Pat Kline: "I don't like the phrase 'causal inference' either because it's usually 'causal estimand identification' are what those papers actually are; there's nothing to do with inference typically; there's no distribution theory in those papers." youtu.be/ifp_BUKl3ig?...

Almost all projectors are 16x9 these days. It's been six years since @paulgp.com told you how to set the aspect ratio in beamer, yet the market share of 4x3 slidedecks remains surprisingly high... github.com/paulgp/beame... #econsky

Congratulations to new Foreign Honorary Member Jacques-François Thisse of Catholic University of Louvain. aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

Congratulations to Ludwig Straub @ludwigstraub.bsky.social of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2026 John Bates Clark Medal! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

Funny article where European academics puzzle over the fact that there are very few policy efforts to harmonize regulations across the US construction market academic.oup.com/publius/arti...

Like, being pro-free-trade was nominally a core conservative view. And the conservative intelligensia sincerely held that view. But Trump’s witless embrace of draconian tariffs as his signature economic policy turned out not to be a liability at all with Republican voters.

In response to the targeting of Iranian universities by the U.S. and Israel, Iran is now threatening to hit U.S.-linked universities in several Gulf countries, including satellites of: -CMU -VCU -Cornell -Northwestern -Georgetown -Texas A&M -NYU -American U -U of New Haven Very scary

my entire timeline on x is now just iranian embassies demonstrating a facility with the english language that puts everything i've ever read from the trump administration to shame

The President of the U.S. The man with the nuclear codes. And people are just going to pretend this is ok. In a functioning society, he would be removed from office within hours by his own party.

. @rfisman.bsky.social has a pair of papers on connections to Suharto and Dick Cheney that suggested institutional differences (www.hbs.edu/faculty/Page...). What would results for US politicians look like today? Has anyone written that follow up?

🧵1/ Our first meta-science paper (with 350+ coauthors) is published today in Nature. It presents one of the largest-ever reproducibility projects in economics & political science. Here’s what we found 👇

New in the American Economic Review: migration doesn't hollow out the home economy — it builds it up. More than 75% of the long-run income gains from migration are domestic. The home economy itself grows. Here's what we found: 🧵

Trump: "We have a thing called a war, or as they would rather say, a military operation. It's for legal reasons. Because as a military operation, I don't need any approvals. As a war you're supposed to get approval from Congress. Something like that. So I call it a military operation."

Only 23% of government workers believe they “can report a suspected violation of a law, rule, or regulation without experiencing retaliation.” That's way down form the share the prior year (72%) who said they could report suspected illegal activity without fear www.thebulwark.com/p/two-more-g...

According to documents filed this morning by the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of NY, ICE has been lying for a year — not only to the public, but to the courts and to prosecutors — about being authorized to make arrests at 26 Federal Plaza and other immigration courts. (1/2)

NBER Summer Institute submissions are due by Thursday. If you're doing urban economics, please send your paper to us! www.nber.org/conferences/...

El Niño raises the spatial correlation of agricultural yields, making the gains from trade more unequal. Just Accepted new paper by J. I. Dingel @tradediversion.bsky.social & K. C. Meng @kylemeng.com zurl.co/8JdIE

Nailed it.

Note this was a dispute in the WTO. With the WTO Appellate Body blocked by the US, Colombia and the EU agreed to an alternative route to appeal, the Multi-party Interim Appeal Arbitration Arrangement (MPIA). TL:DR, Colombia lost. It has now complied with the ruling.

"I have not heard so many stories of either incredible cruelty by men and women with guns or incredible kindness by neighbors and strangers for one another since I covered the Lebanese civil war in the late 1970s." www.nytimes.com/2026/03/15/o...

"Does Trump Know His Favorite Shoe Company Is Suing Him?" nymag.com/intelligence...

When I first saw the only public document justifying the US Administration's $100,000 tax on H-1B visas, I couldn't believe it. The analysis was full of mistakes. Big ones. Basic ones. So I got the same data and reanalyzed it correctly. This is the result.

What a paragraph. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

....if our old pals the Houthis join in and block the Red Sea/Suez Canal as well as the Gulf, it's bad news for oil tankers which still use that route but much less so for container vessels, which now mainly go round Africa. This is a crisis of oil supply, not a collapse in the trading system. 2/2

Need alternative to PDF. Reading research articles as PDFs on a phone screen is miserable. LLMs consume plain text more easily. I used Claude to write a pipeline to convert my LaTeX to HTML with the Tufte CSS. Here’s Dingel and Neiman (2020) as a webpage: www.jdingel.com/research/Din...

