Scaled-back Pentagon report on China. Nuke stockpile increase slowed, with 2024 inventory remaining in low-600s. 100+ ICBMs loaded in new silos (no “peer” yet), 50 more DF-26 (anti-ship?), hardly anything on Navy/AF nuke programs. media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/23/...

It used to be that Greenland security was about the Soviet Union. But these days the threat is the Trump regime. The Danish government even has to summon US ambassador. Putin and Xi probably can’t believe their luck there’s such a crook in the White House. www.cnbc.com/2025/12/22/d...

1/n - Strongman Trump has a new me-plan: A so-called “Golden Fleet” headed by nuclear-powered battleships. Yuuuge, “best-looking,” and named after him. A normal Congress adhering to its constitutional role of checking the executive branch would have lots of questions.

Trump lies about everything, also the reason for his military distraction show against Venezuela. Here is the background: www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

Trump, who has never lifted a finger for the arts, has added his name to the Kennedy Center. This comes weeks after he added his name to the Institute of Peace, as he masses military off Venezuela. Soon we’ll probably get the Trump Constitution of the United States.

Rushing nuclear power plant construction with an industry hunting government subsidies and the Trump regime’s disdain for rules and accountability, what could possibly go wrong?

Production of life-extended 455-kt W88 Alt370 warhead ends, following completion of B61-12 bomb. Focus is now B61-13, W80-4, SLCM-N, W87-1, W93. www.energy.gov/nnsa/article... Moreover, early concept works for a nuke earth-penetrator and the next-gen reentry vehicle are now underway.

The Trump regime goes berserk and expands travel ban to 39 countries. Straight out of a white supremacist authoritarian playbook, the ban hypes a smaller number of crimes as excuse to harass overwhelmingly people of color. www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/... Disgraceful and un-American!

Great work from PRC Prague and SWP Berlin on Russian and NATO nuclear signaling and reactions in the context of the Russian war on Ukraine. www.prcprague.cz/news/2025/12... For infrastructure and operational developments, see also our recent Nuclear Notebook: x.com/nukestrat/st...

The Trump regime, a friend of money and dirty industry but not the environment, delays protection of endangered Monarch butterfly. apnews.com/article/mona...

Very sad to hear that Bill Burr at @NSArchive has passed away. Over the years his work of documenting nuclear history with targeted and relentless FOIA requests created The Nuclear Vault with invaluable collection of declassified documents and analysis. nsarchive.gwu.edu/project/nucl...

NYT investigation found Securities and Exchange Commission eased up on more than 60 percent of ongoing crypto cases when Trump took office. Cancelling investigations, easing penalties on crypto firms, many with direct ties to Trump. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/14/u... Nothing to see here…

"We respect China's historic military buildup" is quite a surprising message from a US secretary of defense. www.politico.com/news/2025/12...

Great and timely piece by @andrewfacini.com and Mallory Stewart about the risk of Trump’s Golden Dome project triggering more strategic buildup. warontherocks.com/2025/12/we-m...

Under the poor leadership of the Trump regime’s health boss RFK Jr, once-fringe views that vaccines hurt children have become the dominant view on the US Center for Disease Control advisory panel. The dangerous view is now driving federal health policy. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Pacific bomber operations last couple of days: • 11 Dec: 2 B-52s (at least one (60-0032) nuclear-capable) with Japan (no flight map released): x.com/jointstaffpa... • 9 Dec: 2 Tu-95 (nuclear-capable) and 2 H-6K around Japan (flight map released). x.com/nukestrat/st...

The last remaining nuclear arms limitation treaty expires in less than two months. Russia and US have been unwilling to make a replacement treaty. Putin has said he would keep limit for one year and Trump has said that’s a good idea. We’re waiting… www.reuters.com/world/china/...

The United States is for the first time mentioned as part of the threat picture in the latest Danish Defense intelligence assessment: The US now uses "its economic and technological strength as a means of power, including towards allies and partners." www.dr.dk/nyheder/udla...

The Trump regime’s so-called national security strategy (reads more like a political manifesto) is sobering reading, pulling US back, undermining achievements/influence earned over a century, and work to pull Austria, Hungary, Italy, Poland away from EU. www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...

Our latest Nuclear Notebook is public: The changing nuclear landscape in Europe. It provides our overview of the nuclear situation, with focus on non-strategic nukes. All the players are increasing their nuclear postures. Check details here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

Another example of a headline misrepresenting what the article says. This one from BBC, an otherwise trustworthy source. The Chinese/Russian aircraft DID NOT violate South Korean airspace. www.bbc.com/news/article... Hey @BBC, you should fix this. People remember headlines, not articles.

Honored to talk to WSJ about nuclear developments in Europe, including Russia’s nuclear-sharing arrangement in Belarus. www.wsj.com/video/series...

From the Department of Cringe. Naming buildings to glorify a sitting president is a sign of impending autocrocy. The length to which officials in this country are willing to go to kiss the ring of the Orange King is a disgrace and an embarrassment.

Bigotry is rearing its ugly face in this country in ways I think most Americans thought only happened in dictatorships and banana republics. The Trump regime is after everything brown, foreign, different. The last few days have been particularly ugly. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Nothing like the Trump Regime! While they shoot up alleged drug trafficking boats in the Caribbean, Trump pardons former Honduras president convicted for drug trafficking. 🤪 www.nytimes.com/2025/12/02/u...

