Colette being adorable on Halloween! She's offering two kinds of treats this year, what do you pick~?❤️ (Slightly spicier but technically sfw alt on my Patreon >u>)

Multi-panel view of the last few days of Hurricane Melissa: ↖️ GOES-19 infrared brightness temp ↗️ GOES-19 visible satellite ↙️ Hurricane hunter planes & flight paths ↘️ Recon-derived flight level wind swath ⬇️ Estimated minimum pressure from recon dropsondes

Tomer always makes the best visualizations, but this is up there with the best... an incredible overview of #Melissa's remarkable evolution over the past 5 days.

Given higher than usual confidence of rapid intensification (RI) from analyses of an exceptionally favorable environment & with the aid of newer hurricane models (HAFS) & Google DeepMind, NHC was able to skillfully predict Melissa's RI days in advance.

Annotating a long 3+ day loop of #Hurricane #Melissa from Kingston, #Jamaica radar. 2️⃣ periods appear where an eyewall replacement cycle, #ERC, looked underway. In both cases, inner eyewall stayed intact & outer bands merged, resulting in a larger eye & strengthening after. A remarkable evolution 🌀

Hurricane Melissa’s historic journey to becoming one of the most intense tropical cyclones ever recorded on Earth. A storm we won't forget anytime soon.

Wow. This is easily the most ridiculous dropsonde I’ve ever seen. 188 knot mean winds in the low-levels with gusts over 250 mph Absolutely scary and historic hurricane headed into SW Jamaica this morning

animal crossing was better when the villagers were genuinely rude

SAMI ventures out of her cave one last time before winter... 🍑💦💞 More: www.patreon.com/c/whisperfoot

Colette~ Character by @alfa995.bsky.social 💛

The 2pm ET public update advisory for Hurricane Melissa has the central pressure down to 906 mb with peak winds of 175 mph. This makes Melissa the 10th strongest hurricane in record in the Atlantic Basin.

Just a follow up to say this did end up verifying: AT 5pm Oct 25th, #Melissa was at 16.6N 75.5W. By 11pm Oct 26th, #Melissa was at 16.3N 77.7W. Just enough S of due W motion to delay serious rainfall hazards in #Jamaica temporary, though onset of catastrophic rainfall impacts likely today.

I am at a loss for words as I watch Hurricane Melissa continue intensifying today. I'm thinking of the many folks in its path who will face compound flooding and wind hazards over an extended period of time. (Animation shows 1-minute GOES mesoscale imagery since sunrise on October 27.)

From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

Happy birthday!! @gammainks.bsky.social 🎂🥳 Drew your adorable Vulpix girl Alice~ Hope you like her!!❤️

NOAA tail Doppler radar data also shows an eye forming and the vortex tilt, which was still large last night, has decreased substantially. More signs that indicate Melissa is poised to make a sprint in its intensity.

Hurricane Hunter data show Melissa is near hurricane status and has developed a more sharply peaked wind maximum near the center, especially SW, which was previously the weaker side. With this sharpening and deep convection wrapping upshear, intensification should be much more rapid going forward.

Looks like Melissa is ready to hit the loud pedal. Satellite presentation has improved markedly since yesterday. Hurricane Hunters reporting measurements supporting (near) hurricane strength and an (almost) closed eyewall. Mw images from this morning already showed that nascent core.

The sun has risen over #Melissa which is likely a #hurricane at this point, thanks to recon. The storm has a decently sized eyewall, which will allow for it to RAPIDLY INTENSIFY when shear lowers. Rainfall totals of OVER 30 INCHES are now being forecasted for #Jamaica!

I created this animation of surface wind & pressure from 10-second output from the WRF model using one of our many simulations of the storm. Notice how dramatically the wind speed decreases over land due to friction. Also pay attention to lower wind speeds over the #Miami metro area. #Wilma20 [4/6]

Jill knows how to motivate.. people, to do chores. ;p Which version do you like more, nude apron or fully nude~? Posted previously on www.patreon.com/alfa995 ❤️

Doe & Queen! For @alfa995.bsky.social ! :3 🐱🦌🍑💖💫 #OC #art #artwork #cat #catgirl #deer #deergirl #furryart #furrygirl #naked #MILF #NSFW #furry #Alfa995 #Doe #Queen

I think it's harder when Doe is around~! >> Alt on https://www.patreon.com/alfa995 !

