The media treat all #Indyref2 polls the same, regardless of how well they're designed. The 2 key variables are whether they are skewed by 2014 result weighting (a 6pt bump for No) and how well they include new voters. Comparing a Yougov poll to an Ipsos poll is like comparing a 2CV to a Ferrari.

Occasional reminder that a ‘Swiss style deal’ is not an off the shelf solution. Switzerland has literally hundreds of bilateral agreements with the EU negotiated over decades, many requiring referendums.

Trump's America & Netanyahu's Israel are gangster states. Who think they have immunity to attack anyone they like and not be held accountable. As for all the liberals bemoaning the death of international law the US & Israel have always behaved like this. Trump & Netanyahu just don't disguise it.

My latest blog piece, Trump's attack on Venezuela shows that the USA is now the superpower of piracy. Scotland needs to reintegrate with Europe in order to protect itself weegingerdug.wordpress.com/2026/01/03/t...

In an independent Scotland we would simply not have to listen to Zarah Sultana being patronising

Spray paint a plane and they'll detain you without trial and call you a terrorist. Kidnap a foreign head of state - and Keir Starmer will make it clear we've played no part in it but will wait for the scheduled press conference in a few hours before potentially condemning it

Marco Rubio is reportedly saying Maduro will stand trial in US courts. Which means it’s now the US administration’s position that US courts can hold foreign presidents, but not the US president, accountable for crimes.

If the English took New Year seriously English MPs wouldn't be spending today making a tit of themselves on social media about the neighbouring country they literally hadn't thought about once in their life until roughly September, they'd be grazing on the remaining snacks and vegetating

how do racists in england insist that zarah sultana can't be english when she has just done the most english thing someone could do - Anglosplain Scotland to Scottish people

Smithers, I’m beginning to think that Zarah Sultana was not the brilliant tactician I thought she was

OOOOFT When you're throwing stones from glass houses and you're aiming at a brick shed

At least Alba reached the heady heights of 2% before self-destructing, I fear Zarah & co are trying to achieve some kind of record by wiping themselves out before a vote has even been cast.

Wild that this time last year you might have considered Zarah Sultana a politician with a real interesting future and now she's a figure of fun, in a dying project, where everyone hates everyone else, and her only knowledge of Scotland is what some no marks with an axe to grind tell her. Tragic!

As you may know, many #indyref2 polls reweight their findings to reflect the 2014 result (11+ years ago!) thus resurrecting many deceased No voters. This chart shows figures reweighted to amend that flaw. We see a gradual increase in the Yes trend line to 53%.

As you may know, many #indyref2 polls reweight their findings to reflect the 2014 result (11+ years ago!) thus resurrecting many deceased No voters. This chart shows figures reweighted to amend that flaw. We see a gradual increase in the Yes trend line to 53%.

Israel kills doctors then bans international Doctors Without Borders Israel kills children then bans Save the Children www.savethechildren.net/news/save-ch... www.thenational.scot/news/2573097...

"With Scottish, Welsh, and local English elections coming up in May next year, Labour look on course for their worst set of election results in a century. In other words, the Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, is on the verge of presiding over the greatest defeat in the history of his party."

No need to panic, Yorpers! This was exactly how Abla started out and look how…. Oh… Shit.. Panic away!

🚨 #GE2029 poll points to Scottish Labour WIPEOUT: 🟡 SNP: 32% (+2) ➡️ REF: 24% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 13% (-2) 🟢 GRN: 10% (+4) 🔵 CON: 10% (=) 🟠 LD: 8% (-1) 🟥 YRP: 1% (+1) Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)

Martin Compston has said he still supports Scottish independence and will vote SNP at the next Holyrood elections – but is 'a lot quieter' due to hatred on social media ⬇️

While BBS correctly reports official inertia in #indyref2 polling, it’s important to recognise that the further away we get from 2014, the more bizarre using those figures to weight polls becomes. Also, there are several other factors such as turnout weighting to consider. bsky.app/profile/indy...

Just a reminder that Sawar is a grifter, and that Labour are now Tories. #VoteLabourGetReform #YouYesYet #IndyRef2

I think the answer is "they're not white".

Your reminder that when Westminster dragged Scotland out of the EU against its will, it used the process to grab devolved powers from Scotland including food safety and hygiene. If Westminster bends to this pressure we're in for it too. Independence now, please. #IndependenceIsNormal

2025 has not been a good year for the former mainstays of unionism; UK Labour & the Conservatives. They started it with a combined vote share of 32% just 7 behind the pro-independence parties but dropped to 23% by December 25. With the SNP/ Green vote up, the gap has tripled to 21 points.