Imagine - after you have fought a brutal invader for almost 4 years who has killed tens of thousands of your people and ravished your country - that an orange man far away declares you have to surrender territory to the invader who will get immunity. apnews.com/article/ukra... 🤮

That fact that legal concern by the top JAG of a military command about whether Trump’s boat killings in the Caribbean are legal can be brushed aside www.nbcnews.com/politics/nat... makes me wonder if pledges to abide by international law in nuclear planning would also be brushed aside.

Honored to speak at Niels Bohr Institute event yesterday on nuclear threats. Great discussion with Frank von Hippel (image), @tongzhao.bsky.social, @russianforces.org, Rebecca Slayton. A warm-up for the Open World Conference next 3 days at University of Copenhagen. openworld.ku.dk

Scientists have analysed 10,000 marine animal autopsies to understand how plastic ingestion leads to death. They were surprised by how little plastic can be dangerous. www.bbc.com/news/article... This is what happens when you toss plastic or don’t pick up what’s there.

After having scaled back environmental regulations and made it easier for industry to pollute the air, the Trump regime now wants to strip federal protections about 85 percent of all wetlands in the United States. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/c...

As the Trump regime is hyping immigration threat to divert attention from real problems and carrying out Rambo-style photo-op stunts in US cities, NYT investigation finds this has diverted resources from real threats. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/u...

Today saw two B-52Hs bombers (60-0059 and 60-0062) taking off from Morón Air Base in Spain for a Middle East mission. 60-0059 returned to Morón, but 60-0062 continued to Qatar and is now over Saudi Arabia. The third (61-0036) flew 2 missions over northern Europe last week.

Japan’s new PM is getting poor advice. US didn’t need to deploy nukes in Japan to deter during Cold War (Okinawa was emptied when it reverted to Japanese control). Tokyo turned blind eye to nukes on ships. No need to change: 3 no’s allow for consultation. www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-as...

While slashing government agencies and programs, laying off tens of thousands of people in the name of “government efficiency,” the Trump-Hegseth strongman stunt of renaming Department of Defense to Department of War could cost up to $2 billion. www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcn...

Pakistan seems to be sliding into military autocracy. www.bbc.com/news/article...

If you suspect Golden Dome to be crazy, exorbitantly expensive, unrealistic, and deeply destabilizing, you’re right. And it looks like a sure way to create a space race that will threaten civilian (and military) use of space even more. breakingdefense.com/2025/11/gold...

Two days after a B-52 flew over Finland and Baltic states, the same bomber (61-0036) is back. Part of a pair? Currently heading north after doing loops near Kaliningrad.

With the INF treaty gone, Russia firing INF-range missiles into Ukraine, NATO is seeking INF-range missile able to reach far into Russia. An INF-range missile arms race is in full swing. www.iiss.org/globalassets...

The new arms race: “The more fact-checking expanded, the more sophisticated the falsehoods became. It is an arms race between truth and lies, and so far, truth is losing ground.” @glennkessler.bsky.social speech about spread of falsehood and war on truth. glennkessler.substack.com/p/my-speech-...

Congratulations to @blueorigin on the successful launch of New Glenn and booster landing. Very impressive! Great to see Musk getting some competition! www.youtube.com/live/ecfxcTE...

In August, USAF carried out series of “stockpile flight tests” of the new B61-12 guided nuke bomb from F-35 jets. www.sandia.gov/labnews/2025... B61-12, which can be used by both tactical and strategic aircraft, was deployed to Europe last year. More here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

After Trump’s uninformed and counterproductive nuclear test threat, it sure is timely to see this National Security Science magazine from LANL: cdn.lanl.gov/files/nss-wi... (h/t @casillic.bsky.social). He should read it. It has lots of pictures.

Reports about Trump regime’s escalating war on the homeland. Escalating military-style raids on neighborhoods, hyping/politicizing crime, spreading misinformation and glorifying videos, demonizing immigrants, undermining rights. > www.ap.org/news-highlig... > www.propublica.org/article/chic...

France’s life-extended nuke cruise missile (ASMPA-R) has become operational on the aircraft carrier-based Rafael with a test flight today. The missile is already in service with the Air Force. France is also developing an advanced nuke missile. More here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10....

State Department deleted records about risk of inadvertent nuclear war from foreign relations publication - records that are still available in public. Trump fired independent committee tasked to oversee the records and seeks to replace it with loyalists. www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...

"what began as a way to increase the pace of deportations has come to look like a national police force, answerable to the president, that is at least as focused on bullying the residents of Democrat-run cities as it is on deporting undocumented migrants" www.economist.com/interactive/...

After heading northeast from Moron AB in Spain to eastern part of Finland, a B-52H (61-0036) - possibly one of a pair - is currently tracking over eastern Estonia. Part of a larger exercise involving reconnaissance, control, fighters, tankers. The B-52 is conventional-only.

In addition to pardoning over 1,000 who attacked Congress in 2021, including hundreds who assaulted police officers, corrupt Trump has now also pardoned a long list of allies and false electors who helped him try to overturn the 2020 presidential election. www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

On all fronts, the Trump regime is breaking things, rolling back science, medical, legal, social, educational standards, misinforming, lying, sabotaging, creating chaos, splitting people against each other…and fighting environmental protection. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

Honored to see our nuclear arsenal data used in this Newsweek article. www.newsweek.com/how-us-nucle... You can find the original and more here on the FAS web site: fas.org/initiative/n...