Great analysis by @eborbath.bsky.social

NEW: A new pre-print study offers the first causal evidence that outsourcing reasoning tasks to AI can rapidly erode users' independent performance AND their will to persist despite difficulty. "People’s persistence drops... they’re also not willing to try without AI.” futurism.com/artificial-i...

"If oil prices remain at current levels for the next 12 months, the Canadian oil industry is on track to make $90B in profits...$60B more than it would have earned without the war. ...Applying [a] 15% rate on the excess profits of the oil industry could generate $9B over the next 12 months."

NEW Economist/YouGov Apr 10-13: Gas prices % who say gas prices where they live are going up a lot U.S. adult citizens 55% Stance on Iran war Strongly support 31% Strongly oppose 75% Party Democrats 68% Independents 56% Among Republicans Overall 43% MAGA 36% Non-MAGA 54% yougov.com/en-us/articl...

iconic trio of authors on this 👏

Nope. Nope. Nope. This post is just two false statements.

On top of the generalized stress and anxiety of being on a scholar visa in the US these past two years as they kept fiddling with all the policies, this was something that consistently floored me: enthusiastically abandoning a massive source of brain drain and global hegemony.

i feel bad for our country but this is tremendous content

I think that as economists we should be a lot more concerned that everyone feels like they've got poorer when the data show they haven't. We certainly shouldn't just be assuming that the customers are wrong, rather than that we're no longer measuring things that are most relevant to wellbeing

here’s a nice picture for the Germans that follow me

2026 APSA Virtual Dissertation Workshop on New Topics in European Politics (Mareike Kleine and Miguel Pereira | London School of Economics) Sessions: June 9 and June 11, 2026 Submit Proposals Here: apsa.wufoo.com/forms/2026-a... DEADLINE: April 26, 2026. Participants will be notified in early May.

I do think, if you lay out every event in the life of Justin Trudeau, this makes significantly more sense than him being Prime Minister of Canada.

Fits his character arc completely. He's thriving

he spent a decade in ottawa finding himself

Great job alert: come hang with me and all the other cool people in Bremen! 🍻🍻🍻

#polisky share far and wide: @apsa.bsky.social Statement on the Proposed Elimination of the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences Directorate at the National Science Foundation apsanet.org/wp-content/u...

Our PhD student Kennedy Orwa, who studies applications of AI to health care, was hastily deported today to Kenya along with his 13-year-old son without opportunity to speak to legal counsel. King 5 reports that he held a valid visa that was rescinded without explanation.

Three 2-year full-time postdoctoral positions in autocratic politics at the Department of Political Science at Aarhus University (in connection to projects headed by Jakob Tolstrup and Alexander Baturo). Flexible start date. Application deadline: June 1, 2026. international.au.dk/about/profil...

Do apply to this six-year research and teaching position! Apart from teaching two classes a term, you should have ample time to focus on your research goals as part of an international department in a great (and affordable) city.

Mamdani is not just filling the potholes with the crew. He's creating a visual and personal reminder of the dignity inherent in all of these anonymous government jobs.

I feel sick to my stomach waiting around to see what atrocity Trump has in mind for the people of Iran this evening. It's hard to fathom our other elected leaders aren't able to check him in any meaningful way. It's an indictment not just of voters but of our whole system. We're ruled by a mad king.

Greetings from Germany! #spargelzeit #spargelszn (ps: I LOVE Bremen)

New preprint out today (osf.io/preprints/ps...). We tested whether AI agents are actually infiltrating online surveys. Spoiler alert: they aren't Thread 🧵 [1/9]

Some exciting news: I'm heading back to Europe! In April, I'll be starting a three-year fellowship at the University of Bremen. I will be hosted in the research group of the amazing @sophiahunger.bsky.social, working on wrapping up my first book on identity and writing my second on democracy.

