The results challenge claims that the climate risk posed by an individual projects is negligible or cannot be quantified. 👉 theconversation.com/for-the...

For so long, fossil fuel projects have said their contribution to climate change is "negligible". Turns out that's wrong. Our research in NPJ Climate Action proves it. Every tonne of CO2 matters. @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social @minderoo.bsky.social #climatechange www.nature.com/articles/s44...

🚨 Interested in climate futures under net-zero emissions? Check out our new ESD Ideas paper! In the paper, we discuss what the Earth system modelling community can do to improve the understanding of long-term post-net-zero changes 🌍💻 esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

Don’t let anyone fool you into thinking carbon dioxide removal is the solution to climate change. It’s a small piece of the puzzle. But it won't be able to offset a substantial portion of our fossil fuel emissions 🧵

The people I work with are not stupid people and our climate predictions of 30 years ago of global warming have proved to be accurate. Just saying. www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cp...

We are seeking a PhD student interested in working in an innovative project to try and improve understanding of climate-health risks in Central Asia. If you're interested please get in touch by 24th September (see instructions below).

On The Climate Brink: More about the DOE Climate Working Group report. The Fix Is In: Without independent review editors, their “peer review” process is a sham. Science and humanity deserves better.

More than 85 scientists say that a recent U.S. Department of Energy report is full of errors and misrepresents climate science.

The DOE Climate Report is full of misleading claims and cherry-picking as demonstrated in this meticulous report. I'm happy to have played a small part in this community response.

This report shows what targets Australia should adopt to align with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal that Australia has signed up to. For Australia to be playing its part it would need to strengthen the 2030 target and achieve at least 81% emissions reduction (relative to 2005 levels) by 2035.

I take a look at how spring is shaping up for Australia and the possible negative Indian Ocean Dipole event taking shape theconversation.com/changes-are-...

Lots of news articles today about recent cold weather and the cold July in parts of Australia, e.g. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08.... It's worth noting though that it was still warmer than historical (1961-1990) averages even in Western Australia which had its coldest July since 2012

New paper out! This is a big, interdisciplinary reflection on the types of challenges that are likely to come our way in the context of wildfires in the next 50 years. Was fun to write this one. authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S... www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

A great summary of a report with so many holes and so much cherry-picking it's hard to know where to begin! Thanks @benmsanderson.bsky.social

The flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas was undoubtedly made worse because of climate change. I would estimate that there was 7-20% more rainfall than w/o the human interference in the climate. But w/o detailed attribution studies on the storm and associated runoff, we can't know for certain.

In our new paper we discuss how communication of post-net zero climate changes needs to improve and go much further than global average temperature @chrisd-jones.bsky.social @sarahinscience.bsky.social @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s43...

⚠️ Scientists urge eastern Australia to plan for more dangerous floods as climate warms A rapid study by @wwattribution.bsky.social found the wettest 4-day rainfall events in a year are about 10% more intense in NSW compared to the preindustrial climate 🧵 ow.ly/ylh350W3iBO

🚨 New paper alert! 🧪 🔥 How would heat extremes in Europe evolve under long-term net-zero emissions? Find out in our ERL article, co-written with @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and Tilo Tiehn iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... Here’s a quick summary (1/n) 🧵

Australia is experiencing both severe flooding from record rains and a significant drought at the same time. Andrew Dowdy and I take a look at what's happening theconversation.com/nsw-is-coppi...

Just one more week to apply for this PhD project! Details below

Well done to PhD student Liam Cassidy on a new paper examining projected changes in heat extremes under net zero CO2 emissions and causes of uncertainties at the regional scale. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Much of Australia is having a remarkably warm autumn. Here I discuss the main drivers of the unseasonable heat and what's in the outlook. theconversation.com/its-almost-w...

I'm excited to be advertising a PhD project on climate change projections under net zero emissions and overshoot scenarios! Applications close 23rd May.

Large-scale greenhouse gas reductions will take time to return most of Earth to pre-industrial climates, a study in #AMSJCli suggests. Several decades later, only a few areas are likely to “de-emerge” say authors @hunterdouglas.bsky.social, @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social et al. More: bit.ly/43tA4nQ

Out today: our comprehensive review of Australian droughts. It covers the nature and drivers of drought development, intensification & termination - and how those are changing with climate change. www.nature.com/articles/s43...

