On the 22nd day of our #PLOSClimateCountdown, we're featuring an Essay by @dralaaclimate.bsky.social: "The role of Artificial Intelligence in climate change scientific assessments" 🔗 journals.plos.org/climate/arti...

#NCAR is a leading institution in climate science. Climate science is not woke. It is the science that explains the evidence we have over the last few decades of an earth system that is stressed by anthropogenic interference.

[2/3] One in Futures on "Constructing futures through climate modelling", that I'm co-editing with @dralaaclimate.bsky.social, @natasja.bsky.social, @a-nikas.bsky.social and Chris Groves Submission deadline for *papers* : March 31 www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...

Climate change, biodiversity loss, land degradation, and pollution are together claiming millions of lives and costing trillions of dollars every year, according to the most comprehensive assessment of the global environment ever undertaken 🧵

Here we go, @ipcc.bsky.social first lead author meeting (and for the first time ever covering all three working groups) A mixed feeling of excitement and responsibility

#COP30: Imperial researchers react to ‘deeply disappointing’ climate talks In the aftermath of the agreement, Imperial experts Dr Nathan Johnson, Dr Robin Lamboll, Prof Joeri Rogelj, Dr Alaa Al Khourdajie, Dr Emily Theokritoff and Dr Caterina Brandmayr have weighed in 🧵 ow.ly/9CSZ50XwZzs

A lot of people are going to lose money on this. Solar radiation modification only makes sense if followed by large-scale carbon dioxide removal, and we ain't got that.

Spent Saturday night reviewing the final #COP30 Belém draft text. A friend joked it counts as “light reading.” Unfortunately, it is very much a light read. 1/

Spent Saturday night reviewing the final #COP30 Belém draft text. A friend joked it counts as “light reading.” Unfortunately, it is very much a light read. 1/

As the final text is being hammered out here in Belém for #COP30, the issue of fossil fuel phase-out is on the table again. Looking at the actual numbers from the IPCC AR6 1.5°C assessed scenarios to decompose reduced fossil fuel output vs. carbon capture and storage - CCS (i.e. abatement) 1/3

As the final text is being hammered out here in Belém for #COP30, the issue of fossil fuel phase-out is on the table again. Looking at the actual numbers from the IPCC AR6 1.5°C assessed scenarios to decompose reduced fossil fuel output vs. carbon capture and storage - CCS (i.e. abatement) 1/3

Overshoot: returning to 1.5°C requires net-negative emissions targets. @swp-berlin.org policy brief with Oliver Geden. Keeping 1.5 alive will require reframing “net-zero” as transitional stage towards net-negative GHG emissions rather than an endpoint, and policy instruments able to deliver this.

To be Paris Agreement compatible, the label 'abated fossil fuels' needs to apply to Carbon Capture and Storage applications with net-zero greenhouse gas emissions on a lifecycle basis. This requires four things...🧵 ow.ly/j0lz50XsO8a #COP30

Join our #COP30 event “CCUS Myth-Busting Live: Ask the Experts” Date and time Monday 17 November, 10:00–11:30 am local time (1:00-2:30pm UK time) Location: UK Pavilion, Blue Zone (A23) YouTube live stream: www.youtube.com/live/SjaW3Ob...

Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

📈COP delivers stock market boost for ‘green’ companies but renewables unaffected, Imperial College London study shows 🧵 Read it here: ow.ly/o6xY50XnEuH

The FRIDA overview paper: gmd.copernicus.org/articles/18/... A coupled human-Earth IAM, with integrated climate impacts.

Really important paper led by my @iiasa.ac.at colleague Alex Nauels www.nature.com/articles/s41... “The difference between decisive climate action today and continued high emissions is not just measured in degrees of warming but also in meters of sea-level rise” 👏👏👏

Every ton of CO2 matters : @climatenerilie.bsky.social quantifies the climatic impacts of one large fossil fuel project and its implications for further human heat exposure or coral reef loss, and how committed emissions challenge climate pledges www.nature.com/articles/s44...

We finally have a new paper out looking at how summary statistics from the AR6 scenario database are highly dependent on the sampling of the database. High profile statistics are often more representative of the model fingerprint, not the physics. www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1/

There are a few people that are inspirations to almost all scientists that I know, and Jane Goodall was one of them. RIP. 😢

How can the #IPCC navigate generative AI? What does it mean for scientific assessment more broadly? New working paper looks at scenarios for AI adoption & resistance, w/ @dralaaclimate.bsky.social @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden Reflections welcome! www.swp-berlin.org/publications...

New working paper out: "Four scenarios for an @ipcc.bsky.social navigating Artificial Intelligence" Led by @hollyjeanbuck.bsky.social, with @shinasayama.bsky.social and Oliver Geden Thread 🧵 1/13

Are you a highly motivated early-career researcher from a developing country or a country in transition, and want to be a Chapter Scientist in the next IPCC report? Then here is your chance. Deadline 18 October 2025. www.ictp.it/opportunity/...

Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open! Register here: apps.ipcc.ch/comments/src... ⚠️ Registration closes 30 Nov2025 🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...