The Strait of Hormuz is open for transit

in case you've never seen it, this is Roger Ebert on The Mummy

My team at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman.bsky.social, Soha Hammam, & Chris Shay) has shared a big data update, covering all recorded US protests through Jan 2026. Some key takeaways 🧵:

☀️☀️ Exciting news in Madrid! We are VERY happy to officially announce the creation of the Instituto Juan Linz (aka “IJL”). ijlinz.es The IJL ("Juan Linz Institute" in English) is dedicated to cutting-edge research and teaching in political science, sociology, economic history and more. thread 1/12

VERY excited for the inaugural @epssnet.bsky.social conference where I will be finally finally (🤞) debuting a corpus of interwar British political speeches I've been working on digitizing for SIX YEARS. Excited to work with @paugrau.bsky.social on the first of (hopefully) many papers with the data.

Hey authors! Check to see if Anthropic stole your book to train their slop generator on. You’re entitled to $1500 per stolen Work. Look up your work, and if you’re in the database, file a claim secure.anthropiccopyrightsettlement.com/lookup/

Gerstle (2001), American Crucible

Missing @adamprz.bsky.social's substack diaries in these trying times

New job: I’ve just started as a Senior Researcher at the @mpimmg.bsky.social (new name and focus on politics & society coming). I will lead a research area on “Social and Political Conflicts”, looking at the social bases of political divides, class politics, climate and more. Get in touch if...

It's hard to overstate the amount of work the Southampton team put into this, or what a gift this dataset is to those interested in UK public opinion. Also, this project taught our team a LOT about the historical irregularities in the archive. I so appreciate Will's patience as we learned.

Merriam-Webster’s human editors have chosen ‘slop’ as the 2025 Word of the Year.

Oh wow, absolute power corrupted you absolutely? That’s so weird, I got absolute power last year and my subjects say I’ve only gotten wiser and more virtuous

I've been pondering this all day. One minor concern in the grand scheme of things: it feels like a death knell for US-based academic conferences. Can't imagine people are going to happily ungate their children's social media and get their irises scanned for the pleasure of attending #APSA.

It's not just social media. Looks like visitors to the US from Europe and other countries that are part of the visa waiver program will have to submit an enormous amount of data about themselves and their families, including DNA, if proposed new rules are accepted

NEW from me - NSF cancels grant scheme for social science research. Seems the NSF quietly archived ALL calls for DDRIG grants in the SBE directorate. This is a massive blow for PhD students wanting to do cutting-edge social science research. 🏺🧪

Based on our new PPRNet research briefs @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social, and I argue in The Guardian that building alone won't solve the housing crisis. Housing is fundamentally redistributive, and progressive policy must treat it as such. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Some of us have been advocating this going back since chatGPT launched. It also has other benefits: correcting someone else's work is actually a really good way to learn something yourself.

Underappreciated lesson from 2016: most fake news was run for profit (not ideology) & right-wing fake news thrived because it sold better than left-wing fake news. X takes that to next level with a social media platform designed for right-wing users, intentionally incentivizing right-wing fake news.

Great new research by @simonotjes.bsky.social Joes de Nastris & Marijn Nagtzaam The local level offers so many opportunities to test our (usually) national level-based theories. And there is soooo much data! 😍 doi.org/10.1177/1354...

TRUMP [after spending 5 minutes with Zohran]: surplus value, it’s a very wonderful thing, very wonderful, and they’re stealing it. Can you believe that? We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to

I would not have known that my books are in the database if I hadn't seen this post. If you're a writer check yours!

new paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

2/🧵 New piece with @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social in @NewRepublic: We analyzed 60,000+ respondents in the 2024 Cooperative Election Study. Gen Z has the lowest racial resentment of any generation. The generational shift overwhelms the education divide that supposedly defines modern politics.

Three German universities offering post-docs for researchers "who cannot conduct or continue their work in the USA appropriately because of actual political pressure. " www.uni-konstanz.de/zukunftskoll...

Why do parties do what they do? Excited to share my 2nd dissertation paper, just published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social In the paper, I argue that parties seek internal unity and try to keep the team together: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/11 🧵