Michael Wehner
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
📤 1993
📥 91
📝 80
Climate scientist
pinned post!
Special issue on Artificial intelligence and machine learning in climate & weather science in Advances in Statistical Climatology Meteorology & Oceanography. ML/AI in atmosphere, ocean & hydrological sciences welcomed.
www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/sch...
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ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
12 months ago
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New paper: Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations at
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations - Frontiers of Earth Science
Offsetting the global warming caused by anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases by deliberate injection of aerosols into the stratosphere is the most studied of solar radiation management geoengineering schemes. The long-term success or failure of such schemes in achieving their stated goals is assessed by comparing simulated geoengineered temperature, precipitation and tropical cyclones metrics to equivalent fields in the simulated targeted climate simulations. Results using available data sets from three single model stabilized climate target experiments and three multimodel climate change reduction experiments are presented and compared against a measure of internal variability. While all but one experimental scheme is successful in achieving their targeted global mean annual surface temperature, their success at regional scales varies significantly and is often larger than the internal variability metric used here.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11707-025-1180-z
16 days ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they)
28 days ago
The attack on
@frediotto.bsky.social
was seeded years ago by Roger Pielke Jr, who started arguing that this table from a recent
@ipcc.bsky.social
report proved that climate science cannot attribute extreme weather to climate change. But Roger is of course lying. And we know this for 2 reasons. 🧵
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
IPCC
about 2 months ago
📣 PRESS RELEASE Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open! Registration closes 30 Nov 2025. Read more 🔗
www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...
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Thank you for posting. I have hundreds of hours into these (2,3,4,& 5) . At taxpayer expense, I might add.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Tim Osborn
4 months ago
Delighted to announce that Ben Santer is now an Honorary Professor
@ueaenv.bsky.social
& the Climatic Research Unit (CRU). Ben is returning to his "academic home": he did his PhD in CRU before his stellar career developing "fingerprint" methods to identify human & natural effects on climate.
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof Friederike Otto
4 months ago
What caused deadly landslides in Colombia? Finding out, should be easier. Tropical climates are complex, but if data are held by companies & organisations hiding them behind walls of bureaucracy it becomes impossible.
@wwattribution.bsky.social
study:
www.worldweatherattribution.org/growing-expo...
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It can get pretty hot.
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How Hot Can It Get? Scientists Are Struggling to Find an Answer
Figuring out how anomalously high temperatures can rise is taking on added importance as the planet warms.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-11/how-hot-can-a-heat-wave-get-scientists-struggle-to-find-answers?srnd=homepage-americas
4 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Cabot Institute for the Environment
4 months ago
Heatwaves affect different places in different ways. Leafy suburbs are cooler than more built up, concrete heavy areas, which means that disadvantaged communities are more likely to be more severely affected. Watch our super short video on heatwaves to find out more...
#heatwave
add a skeleton here at some point
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I explained what extreme event attribution is in this article.
doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
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Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.5309
4 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
5 months ago
The study by Xueke Li and colleagues was published here in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA:
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
(see their ref. 37 for our original Petoukhov et al. 2013 paper)
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PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2504482122
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf
5 months ago
A resonance phenomenon is causing big waves in the atmosphere. And that has increased due to
#globalwarming
, causing wild summer extremes, a new data analysis finds. The mechanism was first identified in 2013 by the late Vladimir Petoukhov at the Potsdam Institute.
apnews.com/article/extr...
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Planetary waves linked to wild summer weather have tripled since 1950, study finds
A new study says climate change has tripled the frequency of atmospheric wave events linked to extreme summer weather in the last 75 years.
https://apnews.com/article/extreme-weather-climate-change-heatwave-flooding-drought-cc4c3d93e178b6f4ab13cb7788998801
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael E. Mann
4 months ago
Important postscript on our recent study: We can confirm now that the recent heat domes over North America & Europe were part of a resonant "wave 7" hemispheric pattern that emerged in mid June, persisting through most recent data [analysis by
@xuekeli.bsky.social
]
add a skeleton here at some point
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The flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas was undoubtedly made worse because of climate change. I would estimate that there was 7-20% more rainfall than w/o the human interference in the climate. But w/o detailed attribution studies on the storm and associated runoff, we can't know for certain.
