The longer this goes on the more it is clear that the GOP expected Dems to fold asap. They have no strategy

If you listened only to leftists and political media you’d assume Dems didn’t hold any power and were on the verge of being annihilated as a party. But Dems actually have been on a hot streak since 2016. They made up huge ground they lost in the Obama years and have continued to gain ground

The republicans spend more time trolling Dems and libs than actual policy work. It’s why they arent really gonna scrap the filibuster. They have nothing they want to pass or do so it’s easier to pretend their hands are toed

The press is not gonna let up on Mamdani btw. Even if he wins a respectable win. They got the sights on him. They gonna Biden him. Keep hitting until he sinks. Though he should hold up better/longer than Biden because NYC is much more liberal and he’s much more charismatic

The basic GOP voters position since WW2 ended is: social safety net is bad unless I specifically benefit from it. We should cut it until it gets to me Now we are to a point where any additional cuts hurt GOP states much more than Dem ones. That used to not be the case

has anybody seen Jake Tapper. perhaps he was kidnapped by aliens

Wait so all the polling that l assumed the electorate would be similar to 2024 were wrong?!

It felt a bit like cope to ignore that Trump is far worse on the Middle East than Biden was or Harris could ever be

The Press when Republicans are doing something at the very least unethical

Also something else the media has no smoke for all of a sudden

This. This is probably the single biggest truth that Dems have refused to accept. Look even if you hate Biden and blame he for a lot of stuff, it’s not hard to see how this becames more than just a Biden problem. If dems win in 2028, this pattern will repeat itself

It’s gonna be annoying if Jones loses because the msm is def gonna be like “his messaging around transgenders worked” or some dumb shit. They always take the wrong lesson away

The polling that shows Jones down also shows Spanberger winning by 7-8. Now ask people who know Virginia politics and pay attention if Spanberger is gonna win by less than 10. I doubt many actually believe this in their heart of hearts.

The bearish case for Jones is that he’s fallen so far so fast that he’s probably not going to win. The bullish case for Jones is that Sparnbergers gonna win by 10 and that’s probably enough to carry him over.

I keep myself free from evil and the celebration of evil.

Already did it several times this morning to accounts I really like

If you post anything positive about the dodgers you will be unfollowed and possibly blocked

If jones loses the Dems should do all that is possible to strip the AG offices of its powers. GOP does this all the time and in my opinion it’s unacceptable to have a part of the executive of government opposed to the executive.

I feel like they tried hard for one week, talked a bunch of smack, then quiet quit. I guess they just regular quitting now.

In 2024 every other story was about how Dems weren’t doing well in early vote. Opposite so far in 2025. Maybe NJ was a little sketch for a bit. So far it’s been gangbusters for Dems.

And I would like to challenge this person to get a real job

Whose man is this? He appears on any poll that is slightly negative to spread doom. I haven’t blocked him cause imma troll him next week!

Again, I really hate this sort of "ask Trump about off the wall stuff bc its fun to see him be naughty" from WH press corps reporters bc them cynically treating these sorts of things as if theyre valid for him to do helps to normalize his lawless & builds a permission structure for him to go further

SCOTUS likes Trump and his policies but doesn’t care enough to keep him around. SCOTUS terrible decisions are driven more by their own thirst for power. They don’t think Dems will rein them in if 2028 goes to them.

The thing to keep in mind is that if SCOTUS lets Trump run it opens the door to Obama running. In my opinion Trump keeps saying this to troll libs and because in the back of his mind he is scared of being prosecuted once he gets out.

Weighting for VA polls seems to be on the conservative side. Which make sense since both 2021 and 2024 were good years for the GOP in VA. But that also means that polls will probably underestimate the Dems.

Can you imagine what the press would have done if Biden admitted to taking dementia tests. I’m not sure there is a historical equivalent to the discrepancy at which the media treats the Dems and GOP. It isn’t going away either. Everyone thinks it’s Biden’s fault but it’s institutional in the press

Georgia is weird. There are counties named after confederate politicians that are 90% black and vote Dem no matter what.

i think i would honestly find this whole discourse more tolerable if people simply said what they were actually saying, which is that they think the Democratic Party is too associated with femininity (and secondarily, with black people) and that they want to correct this

If Obama ran again in 2016 he would have won but probably lost FL or OH (possibly both) in the process. Def would have lost Iowa. whites anti intellectualism had already began spreading to the northern and western states while deeping in the south Media had become pretty anti dem by then too

Obama’s 2008 win was the cleanest win any Dem has had since LBJ’s 1964 win. No third party spoiler, no down to the wire next day victory. It was as clean a win as you get.

Without Ross Perot, Clinton would have still won, but by a much smaller margin. Clinton did pivot rightward after 1994’s election but it was much more calculated than just embracing “cultural conservatism” he was still pretty liberal for his time.

People misunderstand Clinton and his 1992 victory. Clinton didn’t win because he moved right on cultural issues. He ran as a normie progressive (for that time) dem. He won’t cause republicans were divided and he was a good politician.

And they both hate normie dems who actually comprise the party.

The problem the Dems have right now is that on one side you have leftists who actually don’t want Dems to win. Then on the other side you have Ezra Klein and the gang who want Dems to become culturally conservative to win 1% more vote in Klansberg county WV.

It’s crazy that Nixon won one of the greatest landslides in American history in 1972 and the press still didn’t roll over for him. Trump wins one of the weakest victories in US history (especially for a Republican) and the press won’t give any type of sustained criticism.

Mules have shown up just in time!

Donald Trump is openly conspiring to have his handpicked DOJ officials give him a $230 million "settlement" using taxpayer dollars, raising new questions about the salary Hunter Biden drew from a private company in Ukraine.

To be honest any democratic victory or overperformance should be seen as an accomplishment in the current media environment. MSM is literally just propaganda for Trump, no wonder people are checked out.

It's striking how similar the expectation-setting around inflation is in the media between Biden and Trump

This is me after watching my favorite election Twitter accounts become Nate silver during the last year

It’s not that normies don’t care it’s that we as Dems have become frustrated that nothing can be done about it besides yelling. So normies might care but a lot of normies are still gonna vote straight R next november.

To be honest I don’t believe the “undecided” category of polling. Not in the partisan age we live in. I believe it’s mostly folks just being unhappy with the choices and refusing to acknowledge their partisan lean. Saw it in 2024 a lot with people unhappy with Harris but ultimately voting for her

Yeah if Emerson is finding you at 60% then this is gonna pass

It’s not that I think VA polls are useless by now but in the last two elections the difference between winning gov percentage and winning Lt gov percent was 1% So either VA is about to see some insane ticket splitting or there is a lot of performative “don’t know”’s going about

I see people saying “this is a gift to Dems” and I think two things: 1. I wish people in this country could have seen Trump is only about himself sooner. It felt super obvious 2. I don’t know if this will make inroads with the people we need it too. People are super checked out or don’t care

It continues to be a massive indictment of our news media and the ways that they are endlessly permissive of Trump that none of this shit elicits even a mention from them

If Reid and Miyares win while Spanberger wins, it would be one of the biggest split ticket elections in…heck idk how long. It would fly in the face of the current political moment and probably be a real wet blanket for Dems. Needing to run the perfect candidate in every race isn’t gonna work

I’m not counting on the cattlemen suddenly becoming Dems. The best case scenario is they get mad and don’t vote. But lots of folks would rather suffer under GOP rule than thrive under Dem rule.