NEW – Analysis: Constituency of Reform’s climate-sceptic Richard Tice gets £55m flood funding | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/a5WoNj9

I spent several months trying to get access to FOI documents of Mayor Andrea Jenkyns' correspondence with fracking companies in Lincolnshire. Read about what I found in my latest piece for The Guardian! www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Half of our agricultural land is used for beef that provides 3% of our calories. Nobody likes it when I bang my spoon on my high chair about this but eventually we need to grapple with it.

Two things to learn from this. 1. The rightwing newspapers are lobby groups whose purpose is to advance the class interest of their proprietors. 2. Lobbyists for the rich and powerful lose their jobs if they are not prepared to lie. www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-uk-...

NEW – Q&A: What does Trump’s repeal of US ‘endangerment finding’ mean for climate action? | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org @ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org @daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @giulianaviglione.bsky.social @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org Read here: buff.ly/11Rtah7

NEW – Analysis: Trump has overseen more coal retirements than any other US president ✍️ by @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org Read here ➡️ buff.ly/NeAAwNW

BREAKING: UK govt auction secures 4.9GW new solar at £65/MWh and 1.3GW new onshore wind at £72/MWh, 13% and 21% below the price cap respectively. All due online by 2029.

ICYMI -despite promising just over a year ago to triple climate finance from developed world to poor and vulnerable countries, UK govt is now planning to slash climate finance by more than a fifth www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Wrote myself a pep talk to get back to work tomorrow. It helped me. Hope it helps you.

The Ed Miliband hate-fest in the UK press continued last year. Predominantly right-wing newspapers published an incredible 112 editorials attacking the energy secretary. That's two editorials a week, and more than twice as many as 2024, calling him a "crazed" "zealot" suffering with “eco insanity”

NEW – Analysis: UK newspaper editorial opposition to climate action overtakes support for first time | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @sylviahayes.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/eAPkvkx

Truly wild that the Sun, Daily Mail, Daily Express & Daily Telegraph all covered false claims that net-zero will "cost" £7.6bn – or even £9tn – which assumes we could have free gas, free petrol, free petrol cars & free gas power plants if we scrapped net-zero More here: bsky.app/profile/drsi...

NEW – Q&A: What Trump’s US exit from UNFCCC and IPCC could mean for climate action | @daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org @orladwyer.carbonbrief.org @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org Read here: buff.ly/Mkjsh61

Met Harjeet just a few days ago at a climate justice assembly in Bangladesh where, as always, he was speaking about concerns of the Global South. The Indian government is now hounding him for associations with the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty like as though it is a crime

Trump: "We're going to have our very large United States oil companies go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure and start making money for the country. And we are ready to stage a second and much larger attack if we need to do so."

NEW – Analysis: UK renewables enjoy record year in 2025 – but gas power still rises ✍️ by @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org and Ho Woo Nam Read here ➡️ buff.ly/YTa31NF

NEW – IEA: Declining coal demand in China set to outweigh Trump’s pro-coal policies | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/OoaWOf4

NEW – Analysis: Why COP30’s ‘tripling adaptation finance’ target is less ambitious than it seems | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/S4IJt8m

SCOOP: Carbon Brief has exclusively obtained a list of 84 countries "opposed" to adding a fossil-fuel roadmap to COP30 deal – but our analysis found a series of contradictions & likely errors For eg 14 on list are also roadmap "supporters" Read more➡️ www.carbonbrief.org/...

NEW – UK budget 2025: Key climate and energy announcements | @daisydunne.carbonbrief.org @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org Read here: buff.ly/unfZgrv

NEW – COP30: Key outcomes agreed at the UN climate talks in Belém Read here ➡️ buff.ly/3isyGpX #COP30

🚨 JUST PUBLISHED: CARBON BRIEF’S #COP30 SUMMARY 🚨 It's an EPIC 20,000 words of top-notch, plain-english reporting… –Global mutirão –Adaptation finance –Fossil-fuel roadmap –China +Much more Very proud of team CB for getting this out so fast www.carbonbrief.org/...

This is the line that finally got the 3rd review of the Warsaw International Mechanism for loss & damage (WIM) over the line yesterday. Kenya wanted a reference to the high cost of the Santiago Network secretariat’s location in Geneva. This extra text seems to have been enough to get their approval

HOLY SEE gets booed for its statement on gender and climate. "...any reference to gender-related terms in any document that has been or that will be adopted by the COP or its subsidiary bodies is to be understood as grounded on the biological sexual identity that is male and female."

Shots fired #COP30 plenary PANAMA: "Mr. President, Panama is extremely disappointed. We were promised a transparent process. That is not what we're seeing. I raise my flag and you ignore it. I raise a point of order, and you ignore it. I sustain it, and it can be ignored."

🆕 UNILATERAL TRADE MEASURES #COP30 After fighting for inclusion on COP agendas in Dubai, Baku and Belém, climate-related trade measures are on the verge of having their big moment on the cover of COP30 climate talks.

++CLIMATE FINANCE! IN THE MUTIRÃO++ Article 9.1 – referring to finance provided by developed countries Key issue for LMDCs, Arab Group, who initially called for a 3-year work programme. Text has a 2-year programme on all climate finance from developed countries, including e.g. private finance.

With all eyes on the big COP30 agenda items, WIM review talks have stalled. Negotiators and civil society observers say it has come down to Kenya blocking the decision. This goes back to Kenya wanting to host the Santiago Network secretariat in Nairobi. It says current host Geneva is too expensive

Colombian minister Irene Vélez Torres explains her views on fossil fuels being excluded from the COP30 text. "The problem is, right now, the method [is] only of consensus”, with “the most ambitious agenda” ending up “eliminated”. She added: “We still believe that a change in the text is possible."

