Our latest Mile End Institute/Savanta London Poll is out! Labour - 31% Reform - 19% Greens - 18% Cons - 17% LD - 13% @standard.co.uk.web.brid.gy @mileendinstitute.bsky.social @savanta.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/news/politic...

🎙️ NEW: Is being Prime Minister now an impossible job? 🤯 We are joined by historian @robertsaunders.bsky.social from the @mileendinstitute.bsky.social to unpack why recent PMs burn out so fast: Brexit, COVID, new media pressure, and a broken leadership pipeline. 🎧 Listen: buff.ly/bhvHQf6

The House magazine: we'd like you to write about recently-published academic work... Me: www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

I rhyme to see myself / to set the darkness echoing.

My second most niche UK parliament opinion is that the official Elizabeth Tower rubber duck is too top heavy. Technically this is my three-year-old's opinion but I definitely agree. My most niche opinion relates to the fact that its official name is "Big Ben Duck". Not in our house, obviously.

I don't know what you're all complaining about, my Spotify age is 21...

“A pact or merger also helps Reform overcome one of the biggest doubts that people have about voting for it –namely its sheer inexperience. Nigel Farage as prime minister and Robert Jenrick as chancellor? Be afraid – be very afraid.”

Join and help to lead the Constitution Unit! @uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities. Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD. Apply 👇

Please join us this Thursday for the book launch of: 'Populist Radical Right Parties in Action: The Survival of the Mass Party' (Oxford University Press). 📕 🚀 Date: Thursday 20th November 2025, 17.00-18.30hrs (followed by reception) Location: Queen Mary University, Graduate Centre, Room GC201. /1

As Patrick Diamond and I wrote a few days ago for @renewaljournal.bsky.social..... renewal.org.uk/blog/if-labo...

Breaking the tax pledge is the right call...and politically sulphurous. Reeves must argue, far more forcefully, that taxes are *the* essential downpayment we all pay for a fairer society. Patrick Diamond and I wrote for @renewaljournal.bsky.social. Key points in 🧵 👇 renewal.org.uk/blog/if-labo...

Andrej Zaslove and I wrote down our thoughts on the recent Dutch election results, noting the continuing relevance of the far right and the hollowing of the (liberal) centre. 👇 @qmul-sse-cgd.bsky.social @qmulsse.bsky.social

Last week, inspired by @ldfreedman.bsky.social's "Hennessy Lecture", we explored the foreign and domestic policy implications of Britain's support for Ukraine. Feat. @drjamesstrong.bsky.social, @elkeschwarz.bsky.social, Patrick Porter and @evieaspinall.bsky.social⬇️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUvQ...

One observation re. the Dutch election is the enduring strength of the far right (I am not fully subscribing to the 'shift back to the centre' narrative). I should be on ABC Australia News channel at around 11 CET to talk about this and to show my plants (again). www.youtube.com/live/vOTiJkg...

At lunchtime today, we'll be exploring the policy implications of supporting Ukraine until the end, inspired by @ldfreedman.bsky.social's "Hennessy Lecture". You can book your place to hear @evieaspinall.bsky.social, @patporter76.bsky.social, @elkeschwarz.bsky.social and @drjamesstrong.bsky.social🔽

"‘Whatever It Takes?’ The Policy Implications of Supporting Ukraine". What does supporting Ukraine mean in practice? What are the implications for national security, tax policy, EU relations, energy security & more? 28 Oct 12:00 at @mileendinstitute.bsky.social. us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

I wrote a pre-election briefing / commentary ahead of the Dutch parliamentary election next week (October 29th). The main focus is on the enduring relevance of the far right, the salience of the immigration issue, and how mainstream parties contribute to its politicisation.

My write-up for The Conversation on how a strategy of "short-term pain for long-term gain" could be losing the government support from the more short-term-focused of its voters: theconversation.com/keir-starmer... Trailed in the FT this morning (www.ft.com/content/e984...)

Great to speak to @greenmirandahere.bsky.social for today's FT Inside Politics about the latest finding from our politics of (im)patience project, w/ @karlpike.bsky.social and @philipjcowley.bsky.social. www.ft.com/content/e984...

Latest from our politics of impatience project - some excellent analysis by @mbarnfield.bsky.social showing Labour is losing the jam today voters. Labour sheds support from impatient Britons: on.ft.com/48EaX4h

Latest article in @thehousemag.bsky.social - on opposition. What % of government bills do you think are opposed in full by the opposition? That is, what % see the opposition vote against at second and/or third reading? www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

🚨 Job Opportunity! 🚨 Applications are now open for a new 2.5-year postdoc at @edinburghpir.bsky.social to examine how parliaments gather, analyse and use different types of knowledge - see the full job listing here: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

With Andrej Zaslove, I wrote a piece on the recent extreme-right riots in the Netherlands, and what should be learned from them 👇

My contribution to this issue calls for Labour to counter the growing illiberalism in British politics.

