Ahead of the Dublin Central and Galway West bye-elections next month, I’ve analysed, merged, and extended various datasets to gather insights from all bye-elections over the last century. Article now published at @news.rte.ie 📄 www.rte.ie/news/analysi... 15 stats based on this analysis ⤵️

We’re hiring! 3 TT positions Two Assistant Professors in Political Science (Dutch required, deadline 17 May) careers.universiteitleiden.nl/job/Universi... One Assistant Professor of Political Theory (Dutch not required, d/l June 1) careers.universiteitleiden.nl/job/Assistan... Share = 🙏❤️

Tonight! ⬇️ Christina Davis, Jialu Li, and Sayumi Miyano present new research at #JPOSS.

This is a great read! ⬇️

Thurs., 4/9, 8-9 pm ET: Join #JPOSS #59 to discuss the paper by Christina Davis, Jialu Li, and Sayumi Miyano, “Shaping Trade Stability: WTO Rulings on Export Restrictions and Business Confidence in Supply Chains," with Gregory Shaffer, Iain Osgood, and Saori Katada. Info: jposs.org/event/christ...

New #OpenAccess Paper Alert! 🚨 In @apsrjournal.bsky.social, @gmcclendon.bsky.social and I present results from a collaborative field experiment with the Institute for Governance Reform around a switch from plurality rules to closed-list PR rules in Sierra Leone’s 2023 parliamentary elections. A🧵:

Thanks to @ximecalos.bsky.social for this fantastic summary of our research! Hidden Majoritarianism Hinders Women’s Political Careers: politicalsciencenow.com/hidden-major... @alicirone.bsky.social @teele.bsky.social @fiva.no

Reminder: The CSIS Japan Chair is recruiting a deputy director who will play a central role in program administration and activities. More information: https://careers.csis.org/opportunities/1739

REMINDER tomorrow, 8-9 pm ET: Join #JPOSS #58 to discuss the paper by Yuji Idomoto (UCSD), “The Military That Isn’t: Legalized Anti-Militarism and Limits of Japan’s Defense Policy” with Thomas Berger, Paul Midford, & Amy Catalinac. Paper & registration: shorturl.at/14VU7.

Women in Congress are wealthier than men in Congress. A new article looks at nearly 40 years of financial disclosures from members of Congress. See the data in the latest article from @johnsides.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/women-i...

New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social. I show that - contrary to claims that personalised electoral systems are good for participation - Open Lists have no effect on turnout relative to Closed Lists; in fact, they increase rates of voter error. 🗳️ www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Very cool: Nikkei has teamed up with Teppei Yamamoto's company, VETA, to create a voting advice application for Japan's current lower house election using policy-based conjoint surveys. Try it out! ⬇️

In Japanese politics, the Liberal Democratic Party faces a fragmented opposition. This article identifies a specific point of conflict that is preventing anti-government voters from unifying under a single party. Read more here: tinyurl.com/55auzbdh

After years in academia, I’m exploring data science and research roles in industry. I'm a quant. social scientist (PhD Yale ’24, NYU) focused on causal inference, experiments, and large-scale data. Feel free to get in touch or share; all leads appreciated. [email protected]

🎉 Just published! JAPAN DECIDES 2024! The most comprehensive analysis and interpretation of last year's general election in Japan––which saw the ruling LDP lose its seat majority and presaged further upheaval in 2025. E-book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

🎉 Just published! JAPAN DECIDES 2024! The most comprehensive analysis and interpretation of last year's general election in Japan––which saw the ruling LDP lose its seat majority and presaged further upheaval in 2025. E-book: link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

When there's a Japan's House of Representatives race (Lower House), where the Prime Minister sits, a team of political scientists puts together a volume in the Japan Decides series (published by Springer) to cover the election's lead-up and results (thread) link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

⏰ Asia scholars, hurry up! Applications for APARC's 2026-2028 postdoctoral fellowships are due December 1. We offer multiple positions for recent PhDs across disciplines working on diverse issues related to contemporary Asia. 👉 Learn more and join us at Stanford next fall > stanford.io/4mS1bj8

Cool new paper by Trevor Incerti in the APSR! Political science research on Japan is undergoing a real renaissance in both its quality and relevance to the broader discipline––and a new generation of junior scholars like Trevor is leading the way.

Read "Winning Elections with Unpopular Policies: Valence Advantage and Single-Party Dominance in Japan," by @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social, @profdansmith.bsky.social, and @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social in Quarterly Journal of Political Science: www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta... (open-access link).

Join us for another exciting #JPOSS tomorrow night! Erik Wang (NYU) will present new research on state-building in medieval Japan, with discussion from Emily Sellars (Yale) and Jun Yamasaki (Kyoto). Details and registration below ⬇️

New OA article w/ @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social and @profdansmith.bsky.social. Q. Why does Japan’s LDP stay dominant even when its policies aren’t preferred? A: valence > policy. Check it out here ➡️ [http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00024134] #PoliSci #Japan #Elections

Call for nominations for the Richard J. Samuels Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies from the United States-Japan Foundation (USJF). us-jf.org/en/news/usjf...

