This is my favorite climate change chart. Japanese monks, aristocrats, and emperors kept meticulous records of cherry blossom festivals for 1,200 years and accidentally built the world's longest climate dataset.

Perfect video to start this Wednesday 😍

A massive seven-year project exploring 3,900 social-science papers has ended with a disturbing finding go.nature.com/4bZ9k0W

Last night’s State of the Union was a boast about the state of the nation’s economy. But does the data show that the American Dream is actually dead? @lizsuhay.bsky.social unpacks this question on Politics in Question. www.politicsinquestion.com/episodes/ame...

He wasn't watching the alternative show? Wut?

The report has some great immigration questions I haven't seen before, showing more room for agreement than usually assumed. 90% of Trump voters agree that "controlled immigration can be good for America" and 70% that it should be easier for people to immigrate legally (but harder to come illegally)

Washington DC’s Metro is honoring Rosa Park’s today by reserving seats in her memory. Parks didn’t refuse to relinquish her seat out of exhaustion—she was a fierce advocate for justice who organized with her community to engage in civil disobedience. Her deliberate act was courageous and meaningful.

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

Today I am publishing what I believe to be the most detailed available map of Trump's job approval rating. Powered by over 12,000 interviews for our Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll. I hope this generates many stories, and hours wasted exploring data! www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-very-det...

Interested in Southern Politics? Check out the awesome Kudzu Vine podcast! I joined them this week to talk about economic inequality & the failing American Dream.

I recently recorded a podcast with the New Books Network on my book Debating the American Dream. If you prefer to listen instead of read sometimes (as I increasingly do!), consider checking it out: newbooksnetwork.com/debating-the... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

Some thoughts on what Trump has done in Venezuela and what it might mean for US national security. Caveat: not a Latin America scholar so this is focused on US policy. Clearly huge consequences for Venezuela that others can address. First, despite the buildup, I didn't think Trump would do it. 1/

Family recalls legacy of brothers who sparked GM sit-down strike www.abc12.com/news/family-...

Unprecedented corruption

This is an excellent explanation of how unbelievably incompetent and full on nonsense the note from Weiss was. My guess: 1. Someone who has very little experience is journalism (and not the stuff that tickles billionaires) is clearly a mile wide and foot deep as an editor and in far over her skis.

Is the “American Dream” still real — or just a political talking point? 🏡💔 In her new book "A Dream, Fractured", SPA Prof. Elizabeth Suhay explores how deep partisan divides shape our ideas about opportunity & inequality. 👉 Read the full story: bit.ly/4rFQWBj

Belated announcement: I finally published a book! If you are wondering why Democrats & Republicans are so polarized over not only economic policy but also economic reality, this is the book for you -- Debating the American Dream. www.russellsage.org/publications/book/debating-american-dream

We first note that hand-wringing about the decline in US college enrollments has mistakenly linked such declines to the price of four-year colleges. But the decline is entirely driven by two-year community colleges (and by for-profit colleges). The four-year sector is the dog that didn't bark.

October is here and so is the latest issue of Political Psychology! This issue is jam-packed with 25 original articles. Check it out online here: buff.ly/cxAMGba

Remember: The richest 1% evade over $160 billion in taxes every year. That amount would fund SNAP for a year with money to spare. Ask yourself who the real freeloaders are.

Know any great political science educators? Nominate them for the APSA Distinguished Teaching Award committee. I'm on the committee and happy to answer Qs ✅ Self-nominations welcome 🗓️ Deadline: Feb. 11. Apply: apsa.secure-platform.com/a/solicitati... More info : apsanet.org/programs/aps...

The 1970s were not that long ago, but back then, conservatives actually grappled with questions about how to help to poor people and the solution they came up with was "just give them money until they're no longer poor."

The divide between rich and poor in the U.S. has become more pronounced in recent months. Wealthier Americans, buoyed by a stock market that keeps setting records, have continued to spend freely. Lower-income households — stung by persistent inflation and a slowing labor market — are pulling back.

It’s not a chilling effect. It would only be chilling if you had something horrid to say, and you don’t, do you? Certainly nothing critical of the regime, and absolutely no paraphrasing, not of anyone, not at this time!

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “Gerrymandering has long been a problem, but this is a new level of insanity that should spur urgent demands for reform,” Roland Fryer writes in a guest essay. “My research suggests one way to do so.”

Two leading economists reveal why today’s personal finance markets are rigged against us and offer practical steps to fix them. On #NationalFinancialAwarenessDay, explore a sample of Fixed. Out October 21 and available for preorder now: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

It's so weird to think about corporate world when you're used to government reality. The top person at any federal agency makes at most $225,700. Come in brand new with a bachelor's degree and you'll make at least $42k. So about a 5x difference between the lowest white-collar fed and the highest.

