Michael Wehner
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
📤 2196
📥 93
📝 123
Climate scientist
pinned post!
Special issue on Artificial intelligence and machine learning in climate & weather science in Advances in Statistical Climatology Meteorology & Oceanography. ML/AI in atmosphere, ocean & hydrological sciences welcomed.
www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/sch...
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ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
over 1 year ago
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eos.org/research-spo...
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Glaciers May Flow into the Ocean More Quickly Than We Think - Eos
New research found that adjusting a key model variable may give more accurate predictions of glacial retreat.
https://eos.org/research-spotlights/glaciers-may-flow-into-the-ocean-more-quickly-than-we-think
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Ambarish Karmalkar
about 1 month ago
Abstract: The case is made that machine-learning statistical estimation neither can nor should be expected to supplant physics-based simulation for weather forecasting.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
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https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-25-0214.1/BAMS-D-25-0214.1.xml?tab_body=fulltext-display
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Poetry heard at the AMS Tropical Meteorological meeting : "Big whorls have little whorls, Which feed on their velocity, And little whorls have lesser whorls, And so on to viscosity." — Lewis Fry Richardson
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Ezra David Romero
2 months ago
‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future “Without a long-term warming trend, these events were previously either unlikely or statistically impossible. We kind of unlock that possibility”
@kqednews.kqed.org
@kqedscience.bsky.social
www.kqed.org/science/2000...
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‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future | KQED
An early spring California heat wave is feasting on what’s left of the Sierra Nevada snowpack, raising wildfire and drought concerns.
https://www.kqed.org/science/2000372/snow-eater-heat-wave-behind-big-sierra-melt-is-a-look-at-our-climate-future
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
ECMWF
about 2 months ago
How well do ML weather models capture severe storms? A new analysis of Storm Amy compares ECMWF’s forecasting systems. Read the blog ➡️
www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...
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The American Meteorological Society seeks nominations for the 2026 Syukuro Manabe Climate Research Award. Nominations due 5/1/26. This award is granted to researchers who have made outstanding contributions to the fundamental understanding of Earth’s climate system.
www.ametsoc.org/stac/committ...
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Syukuro Manabe Climate Research Award - Scientific and Technological Activities Commission
https://www.ametsoc.org/stac/committees/committee-on-climate-variability-and-change/news-announcements-awards/syukuro-manabe-climate-research-award/
3 months ago
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New(ish) paper:
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
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The combined effect of extreme heat and COVID-19 on agricultural labor supply in California communities
While growing bodies of scholars have examined the separate effects of extreme heat and COVID-19 on migrant farmworkers in the United States, we are unaware of any study examining their potential comb...
https://journals.plos.org/climate/article?id=10.1371/journal.pclm.0000770
3 months ago
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Latest paper on impact attribution. A must read for those interested in the topic
doi.org/10.3389/fcli...
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Frontiers | Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts
The field of extreme event attribution (EEA) has rapidly developed over the last two decades. Various methods have been developed and implemented, physical m...
https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1455023
4 months ago
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Not being an actual meteorologist, I have a question about the NCEP Stage IV radar precipitation dataset. The attached picture is a snapshot of the current SoCal radar. The concentric circles at Hanford and Santa Maria are clearly artifacts. Does NCEP correct for this?
5 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Juan Moreno-Cruz
6 months ago
It's happening! Canada launched two programs to recruit international researchers. Canada Impact+ Research Chairs (1 million/yr for 8 yrs +) Canada Impact+ Emerging Leaders. I will do my best to facilitate the process for those interested. Hit me up.
www.canada.ca/en/impact-pl...
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The Government of Canada introduces new programs for international researchers - Canada.ca
https://www.canada.ca/en/impact-plus-chairs/news/updates/2025/12/government-of-canada-introduces-two-new-programs-for-international-researchers.html
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New paper: Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations at
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations - Frontiers of Earth Science
Offsetting the global warming caused by anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases by deliberate injection of aerosols into the stratosphere is the most studied of solar radiation management geoengineering schemes. The long-term success or failure of such schemes in achieving their stated goals is assessed by comparing simulated geoengineered temperature, precipitation and tropical cyclones metrics to equivalent fields in the simulated targeted climate simulations. Results using available data sets from three single model stabilized climate target experiments and three multimodel climate change reduction experiments are presented and compared against a measure of internal variability. While all but one experimental scheme is successful in achieving their targeted global mean annual surface temperature, their success at regional scales varies significantly and is often larger than the internal variability metric used here.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11707-025-1180-z
7 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they)
8 months ago
The attack on
@frediotto.bsky.social
was seeded years ago by Roger Pielke Jr, who started arguing that this table from a recent
@ipcc.bsky.social
report proved that climate science cannot attribute extreme weather to climate change. But Roger is of course lying. And we know this for 2 reasons. 🧵
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
IPCC
8 months ago
📣 PRESS RELEASE Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open! Registration closes 30 Nov 2025. Read more 🔗
www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...
