There’s that post 2022 temperature anomaly again👇 I remember a billion years ago using an IEA scenario based on 430ppm CO2 for some modelling parameters, right about where we are arriving and where we should have capped out before going negative.

A reminder that about 2 billion of this deficit is from the cancellation of the Carbon Tax. 2 billion every year

I love how Ethiopia, a developing country, is just like “enough of this fossil fuel vehicle nonsense, with its cascading bads, someone will sell us electric cars we can fuel ourselves, so let’s do that.”

Food inflation still seems to be tearing along, I’m guessing because the US evicted its low wage agricultural workforce.

This one applies to Canada's conservatives too - #climatepolicy might be in retreat for the time being, but they need a platform other than "Axe the (already axed) tax".👇

Repeatedly having to say that the world will continue warming until we get to net-zero GHGs, and likely net-negative with feedbacks at this point, makes me feel like irritating scold, but seriously, it's atmospheric geophysics, not politics or PR.

Hey #industrialdecarb folks, while there's lots of literature now on heat pumps of various sizes and types, & obviously H2 from the mania a few years ago, there's very little to work with on heat BATTERIES of various sizes & types. Please point to good articles, including your own.

Trump’s Greenland games probably killed medium term demand growth for US LNG, and long term demand overall.

Society might be massively misallocating investment when over half a trillion per year is going into AI, which *might* do *something*, while vaccine manufacturers are being discouraged to produce vaccines that *can* prevent cancers for less than a billion www.nytimes.com/2026/02/16/h...

This is what democratic elites should sound like, and how they should aspire to behave, especially if they desire to govern.👇

It would be hilarious if chaotic US tariffs were the trigger for fundamental WTO trade reform, without the US www.politico.eu/article/eu-a...

How Canada and Denmark "Fought" the Whisky War open.substack.com/pub/charliea...

China's Xinhua news agency has just published this editorial cartoon in response to Trump's rejection of climate policies. It is pretty clear that China views this as a HUGE geopolitical fumble by the US leaving the field clear for China's to win the global race to clean-tech hegemony

This was one of the biggest mistakes of the environmental movement, framing fighting climate as inherently sacrificial. EVs are better vehicles than gas cars, I love every day I can ride a bike or walk to work, heat pumps heat & cool, video conferencing give us our time back, etc.

I caught ChatGpt doing incorrect stoichiometry. Be careful out there ....

No kidding - the teachers & RCMP who put themselves in harms way, without hesitation, to slow the shooter down in Tumbler Ridge and ultimately end it are grade A Canadian heroes. I cannot imagine how I’d feel if my own kids had been in that school. 🙏^n

*Sob*, someone please brief Merz properly on CBAM, the market stability reserve, etc, etc. Many other things are far more dangerous to European industry than the EU_ETS.

US peeps, can the administration actually just repeal the CO2 endangerment finding, or just not enforce it? www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/c...

Québec is going to skip the fossil fuel industry part and go straight to the CCS->CDR part.

We’ll see what comes on line the next few years, this is partly a legacy of IRA tax credits, but this shows you how fast the US can move on this when motivated.

I had to prep for a media interview on🇨🇦's new auto strategy, & thought I'd summarize where I landed. It's far better from the perspective of comprehensively supporting the transition from the supply side & the charging network, but worse because we lose the mandatory sales🧵

😳 OMG, this is on a scale with Ecole Polytechnique. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

I went to elementary, junior and senior high school in a remote-ish communities this size. The social trauma would be off the charts, everyone knows everyone ... 💔💔💔

Satellite data reveals that coal mines are the largest detected source of energy sector methane super-emitter events in the EU. Poland’s coking coal mines were seen to emit the most but more venting may have occurred undetected, outside of satellite overpasses. ember-energy.org/lat...

Interesting visual history of the UK’s contracts for difference auctions for renewable power. Solar is really taking off. I wonder if the’ll run an auction for dedicated storage at some point. 👇

So … my potato plants grew all winter, there’s almost no snow in the local mountains (3rd year in a row dramatically reduced), and these just arrived 3-4 weeks early. Climate change is a hoax, they said.