This text would launch a "Belem Mission to 1.5C" that would essentially replicate the Baku to Belem Roadmap to 1.3T but for mitigation and adaptation, not finance. Since the experience of the BBR went so well...?!

After the new COP30 text leaves out reference to a "fossil-fuel roadmap", a group of nations led by Colombia 🇨🇴 has launched a new push against fossil fuels. The list of 24 nations supporting the “Belem Declaration for transitioning away from fossil fuels” includes: 🇦🇺🇦🇹🇧🇪🇰🇭🇨🇱🇨🇴🇨🇷🇩🇰🇫🇯🇫🇮🇮🇪🇯🇲🇰🇪🇱🇺🇲🇭🇲🇽🇫🇲🇳🇵🇳🇱🇵🇦🇪🇸🇸🇮🇻🇺🇹🇻

+KEY FINANCE ISSUES IN THE NEW COP30 TEXTS+ There's a 2-year work programme on ALL climate finance, including Article 9.1 finance provided by developed countries. Some developing countries (LMDCs etc) had called for a 3-year work programme on JUST Article 9.1.

Big fire in the Blue zone at COP30, people ran away shouting ‘fire’ and the building was evacuated, Hearing reports that it is now contained, (All CB staff were safely evacuated)

The list of countries backing some sort of “fossil-fuel roadmap” at COP30 includes large oil-and-gas producers such as Norway, Mexico and Brazil. However, the 80+ countries reportedly supporting it so far only produce 7% of the world’s fossil-fuel energy.

After about 75 hours spent on a review of the Warsaw International Mechanism for loss & damage – a process that spilled over from previous talks – negotiators are making slow progress at COP30. A draft text has now been published, but the whole thing is bracketed – a sign of continuing disagreement

COP30 ADAPTATION FINANCE: It's worth recalling the previous goal, adopted at COP26 Specifically, this "urge[d]" developed countries to "at least" double adaptation finance from 2019-2025 This is same wording as Opt 3 in latest COP30 draft, altho that also adds an annual dialogue on progress

Another loss & damage agenda item has seemingly been signed off at COP30 – the report on the Loss and Damage Fund. Around $800m has been pledged to the fund but only $583 provided. Last week $250m was allocated for the fund's start-up phase – dubbed the Barbados Implementation Modalities...

Another climate finance negotiating track at COP30 concerns "biennial communications", in which developed countries provide info about planned financial contributions to developing countries. A central debate here – captured in a new negotiating text - is what kind of info should be provided.

Latest text on Article 2.1c – making finance flows consistent with climate goals – has doubled in length. Potential "options" have also expanded: Option 1 - "no further work" Option 2 - "further work", maybe including: 💰 "voluntarily communicating" 2.1c progress 💰 More dialogue 💰 New "platform"

Beyond the big COP30 issue of Article 9.1 climate finance for developing countries, the new draft cover text contains potential ways forward for the "Baku to Belem roadmap" to $1.3tn. It is covered by one of the "workstreams" being proposed as ways to advance "roadmaps" on various finance issues.

More on finance in para 57, re Article 9.1…NB no text option Opt1 legally-binding action plan on 9.1 Opt2 work prog + 4 roadmaps Opt3 roundtable + work prog on NCQG Opt4 new "de-risking facility" Opt5 no text

On finance, para 51 refers to Article 9.1 & "calls for" accelerated implementation, which is fairly woolly 52/53 "emphasise urgent need" but not directed at particular countries Para 56 options are Opt1 binding goal to triple adaptation finance Opt2 acknowledge needs Opt3 "urge" tripling

Brazil circulates letter to clarify after confusing presser (ty @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @taisgadealara.bsky.social). Belém package = “political package” with mid-week plenary + package of negotiated tracks on/by Friday* Unlike prez, letter doesn't name issues going into the political package.

COP president André Corrêa do Lago floats the possibility of "two packages" at #COP30: - one for finance, trade measures, transparency and 1.5C in consultations: "four themes that are very important to COP" - package for the "main COP themes", including adaptation, fair or just transition.

UK's 🇬🇧 Ed Miliband and India's 🇮🇳 Bhupender Yadav speaking together at COP30. Miliband advocates for multilateralism: “Lots of people complain about the COP process, including those at the COP… [but] it has succeeded…Of course 2.3-2.5C [projected] global warming is very bad, but it is progress.”

First draft negotiating texts for the “dialogue” on Article 2.1c have dropped at COP30. This concerns making all “financial flows” consistent with global climate goals. There are two "options", reflecting a key divergence in the negotiations so far: Whether or not to continue discussing 2.1c.

Dig into the lists of options and you can see the divergences On climate finance, for example, Opt1 talks of a three-year “work programme and action plan” on Article 9.1, while Opt3 suggests simply “reaffirming NCQG”, the finance goal agreed in Baku 3/6

OUT NOW: a super timely LMSU summarizes what’s happened at the halfway mark of COP30 in Belém, Brazil! It’s all happening here, and in our wild farrago of K-Pop, cranberry juice and Inception references you can decode the whole event. Episode here: www.letmesumup.net/k-cop-ndc-hu...

Today there was a "high level" event featuring COP29 & COP30 presidents and other senior figures talking about the next steps for the "Baku to Belem roadmap" to $1.3tn It also saw the major climate finance donors – EU🇪🇺 Japan🇯🇵 UK🇬🇧 – as well as China 🇨🇳 Kenya 🇰🇪 and Colombia 🇨🇴 offer their thoughts.