If you’re attending a protest today and happen to be a trumpet player who knows Star Wars. Great opportunity Stay safe. Fight the Empire. #NoKings #DemCast #DemVoice1

Painful to watch this video. Imagine what you would think about the legitimacy of the regime if you saw a senior opposition leader treated this way in another country.

Social scientists have professional incentives to focus their work on what is _novel_ to people in their field, who they view as their core audience. The mental switch to be made is that what is _obvious_ to people in your field is often not obvious to ordinary citizens, and hence is valuable.

I'm on a podcast! I had a blast talking with @lucystats.bsky.social and @epiellie.bsky.social on @casualinfer.bsky.social! We cover all sorts of fun things: {marginaleffects}, defining estimands, fixed vs. random effects, & how to teach all this stats stuff in accessible ways #databs #EpiSky #rstats

Here's my updated "what is going on packet" I started making for classes to help them figure out what the latest Trump announcement meant for them and togive them some context. Pls assume any typos or deranged statements were typed when I had the flu. sites.google.com/view/amgov10...

If we stop calling these “grants” and start calling them “contracts,” it’s clearer to people why this is such an abuse of power. This wasn’t a bunch of gifts. This was a bunch of binding contracts between researchers and the US govt for specific agreed upon projects.

We are extremely pleased to announce the preliminary release of the combined pre-election and post-election dataset for the ANES 2024 Time Series Study! The data and documentation can be downloaded from the ANES website at: electionstudies.org/data-center/... Best, The ANES Team

The bipartisan effort of the 2000s to improve student learning has now been replaced by no national agenda from either party to improve educational performance, even as scores have declined & we haven't recovered from pandemic learning loss www.nytimes.com/2025/05/10/u...

1. As almost every research shows, young men have NOT turned to the right — compared to older men. In fact, they moved slightly to the left compared to older men. Young WOMEN have turned to the left compared to older women. Recent graph on Trump approval provides good example.

Writing a dissertation while working full time? Welcome to the Club – the 5PM Scholars Club! Targeted dissertation support for busy scholars: strategies, tips, accountability. Meets Mondays 6:30 PM ET starting May 20. buff.ly/F6c874p

New, from me: I am dorky enough to actually read (ok, skim) budgets, and have never seen anything like Trump’s, which has converted a formal and professional document into a propagandistic screed to justify draconian cuts. Lets take a look. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/budgets-as...

I love him I must marry him.

Available for preorder! My forthcoming book with Jeff Berry and Jim Glaser. Everyday Democracy: Liberals, Conservatives, and their Routine Political Lives. from @uchicagopress.bsky.social press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

The League of Women Voters declares a constitutional crisis - and we're doing something about it. If there's a cardinal rule of protecting American democracy, it's that you do not eff with the LWV.

Reminder: if you're at #MPSA2025 and free for lunch on Friday, come join the Swifties of Political Science at *All Too Well*!

Overlapping CI's do not tell you if 2 estimates are significantly different from one another. These packages in R and Stata can help with this common visualization problem. Fan-freaking-tastic.

Hey! Are you an American considering a PhD or a postdoc, and the funding / academic situation just went absolutely bonkers? Canada's federal funding awards just added eligibility for international applicants if at Cdn institutions. www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/NewsDetail-D...

Variation in poverty by cong. districts-- between and within parties. Swing district GOP wary of slashing Medicaid/SNAP, but poverty rates are higher in GOP-held safe red districts. Still, poverty rates vary markedly across the 20 most competitive GOP-held districts-- from <4% to >15% of families

🚨My small book with @cambridgeuppolisci.bsky.social on timely #empathy #politics is online and I can't be happier! 🚨 shorturl.at/jZyPz *The manuscript can be accessed freely for the next 2 weeks!* The book builds on my PhD thesis, defended @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social

We are excited to make a call for a forthcoming special issue of Political Psychology on empathy in security, strategy, and policymaking with guest editors @claireyorke.bsky.social & Allison Abbe! For more details and proposal submission information, visit: ispp.org/wp/wp-conten...

Thorp & Larner study fault of impairment & perception of how deserving claimants are of welfare. Those seen as responsible for their injuries are perceived as less deserving of welfare. Read the full piece for out-group status & ideological impact on perceived deservingness. doi.org/10.1111/pops...

What does empathy mean for strategy and security? How can it enhance them, and what are its limitations? We’re looking for contributions for a special section in @ispp-pops.bsky.social drawing on global case studies, and interdisciplinary research. Proposals (250 words) welcome by May 2025.