Nothing Ever Happens, & its crucial corollary, Things Tend To Work Out More Or Less

I wanna work with LLMs :/

If you think developers are making too much money building homes, you should raise taxes on their incomes instead of imposing de facto taxes on new development.

The fact that the only way to meaningfully lower housing costs requires letting capitalists make a lot of money building expensive new homes kind of breaks a lot of people’s brains.

If we could just raise sea levels by 150 meters we get a backup Strait of Hormuz

More video of incident

It’s 1986 and the #1 movie in America is James Cameron’s ALIENS:

i do think this sort of thing is part of why silicon valley swung right and is trying to eat every media platform: in their day to day life if they ask this question an underling can politely demur in a way that doesnt hurt their feelings. maybe with a slide deck about how big boats really are

Tbh that’s a positive

I’m sure many rich tech guys do fantasize about a human-like intelligence they could own, because that is the endpoint of being rich. (And because they buy their own bullshit.) But the actual project istm is to turn (more) uses of intelligence by existing humans into private property.

How large could that number get? Consider the sheer scale of Iran. There are 95 million Iranians

Yeah, like who cares if 20% of the global petroleum supply and 45% of the global nitrogen fertilizer supply is shut off?

Also, again, Iran doesn’t have to interdict every ship. They just have to prove that you could be one of today’s unlucky few for nobody to want to cross the strait

Reminder that NFL teams cannot post on Bluesky because the league has a contract with the social media company that lets randos with verified checkmarks pretend to be NFL players.

New for @theverge.com: i wrote about how Kansas' trans ID law and the "age verification" systems popping up everywhere tie into larger efforts to force trans people to out themselves both IRL and online

“We have changed our baseless short term assumptions to be more forward looking in the hopes that something changes before then.”

Photo of the day #photography

Hey so like... Over the past year 90% of the adult trans content on reddit has been flooded with Ai generated images of digitally beautifued cìs women with digitally altered genetalia. This is deeply weird and bad. I guess uhhh. Buy local folks and support creators directly.

I understand why nobody wants to try and force the straits, but is the USN incapable of prosecuting a distant blockade?

In addition to oil, the war has bottled up the world’s main supply of sulphuric acid, setting back a lot of heavy industrial supply chains. theoregongroup.com/commodities/...

U.S. intelligence assesses Iran’s leadership remains largely intact and the regime is not at risk of collapse after nearly two weeks of U.S. and Israeli bombardment, according to three sources familiar with the assessments. -Reuters

It is admittedly hilarious that crude cleaned out all the shorts Sunday night, spent three days doing nothing, and is now flying again on the news that the US is going to release one-third of what’s left in the SPR.

www.percepta.ai/blog/can-llm... As a research lark at Percepta, Christos embedded a computer into an LLM, showed that it could solve the hardest Sudokus, and then as a side bonus built an exponentially faster attention

Fascinating research with remarkable speed-ups 👇 "LLM bad at math? Just put a computer in it's transformer!"

the *theorertical* maximum total withdrawal capability from the SPR is only 4.4 million barrels per day (in practice its probably closer to about 3m), it will take like a month and a half to just get this oil out of the ground....

Anyone want to guess when the two tankers off the coast of Basra made it on to TV?

They don’t understand logistic, they don’t understand that stuff needs to be made. They’ve always had all they want and think that if someone tells them that the stock is empty and there’s no way to produce more stuff quickly they’re woke and a pussy. That they’re just weak minded.

the reason why they're exhausting our strategic capacity is because they think production capacity is woke and gay while mistaking their own habit of throwing money at corrupt miltech startups as actually having a solution to future problems.

releasing oil from the strategic petroleum reserve to cover the easily foreseeable consequences of my actions

don't worry, the U.S. is fully capable of removing mines from the Strait of Hormuz, we didn't just decommission out last mine- sweepers in the area and replace them with Littoral Combat Ships (the worst boats in the fleet by wide agreement) with untested mine interdiction upgrades

WATCH: Massive fire engulfs oil tanker in the Persian Gulf off the coast of Basra, Iraq,

Oh tariff grandpa is stressing out about the war in Iran, he’s going back to his life long love

Another hush money payment.

again its really weird that evidence that Trump raped at 13 year old girl is growing and its not only not a top story, its a barely covered story

Not just this, his kid who replaced him has the exact opposite view The old man didn’t want nukes, Jr absolutely does (and now has a damn good argument for building them). Absolute idiocy

It's often forgotten because of the anti-incumbent surge that came later, but most world governments got polling boosts during COVID as a sort of rally round the flag. Trump didn't get one, because people don't see him as a crisis time leader. Can't imagine why /s

Beamed up.

I may be wrong, but it feels to me like reporters are giving Trump a lot more "Yeah, no, that's bullshit" responses now than they did just a few months ago.

BREAKING: Two fuel tankers in the Persian Gulf were hit by Iranian boats filled with explosives, Iraqi officials tell Reuters.

Iran blows something up (true): market doesn’t care, that’s priced in already ya know Us navy escorts tanker thru strait (fake, pump&dump by gov staff): market goes yippee, finally some signal

I don’t think he understands that he can’t leave at all. Even if the US and Israel stop hostilities, Iran has 0 incentive to stop blocking the strait.

I don’t think Trump believes (in fact is unable to believe) that actions he takes can cause harm TO HIMSELF. He knows he can damage other people and delights in doing so. But: This Iran situation might really test his existential sense of self and casualty, and it could very ugly fast. Already is.

The FBI thinks you are fucking stupid. Iran has zero capability to cross the Pacific and sea-launch a drone attack on California. This is too fucking dumb for me to comment on further.

i just hate that this will be a daily thing where people try to interpret this and then the next phrase "we arent leaving till its done"

so they're out of interceptors, yea?

Fire erupts onboard oil tanker in Persian Gulf off coast of Basra, Iraq, following suspected attack. - factal news

Photo of the night #photography

CONSOOM TAKE OUT DEBT BOOK THE TRIP, BAG THE FITS COONNNNNSOOOOMMMM

Summing up Iran news today, I think. - Hormuz still effectively closed - Drones still flying - Iran backchanneled ceasefire requirements via Russia/Pakistan, including no new US/Israel strikes in future - Iran is getting intel on US strikes from third parties - Mines still in ??? territory