4 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Kate Marvel
4 months ago
This is theft, plain and simple. They stole this from you. Every deletion, every erasure, every website that goes dark is a crime against the American public
add a skeleton here at some point
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It's an older clip (11/01/23) but I think worth posting. Senate Environment And Public Works Committe Hearing on Impact of Climate Change on Severe Weather
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https://portal.nersc.gov/cfs/m3318/Senate/How_does_climate_change_affect_people.mp4
4 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael E. Mann
5 months ago
"Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century" | Our new article in
@pnas.org
by
@xuekeli.bsky.social
,
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
, Shannon Christiansen & yours truly:
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century | PNAS
We demonstrate a tripling in the frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past halfcentury, coinciding with the rise in persistent bor...
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2504482122
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After a brief (6 week) retirement, I am pleased to be back at work on statistics, extreme weather and climate change. And even had a paper accepted (with
@michaelemann.bsky.social
) on my first day. 😀
5 months ago
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A kid-friendly article explaining our recent paper on atmospheric river clusters! The Science Journal for Kids team did a fantastic job explaining to younger audiences how back-to-back “rivers in the sky” can drive extreme weather impacts.
www.sciencejournalforkids.org/articles/how...
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How can rivers flow through the air? - Science Journal for Kids and Teens
Researchers wanted to know how dense atmospheric river clusters form and how climate change might increase their frequency and intensity.
https://www.sciencejournalforkids.org/articles/how-can-rivers-flow-through-the-air/
6 months ago
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Announcing a special issue "Advancing the statistical modelling of weather and climate extremes and their meteorological drivers based on moisture and heat transport" in Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology & Oceanography (ASCMO)
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ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
7 months ago
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Our son is decarbonizing steel manufacturing.
www.linkedin.com/posts/aipman...
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#sustainableinvestments #industrialdecarbonisation #aipmanagement | AIP Management
How do you generate strong investor returns while reducing global emissions? At AIP Management, we see decarbonisation infrastructure not just to drive…
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/aipmanagement_sustainableinvestments-industrialdecarbonisation-activity-7308037487732383744-ei3H/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios&rcm=ACoAAALAv3kBsROy2ih5pb1zQpc5qAGxxjM7Gkw
8 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Berkeley Institute for Data Science (BIDS)
8 months ago
Deb Agarwal was named as a 2024 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fellow. She hopes this recognition will bring greater visibility to informatics professionals within AGU. Read more on her dedication to advancing
#EarthSciences
through advanced computing & data science:
cs.lbl.gov/news-and-eve...
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Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow - Computing Sciences %
Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow. This is a distinguished recognition honoring her impactful work in Earth and environmental science. This accolade highlights her dedication to a...
https://cs.lbl.gov/news-and-events/news/2024/deb-agarwal-named-2024-agu-fellow
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Our new paper on the upper bound of temperature. The original title was “Impossible temperatures are not as rare as you think”. But reviewers thought that was too clever, so we have a boring title. But I hope that you find the paper interesting.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Data-driven upper bounds and event attribution for unprecedented heatwaves
The last decade has seen numerous record-shattering heatwaves in all corners of the globe. In the aftermath of these devastating events, there is inte…
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000015
9 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Gabriele Villarini
10 months ago
📖🌀 New book alert! Gabe Vecchi, Enrico Scoccimarro and I have edited the book "Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective" It was great to work on it with my dear friends, and big thanks to the authors who made this project possible!
environment.princeton.edu/news/new-boo...
