points in #VAgov -Ghazala Hashmi (D) leads by 12 points in #VALG -Jay Jones (D) leads by 8 points in #VAAG

The is where Virginia Tech is located Democrat Lily Franklin is trying to knock off GOP incumbent Del. Chris Obenshain Virginia has same-day registration and those will not be counted tonight We’ll see if Franklin can pull it out after coming up short by 183 votes in 2023

Trump's average disapproval rating has hit 56% in our tracker at fiftyplusone.news. He is now just a point off his (then historically low) net approval rating at this point in 2017, and nearly meeting the high point of Joe Biden's disapproval rating in 2022/late 2024 (57.3%).

A measure to expand voting rights in Virginia hinges on Tuesday's elections. If Republicans flip the state House, that'd likely kill the proposed constitutional amendment to end lifetime felony disenfranchisement, Alex Burness explains:

🚨 BIG 🚨Satmar Ahronim sect is endorsing Mamdani for mayor, two sources familiar confirmed. Mamdani is expected to meet with Satmar leaders in Williamsburg this afternoon. Here is more background ⬇️ forward.com/fast-forward...

New Virginia poll from Emerson Spanberger up 11% and Jones up 2% They found a close race in NJ, but not the case at top of ticket in Virginia Jones up is different than most polls I’ve flagged AG race is inherently unpredictable and both sides have path emersoncollegepolling.com/virginia-202...

I have been charged in a federal indictment sought by the Department of Justice. This political prosecution is an attack on all of our First Amendment rights. I’m not backing down, and we’re going to win.

As expected, the Virginia Redistricting amendment has limited language Just the Congressional districts Just this decade Doesn’t otherwise change Redistricting Commission

Data centers are a big issue in terms of the rise of energy costs in Virginia Youngkin administration has generally been in favor of them and he vetoed a bill seeking more state regulation But they are generally unpopular for taking up a lot of land and high energy use

Also big numbers in terms of early voting so far today in Prince William County There have been 2001 early votes in just 2 hours To put that in perspective, biggest day so far had 610 total They opened all their satellite locations so lots of pent up demand

Sherrod Brown says he raised $7 million for his #OHSen comeback campaign during his first six weeks, plus another $1 million for a joint fundraising committee. mailchi.mp/sherrodbrown...

Frustration toward SCOTUS building even among Republican judges. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/11/u...

Need to wait for exact numbers of Federal layoffs But at least right now, this is affecting a lot of agencies Some that didn’t even take a big hit during DOGE Hard to imagine this not dominating news in NOVA as this unfolds

Most Virginia Dems have been silent after initial batch of statements But notable backing for Jay Jones from Senator Tim Kaine Kaine served as Virginia Governor and Lt. Governor So understands role of statewide office

What a mild way to say "this is against the law and has been anathema since the founding of this country."

Trump made gains in NOVA in 2024 Also part of Youngkin’s win in 2021 Fairfax is largest county in Virginia Can see shifting Dem margins 2020 70%-28% 2021 65%-35% 2024 66%-31% But Dems over performed in VA-11 special Curious if Spanberger gets 2020 # of 70% www.ffxnow.com/2025/10/03/n...

A setback for more environmentally-friendly high-rise mass timber construction in the US. Especially for housing. Tariffs and inflation are the claimed source of problems, but others have pointed out mismanagement and contractor issues for the Milwaukee project, too.

The shutdown really is big deal in NOVA Was at daughter’s dance practice yesterday in Vienna and there was loud conversation about it First time I’ve heard anything political in that context Hard to know how it plays in election, but top of mind for many voters

OMB - Affected US government agencies "should now execute their plans for an orderly shutdown."

“The Palestinian photojournalist who Israel killed an hour ago, Yahia Barzaq, was a newborn photographer. I’m sharing here some of his photography.” @mosababutoha.bsky.social See the remainder of this beautiful and devastating 🧵 x.com/mosababutoha...

Adding to overanalyzing of Virginia early vote I have noticed that mail ballot return rate is high for a state election Likely reflects voters more certain about their votes Tracks with more in-person vote too than 2021 Mail ballots tend to be heavily Dem In-person more even

Some *BIG* news for two major Arizona races: Republican Rep. David Schweikert will run for governor rather than seek reelection to his swing House seat.

WASHINGTON (AP) — Trump says he'll send troops to Portland, Oregon, as he expands military deployments in US cities.

Both Washington and Oregon are already in a recession so of course as a response they are sending troops into our cities

Almost 150K Virginia early votes after 5 days That’s over 12% of 2021 total early vote already After today is added, close to 175K going into weekend All that points to high turnout this year in Virginia Things might slow down next couple weeks before big surge at the end

Earle-Sears campaign has spent 2 months attacking Spanberger on the trans issue Doesn’t seem to have moved the needle at all The co/efficient Republican internal found Spanberger winning independents 59%-23% Youngkin won them 54%-45% in 2021 according to exit poll

I was back at 26 Federal Plaza today, where an ICE agent violently threw this bereft woman to the ground in front of her kids. She had not touched him. She did not pose any threat. She had to be taken to the hospital. (🎥: Elias Eliahu)

Trump to the UN: "I'm really good at this stuff. Your countries are going to hell."

Three elections of note on Tuesday, in 3 days: —Arizonans decide the successor of Raul Grijalva. —Dems are hoping to flip the mayor's office in Mobile. —The GOP defends a state House seat in Georgia. Details: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...

Top issues for voters in Virginia poll Inflation 21% Threats to Democracy 18% Education 9% Immigration 9% Crime 9% Taxes 7% Inflation is top issue for 25% of independents Earle-Sears strategy of focusing on trans issues doesn’t seem to be paying off