We @apln.network are pleased to partner with @carnegieendowment.org & Nautilus Institute on new paper series exploring dynamics around nuclear signaling and threats. The launch discussion for the first of these is Tues Feb 10 at 0900 EST - sign up today! carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

Loved getting the final line in this Globe article on Healey’s actions on ICE #mapoli www.bostonglobe.com/2026/02/03/m...

We @apln.network are pleased to partner with @carnegieendowment.org & Nautilus Institute on new paper series exploring dynamics around nuclear signaling and threats. The launch discussion for the first of these is Tues Feb 10 at 0900 EST - sign up today! carnegieendowment.org/events/2026/...

Excited to share the cover of my forthcoming book, The Arms Control Paradox, out with @stanfordpress.bsky.social in Sept 2026. It examines why #armscontrol works when it manages uncertainty—and why that task has become harder. #InternationalRelations #DecisionTheory

One of the Calvin & Hobbes all-time greats:

US trade chief says India to maintain some agriculture protections in deal with Trump reut.rs/4qdspSk

“The commitment to buy U.S. products covers sectors like pharmaceuticals, telecom, defence, petroleum and aircraft. It will be done over the years," the Indian official said. The official said a more comprehensive pact with the U.S. will be negotiated over coming months.”

“Since 2022, Mr. Xi has removed five of the six generals in his Central Military Commission. As many as 34 of the 44 generals in the party’s Central Committee have been ousted or conspicuously missing from official appearances without explanation — a deeper purge than anything Mao ever conducted.”

*looks directly at camera*

ICE now confirming that there is a measles outbreak at the Texas concentration camp where young Liam was held.

RIP Mark Tully. A giant.

Shadow tanker PEACE lacks safety management, insurance. She is flying a false flag of Timor-Leste where Timor-Leste demands of other states to stop her. She is lawless. Sanctioned by EU and UK. She is on her fifth delivery of Russian crude to India last 12m. She is leaving Baltic Sea laden now.

I have no time for you, Orc.

2 jobs in contemporary war and conflict and international security: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

More than 120 dead after multiple suicide and gun attacks in Pakistan, officials say www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...

Important piece on the multiple overlapping instabilities in Balochistan -

Scoop: Federal agents were told this week that they have broader power to arrest people without a warrant, according to an internal Immigration and Customs Enforcement memo reviewed by The New York Times. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/u...

Friday #synthwave. I love how the central groove gradually emerges.

On almost everything – fraud, polarisation, radicalisation, misinformation – evidence suggests that over 60s are in much more urgent need of online protection and education than teenagers. But that issue gets zero political attention, and is a total non-starter. Nothing good will come of it.

Recent college & grad school alumni: Work for 6 to 9 months with 1 of over 2 dozen NGOs in DC on international peace & security issues, including nuclear arms control, peacebuilding, & diplomacy. Apply by Feb. 27 to @scovillepf.bsky.social for the fall '26 semester. scoville.org

A drawing by a 5-year-old girl detained at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center in Texas with her mother Hayam El-Gamal. “I am 5 years old” is written at the top of the page. Lower down, next to stick figures, are the words “let us go.” Courtesy of Eric Lee, Lee & Godshall-Bennett, LLP

Celtics' Jayson Tatum reportedly reconsidering comeback, may sit out season recovering from torn Achilles www.nbcsports.com/nba/news/cel...

I wrote about the long history of Border Patrol racism and violence for the New York Times www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/o...

👀 New GAO report out: "Missile Warning Satellites: Space Development Agency Should Be More Realistic and Transparent About Risks to Capability Delivery" www.gao.gov/products/gao...

New Scooplet from me: The State Department is poised to take over a building DOGE seized from the US Institute of Peace, former staffers claim—possibly for Donald Trump’s “Board of Peace.” @wired.com www.wired.com/story/trump-...

The Pawtucket police went into another city, tackled a man in his home, and seized his dog. Turned out, they had the wrong man. Now, they refuse to talk about what happened & why they violated basic police protocol. www.bostonglobe.com/2026/01/29/m...

"Federal troop deployments to U.S. cities cost a total of $496 million in 2025, CBO estimates. Continuing current deployments will cost $93 million a month; 1,000 Guard personnel deployed to a city will cost at least $18 million a month." www.cbo.gov/publication/...

This is one of the reasons I have argued that ending immigrant jail should be a core demand. The capacity to hold people in jails around the country makes it easier to arrest and deport. (It also kills people and holds them hostage, but I digress). www.mprnews.org/story/2026/0...

Legitimately a feat of carefully calculated writing to issue a Holocaust Remembrance Day statement of this length without mentioning either (1) the people who perpetrated the Holocaust or (2) the people against whom they perpetrated it

US calls Taiwan 'vital partner' after high-level tech and AI talks reut.rs/4bimJCN

Two Democratic members of Congress attacked in three days. Maxwell Frost was assaulted on Saturday, Ilan Omar tonight.

"We still believe that the [Sentinel] program will be in development for several years and not transitioning into production until later in the decade, and that production will very much be guided by the milestone achievement during development.”

Xi’s purge of top Chinese generals has cost Western governments a key contact and deepened fears that the PLA is becoming even more walled-off – Bloomberg: ‘chief of the PLA’s Joint Staff Department [Liu] had been the most effective point of contact for managing risks and preventing miscalculation’

i have just gotten off a productive call with sauron where i laid out our requests - nazgul bodycams - morgul knife must remain sheathed unless suspect is determined to be carrying the one ring - shelob will be the new point of contact

“There are videos of Farage, in which the great leader is filmed from a low angle in a desperate effort to make him look five foot nine.”

Not only is this not going to happen - they won't be anywhere close to it spacenews.com/golden-dome-...

In the meantime, the Indian Air Force’s tanker fleet comprising six Ilyushin Il-78MKI aircraft acquired from Uzbekistan in 2003-2004, is running on fumes.

US, South Korea agree to deepen cooperation on nuclear-powered subs, Seoul says reut.rs/4qibLkJ

NASA's James Webb Space Telescope on Flickr (Dec 18, 2024) NGC 602, a star cluster in the Small Magellanic Cloud, showcases a cosmic wreath symbolizing the cycle of life, death, and rebirth. flic.kr/p/2qAEi2x

WSJ: China’s senior-most general is accused of leaking information about the country’s nuclear-weapons program to the U.S. and accepting bribes for official acts, including the promotion of an officer to defense minister, said people familiar with the allegations. www.wsj.com/world/china/...

NASA's James Webb Space Telescope on Flickr (Oct 4, 2024) Westerlund 1, one of the closest super star clusters, holds 50,000 to 100,000 solar masses and is a natural laboratory for studying massive stars and their evolution. flic.kr/p/2qkB15Q

Last night, I was assaulted by a man at Sundance Festival who told me that Trump was going to deport me before he punched me in the face. He was heard screaming racist remarks as he drunkenly ran off. The individual was arrested and I am okay. variety.com/2026/film/ne...

🇨🇳General Zhang Youxia, “second only to Xi Jinping himself, has been placed under investigation and accused of ‘grave violations of discipline and the law,‘ China’s MoD announced on Saturday, the most stunning escalation so far in Mr. Xi’s yearslong purge of the People’s Liberation Army elite.”

I am not being snarky. I need my colleagues who wrote on covid school lockdowns to engage with this. To be as loud as they have been about prior "learning loss." Hell, you can cite Tom & Mark's AERJ paper so you feel better that there's some econ somewhere in your argument.

New US National Defense Strategy - media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/...