Role reversal: Ukraine moves training home and exports the lessons abroad www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

NATO Has Seen the Future and Is Unprepared A simulation of drone warfare shows how far the alliance has to go to learn the lessons of Ukraine. sso.accounts.dowjones.com/logout?retur...

今年2月に実施した外交・安全保障、日本を取り巻く環境などに対する継続的な世論調査プロジェクトの最新結果を発表しました。今次調査は財政的制約により質問数が限られ通常より少ないページ数となっています。そのため本資料では付録として、2026年衆議院選挙の支持政党別の意見分布も記載いたしました。 日本語版URL (PDF) : roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/uploads/publ...

Jervis Forum Article Review 188: Schendzielorz on Egeland, “The ‘Cosmic Bluff’ Revisited” issforum.org/articlerevie... ノルウェーを事例に同盟国が本音では拡大抑止を信じていなくても拡大抑止は続くのではと論じた論文との由。拡大抑止を補う際にソ連を刺激しないよう通常戦力と外交に頼ったりとノルウェーならではの要素はあるようですが、書評が言うように拡大抑止はブラフなのか、ブラフとしてもソ連は抑止されていたのか等々、拡大抑止のニュアンスのある部分を考える材料になりそう

To act faster, the EU might need to abandon unanimity, European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen told the Munich Security Conference. The idea has been floated as a way of bypassing Hungary's veto on Ukraine's EU membership. More from #MSC2026: www.politico.eu/article/muni...

My first attempt to make sense of a truly historic general election. open.substack.com/pub/observin...

Pacific bomber operations last couple of days: • 11 Dec: 2 B-52s (at least one (60-0032) nuclear-capable) with Japan (no flight map released): x.com/jointstaffpa... • 9 Dec: 2 Tu-95 (nuclear-capable) and 2 H-6K around Japan (flight map released). x.com/nukestrat/st...

Our latest Nuclear Notebook is public: The changing nuclear landscape in Europe. It provides our overview of the nuclear situation, with focus on non-strategic nukes. All the players are increasing their nuclear postures. Check details here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

Great Power Diplomacy | Princeton University Press press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

3. Memorandum From the Vice President’s Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs (Watson) to Vice President Bush history.state.gov/historicaldo...

2022年　自民・高市氏「有事の核持ち込み」党内議論検討 www.sankei.com/article/2022...

Coordination office marks first step in U.S. Forces Japan’s shift to ‘warfighting’ command www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/07...

岩屋外務大臣の「欧州・インド太平洋パートナーズ会合」への出席　www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/files/...

『国際問題』最新号は「液状化するNATOートランプ2.0政権下の大西洋同盟」特集。全編無料DL可。 「揺らぐ米国の「核の傘」への信頼：第2次トランプ政権と欧州における核抑止」を寄稿。トランプ政権発足後の欧州における核抑止を巡る動きを歴史を振り返りつつ概観しました。 www2.jiia.or.jp/BOOK/

Japan to send SDF personnel to Lithuania for demining in war-hit Ukraine　mainichi.jp/english/arti...

Japan shows NATO support with first fighter jet deployment to Canada, Europe　www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2025/10...

Dejavu www.lemonde.fr/archives/art...

GREGORY H. WINGER, MIGUEL ALBERTO GOMEZ, AND LAUREN SUKIN, Washington’s Ironclad Commitments Are Rusting in the Indo-Pacific warontherocks.com/2025/09/wash...

After 14 years, I think the time has come to acknowledge that the "Rebalance to Asia" has failed. I've spent the last decade writing and thinking about how to make the rebalance successful, so this is a painful realization. A thread on my new piece for RSIS...

'"As Long As It Takes": What does it mean to commit to Ukraine's security?' We are thrilled to welcome Sir Lawrence Freedman (@ldfreedman.bsky.social) to Queen Mary to deliver our 4th distinguished Hennessy Lecture on 8 October, 6:30. Get your free ticket here! www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/as-long-as...

Precisely. At some point, perhaps soon, Europe will face a hard choice: 1. do nothing & watch Russia grinding through Ukraine & getting closer to NATO territory, but keep Trump happy; 2. ignore Trump & deploy troops (or at least aircraft) to help Ukraine stop Putin. I'm for 2, but risks either way.

On troop deployment: Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.

📢Excited to share the results of the Japanese public opinion survey on foreign and security issues by UTokyo ROLES. It covers public perceptions of threats, relations with the US, nuclear issues and so on. The 3rd edition, conducted this Aug, is available. roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/publicati...

📢今年8月6-8日に実施した外交・安全保障問題に関する日本の世論調査の結果を公開。 昨年8月・今年2月に続く3回目の調査。過去と比べ、脅威認識や核に対する姿勢など大部分で大きな変化はありませんが、対米関係については変化がみられます。 詳細は以下リンクから👉https://roles.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/publication/20250904ja

In view of Trump's stated preference for Ukraine to cede unoccupied lands for "peace", I am re-upping my February essay: "For European NATO countries serious about their own security, self-pity is a dead end and introspection has become useless." www.britainsworld.org.uk/p/the-memora...

“The poll found that support for Ukraine among the American public is at its highest since early 2023.” The American public gets it even if Trump doesn’t.

A piece I've written for KCL's 'Our Divided Planet' forum on the Alaska summit and why it matters even though it's very unlikely to achieve its state goals: www.kcl.ac.uk/trump-putin-...

Gesehen bei @umland.bsky.social und @tvpworld.bsky.social

イタリアもNPT加盟に際して欧州オプションの条件をつけていたのか。

Łukasz Kulesa 2021, Weapons of Mass Debate - Polish Deterrence with Russia in the Line of Sight 　www.institutmontaigne.org/en/expressio...

Brothers in Arms: Macron, Merz and Starmer Plan for a Post-U.S. Future www.nytimes.com/2025/07/18/w...

❗New Strategy Speaks Episode❗ 🇫🇷 🇬🇧 "Entente Nucléaire: France-UK Nuclear Cooperation in a Renewed Era of Deterrence", with Alexander Mattelaer, Elie Perot and Daniel Fiott Apple🔸 podcasts.apple.com/be/podcast/s... Spotify🔸 open.spotify.com/episode/4OUx...

On Thursday, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz will visit London to sign a bilateral cooperation treaty 🇩🇪🇬🇧 To find our more about UK-German relations, the treaty and need for closer cooperation, read this from @nvondarza.bsky.social & Ed Turner 👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/why-parliame...

A few thoughts on Elbridge Colby’s role in the Trump administration. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/elbridge-c...

A New Nuclear Role for Britain and France. open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/a...

France asks FCAS partners to ‘rethink’ work share on fighter project www.defensenews.com/global/europ...