Hadn't payed much attention to Jerry as an Invest. When I checked it out today I immediately noticed the good outflow pattern aloft on satellite imagery. Cirrus streaning off in all direcitons. Undoubtedly very helfpul as the system struggles with brisk low-level easterlies.

Thanks to a recent ASCAT pass, we now have Tropical Storm #Jerry in the North Atlantic with winds of around 40kts. The system is expected to peak as a Category 1-2 #hurricane near the Leeward Islands. If you live there, this system is definitely worth watching! #wx

dog maid

Like and retweet if you LOVE 9/11

And with the 15z advisories -- #Hurricane #Imdelda & #Humberto are just 479 miles apart. This might be the closest two simultaneous hurricanes have ever been in the Atlantic basin in the satellite era (since ~1975). Close enough for their outer sfc circulations to interact as well.

My Silksong video series is complete, thank you everyone for the support on this. We've now condensed the entire game and 100 percent completion into four videos youtu.be/-BNbrbZTyqA

I'm 30 Years old today, and I'm having the best birthday

Mint likes to show nice things to her friends~ ;3 Posted previously on https://www.patreon.com/alfa995 !

I made a magician bunny girl~! She goes by the stage name Penny Tera, cuz the road to a trillion starts with a single penny! ;p After her first show in Vegas she was tempted by the casinos and, well... now she's addicted. She's quite good though, her favorite trick is making your money disappear!

@bensharpie64.bsky.social I want to get inside of you and pilot you like a mech suit

Watch Gabrielle evolve from a lopsided tropical storm to a major hurricane in less than 48 hours. Circle extends about 600 km from the storm center. Intensity values are interpolated to hourly resolution to match the infrared images, rounded to 5-kt increments in line with NHC precision.

Supertyphoon Ragasa now fixed at a mind-blowing 922 hPa/140kts and displaying structure indicative of this extreme strength. IR is making me think of that famous "skull" image from Matthew

Night falls on #Philippines as Cat-5 Super #Typhoon #RAGASA heads for Luzon Strait—a place that's seen many such beasts. After it clears the Strait, a weaker RAGASA will threaten big population centers in China. Me: hanging in Manila. I've made no decision where I'm going to hunt. There's time.

Science is always fun with Doe! ;p Lewder alts on https://www.patreon.com/alfa995 ! ❤️

pretty wild that NOW republicans are calling for de-escalation of political tensions, thats been the trump era rights entire thing! the way they call for violence and eradication of trans people, palestinians, is gross. they’ve been the most complicit

Hornet posting

Category 4 Major Hurricane #Kiko puts on a show in the central Pacific Ocean 🌀 By midweek Kiko will near Hawaii, but it is expected to weaken before arrival, with rain, wind, and dangerous surf still possible.

Tubes of cirrus clouds stuck in the eye of #hurricane #kiko spin as the eye clears beneath. Source: CSPP GeoSphere

A Pokemon specifically designed for this purpose. She knows she's the best. ;p Alt version on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/alfa995

I drew fanon and canon hornet

Here's a wind swath for Hurricane #Katrina generated from a parametric model I coded up. Wind speed reduction over land is a generous 30% (the reduction is usually more, but south Florida and south Louisiana offer exceptions). @miamirosenstiel.bsky.social

Decided to crank out a wind swath from my parametric model for Hurricane #Erin... interesting! Storm parameters like the track, intensity, radius of maximum wind, and size/shape of tropical storm force winds all come from the observed preliminary "best-track" data.

Since I recently shared these wind swaths for Katrina and Erin, I figured I'd bring these back up from last October: Helene and Milton.

Looks like #Hurricane #Erin might be attempting to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle. An earlier microwave pass showed a strong banding structure, and a recent recon pass showed a double wind maxima (marked on the images). Satellite also shows a moat developing between the eyewall and outer bands

As expected #Erin has become a very large #hurricane. However, it has lost the very tight inner core it possessed over the weekend. A quick peak at a recent F18 SSMIS microwave image shows large outer rain bands are just as dominant as the core. 700mb FL wind max is also in the outer bands.

After battling with shear, #Hurricane #Erin has began steadily intensifying, once again clearing an eye and looking absolutely stunning in all types of satellite imagery. Image source: Dapiya.top