Very happy to be back on the Parliament Matters podcast, discussing the latest developments on the assisted dying bill with @ruthfox.bsky.social & @matthewengland.bsky.social. Thank you for having me! Listen to the episode here: pod.link/1714627828/e...

The assisted dying bill begins its substantive Lords scrutiny this Friday. Re-posting my piece on what we should expect now that the Lords has the bill. theconversation.com/assisted-dyi... #assisteddyingbill

After a fantastic few years, I'll soon be leaving @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social and the @mileendinstitute.bsky.social. I've been surrounded by inspiring and generous colleagues, had lots of time and freedom to pursue my own research agenda, and had the pleasure of running the Polling London project.

The London Mayoralty is 25 this year. As a birthday present, the Mile End Institute asked Londoners whether they feel politically empowered. In short, no. But why? For @theconversation.com, @elizabethsim0n.bsky.social and I dig into the clashing explanations. theconversation.com/its-25-years...

This moment never ceases to excite. Out in shops on 9 Sept...

I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Latest article for the @thehousemag.bsky.social - in which I think I discover most common politicians name, worldwide, is David Smith. Only then to discover it might actually be Maria... www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

Great diagnosis for On London of the Tories' problems in the capital by the one and only @timbale.bsky.social - www.onlondon.co.uk/tim-bale-the... #london #conservatives

From the CPGB to Left Unity: Sultana and (now) Corbyn's venture is not the first time a new party has challenged Labour from the left. I wrote for @theconversation.com about the dilemmas these predecessors faced, which confront the new party today. theconversation.com/what-would-i...

Far-right parties are doing well – so it’s important that we see them for what they are. Yet, in the UK, the label ‘hard right’ is catching on. Why is debateable. But, argues, @timbale.bsky.social, this misdescription sanitises far-right parties, and we should push back against it bit.ly/4eLRBeC

📝 New BJPIR article out now! 'Prudence from the left: Economic restraint and UK social democracy since 1945' by Colm Murphy (@colmpm.bsky.social‬) & Patrick Diamond ⬇️ Find the article in #OpenAccess here: buff.ly/QV4liQE @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social

New @mileendinstitute.bsky.social and @savanta.bsky.social polling out today shows that a quarter of Londoners who voted Labour in the 2024 GE would not do so again if there was a GE tomorrow - with Labour losing voters to parties on the right and left in roughly equal measure in the capital

After last week's vote in the Commons, could the assisted dying bill be blocked in the Lords? New piece by me for @uk.theconversation.com. 'Assisted dying: what happens now the House of Lords has the bill?' theconversation.com/assisted-dyi... #AssistedDyingBill

I was on Times Radio this morning, bright and early, with @calumam.bsky.social, talking about assisted dying, welfare, and tensions within the governing Labour Party. From about 1'26". www.thetimes.com/radio/show/2...

New piece by @zoecrowther.bsky.social in @politicshome.bsky.social covering some of our ongoing research (w/ @karlpike.bsky.social @philipjcowley.bsky.social) into voters' time horizons and its implications for the current UK government's "politics of patience": www.politicshome.com/news/article...

Very pleased to see my co-authored piece with Patrick Diamond for @bjpir.bsky.social published! We use the case of the UK since 1945 to show that fiscal orthodoxy, macroeconomic prudence, and even 'austerity' can, in certain conditions, be pursued by the left as well as right. But... (1/2)

What better way to celebrate Big Dog Boris Johnson's birthday today than by signing up to hear @nigelfletcher.bsky.social and the @newstatesman.com's @rmcunliffe.bsky.social and me discuss the death (sorry, future) of the Tory Party this coming Monday? www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/does-the-c...

Our book is out and available to read open access online: academic.oup.com/book/60532. It is dedicated to Niko.

Great write up of their fascinating research on the different time horizons of politicians and voters by @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social's finest, @philipjcowley.bsky.social , @mbarnfield.bsky.social and @karlpike.bsky.social

The fact that you won't read this proves one of my points - namely that nobody really cares what Sir Mel says - and not just because he's deflecting blame onto Truss. Only a Tory leader saying sorry could cut through - and Badenoch just doesn't get what her party should be apologising for anyway.

A few words from me about Dutch government collapse on Australian radio (after the vox pops).

I'm thrilled to have been published in Past & Present. Diving into the fractious politics of rich-country macroeconomics after 1973, I use the neglected case of protectionist Keynesians to rethink what happened, and why. I highlight statecraft, geopolitics, and Maier's 'territoriality'. (1/2)

Nice shout-out from @rentouljohn.bsky.social for research on voters' time horizons from @mbarnfield.bsky.social, @karlpike.bsky.social and @philipjcowley.bsky.social of @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social

Latest piece for @thehousemag.bsky.social - on three studies about the impact of changing representation... www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

Today I will mostly be celebrating the long and noble tradition of me publishing books on both of Britain's (formerly?) major parties just before things turn to sh*t for them.

New piece by me on the prospects for Westminster's assisted dying bill - which returns to the House of Commons chamber this Friday. theconversation.com/could-the-as... @uk.theconversation.com