And that is it folks, we can probably call it, this time the decline in China’s electricity emissions are structural, not transient, due to high efficiency load following coal plants pairing with variable renewables 😀

Everyone working in development economics should read this chapter. They provide evidence that what works in development is less about finding universally good levers and more about designing interventions compatible with locally embedded social structures. www.nber.org/papers/w3481...

My phone is now correcting "it" to "ITC", as in "investment tax credit".

From the folks who brought you Project 2025, now they've produced a strategic roadmap to "A Handmaid's Tale".

Attack of the (self inflicted) blob

Air pollution from burning fossil fuels causes 100,000 to 200,000 avoidable American deaths per year. At the EPA's statistical value of life of $10 million, these deaths cost America $1 to $2 trillion per year, every year. These costs far outweigh the costs of transitioning off of fossil fuels.

There’s a strange love triangle between shale oil associated gas, US LNG exports and North American gas consumers through Henry Hub prices, that may soon turn to an ugly breakup, especially if oil prices stay low.

After they were ignored at the TofV, the Vietnamese then went on to tromp the French, Americans & Chinese in battle. We shouldn’t be surprised if using a mix of 5 yr plans & capitalism they’re highly developed <2050, from $4kpc nominal, ~$15k PPP now www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/w...

Worked so hard to get this money... yet another thing to get canceled and erased

7.8% is generous & broad. It’s more like 5-6%. @beanjammin.bsky.social

Watching Lindsey Vonn’s skis not detach because they were weighted to the faster parts of the course made me want to throw up. Necessary, but the risk … Downhill has gotten so fast, so superhuman.

Their refusal to share data and code notwithstanding, we roughly reproduce Voortman & de Vos. They underpower their analysis and misread a statistical procedure. Correcting that, we find that sea level rise DID accelerate. essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10....

🔥HOT OFF THE PRESS: Why the energy transition is disruptive, non-linear, hard to predict and often faster than expected. Our paper in Nature Reviews Clean Technology shows how feedback loops create virtuous and vicious cycles that can accelerate or block change. 🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s44...

IMO, this is the quiet but global thing that’s going to reach out of the dark & bite us - warming, drying &!shifting rainfall patterns. Something changed in my home region (PNW) ~3-5? years ago, the snowfall dropped precipitously, and now every summer is a drought & fire summer. And it’s +1.3-1.5°C.

Times article has an incredible illustration

I've been privileged over the years to write a sequence energy modelling methodology papers with (now Professor 🥳) Steve Pye of UCL, along with a rotating cast of amazing people. The latest dropped today in Nature Energy ➡️ rdcu.be/e2tt6

This was entirely predictable and avoidable. Thanks to the Trump admin's erratic and nonsensical policies, we are plunging head first into a self-inflicted recession. And no one's coming to help us because we've pissed off our allies. Can admin officials be tried in court for economic sabotage?

I’m suspecting one of the most underreported things in climate & energy is the advent of v.high efficiency (45-49%) load following coal plants in China, allowing as much variable renewable capacity as can be built with little curtailment. India is watching carefully & will follow.

Cleanly electrifying personal land transport, especially in urban areas, as well as building heating, appliances & cooking would not only cut ~2/3 of global energy GHGs, it would save millions of lives. And we know how to do it with tech you can buy today, before we talk about exotic measures.

👇 Active demand response, including batteries peppered through the system at various voltage levels, in the electricity system may be critical to keeping overall costs down, with the grid being ~75% of the cost.

An important and underappreciated fact of electricity economics: The US average *wholesale* electricity price is ~5 c/kWh, or ~25% of the average *retail* price of ~19 c/kWh. The other ~75% of the electricity prices we pay is about poles, wires, transformers, generation capacity, and utility profit.

Netherlands and China are on the way to being the next Norway, where internal combustion engine auto sales are nearly dead. BEVs were 65% of Dutch auto sales in December and 41% for 2025. In China, internal combustion autos market share falls to ~40%. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/ #energysky

The Poles are officially investigating the Epstein thing as a Russian intelligence “kompromat” blackmail operation. “Poland to probe possible links between Epstein and Russia, PM Tusk says - “https://www.reuters.com/world/poland-probe-possible-links-between-epstein-russia-pm-tusk-says-2026-02-03/