Andrew Stokes
@astokespop.bsky.social
đ¤ 5470
đĽ 1256
đ 48
Associate Professor at Boston University; Population Health, Demography, Sociology
New paper out in
@jamanetworkopen.com
In 2022, there were 905,159 more deaths in the US than we'd expect if Americans had death rates of other high-income countries. That difference has nearly tripled since 1999. COVID played a role but gap was widening well before 2020.
tinyurl.com/y4ecvfrs
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Causes of Excess Deaths in the US Compared With Other High-Income Countries
This cross-sectional study examines excess mortality in the US compared with other high-income countries from 1999 to 2022 and investigates causes of death accounting for the disparity.
https://tinyurl.com/y4ecvfrs
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Atheendar Venkataramani
2 months ago
This paper is incredible. The question, the data, the methods. Congrats to
@jacob-bor.bsky.social
and team! Can't wait to teach it in the methods class next year!
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
3 months ago
A great write-up on brand-new research I was involved in. We used a really different approach from the ones that we & many others have used previously to estimate how many Covid deaths there *really* were--almost 20% more than known. Our results broadly accord w others but add new demographic detail
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Mike Stobbe
3 months ago
The COVID-19 pandemicâs early death toll was much higher than the official U.S. count, according to a new study that spotlights dramatic disparities in the uncounted deaths.
apnews.com/article/covi...
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More than 150,000 uncounted COVID-19 deaths occurred early in the pandemic, a study finds
A new study says the early U.S. COVID-19 death toll is much higher than official counts, and that there were disparities in which deaths were missing from those tallies.
https://apnews.com/article/covid-deaths-pandemic-2116ac576c57e4f4c65ff42182d4a4ef
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eric Topol
3 months ago
19% more deaths from Covid in the US than counted thru 2021
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
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Applying machine learning to identify unrecognized COVID-19 deaths recorded as other causes of death in the United States
A machine learning approach suggests that COVID-19 deaths were undercounted unevenly across sociodemographic groups in 2020â2021.
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aef5697
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Prestonâs death was first labeled an overdose. The autopsy found no drugs. Likely an asthma attack amid LAâs wildfires. Our recent analysis suggests 440 excess deathsâfar beyond the official 31. Weâre undercounting climateâs toll.
@eugeniopaglino.bsky.social
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
add a skeleton here at some point
9 months ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jenn Dowd
9 months ago
I also recommend this great piece in the
@us.theconversation.com
by
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
@astokespop.bsky.social
& colleagues walking through some of their great work to counter this myth of "overcounting" coming out of previous news cycle.
theconversation.com/covid-19-dea...
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COVID-19 deaths in the US continue to be undercounted, research shows, despite claims of âovercountsâ
Taking into consideration the number of excess deaths caused by COVID-19 compared with pre-pandemic years is critical to getting an accurate accounting of the pandemicâs real toll.
https://theconversation.com/covid-19-deaths-in-the-us-continue-to-be-undercounted-research-shows-despite-claims-of-overcounts-198266
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jenn Dowd
9 months ago
Persistent minimizing of the COVID death toll hits me especially hard in the
#demography
feels. To be clear: âĄď¸ Over one million Americans died of COVID-19. âĄď¸ Official COVID deaths were likely undercounted, not overcounted.
jenndowd.substack.com/p/how-many-p...
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How many people died of COVID?
We likely undercounted, not overcounted COVID deaths
https://jenndowd.substack.com/p/how-many-people-died-of-covid
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
10 months ago
As a mortality researcher, I havenât generally paid a lot of attention to people my own age (elder Millennial here). Thatâs, unfortunately, changing. (With
@astokespop.bsky.social
and Jacob Bor)
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Millennials Are Dying at an Alarming Rate. We Have a Few Ideas as to Why.
