This might be the cleanest example yet of what @thomasnhale.bsky.social @greenprofgreen.bsky.social and I called the politics of climate-forcing asset holders vs. climate-vulnerable asset holders 🌎

#LongProblems don't have to be heavy problems. Paperback out now.

Good to see UK moving new homes off gas…in 2028. 12 years later than 2016, the target first proposed by Brown in 2006. The majority of the 1.86m homes built since 2016 will have to be retrofitted. For a #longproblem, kicking the can down the road does not save money. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

RIP Habermas. The world today needs more than ever to look to the “forceless force of the better argument” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/b...

One fossil fuel crisis costs the UK more than shifting to net zero by 2050. And how many more such crises can we expect in the next 24 years? A great example of how the proper temporal frame clarifies costs and benefits #longproblems www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Now in #paperback: Long Problems by @thomasnhale.bsky.social offers political strategies for tackling climate change and other “long problems” that span generations. Enjoy 30% off with code PUP30: press.princeton.edu/books/paperb... #PoliSci #ReadUP

Human health benefits are by far the largest benefit from most environmental regulations. By not monetizing these benefits moving forward, the Trump EPA is essentially saying there are no human health benefits to reducing air/toxic/climate pollution, improving drinking water quality, etc. 1/

The immediate effect of the US withdrawing from the UNFCCC is relatively small because the Trump Administration had already stopped US mitigation and adaptation efforts and financial support, and was not engaging diplomatically. But the medium-term effects are more damaging for the US and the world.

1. Look, there are basically just two ways to run the global oil market: petro-imperialism and petro-consumerism. Historically USA has embraced both, varying over time. The attack on #Venezuela is a return to naked petro-imperialism. Thread.

On the third day of christmas, our podcast gave to me: long-term questions shaping democracy’s future with @thomasnhale.bsky.social @blavatnikschool.bsky.social

@thomasnhale.bsky.social @naturebasedsols.bsky.social

Lol, Zillow tried to rate the climate risks facing individual properties. The real estate industry *hated* it, precisely because it worked -- it made selling risky properties more difficult. So they rebelled & Zillow caved. Don't look up!

"In a year of worsening climate impacts and geopolitical conflict, COP30 was both absolutely necessary and completely insufficient." Prof @thomasnhale.bsky.social reflects on the outcomes of #COP30. 👇

Final document for #COP30 just dropped and here are some hot takes 1/ No decisive language about FF phaseouts. This is a HUGE loss. The consolation prize is a political process toward phaseouts outside the official decisionmaking of the #ParisAgreement

🌍 Children are on the front line of the climate crisis – facing heat, hunger and disrupted education. Omnia El Omrani, MPP 2024, shares how the Children and Climate Initiative put children at the heart of the Belém Health Action Plan at #COP30.👇 https://ow.ly/Siom50XqrNB

Important to remember: scenarios are tools for asking "what if" questions, so implications of different assumptions/choices can be explored. They are not predictions. Dave unpacks some of the key (and in my view unrealistic) assumptions in the IEA's headline-grabbing new "current policies" scenario.

The dominant narrative is that the world is rolling back climate policy. But what does the data say? The latest Oxford Climate Policy Monitor Annual Review from the Oxford Climate Policy Hub tells three key stories. bsg.ox.ac.uk/news/climate...

Join us tomorrow in Sao Paulo!

Is the world retreating from climate action? We need to look at evidence to separate trends from vibes. Next week we drop a detailed look at what countries are doing. The results might surprise you. Join us in Sao Paulo: luma.com/gzbzi7s7

🌟 Volunteer Spotlight: Bright Mbuya 🌟 Bright has been a volunteer with the Net Zero Tracker since 2023, and is one of our longest-serving team members – with over 68 entities tracked so far! Thank you, Bright, for your dedication and for being such a reliable member of the NZT community.

"A world where China makes and sells everything is not a stable solution – we need every country to have a piece of this growing green economy." Prof Thomas Hale discusses global approaches to climate change in #TimesofIndia 👇 https://ow.ly/BMZi50X3th7

"Net zero is less a political battleground and more a race to secure future markets, investment and jobs." Prof Thomas Hale is quoted in the Independent as UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces calls to hold firm on green policies.👇 https://ow.ly/sGJ650X2QIe

Yesterday at #ClimateWeekNYC, @netzerotracker.bsky.social launched the Net Zero Stocktake 2025. netzeroclimate.org/net-zero-sto.... We're proud to be part of this amazing consortium w/@datadrivenlab.bsky.social, @eciu.net & @newclimate.bsky.social.

🌍 Global net zero commitments continue to grow — despite the US federal government rolling back its target. The 2025 Stocktake from @netzerotracker.bsky.social shows US corporate pledges rose 9% in the past year, now covering $12 trillion in revenue. Read more 👇

With all the noise on climate @netzerotracker.bsky.social's Stock Take is the signal. The finding that sticks in my head: 🇺🇸US corporate net zero targets grew 9% over last 12 months, 279 ➡️ 304 Yes, some are blowing with the political wind. But more are stepping up. zerotracker.net/analysis/net...

hey #polisci, if you're at #APSA2025, set the alarm, grab coffee & come hear about my new book Existential Politics w/ @profkharrison.bsky.social @thomasnhale.bsky.social ale.bsky.social @bentleyallan.bsky.social allan.bsky.social @agazmararian.bsky.social rarian.bsky.social & Michael Ross. Deets 👇

I'm delighted that Long Problems won the 2025 Don K. Price award from the American Political Science Association @apsa.bsky.social for "the best book on science, technology, and politics published in the last year" apsanet.org/membership/o... 🧵 on what it's about ⬇️ #APSA2025 x.com/thomasnhale/...