Although global mean temperature has cooled down slightly with respect to March 20th, it's now three days in a row (March 20th- 22nd) with unprecedented record temperatures for those days of the year 🌡️🌍🌊 Credit: C3S/ECMWF @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social

Come work with us at the ANU on the role of resolution in setting the mean state and variability. This is a great opportunity to be part of the @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social

In this open review paper with @climatenerilie.bsky.social , @edualastrue.bsky.social and Tilo Ziehn we argue that the slow nature of some changes in the climate necessitate longer model projections at net zero emissions. egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

Happy to be a very small contributor to this nice paper from UniMelb student Alex and supervisors @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and @drjobrown.bsky.social well done Alex! agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

In this article @lindenashcroft.bsky.social and I look at the latest WMO report on the climate in 2024. In a nutshell- the climate is moving further away from its pre-industrial state because of our greenhouse gas emissions. We need to get to net zero ASAP theconversation.com/flooding-in-...

I'm looking forward to attending my second @egu.eu meeting next month! I'll be presenting on how we detect and communicate global and local climate changes under different net zero emissions pathways. Hope to meet many new and familiar faces! meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

There are many individual stories from the mass layoffs in NOAA and NWS that are so sad to read. This mass firing is incredibly short-sighted and will have dangerous consequences. It will set back progress in atmospheric science and weather forecasting not only in the US but globally.

🚨 First PhD paper in @pnas.org 🥳 🌊 @edualastrue.bsky.social and I looked at how much less CO2 will be taken up by the ocean if the #AMOC weakens - and how this reduced ocean carbon uptake affects the social cost of CO2 emissions. 📝 Read the paper here: doi.org/10.1073/pnas... 🧵 A thread [1/11]

"Put simply, we are not even moving in the right direction, let alone at the required pace." Nice summary from @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social for @theconversation.com on new research that kinda states the obvious - we've arrived at 1.5C (and we're not stopping there).

In Nature Climate Change, we show that a year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. @natclimchange.bsky.social

Our study into why 2022 was so wet in Eastern Australia is now published (open access).This was a combined effort from 19 mostly ECRs to understand the meso, synoptic and planetary scale drivers of this remarkable year. journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

Two weeks later. This is exactly why La Nina thresholds need to be met for multiple weeks before declaring a La Nina.

If Australia wants to keep pace with other countries (let alone be a leader in science and innovation) then clearly this needs to change. www.abc.net.au/news/2025-01...

The impact of ENSO on regional rainfall is nonlinear, which can have a severe impact on regional hydroclimate variability. In this new paper with @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and @drjobrown.bsky.social, we assess CMIP6 models in capturing this nonlinearity - doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Last year was the hottest on record for the planet. The need to change course and rapidly decarbonise has never been clearer theconversation.com/as-los-angel...

When the national broadcaster and the national meteorological agency say different things it's not ideal... The Bureau of Meteorology is the best source for weather and climate information, but the ABC should make sure it doesn't diverge from BoM.

La Niña declarations seem to pop up in the media every other week. @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and I set the record straight. theconversation.com/la-nina-back...

Advocating for climate change action can feel like pushing a boulder up a hill. But the doom and gloom can mean we ignore how far up we’ve climbed. So, I’ve curated a list of 7 positive #climate stories from 2024, one from each of the world’s 7 continents. pursuit.unimelb.edu.au/articles/7-g...

Great job opportunity here as part of @21stcenturyweather.bsky.social to work on changes in storms under climate change! jobs.unimelb.edu.au/en/job/91911...

Last Monday we published an article on the skill of weather forecasts. We gave a prelim forecast for Melbourne for Xmas. To prove our point, the models are now converging on a mid-30s Xmas and a low-40s Boxing Day. The forecast will prob move a little bit, but read our article and you'll see why!

Update - max temps for today around Melb

Very happy to have been awarded a promotion to Associate Professor effective start of 2025! I'm fortunate to work in a great team and have lots of excellent collaborators.

An important message, but importantly, both A) global temperature roughly plateaus, but ALSO, B) regional climate continues to change, including sea level rise and plausibly Antarctic sea ice reduction, see study led by @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social here esd.copernicus.org/articles/15/...

Do you want to know more about how Australia's climate is changing? You can read the recent State of the Climate report, or come to a free AMOS webinar tomorrow afternoon and listen to us talk about it! www.bom.gov.au/state-of-the... events.humanitix.com/state-of-the...

I discuss the latest summer outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology in this new @theconversation.com article theconversation.com/this-summer-...