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Thank you for posting. I have hundreds of hours into these (2,3,4,& 5) . At taxpayer expense, I might add.
add a skeleton here at some point
10 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Tim Osborn
10 months ago
Delighted to announce that Ben Santer is now an Honorary Professor
@ueaenv.bsky.social
& the Climatic Research Unit (CRU). Ben is returning to his "academic home": he did his PhD in CRU before his stellar career developing "fingerprint" methods to identify human & natural effects on climate.
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof Friederike Otto
10 months ago
What caused deadly landslides in Colombia? Finding out, should be easier. Tropical climates are complex, but if data are held by companies & organisations hiding them behind walls of bureaucracy it becomes impossible.
@wwattribution.bsky.social
study:
www.worldweatherattribution.org/growing-expo...
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It can get pretty hot.
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How Hot Can It Get? Scientists Are Struggling to Find an Answer
Figuring out how anomalously high temperatures can rise is taking on added importance as the planet warms.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-11/how-hot-can-a-heat-wave-get-scientists-struggle-to-find-answers?srnd=homepage-americas
11 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Cabot Institute for the Environment
11 months ago
Heatwaves affect different places in different ways. Leafy suburbs are cooler than more built up, concrete heavy areas, which means that disadvantaged communities are more likely to be more severely affected. Watch our super short video on heatwaves to find out more...
#heatwave
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I explained what extreme event attribution is in this article.
doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
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Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.5309
11 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
11 months ago
The study by Xueke Li and colleagues was published here in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA:
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
(see their ref. 37 for our original Petoukhov et al. 2013 paper)
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PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2504482122
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
11 months ago
A resonance phenomenon is causing big waves in the atmosphere. And that has increased due to
#globalwarming
, causing wild summer extremes, a new data analysis finds. The mechanism was first identified in 2013 by the late Vladimir Petoukhov at the Potsdam Institute.
apnews.com/article/extr...
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Planetary waves linked to wild summer weather have tripled since 1950, study finds
A new study says climate change has tripled the frequency of atmospheric wave events linked to extreme summer weather in the last 75 years.
https://apnews.com/article/extreme-weather-climate-change-heatwave-flooding-drought-cc4c3d93e178b6f4ab13cb7788998801
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael E. Mann
11 months ago
Important postscript on our recent study: We can confirm now that the recent heat domes over North America & Europe were part of a resonant "wave 7" hemispheric pattern that emerged in mid June, persisting through most recent data [analysis by
@xuekeli.bsky.social
]
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The flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas was undoubtedly made worse because of climate change. I would estimate that there was 7-20% more rainfall than w/o the human interference in the climate. But w/o detailed attribution studies on the storm and associated runoff, we can't know for certain.
11 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Kate Marvel
11 months ago
This is theft, plain and simple. They stole this from you. Every deletion, every erasure, every website that goes dark is a crime against the American public
add a skeleton here at some point
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It's an older clip (11/01/23) but I think worth posting. Senate Environment And Public Works Committe Hearing on Impact of Climate Change on Severe Weather
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https://portal.nersc.gov/cfs/m3318/Senate/How_does_climate_change_affect_people.mp4
11 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael E. Mann
11 months ago
"Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century" | Our new article in
@pnas.org
by
@xuekeli.bsky.social
,
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
, Shannon Christiansen & yours truly:
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century | PNAS
We demonstrate a tripling in the frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past halfcentury, coinciding with the rise in persistent bor...
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2504482122
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After a brief (6 week) retirement, I am pleased to be back at work on statistics, extreme weather and climate change. And even had a paper accepted (with
@michaelemann.bsky.social
) on my first day. 😀
12 months ago
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A kid-friendly article explaining our recent paper on atmospheric river clusters! The Science Journal for Kids team did a fantastic job explaining to younger audiences how back-to-back “rivers in the sky” can drive extreme weather impacts.
www.sciencejournalforkids.org/articles/how...
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How can rivers flow through the air? - Science Journal for Kids and Teens
Researchers wanted to know how dense atmospheric river clusters form and how climate change might increase their frequency and intensity.
https://www.sciencejournalforkids.org/articles/how-can-rivers-flow-through-the-air/
about 1 year ago
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Announcing a special issue "Advancing the statistical modelling of weather and climate extremes and their meteorological drivers based on moisture and heat transport" in Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology & Oceanography (ASCMO)
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ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
about 1 year ago
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Our son is decarbonizing steel manufacturing.
www.linkedin.com/posts/aipman...
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#sustainableinvestments #industrialdecarbonisation #aipmanagement | AIP Management
How do you generate strong investor returns while reducing global emissions? At AIP Management, we see decarbonisation infrastructure not just to drive…
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/aipmanagement_sustainableinvestments-industrialdecarbonisation-activity-7308037487732383744-ei3H/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAALAv3kBsROy2ih5pb1zQpc5qAGxxjM7Gkw
about 1 year ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Berkeley Institute for Data Science (BIDS)
about 1 year ago
Deb Agarwal was named as a 2024 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fellow. She hopes this recognition will bring greater visibility to informatics professionals within AGU. Read more on her dedication to advancing
#EarthSciences
through advanced computing & data science:
cs.lbl.gov/news-and-eve...