America is not a good place to be an early adult.
https://slate.com/technology/2025/08/millennials-gen-z-death-rates-america-high.html
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eugenio Paglino
10 months ago
New study đ¨ out in
@jama.com
! We find that California wildfiresđĽin January may have contributed 440 excess deaths in Los Angeles County. This estimate significantly exceeds the 30 direct fatalities linked to these events
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
@pophel.bsky.social
@helsinki.fi
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Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
This study aims to estimate the number of excess deaths attributable to the Los Angeles wildfires using an interrupted time series design.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/2837351
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Richard M. Carpiano, PhD, MPH
11 months ago
Study: 30 direct fatalities from the L.A. wildfires, but 440 deaths from January 5 to February 1, 2025 attributable to the wildfires--likely reflecting "a combination of factors, including increased exposure to poor air quality and health care delays and interruptions..." đ đˇ health policy
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Excess Deaths Attributable to the Los Angeles Wildfires From January 5 to February 1, 2025
This study aims to estimate the number of excess deaths attributable to the Los Angeles wildfires using an interrupted time series design.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2837351?guestAccessKey=855f4711-bc29-4c47-b4dc-296d7930f024&utm_medium=email&utm_source=postup_jn&utm_campaign=article_alert-jama&utm_content=olf-tfl_&utm_term=080625
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
JAMA
11 months ago
An estimated 440 excess deaths were attributed to the January 2025 wildfires in Los Angeles County, underscoring indirect health effects and the need for improved mortality tracking.
ja.ma/4oFM3af
#MedSky
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Population Aging Research Center
12 months ago
NEW PAPER: "Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999â2019" in
@jruralhealth.bsky.social
w/Associates Irma Elo & Samuel Preston
@eugeniopaglino.bsky.social
K Hempstead
@astokespop.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1111/jrh....
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
add a skeleton here at some point
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The U.S. once saw steady declines in mortalityâbut progress stalled around 2010. New research: In 2023 alone, there were 525,505 more deaths than expected had pre-2010 trends continued. 91% were among adults without a BA degree. Most were due to CVD and diabetes.
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Diverging Mortality Trends by Educational Attainment in the US
This cross-sectional study examines trends in US mortality rates by sex and educational attainment before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2835106
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Maria Glymour
about 1 year ago
Thanks to The Oklahoman (
www.oklahoman.com
) for running my opinions on the new budget and impacts on Alzheimer's research (
bit.ly/4mZXrg7
) and public health progress for all of us.
#PublicHealth
#EndAlzheimers
#Epidemiology
#ScienceHomecoming
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
about 1 year ago
For 40 years, Americans have lived shorter lives than people in other rich countries. For 10 years, that's been rapidly getting worse. New research: in 2022-2023, there were 1.5 million "missing Americans," who died--but wouldn't have, if America didn't have such uniquely high death rates.
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Excess US Deaths Before, During, and After the COVID-19 Pandemic
This cohort study examines trends in excess deaths in the US before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2834281
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New study with
@jacob-bor.bsky.social
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
& colleagues estimates that US saw 705,331 excess deaths in 2023âa number in line w/ rising pre-pandemic trend. Over 1.5 million deaths couldâve been averted in 2022â23 if US mortality matched peer nations. đ§ľ (1/5)
tinyurl.com/569pr9ty
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Excess US Deaths Before, During, and After the COVID-19 Pandemic
This cohort study examines trends in excess deaths in the US before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://tinyurl.com/569pr9ty
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eric Topol
about 1 year ago
Excess deaths in the US vs other high-income countries. Coming down relative to prior US data but still the outlier
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Excess US Deaths Before, During, and After the COVID-19 Pandemic
This cohort study examines trends in excess deaths in the US before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama-health-forum/fullarticle/2834281?utm_campaign=articlePDF&utm_medium=articlePDFlink&utm_source=articlePDF&utm_content=jamahealthforum.2025.1118
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
about 1 year ago
The biggest project I've worked on for the last chunk of years was just published. It asks, how big are US Black-white lifespan differences? This might seem like a narrow question. I hope to convince you by the end that there are answers you didn't anticipate. And I hope some of them will move you.