📢 Experts on cities & climate change wanted! The @ipcc.bsky.social report on #cities & #climatechange is looking for reviewers to review the first draft. This is your chance to shape global knowledge and action on cities and climate resilience! Interested? 👉 www.tinyurl.com/srcities #IPCC #SRCities

The summer is over - and for about 16,600 people across 854 European cities that doesn't mean autumn comes, but death. People who would still be alive if it wasn't for our burning of fossil fuels. - New study with @lshtm.bsky.social www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/pub...

❓Climate reports for the IPCC and others have become increasingly complex, it’s also getting harder to capture & present relevant research to decision-makers. @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social's Dr @dralaaclimate.bsky.social's new paper explores how artificial intelligence could tackle this problem 🧵

Very nice essay/review from @dralaaclimate.bsky.social on AI in climate assessments! Thanks to open access and HTML I could read it on my phone on the train! 😀 I hope the big shots who AI everything these days read it too!

🔬 New paper alert: "The role of artificial intelligence in climate change scientific assessments" @plosclimate.org As #AI adoption accelerates, should @ipcc.bsky.social integrate these tools? Can LLMs (chatbots) communicate findings while maintaining scientific rigour? doi.org/10.1371/jour... 1/9

Interesting paper from @dralaaclimate.bsky.social on one aspect of how to use AI robustly in climate research, conscious of its limitations.

Dear @theguardian.com, we count on you for reasonably well informed lefty takes on global events. This wasn’t one. #CCUS may have a critical role to play in cement & chemicals and removing excess CO2. The picture you show is of a Norwegian #CCS plant that works. www.theguardian.com/news/2025/se...

New starter pack with @ipcc.bsky.social #AR7 scientists (bureau, authors, REs)! Full list: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho... For SR cities scientists see separate starter pack! @dianaurge.bsky.social @sherilee.bsky.social @siir-kilkis.bsky.social @janfuglestvedt.bsky.social go.bsky.app/2FuXb3Y

The @ipcc.bsky.social has announced the authors for its Seventh Assessment Report (#AR7). With 3 Coordinating Lead Authors & 10 Lead Authors, IIASA will play a key part in delivering the best available knowledge to guide effective and equitable climate action. 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...

Been in the peer review trenches lately and noticing a worrying pattern. Seeing lots of ML/AI novelty layered over weak conceptual foundations. I'm starting to think of it as 'AI washing'... 1/3

NEW – Scientists are ‘most trusted’ source of climate information in global-south survey | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org w/ comment from Charles Ogunbode, Luis Sebastian Contreras Huerta @nickzimson.bsky.social Richard Carson Stella Nyambura Mbau, Tarun Khanna Read here: buff.ly/g04GjX2

🙌Imperial has more authors contributing to a crucial climate report than any other organisation in the world. Once finished, the IPCC Assessment Report 7 (AR7) report will help shape policies to tackle climate change throughout the 2030s 🧵 📰 ow.ly/BlYz50WIMpk

Pleasure to be selected as a Lead Author for IPCC AR7, chapter 14 (Integration and interactions across sectors and systems), alongside a great team to work with for the next few years. Full list of all AR7 authors: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho... AR7 outline: www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/...

🌍 WCRP–IPCC Co-sponsored Workshop: WCRP and IPCC will bring together leading global experts to address urgent questions on high-impact climate events, tipping points, and their consequences. 26–28 November 2025, Paris, France. More info: https://loom.ly/Jsti1vI By invitation only #IPCC #WCRP

Want to know what the ICJ climate ruling means? Here's an explainer from @rishpardikar.bsky.social & @amywestervelt.bsky.social and a deep dive from @roycerk2.bsky.social in Australia: - drilled.media/news/ijc-1 - drilled.media/news/icj-2

I keep coming back to these pages of Omar El Akkad’s book brilliantly titled “One day, when it's safe, when there's no personal downside to calling a thing what it is, when it's too late to hold anyone accountable, everyone will have always been against this”

@dralaaclimate.bsky.social‬ & I were part of a small team of scientists talking to the judges as part of the process. To see how much emphasis on the science is in this AO highlights how much we know & that there is really no justification to hide behind uncertainty instead of act.

In a new piece for @granthamicl.bsky.social, @frediotto.bsky.social and I unpack the significance of the ICJ’s landmark advisory opinion. We reflect on how it reshapes the legal framing of climate action and what it means for states’ obligations going forward.

I am just randomly updating some figures. Here is a comparison of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Release 3 compared to the UN Population Division projections. The SSPs cover the range reasonably well, but SSP1,3,4,5 are well outside of the probabilistic projections. 1/

🔥 ⚖️ 🌐HAPPENING NOW: Historic #ClimateJustice Ruling being delivered by the 🇺🇳 🧑‍⚖️ International Court of Justice. 🚨This ruling could signal a new dawn for climate law & accountability 📝 🧵 Live thread below with context, summary & analysis 👇 #ClimateJusticeAO #AOLetsGo

Today, the International Court of Justice delivered its Advisory Opinion that could transform climate governance. 1/5

🧵 What makes fossil fuel emissions "abated"? Our 🛑 new paper 🛑 in Energy and Climate Change tackles this crucial but dangerously vague concept.... 1/10

⚠️ The amount of CO2 the world can emit and still have a good chance of staying within 1.5°C of global warming is 130 billion tonnes. This would be exhausted in a little more than three years if emissions remain at current levels. 🧵⬇️

Last day at the GISS building (Wed. May 28th). 🥲