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Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow - Computing Sciences %
Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow. This is a distinguished recognition honoring her impactful work in Earth and environmental science. This accolade highlights her dedication to a...
https://cs.lbl.gov/news-and-events/news/2024/deb-agarwal-named-2024-agu-fellow
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Our new paper on the upper bound of temperature. The original title was “Impossible temperatures are not as rare as you think”. But reviewers thought that was too clever, so we have a boring title. But I hope that you find the paper interesting.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Data-driven upper bounds and event attribution for unprecedented heatwaves
The last decade has seen numerous record-shattering heatwaves in all corners of the globe. In the aftermath of these devastating events, there is inte…
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000015
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Gabriele Villarini
over 1 year ago
📖🌀 New book alert! Gabe Vecchi, Enrico Scoccimarro and I have edited the book "Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective" It was great to work on it with my dear friends, and big thanks to the authors who made this project possible!
environment.princeton.edu/news/new-boo...
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New Book Presents Essential Expertise on Hurricanes and Their Global Impacts
https://environment.princeton.edu/news/new-book-presents-essential-expertise-on-hurricanes-and-their-global-impacts/
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Jeff Berardelli
over 1 year ago
Today's Berardelli Bonus: 2024 was the hottest yr on record at ~3F higher than just 100 yrs ago. Also the wettest w/ moisture 7% higher than 30 years ago adding to more intense downpours & floods. The excess warmth is due mainly to the build up of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from fossil fuels
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More on the attribution of the effect of climate change on wildfire from my 2023 testimony to the US Senate EPW committee in response to a question from Senator Merkley (D-OR).clip is 2 1/2 minutes.
www.c-span.org/clip/public-...
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User Clip: Senator Merkley (D-OR) fire
Senator Merkely (D-OR) asks Dr. Wehner about attribution of individual wildfires
https://www.c-span.org/clip/public-affairs-event/user-clip-senator-merkley-d-or-fire/5091975
over 1 year ago
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To be clear, attribution science makes quantitative statements about the influence of climate change on specific events. Complex events have complex causes & statements are statistical. The tragic LA fire is complex & such statements will be difficult. Details on attribution
doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
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Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.5309
over 1 year ago
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Undoubtedly, the tragic SoCal fires have been worsened by climate change. But mostly because of hotter and drier conditions, not because of wind speed changes. ERA5 shows that the 95th percentile winds are actually decreasing in the region. 1980-2020 trend:
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof Friederike Otto
over 1 year ago
How extreme was the weather this year? Is a question we,
@wwattribution.bsky.social
, get asked every year. Looking back at the events we studied in detail & some new stats, we try to give an answer
www.worldweatherattribution.org/when-risks-b...
- in short: it was pretty bad, but things can change!
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael Witherell
over 1 year ago
Ashok Gadgil has devoted his career to bringing inventions like this one to millions of people who need them:
www.salon.com/2024/12/24/m...
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My invention brought clean water to millions. Don't rewrite the law that made it possible
None of this could have happened without a little-known 1980 law called the Bayh-Dole Act
https://www.salon.com/2024/12/24/my-invention-brought-clean-water-to-millions-dont-rewrite-the-law-that-made-it-possible/
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Harold Brooks
over 1 year ago
The song of my people.
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At AGU? I will explain how we arrived at our Hurricane Helene precipitation attribution statement 11:10 on Tuesday
agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/me...
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A provisional Hurricane Helene rainfall climate change rapid attribution statement
On September 30, 2024, we made a rapid attribution statement about effect of cl...
https://agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/1772918
over 1 year ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Mann Research Group
over 1 year ago
Happy Friday! Not sure where to start your Monday at
#AGU2024
? Check out these MRG and
@penncssm.bsky.social
events starting with our 8:30am session Heat Waves Behind the Scenes: Drivers, Mechanisms, Changes and Impacts chaired by
@michaelemann.bsky.social
, Xueke Li and
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
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Tsunami Warning now in effect includes coastal CA &OR from 10 miles NW of Santa Cruz to 10 miles SW of Florence .Warnings indicate that widespread dangerous coastal flooding accompanied by powerful currents are possible & may continue for several hours after the initial wave arrival.
over 1 year ago
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Video of National Academy of Science, Engineerying & Medicine Attribution of Extreme Weather Committee Meeting #1 is now available.
www.nationalacademies.org/event/43993_...
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https://www.nationalacademies.org/event/43993_11-2024_attribution-of-extreme-weather-committee-meeting-1
over 1 year ago
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Special issue on Artificial intelligence and machine learning in climate & weather science in Advances in Statistical Climatology Meteorology & Oceanography. ML/AI in atmosphere, ocean & hydrological sciences welcomed.
www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/sch...
loading . . .
ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
over 1 year ago
2
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