A very informative article explaining the conspiracy theories and ideologies motivating Japan's new far-right party, Sanseitō, which made substantial seat gains in last July's upper house election. Thanks to @rmarcantuoni.bsky.social & @robfahey.net for writing this.

✨ Now at QJPS: "Winning Elections with Unpopular Policies: Valence Advantage and Single-Party Dominance in Japan" w/ @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social & @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social. Open-access link to article: www.nowpublishers.com/article/Deta...

Tuesday, 11/4, 8-9PM ET: Join Director Christina Davis and our Faculty Associates Amy Catalinac, Saori Katada, @adampliff.bsky.social, @lipscy.bsky.social, @profdansmith.bsky.social online to discuss "Japan's Prime Minister Takaichi: What Can We Expect?" munkschool.utoronto.ca/event/japans...

Upcoming virtual seminar: "Japan's New Prime Minister Takaichi: What Can We Expect?" Register ⬇️ iu.zoom.us/meeting/regi...

One casualty in the Trump administration’s war on higher education is federal funding for area studies. This harms students, scholars, and U.S. national security. It also comes at a time in which political science and area studies are more compatible than ever before. Read on for new research! 1/

Japan, ostensibly one of the least religious countries in the world, had its political order upended by the lay Buddhist organization Soka Gakkai. That is THE story about Friday's epochal shift in Japanese politics (thread follows):

Sad news:

Tonight! ⬇️ #JPOSS is on a Wednesday, rather than the usual Thursday, and features Prof. Jacques Hymans (USC), with "Does official historical memory discourse move public opinion?The case of Japan’s new banknote designs."

Wed., 9/3, 8-9 pm ET: Join next #JPOSS to discuss Jacques Hymans's paper, “Official historical memory discourse and public opinion: The case of Japan’s new banknote designs” with Charles Crabtree, @yoshiono.bsky.social, and @lipscy.bsky.social. Paper and registration: jposs.org/event/hymans...

Happy to see this article now "in print" at @polbehavior.bsky.social 🎉 Open-access: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Why has women’s rise in politics been so slow even under PR? Our new APSR paper [out today!] shows how “hidden majoritarianism” in proportional systems shapes women’s progression from entering lists to reaching top offices.

Norway votes in 11 days 🇳🇴 More than a century after PR was introduced, women still hold under half the seats. In Norway’s closed-list system, nomination order is decisive—women are projected to occupy ~44% of seats in 2025 (based on 2021 party seat shares across districts).

🎉Now online (open access): "Hidden Majoritarianism and Women’s Career Progression in Proportional Representation Systems" at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. @alicirone.bsky.social, @teele.bsky.social, Gary Cox, @fiva.no. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Want to work for CSES, or know someone who does? GESIS (@gesis.org) is hiring a full-time Senior Researcher, based in Germany, in the area of International Electoral Research. The application deadline is August 15, 2025. For more information, see: www.gesis.org/en/institute...

This seems like a potentially useful new tool for the political science job market, particularly for jobs outside of the most competitive searches in "top" departments.

In Japan's upper house election last month, the two "populist" parties did best where turnout increased most, suggesting mobilization of voters frustrated with establishment parties. Municipality-level analysis in this article, with a quote from me (in Japanese). ⬇️ digital.asahi.com/articles/AST...

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference! 📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
 🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
 📍 ICC Belfast
 📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025 🧵

Applications for the CSIS Japan Chair's paid fall internship are open. The deadline to apply is August 11. Research Agenda: - Japanese domestic politics and foreign policy - U.S.-Japan security and economic ties - U.S. strategy in the Indo-Pacific region careers.csis.org/opportunitie...

Politics moves fast sometimes. Yesterday, I was skeptical that Japan and the US would have a trade deal by the August 1 "deadline" and that PM Ishiba would hang on. Now things will get interesting... japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/pol...

A conjoint-like table of parties’ policy positions in the wild. These are common in election campaign coverage by Japanese newspapers. (For Sunday’s upper house election.) #JapanDecides

We're hiring! The Graduate School of Social Sciences at Hitotsubashi University is seeking a non-tenure track lecturer. The application deadline is August 31, 2025 (JST). For more information, see: jrecin.jst.go.jp/seek/SeekJor...

Happy Juneteenth! Join us on Zoom tonight for #JPOSS, featuring a cool new historical political economy paper on early modern Japan by Shusuke Ioku (Rochester). ⬇️

Secretary of Commerce Lutnick: “These are important trade issues. A very strong Japanese man, a sumo wrestler I believe, told me with tears in his eyes ‘the coffee here is weak, so weak. Please bring us your strong American coffee.’”

What happened in Japan's 2024 general election, when the ruling LDP had its second worst seat loss in history? "Japan Decides 2024" is now available for pre-order, and due in print in fall. The volume features extensive analysis from top scholars of Japanese politics. a.co/d/8LHANvH

This is a puzzle in Japanese politics, too. In a forthcoming article at QJPS, @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social, @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social, and I argue that the disconnect can be explained by "valence" (e.g., trust). Would love to see similar research on the sources of Republican valence advantage.

The newly released 2025 election lists reveal a persistent pattern: in Norway, women remain underrepresented at the top—despite 100+ years of proportional representation.