Person who was fired here - you should still trust BLS data. The agency is being run by the same dedicated career staff who were running it while I was awaiting confirmation from the Senate. And the staff have made it clear that they are blowing a loud whistle if there is interference.

Glad to see this is out in @nber.org WP series and since my excellent co-author @chinemeluokafor.bsky.social and I have been discussing the results for the past few weeks, here's an old-fashioned paper thread on why protests matter/can work to influence economic redistribution 1/n

No one will be able to say they didn't know what was happening.

This implies death. Mass death. Caused directly by the decision of the White House and M*sk (then a top White House official) to recklessly obliterate—not reform—our overseas assistance capacity.

My office has been flooded with reports of the cruel, unsafe, unlawful conditions inside of the Whipple detention facility in Minneapolis. This weekend, I was finally granted access to perform oversight of the facility. youtu.be/0SxPn8n2Bfg

This is sickeningly cruel and inhumane.

I'd just add I don't think the crisis is at all over, because Trump never sticks to agreements just because they're conventionally considered binding. The crisis will only be over when his regime is dislodged from Washington, if then.

Some perspective: The S&P opened down -1.3% on Trump's Greenland saber-rattling. That's $750 billion of wealth destroyed -- roughly equal to estimates of the value of Greenland. And so ~in dollar terms~ his shenanigans have already cost the US one Greenland, and we've got nothing to show for it.

A lot of international conflicts aren’t black-and-white, but here it is crystal clear. And it really sucks to unambiguously be the villain.

Yesterday, the State Department expanded the immigrant visa ban to half of all legal immigrants, including all immigrants from 93 countries. No law was passed. Not even an executive order was signed. They just did it. Tweeted it. Banana Republic. www.cato.org/blog/new-ban...

Have a friend who is likely stranded from his wife & kids indefinitely because of this. No warning to people who have sunk years of their life into an onerous process www.npr.org/2026/01/14/g...

Fed rates at 3.5% is not a crime

You do not want interest rates to be set by political whims because historically everyday people paid the price. Literally.

🤔

I am tired of the lies. Truth exists. This federal officer was clearly not "run over"—as the US president lied. He was not under attack. He was not forced to shoot this US citizen in the face. Draw the line now. Allowing government murder with impunity will harm all Conservatives, all Liberals.

I was listening to @thebulwark.com's Next Level podcast today and they were thinking through the chance that Trump actually tries to seize Greenland and there was a @jvl.bsky.social sort of 'I kinda hope he does it to drop the mask entirely' and I just cannot scream loudly enough: No, You Do Not. 1/

A bit contrary to my expectations, Kalshi has opposition candidates with majority odds* to run Venezuela by the end of the year kalshi.com/markets/kxve... * probabilities add up to > 100%, so adjustments necessary to say exactly

The president cannot unilaterally declare war. At least with Iraq, they made a public case for regime change and held a congressional vote.

This really is grotesque: they went through years-long citizenship processes and are now being denied simply because if the country they are from. It’s formalized bigotry.

This corresponds to my basic, two-part take (1) the essay isn't my cup of tea, but 0/25 seems harsh based on the rubric (2) there are way saner grade dispute mechanisms that don't involve administrative leave and a national conversation

My wife went through this process. It’s horrific that it’s being turned into a game of Russian roulette by ICE.

This is really sad news -- and I'd hoped so hard this would never happen

This is very bad wjla.com/news/local/s...

🆕 How public education transforms opportunity: Evidence from the 1870 Education Act Today on VoxDev, Ben Milner explores lessons from British history showing how targeted public investment in education can help narrow the gap in opportunity between rich and poor children: voxdev.org/topic/educat...

Thanks, BLS Staff! #EconSky #NumbersDay www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...

It is genuinely hard for most people to grasp how poor the past was.

the Iranian drought story is insanely undercovered. foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/07/i...

Astonishing. Purging the United States of the best and brightest researchers from around the world will cripple our capacity to innovate and compete. Particularly with China. Numb, reckless nativist extremism will harm generations of Conservative and Liberal Americans.

Rule of Law Alert: Trump’s authority for country-specific tariffs comes from the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, which doesn’t mention tariffs—but does require a national emergency. An ad showing that Reagan opposed tariffs surely is not a national emergency. (It may be a personal one)

Our public money to support research at our universities is mandated by our Congress. It is not the personal slush fund of the president, to withhold at will or dole out as largesse, rewarding those who please him. Those who seek reform of universities can use laws, not arbitrary extortion.

I don't feel any safer with ICE taking a 13 year old 500+ miles from his mother (and per article, they had a pending immigration case anyway)

Why? How does this help anyone?

Forthcoming in AEJ: Applied Economics: "Land Concentration and Long-Run Development in the Frontier United States" by Cory Smith. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Peacemaker Season 2, out now

Nobody cares about the victims in the Dallas ICE shooting apparently. The first I've heard about one of them was on CNN today. He's fighting for his life in the hospital --- he was brought to the US when he was 13. He's 33 now. No criminal record. I just don't know what to say anymore.

A short 🧵 so everyone can learn that political violence is nothing new in America. Of the 1,331 Black officials who served during Reconstruction, 158 (10.4%) were subjected to political violence. 1/7

It's frustrating to see data quality undermined by this administration. This week's annual revision to the national accounts hit, too. www.bea.gov/information-.... That data have been important in the past.

Critical part of the President's new $100,000 charge for H1-B visas: The Administration can also offer a $100,000 discount to any person, company, or industry that it wants. Replacing rules with arbitrary discretion. Want visas? You know who to call and who to flatter.

How does the new H1B executive order affect universities, which had a non-capped limit on H1Bs under the prior system (vs a lottery for for-profit corporations)?

I am not a lawyer, but it should not be legal to suddenly upend someone’s visa status with 48 hours of warning

i don’t think people on bluesky understand the severity of this situation. i woke up to literally hundreds of texts from friends and family thinking about either moving back home to india or applying to other countries for jobs. this includes me.

As someone who has not followed this closely, is there any conclusion except that student outlets (The Crimson) were far more accurate than national news leaders (NYT, WSJ) which predicted imminent $500m settlements?

This @beijingpalmer.bsky.social post reminded me I have been meaning to update @pewresearch.org's estimate of total newspaper newsroom jobs - which was 30,820 as of 2020 Using BLS OEWS data (w/ same methodology as Pew) the 2024 number is 29,260 - down another 5% www.pewresearch.org/chart/sotnm-...

I signed and you should, too. This is about dictatorial control of the Fed, nothing more and nothing less

The letter is ready, thanks to all those who helped out! Starting to gather signature now, please consider signing (link at top of letter) & spread the word. docs.google.com/document/d/1...

There's really no need for any consistent policy direction at all, I guess

I am very glad Lisa Cook was prepped and ready for Trump's purported "firing." This is a pretty fast action and turnaround www.nytimes.com/live/2025/08...