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Three Ways of Looking at BlackâWhite Mortality Differences in the United States | Annual Reviews
Everyone agrees that US Black deaths happen earlier than white deaths on average, but it is surprisingly challenging to find the best ways to summarize, quantify, and compare this gap. This review arg...
https://www.annualreviews.org/content/journals/10.1146/annurev-soc-031021-105213
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Atheendar Venkataramani
over 1 year ago
A neat paper by
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
@astokespop.bsky.social
and team looks into this post 2010 period, showing that death rates from many different conditions increased relative to previous trends. More evidence of generalized
#populationhealth
stressors.
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Mortality Trends Among Early Adults in the United States, 1999-2023
This cross-sectional study examines trends in mortality rates among adults aged 25 to 44 years across the preâCOVID-19 pandemic, pandemic, and postpandemic periods.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2829783
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Sander Wagner
over 1 year ago
Excess mortality rates of U.S. Americans age 25-44 (relative to 1999-2010 baseline) by cause of death from
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
and co-authors from new article here:
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jenn Dowd
over 1 year ago
1/ How should public health think about new GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic? Do pharmaceutical solutions undermine public health prevention efforts? In
@milbankfund.bsky.social
, Neil Mehta & I consider what new anti-obesity drugs might mean for population health. đ
www.milbank.org/quarterly/op...
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https://www.milbank.org/quarterly/opinions/anti-obesity-medications-allies-or-adversaries-in-population-health/?utm_term=Read%20more&utm_content=buffer4abbc&utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin.com&utm_campaign=buffer
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New study with
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
& colleagues finds that excess deaths among young U.S. adults have surged since 2011, accelerating during the pandemic and remaining high in 2023. Our research shows that this crisis extends far beyond drug overdoses. đ§ľ (1/6)
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Mortality Trends Among Early Adults in the United States, 1999-2023
This cross-sectional study examines trends in mortality rates among adults aged 25 to 44 years across the preâCOVID-19 pandemic, pandemic, and postpandemic periods.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2829783
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eric Topol
over 1 year ago
U.S. Mortality trends in the young, ages 25-44 years
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Drug overdoses are the leading cause of excess mortality. There were substantial numbers of Covid fatalities in this age group during the peak pandemic
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
over 1 year ago
New today: Death rates for Americans aged 25-44 have been rising since 2010. Their mortality is now 70% higher than it would be had pre-2011 mortality declines continued. w Rafeya Raquib, Katie Berry, Keeley Morris, &
@astokespop.bsky.social
1/
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jennifer Weuve
over 1 year ago
#MELODEM
is accepting applications--by 1/27/25--to participate in this year's Annual In-Person Meeting! The meeting features: Jun 23-25: presentations w extensive discussion Jun 25-27: hands-on data workshop, involving a subset of participants See deets & apply:
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
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Application for 2025 Annual MELODEM Meeting
We are delighted to announce that we are accepting applications to participate in MELODEM's Annual In-Person Meeting which will be held in St. James Hotel in Red Wing, MN from Monday, June 23rd to Fri...
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeUYqxIeL4RGUXC3jFfJ8WpdAziKo_1YW1lIEDnyZ6yoOdVvA/viewform?usp=sharing
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eugenio Paglino
over 1 year ago
The first report from our collaboration with the Society of Actuaries (SOA) is now out!
@astokespop.bsky.social
We look at cause-specific excess mortality in the US and reflect on the most likely explanations for the gap between excess and COVID-19 mortality.
www.soa.org/resources/re...
