filter_out() = yeet()

Just updated my manuscript on using #GAMs in #AnimalScience, now on arXiv: doi.org/10.48550/arX... 🐄🐖🪶 Extended examples now show how GAMs go beyond prediction, helping estimate biologically meaningful traits from data. Code: github.com/gavinsimpson... 🧪 #RStats #mgcv #Statistics #OpenScience

"I don't care for the UK tonight So stay Stay" Fuck you, Katie Lam, absolutely fuck off. www.youtube.com/watch?v=W38v...

I’m seeing some misinformation about pseudo-random number generator best practices going around the internets. Let’s talk about why the pseudo-random number generator seed you use shouldn’t actually have any impact on your results and, consequently, you can choose whatever seed you damn well please.

So Framework is supporting projects in the Linux ecosphere that are lead by vile, racist, homophonic, transphobic people and sees nothing wrong with that. And Shopify supports and platforms the racist idiot that built Ruby on Rails, all because their money stream is entirely dependent on Rails

Fuck Kramnik

The Pink Book of #MarginalEffects (aka Model to Meaning) ships next week and I've got a backlog of Zoolander memes. Hope you're hungry for some spam in your timeline. #RStats #PyData

The new {marginaleffects} release for #RStats (0.30.0) comes with two new vignettes: 1. Speed up computation with automatic differentiation (often 10x gains) marginaleffects.com/bonus/perfor... 2. Power analyses with {marginaleffects} and {DeclareDesign}. marginaleffects.com/bonus/power....

We're glad to finally bring you this update!

I am beyond excited to announce that ggplot2 4.0.0 has just landed on CRAN. It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package. Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats

If you’d like to go beyond updates and truly master GAMs in R, join our online course with @gsimpson.bsky.social, 8–11 Dec. 📊 Learn how to fit, interpret, visualise, and communicate GAMs in practice, guided by one of the leading experts in the field. www.physalia-courses.org/courses-work...

🚀 gratia 0.11.1 is out! Compatibility with ggplot2 4.0.0 + usability improvements + bug fixes. #Rstats #mgcv #gam #statistics

🚀 gratia 0.11.0 is out! Now has a paper in JOSS — please cite 📄 doi.org/10.21105/jos... Experimental parallel processing ⚡ New assemble() for building plots 🎨 Better support for complex families + new diagnostics 🧪 Lots of bug fixes + polish ✨ 👉 gavinsimpson.github.io/gratia/ #Rstats

A new visitor 🕷️ to our back yard garden 🪴 Not sure what it is yet, but for scale the abdomen is about as large as the end of a human male’s little finger

Replication Crisis xkcd.com/3117/

You WILLL NOT guess what this is about. But I encourage you to try before clicking through for the answer. www.reddit.com/r/AskNYC/s/X...

📢 Course alert! Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) in R with @gsimpson.bsky.social 📅 8–11 Dec (Online) Learn how to model complex relationships using GAMs, splines & more with mgcv and gratia. Details & registration 👉 www.physalia-courses.org/courses-work... #Rstats #DataScience #GAMs #Statistics

Packed house at Åben 🍻 for the second night of #PintOfScience in #Aarhus #Denmark 🧬 🧪 Tonight’s talks; 🎙️ Attack of the Clones - Andrew Ferenbach 🎙️ Is there a Serial Killer Gene? Victoria Twiddy

It is criminal that early career researchers like Bert are in such tenuous positions. Bert has and continues to do some exceptional work on statistical ecology. If you know of any relevant opportunities, details 👇

A few months until the end of my postdoc contract. Norway has defunded a good part of the academic system, so opportunities are limited. I will try to apply for my own funding, but pending potential failure, if someone has a job opportunity that might suit me I would be happy to have a chat!

...And used this helpful suggestion from @vincentab.bsky.social using the marginaleffects package (cited in the preprint) to estimated total hospitalizations averted across the whole season. bsky.app/profile/vinc...

The paper also makes use of the hierarchical GAMs outlined here by @ericjpedersen.bsky.social, David Miller, @gsimpson.bsky.social, @noamross.net (well, the simplest possible application of them anyway)... peerj.com/articles/6876/

That's quite a line break...

REPOSTS APPRECIATED ‼️ Please if you're a queer european person or simply a decent human being, sign his petition to help fight LGTB+phobia in EU. Trans people are being persecuted, it ends in a month and in less than a minute you can help people to not lose rights eci.ec.europa.eu/043/public/#...

My brother and son are autistic and RFK Jr can go fuck himself, along with every single person who watches this and nods along.