Allan doesn’t miss with this one. 100% on the money. Chapeau, sir!

Never mind the media trivia scramble for a few police officers leaving or failing a training course, here’s what matters to you – 25% more officers in Scotland yet violent crime almost three times as common in England & Wales talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/12/28/n...

There has never been a Scottish politician as useless and nakedly careerist as Michael Shanks, the ashtray of Scottish politics. You'd think a former modern studies teacher would understand what happened to Labour in Scotland in 2015, but apparently not. www.thenational.scot/news/2572183...

Apartheid state Farage would restrict child benefit to "working British people, meaning a couple who both work 37.5 hours a week”. 450,000 children would plunge into poverty. Tories plan to restore the two child benefit cap. Children and poor punished. Silence on redistribution, corporate welfare

Oh dear. My annual review of Parliamentary polling over on BBS starts with... well, I'm not very happy, let's just say that.

So proud to live in a nation where its Govt is driven by Compassion, Empathy and sound economic management, even whilst being hobbled by being in a political union that does everything to prevent that happening.

Today's column is on the relentless march of blithering idiocy, which includes denying climate science while your house is - literally in this case - burning down. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

So at what point with current polling does Keir Starmer/whoever replaces him conclude that the only way to save the Labour Party from annihilation in 2029 is electoral reform to a PR system? How much more dire does it need to get?

During indyref the No campaign had *2x* the funds of Yes campaign. Now Reform UK has over £10m donations to buy the 2026 Scottish and Welsh elections with, and the next UK one too. Meanwhile the Scotland and Wales-based parties have to rely on small donations from the public. UK politics is broken.

Following the disgraceful Reform UK puff piece on BBC Scotland's Och Aye the News this evening, more proof that the BBC is normalising the far right. BBC Scotland prefers Anglo-British fascism to Scottish independence. www.thenational.scot/news/2570913...

It's important not to just look at the nat rep changes, because this masks the fact that the growth in negativity is pretty much always concentrated among Labour (and LD/Grn) voters. Starmer's net favourability might have fallen 15pts among all Britons, but it's fallen 35pts among Labour voters!

These figures are insane. I have no idea how accurate they are - aside from the SNP are not on under 30% in any other credible polling. But they’re insane.

MPs laughed when Jake Richards dismissed Jeremy Corbyn’s request for a meeting on the Palestine Action hunger strikers. Laughed. This is who we’re governed by, people entrusted to represent a nation, yet so insulated by power they respond to human suffering with indifference and mockery.

I note that Radio Scotland are now fluffing up this xenophobic maggot; having realised that their unionist party of choice (UK Labour trading as Scottish Labour) has shat the bed quite badly in an electoral sense.

Merry Christmas Union is over! Congratulations to UK Labour's Scottish Branch Office who started the year 5 points behind the SNP and finish it 25 points behind. Pissing off almost every part of the electorate (aside from the rich and racists) isn't easy; so credit where it's due. 🎖️

🚨 NEW | Labour drop to 10% in Senedd poll: 🟢 PLAID: 33% (+3) ➡️ REF: 30% (+1) 🔴 LAB: 10% (-4) 🔵 CON: 10% (-1) 🟢 GRN: 9% (+3) 🟠 LD: 6% (=) Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)

Merry Christmas Union is over! Congratulations to UK Labour's Scottish Branch Office who started the year 5 points behind the SNP and finish it 25 points behind. Pissing off almost every part of the electorate (aside from the rich and racists) isn't easy; so credit where it's due. 🎖️

I thought Joani Reid’s live job interview on BBC hootsland for Jackie Baillie’s job as SNP-baiter General went rather well!

Anyone else remember when the Liberal Democrats were: 🇪🇺Pro-EU 🗳️Pro-PR 🌎 Pro-federal UK I know they’ve fucked up the first two, but does anyone know where they currently are on federalism? Do they have a position? Or do they just blow about?

How did Westminster strip powers from Scotland? By retrospectively overruling Holyrood in 2018. This is how they did it . .

Let’s not make the same mistake twice with our vast renewable resources. It’s time for a fresh start with independence. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Here is how those scores break down by the three measures. Ipsos scores highly on turnout - because it's 9/10 likelihood filter matches the 85% turnout in 2014. And it doesn't use any political weighting, which many believe improves accuracy (albeit this is subjective).

Starmer hit by five Labour defections to Greens

Independent Scotland will be one of the Richest Countries in Europe. Sadly, many older Scots don't want this. They've absolutely no idea why.