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Cause-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic
This report presents initial findings from a project investigating the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 in the post-acute phase of the pandemic.
https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2024/cause-specific-excess-mort-covid/
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
MIDAS Network
over 1 year ago
The Department of Demography at the University of California, Berkeley, invites applications for a Postdoctoral Scholar position in the research group of Prof. Ayesha Mahmud. For more info, visit:
aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF04716
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Postdoctoral Scholar Employee - Demography
University of California, Berkeley is hiring. Apply now!
https://aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF04716
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Berkeley Population Sciences
over 1 year ago
@ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social
is accepting applications for Fall 2025 for the PhD program in Demography AND the Graduate Group in Sociology & Demography. Seeking a diverse and strong cohort; applications DUE 12/17/2024. Learn more about the program:
www.demog.berkeley.edu/graduate-pro...
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Graduate Program - Department of Demography
Graduate Program UC Berkeley Demography offers three graduate degree tracks independently and in conjunction with the department of Sociology. Ph.D. in Demography The doctoral program is intended to p...
https://www.demog.berkeley.edu/graduate-program/
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Michael D. Green, PhD
over 1 year ago
IAPHS is where I gave my first oral presentation. Super welcoming community and the annual meeting always brings together prolific researchers across all career stages. If youâre doing work in Population Health Sciences, you should submit an abstract! đđ§Ş
#MedSky
#MedEd
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jenn Dowd
over 1 year ago
I am endlessy fascinated by these new GLP-1 developments-how ironic would it be if these drugs were what reshaped the food industry? (esp. from a upstream-downstream social determinants of health perspective).
#episky
#publichealth
@rmcarpiano.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eugenio Paglino
almost 2 years ago
My dissertation "The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks" is now publicly available!
repository.upenn.edu/entities/pub...
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The Demography of Shocks: Migration and Mortality under the Influence of Environmental and Epidemiological Shocks
This dissertation makes three scientific contributions to the understanding of how human populations react to environmental and epidemiological shocks. The first chapter investigates the impact of tro...
https://repository.upenn.edu/entities/publication/dbcc3113-6601-4665-8251-0e9ecc59a708
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Carl Schmertmann
almost 2 years ago
My first try at a Demography "Starter Pack". There's a limit of 50 contacts, so this is definitely partial.
go.bsky.app/FqXNjEh
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Ridhi Kashyap
almost 2 years ago
We have a new faculty opening at Oxford Sociology and Nuffield College â come join us and be my colleague! An Oxford AP is the main faculty grade and a very broad category â covering those just out of PhD to those more senior, incl. Full Professor.
www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/asso...
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Associate Professorship in Sociology
https://www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/article/associate-professorship-in-sociology
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Andrew Stokes
Kathleen Bachynski
almost 2 years ago
âSince Texasâ ban on abortion went into effect, infant deaths in the state increased by nearly 13%, according to a new analysis published on Monday in JAMA Pediatrics. In the rest of the country, infant mortality increased less than 2% over the same period.â
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Infant deaths increased after Texas banned abortion in early pregnancy
Since Texasâ ban on abortion went into effect, infant deaths in the state increased by nearly 13%, according to a new analysis published on Monday in JAMA Pediatrics.
https://www.statnews.com/2024/06/24/texas-abortion-law-jama-pediatrics-study-increased-infant-deaths/
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Karen Benjamin Guzzo
almost 2 years ago
Kudos to
@alisongemmill.bsky.social
& her team for doing important (but heartbreaking) work on the rise in infant mortality in Texas following its 2021 abortion ban. CNN coverage here:
www.cnn.com/2024/06/24/h...
Study here:
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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Our new AJPH commentary with
@eugeniopaglino.bsky.social
discusses: 1. Excess mortality estimates and their interpretation 2. How to design an excess mortality analysis 3. Excess mortality as a tool to monitor future health emergencies beyond COVID-19
ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2...