As a Rhode Islander, this one hurts

Climate-forcing asset holders (fossil fuel owners) will fight like hell to preserve the value of their business. This is an example of what @greenprofgreen.bsky.social @thomasnhale.bsky.social and I saw coming in our 2021 IO article. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/22/c...

Professor @thomasnhale.bsky.social speaks with Dr Melanie Pill on the barriers, solutions & the need for stronger institutions in tackling 'long problems.' Listen here👇 www.lowyinstitute.org/publications...

In a new Op-Ed for @technologyreview.com, I draw on research from my forthcoming book to suggest a playbook for clean energy advocates in these backwards times: www.technologyreview.com/2025/08/19/1...

💥💥JOB💥💥 Are you the new Exec Director of the Oxford Climate Policy Monitor? climatepolicymonitor.ox.ac.uk The ED will help lead this new data resource to drive implementation of climate goals. Nurture our law firm network, build the tool, ensure impact. 🗓️Sept 5 ✍️ my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

Fantastic piece by @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social at @carbonbrief.org on the future of the #UNFCCC. I also have lots of (very different!) things to say about this in my forthcoming book, Existential Politics. Mini 🧵

💥💥JOB💥💥 Are you the new Exec Director of the Oxford Climate Policy Monitor? climatepolicymonitor.ox.ac.uk The ED will help lead this new data resource to drive implementation of climate goals. Nurture our law firm network, build the tool, ensure impact. 🗓️Sept 5 ✍️ my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...

There are few sharper observers of cultural politics today than @jemima.bsky.social. This piece is a masterclass in profile-as-essay www.ft.com/content/0e24...

Very excited to share this new tool for teaching the politics of climate change. What are the different *theories of change* that underlie decarbonization efforts and policies? Help your students learn about them. Please share widely. 🌎🔌💡🛢️

Did you catch our episode with Professor Tom Hale (@thomasnhale.bsky.social )yet? He breaks down why democracies chase short-term wins & how to pivot to long-term climate solutions. Tune in to your fave podcast! #climatechange #democracy linktr.ee@democracydifferently

Motherfucking wind farms…

Professor @thomasnhale.bsky.social speaks to @democracydiff.bsky.social on short-termism, long Problems and climate change. 🌎👇

Wow. A group of top scholars at Harvard just sent a letter to its president, Alan Garber, warning against surrendering to Trump. Signatories include Steven Levitsky, Dani Rodrik, Ryan Enos, Theda Skocpol, and Steven Walt. Someone forwarded it to me. Read it here:

Episode 3 is now live! Keith talks with Tom Hale (@thomasnhale.bsky.social), Professor of Public Policy at @ox.ac.uk and the co-lead of the #ClimatePolicyHub and @netzerotracker.bsky.social. They dive into climate change, Tom’s new book, and more. Tune in wherever you get your podcasts! 🌏

#UN80 will fail to deliver results unless it makes the UN fit for a world of #LongProblems, write @adamdaygeneva.bsky.social and Daouia Chalali genevasolutions.news/global-news/...

🌍 | Thomas Hale, Professor in Public Policy @blavatnikschool.bsky.social‬, leads initiatives to monitor global climate targets and net zero commitments. Learn more about his career ⬇️ www.ox.ac.uk/climate-and-... #NetZeroWeek | #OxfordClimate

Musk said USAID was wasteful. A new review published int he Lancet estimated it saved more than 90 million lives over 20 years, and that shutting it will cause 14 million unnecessary deaths over the next five years. Open access link to my paper on USAID onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

China's astounding ability to build and deploy renewables, batteries, and EVs is perhaps the brightest spark in the global fight against climate change. But @yixiansun.bsky.social and I ask what would it really take for China to lead www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/02/07/2...

The new bill in Congress puts a new tax on wind and solar. They’re taxing clean energy to give your money to billionaires.

Important article from @joerirogelj.bsky.social and Lavanya Rajamani. As the world warms toward and past 1.5C, the target retains important legal and ethical (and, I would add, political) valence www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

How can democracies think long-term? The Heywood Fellowship team says the UK is being outpaced – and is building a plan for action: 🧬 Diagnosis 🎯 Objectives 🧭 Big bets 🔀 Trade-offs Learn more about their call for a long-term national strategy + Spain’s example ➡️

NEW: UK climate advisers now "more optimistic" net-zero goals can be met 🎯Net-zero "possible" + "good for economy" 📉CO2 halved vs 1990 📈More "credible" policies 🚘🏡EV/heat pumps soaring But… ⚡"Critical" to cut power prices ✈️Flight CO2 "risk" www.carbonbrief.org/... 1/9

Interesting insight from Khalid Waleed at SGAIN conference at Univerisity of Bath: huge growth of household solar in Pakistan (made possible by cheap panels from China) is reducing demand for grid power and turning Chinese-backed coal plants in Pakistan into stranded assets sgain.org