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New Book Presents Essential Expertise on Hurricanes and Their Global Impacts
https://environment.princeton.edu/news/new-book-presents-essential-expertise-on-hurricanes-and-their-global-impacts/
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Jeff Berardelli
10 months ago
Today's Berardelli Bonus: 2024 was the hottest yr on record at ~3F higher than just 100 yrs ago. Also the wettest w/ moisture 7% higher than 30 years ago adding to more intense downpours & floods. The excess warmth is due mainly to the build up of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from fossil fuels
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More on the attribution of the effect of climate change on wildfire from my 2023 testimony to the US Senate EPW committee in response to a question from Senator Merkley (D-OR).clip is 2 1/2 minutes.
www.c-span.org/clip/public-...
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User Clip: Senator Merkley (D-OR) fire
Senator Merkely (D-OR) asks Dr. Wehner about attribution of individual wildfires
https://www.c-span.org/clip/public-affairs-event/user-clip-senator-merkley-d-or-fire/5091975
10 months ago
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To be clear, attribution science makes quantitative statements about the influence of climate change on specific events. Complex events have complex causes & statements are statistical. The tragic LA fire is complex & such statements will be difficult. Details on attribution
doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
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Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
https://doi.org/10.1063/PT.3.5309
10 months ago
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Undoubtedly, the tragic SoCal fires have been worsened by climate change. But mostly because of hotter and drier conditions, not because of wind speed changes. ERA5 shows that the 95th percentile winds are actually decreasing in the region. 1980-2020 trend:
10 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Prof Friederike Otto
11 months ago
How extreme was the weather this year? Is a question we,
@wwattribution.bsky.social
, get asked every year. Looking back at the events we studied in detail & some new stats, we try to give an answer
www.worldweatherattribution.org/when-risks-b...
- in short: it was pretty bad, but things can change!
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Michael Witherell
11 months ago
Ashok Gadgil has devoted his career to bringing inventions like this one to millions of people who need them:
www.salon.com/2024/12/24/m...
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My invention brought clean water to millions. Don't rewrite the law that made it possible
None of this could have happened without a little-known 1980 law called the Bayh-Dole Act
https://www.salon.com/2024/12/24/my-invention-brought-clean-water-to-millions-dont-rewrite-the-law-that-made-it-possible/
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Harold Brooks
11 months ago
The song of my people.
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At AGU? I will explain how we arrived at our Hurricane Helene precipitation attribution statement 11:10 on Tuesday
agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/me...
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A provisional Hurricane Helene rainfall climate change rapid attribution statement
On September 30, 2024, we made a rapid attribution statement about effect of cl...
https://agu.confex.com/agu/agu24/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/1772918
11 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Wehner
Mann Research Group
11 months ago
Happy Friday! Not sure where to start your Monday at
#AGU2024
? Check out these MRG and
@penncssm.bsky.social
events starting with our 8:30am session Heat Waves Behind the Scenes: Drivers, Mechanisms, Changes and Impacts chaired by
@michaelemann.bsky.social
, Xueke Li and
@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
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Tsunami Warning now in effect includes coastal CA &OR from 10 miles NW of Santa Cruz to 10 miles SW of Florence .Warnings indicate that widespread dangerous coastal flooding accompanied by powerful currents are possible & may continue for several hours after the initial wave arrival.
11 months ago
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Video of National Academy of Science, Engineerying & Medicine Attribution of Extreme Weather Committee Meeting #1 is now available.
www.nationalacademies.org/event/43993_...
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https://www.nationalacademies.org/event/43993_11-2024_attribution-of-extreme-weather-committee-meeting-1
12 months ago
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Special issue on Artificial intelligence and machine learning in climate & weather science in Advances in Statistical Climatology Meteorology & Oceanography. ML/AI in atmosphere, ocean & hydrological sciences welcomed.
www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/sch...
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ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
https://www.advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net/articles/scheduled_sis.html
12 months ago
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