@arxiv.bsky.social is separating from Cornell, it seems. They will be hiring a CEO with a salary of 300k. Reddit thread: www.reddit.com/r/math/s/kpZ...

🚨Replication alert🚨 I'm pleased to announce that my replication of Moretti (2021) is now accepted as a comment at AER. I find ten issues in the paper. My comment focuses on two major problems; in the appendix, I document eight (relatively) minor problems. 1/

I’m so old I remember when Reagan proudly said that what distinguished America was that anyone could become equally an American, regardless of where they had been born.

Dealers: “We provide an invaluable service the manufacturer can’t replicate…And that’s why we need laws preventing manufacturers from bypassing us.” It is under-appreciated how strong and malevolent a force car dealers are in US society. www.wsj.com/business/aut...

“.. companies that paid the IEEPA tariffs are entitled to a refund,” said Ted Murphy, a trade lawyer at Sidley Austin. “How that refund gets effectuated? We don’t know. And I would say nobody knows for sure. Which is crazy.” @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/0315...

Beyond bags on sidewalks, there's a huge issue with waste in NYC: massive labor costs for buildings to handle it. 1% of the typical New York City household's income – $75/mo. – goes towards paying to move trash, recycling, and compost just from the building to the curb. Before it's even collected.

Come on @alanbeattie.bsky.social , don't mince words, tell us what you really think...

We've got beyond the practice of agents wearing masks to outright deception and abuses of trust. The lesson they are teaching the public is to not trust their government.

Brent Neiman on tariffs and trade deficits with Steve Davis www.hoover.org/research/tar...

“Flexport says their analysis of customs data suggests that the share of trade with China accounted for by Chinese importers of record jumped from 9 per cent before “liberation day” in April 2025 to 20 per cent by the end of the year.”

"SLOPPINESS": The Trump administration claimed that a man detained by ICE had a criminal convictions for marijuana possession in 2009. The judge pointed out that the man was 4 years old at the time. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

Spatial models calibrated to observed flows suffer overfitting problems in granular settings. @tradediversion.bsky.social & Felix Tintelnot diagnose the problem, show data smoothing performs better, and introduce a finite model to quantify counterfactual uncertainty. buff.ly/rJ8EE0J

My Trade Secrets today on life after the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs. 1. Short of actually tearing up the ridiculous trade "deals" which were based on those tariffs, this would be a great time for other govts and esp the EU to fudge, delay, prevaricate and demand clarity Trump can't give. 1/2

👀The federal judges in West Virginia, where ICE has been pulling over and detaining people on the freeway, are literally screaming about ICE's tactics. "It is an assault on the constitutional order," Judge Goodwin says. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

CATO: “.. In short, seven independent research teams have now examined the “who’s paying” question and have reached essentially the same answer: We are.” @cato.org @scottlincicome.bsky.social www.cato.org/blog/white-h...

Kevin Hassett condemning an analysis of the incidence of import tariffs that looks at import prices because he says one should also look at quantities. The second exhibit in libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/who-is… is titled "China’s Share of U.S. Imports Has Fallen Markedly".

Glad this is getting covered, but also… Completely surreal to read the NYT report on this as recently disclosed info, and just an allegation. This happened to every observer I know! It happened to me twice! I have it on video both times! www.nytimes.com/2026/02/13/u...

BREAKING: Judge Nancy Brasel, a Trump appointee, has issued a TRO in the Minnesota access-to-counsel case about treatment at Whipple. "It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees."

Every photo from Minneapolis looks like this. Cops decked out with guns and full tac gear facing off against people in bathrobes, parkas, and sweatpants armed only with whistles and cell phones. Yet every verified MAGA chode on X dutifully calls it a riot or violent insurrection.

“Collection of Handwritten Letters from Children in Detention Center” sounds like an exhibit in the Holocaust Museum.

pretty funny that Trump's aides are all too scared to tell him that $18 trillion is batshit crazy

a delusional Trump claims "we're taking in more than $18 trillion into the United States because of tariffs. The companies, the only way they can avoid them is to build here. They avoid paying the tariffs. Now they've been doing that."

#EconSky #DataEditorTips Your results should replicate each time you submit your paper, not only *after* it was accepted. Having your package replicable all the times is going to buy you a lot of time and-more importantly-peace of mind. What if you cannot replicate a result in the accepted version?

ICE in minneapolis are causing international incidents because agents don’t understand what a consulate is and tried entering ecuador’s the country has put out a statement in spanish