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Excess Mortality as a Tool to Monitor the Evolution of Health Emergencies: Choices, Challenges, and Future Directions
American Journal of Public Health (AJPH) from the American Public Health Association (APHA)
https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/abs/10.2105/AJPH.2024.307661
about 2 years ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Seth Trueger
over 2 years ago
overall mortality is higher vs prepandemic current disparities in mortality: similar* to prepandemic, ie way higher for Black Americans *exception: nonurban mortality is higher than prepandemic by
@wrigleyfield.bsky.social
@astokespop.bsky.social
in JAMA Netw Open
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Berkeley Population Sciences
over 2 years ago
We're now accepting applications to our 10th Annual Workshop on Formal Demography, Jun 3-7, 2024. The workshop covers classic topics incl fertility, mortality, & population dynamics. This yearâs special emphasis is on the demography of immigration.
populationsciences.berkeley.edu/population-c...
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Andrew Stokes
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field
over 2 years ago
An under-emphasized aspect of preparing for future pandemics (and other disasters): modernize the USâs disastrously patchwork death reporting system
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Did the U.S. undercount COVID-19 deaths? Our new study in PNAS finds that: 1. There were approximately 163,000 excess deaths from natural causes other than COVID-19 between Mar 2020 and Aug 2022. 2. Many were unrecognized COVID-19 deaths Thread.
www.bu.edu/sph/news/art...
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New Analysis Reveals Many Excess Deaths Attributed to Natural Causes Are Actually Uncounted COVID-19 Deaths
The new study provides the most compelling data yet to suggest that excess mortality rates from chronic illnesses and other natural causes were actually driven by COVID-19 infections.
https://www.bu.edu/sph/news/articles/2024/new-analysis-reveals-many-excess-deaths-attributed-to-natural-causes-are-actually-uncounted-covid-19-deaths/
over 2 years ago
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Maria Glymour
over 2 years ago
Here's the picture showing how the timing of spikes in excess natural cause deaths NOT due to diagnosed COVID changed in sync (or just a little earlier) than COVID death spikes. What would explain that? If the excess natural cause deaths were basically all undiagnosed COVID.
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Andrew Stokes
Maria Glymour
over 2 years ago
Amazing work from colleagues (1st author E Paglino, sr author A Stokes) counting the unrecognized COVID deaths
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
. I'm pasting the maps here b/c everyone loves maps, but the evidence that most convinced me was the timing of excess deaths vs COVID deaths (next skeet).
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Eugenio Paglino
over 2 years ago
đ¨New article out in PNAS! We find 162,886 more excess deaths from natural causes than COVID-19 deaths in the first 30 mo of the pandemic and provide evidence that many of them are unrecognised COVID-19 deaths
@astokespop.bsky.social
https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2313661121
(1/1)
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Maria Glymour
over 2 years ago
I'm trying to write down some of the core public health ideas that I think are truly amazing -ideas I wish were part of popular understanding of health. Here's my first effort:
www.linkedin.com/posts/maria-...
(forgive slightly maudlin language and AI cover art). Suggestions welcome.
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Maria Glymour on LinkedIn: Public health ideas that blew my mind: common mistakes shouldnât be dea...
#publichealth #epidemiology #graduateschool #injury #motorvehicle #rural
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/maria-glymour-0622a59_publichealth-epidemiology-graduateschool-activity-7157496462124224512-pKD-?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Jenn Dowd
over 2 years ago
New in PNAS w/
@polizzan.bsky.social
we engage w/ recent work by Abrams, Myrskylä & Mehta that highlighted slowing older age mortality driving US life expectancy stagnation since 2010. 1/3
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
#episky
#popsky
#demography
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reposted by
Andrew Stokes
Mathew Kiang
over 2 years ago
Come work with me! Looking for an associate or full professor of human and planetary health. Youâll be joint at the Med School and the new Doerr School. More info in the posting. Iâm on the search committee, so feel free to email me questions.
facultypositions.stanford.edu/en-us/job/49...
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Stanford | Faculty Positions: Details - Associate or Professor of Epidemiology and Population Health...
https://facultypositions.stanford.edu/en-us/job/494660/associate-or-professor-of-epidemiology-and-population-health-human-planetary-health
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An invaluable review paper that brings together recent developments in causal inference and life-course epidemiology.
add a skeleton here at some point
over 2 years ago
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