When will they learn 🤬 www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

For what it's worth I wrote a bit of posterior simulation code gist.github.com/bbolker/a369... - this may mimic what's already done under the hood in some of @strengejacke.bsky.social's packages ...

What's a good way to compute a confidence interval for fitted (i.e. expected) values of response in a zero-altered gamma model (no ranefs) fitted in glmmTMB (with family = ziGamma(link = "log"))? @bbolker.bsky.social ? #RStats

New essay out in EOS: The Valuable, Vulnerable, Long Tail of Earth Science Databases. eos.org/opinions/the... These data resources are essential to Earth system research and have enormous costs of replacement. With Andrea Thomer, @sjgoring.bsky.social, & Jessica Blois

Lungfish xkcd.com/3064

Bonus update! Choropleths are still visually distorted and overrepresent land, so we can instead use points that are sized by population. I added an example at the end to show one way to do this with {sf}'s magical st_centroid() #rstats www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2025/02...

One more bonus update with two changes: 1. A diverging color palette centered at 4% lets us see which counties are doing great or doing poorly 2. That size legend was spaced funnily, but we can make it more compact with {legendry} #rstats www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2025/02...

Don't forget to apply to this summer school on model-based multivariate analysis for ecologists! If you have any doubts about applying, or questions, I'm happy to have a chat.

🚀 Huge thanks to @gsimpson.bsky.social and all our attendees for joining the Multivariate Data Analysis in R with {vegan} course! 🌿📊 We loved diving into ordinations, diversities, dissimilarity and more with you all. Happy coding everyone and good luck with your data analysis💻✨

#ifitsisits #catsagram

A pleasure to be involved in this paper, which turned out to be quite a tricky analysis! Same data, different analysts: variation in effect sizes due to analytical decisions in ecology and evolutionary biology bmcbiol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....

🚀 In 2025, #CESAB will launch a call to fund IdeaShare & DataShare projects, advancing BIODIVERSITY research & interdisciplinary collaboration 💡 IdeaShare: Develop new concepts, models & methods 📊 DataShare: Assemble, curate & share biodiversity datasets 📆 Opening in April Stay tuned ! 🌈 🌐🧪🌍🦤🍁

New paper! Semi- and non-parametric methods are a popular way of analysing infectious disease time series, as are fully mechanistic models - this work develops an approach combining elements of each. (Most credit to the first and last authors!) royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...

Due to a last-minute cancellation, we have one seat available for the online course "Multivariate data analysis with R and vegan" with @gsimpson.bsky.social , starting next week (Feb 10th-13th). For more information, please visit: www.physalia-courses.org/courses-work...

Another video in my series on applied time series and forecasting with the {mvgam} #rstats 📦. This one introduces State Space hierarchical GAMs and GPs for tackling multivariate series youtu.be/2POK_FVwCHk?...

📖Published📖 Our new review highlights useful links (and differences) between Bayesian and frequentist approaches to smoothing, in an accessible way, with a focus on the mgcv implementation. Read more here 👇

🚨 Almost Full! Don't Miss Out! 🚨 Want to master multivariate data analysis in R? Here's your chance to learn from @gsimpson.bsky.social 📅 Dates: 10–13 February 2025 💻 Format: Online 🔗 Details & Registration: www.physalia-courses.org/courses-work... Spots are filling up quickly—secure yours now! 🎯

Reposting this for the weekday crowd A new YouTube video on one of the new functions in my gratia 📦 for #RStats

Interesting package for working with and visualizing results from GAMs.

A) this new function is super handy, and B) this video is incredibly clear. Thanks @gsimpson.bsky.social!! Excited for the upcoming vids!

I've posted a new video on YouTube that gives a brief overview of the new conditional_values() function in my gratia #RStats 📦 I plan to do more of these videos over the next few weeks & months. Make sure you're subscribed if you want to be notified as they get posted. youtu.be/iKG0aHWpTAo

Learned so much about non-linear models this week- thanks @gsimpson.bsky.social! Highly recommend for everyonewho is into gams :-)

The course on Generalised Additive Models in R has come to a close. We are grateful to @gsimpson.bsky.social for sharing his expertise and providing such valuable insights into these models. Thank you to all participants for your engagement and contributions throughout the week!

If nothing else, this highlights the utility and (dare I say) flexibility of the #mgcv #rstats package!! gif from @gsimpson.bsky.social intro to GAMs slide deck (fromthebottomoftheheap.net/slides/gam-i...)

What a privilege to learn about GAMs in R from the amazing @gsimpson.bsky.social This week, we'll learn how GAMs provide a versatile framework for data analysis, encompassing GLMs, GLMMs, and more, enabling you to tackle a wide range of scenarios beyond traditional parametric models.