This paper with @miweintraub83.bsky.social, @edebruin.bsky.social, and Livia Schubiger has been online for a bit, but it is officially published! cambridge.org/core/journal...

Dream Team: Profs Carolina Pinzón, María Alejandra Vélez, @miweintraub83.bsky.social - thank you very much for receiving me @ceseduniandes.bsky.social in June/July 2025! The perfect place to investigate the current drug politics in Colombia and on a global scale. #cocaine #sharedresponsibility

New article on Fast Track by @miweintraub83.bsky.social, @abbeyst.bsky.social, and Sebastián Pantoja-Barrios, “The Bureaucracy of Reparations and Political Engagement,” www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...

Hace unas semanas me volví colombiano. Escribí en @lasillavacia.bsky.social sobre lo que ha significado para mí. "Colombiano, por fin" 🇨🇴 www.lasillavacia.com/red-de-exper...

🚨 working paper alert🚨 @carotorreblanca.bsky.social, Will Dinneen, and I have published an updated draft of "The Evolving Landscape of Political Science: Two Decades of Scholarship in a Growing Discipline." We hope you will find it interesting. osf.io/preprints/os...

US trade war is not a global trade war. Its US self-isolation. Europe/China/Japan/India/Brazil should meet immediately and announce plans to resist global restrictions with each other. Otherwise, US tariffs could cause trade diversion spiral roiling global economy. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/w...

Escribí en @elpaisamerica.bsky.social @elpaisamericaco.bsky.social sobre la tendencia del Presidente Gustavo Petro a llamar "nazi" a sus detractores. Reduce a eslogan una palabra cargada de un peso histórico que exige cordura. elpais.com/america-colo...

🚨 Calling all alumni of Bridging the Gap programming… Check your email! We’ve just sent you a survey, and we’d love your input. Let @bridgingthegap.bsky.social know if you didn’t receive it, and feel free to ask @miweintraub83.bsky.social & me any questions. Thanks so much in advance!!

From the moment I met Edgar Tumiña, he was always surrounded by children. Tumi dedicated his life to rescuing kids who were recruited into armed groups, and preventing more from joining. I have been struggling to find words to write about his assassination on Saturday. Short 🧵

A small ray of light: my paper with @heingoemans.bsky.social and @miweintraub83.bsky.social, “Loss Framing in Territorial Disputes,” is “just accepted” at @thejop.bsky.social! See what prospect theory can (and can’t) explain about territorial disputes: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

“Lo obvio y lo correcto.” Mi columna en @ElPaisAmericaCo: a pesar de la violencia en el Catatumbo, volver a la erradicación forzosa de la hoja de coca sería un error. Mejor que el Estado ejerza su función reguladora del mercado. elpais.com/america-colo...

Mañana hablaremos con más de diez Secretarios de Seguridad y de Gobierno en Colombia, para discutir los retos que enfrentan en sus labores. Próximamente sacaremos un documento de síntesis resumiendo las conclusiones principales.

It has been three years since my mom died. While I miss her terribly, each year it’s gotten progressively easier. If any one of you reading this is grieving, I hope you’ll soon find respite from the pain.

Congratulations @edebruin.bsky.social @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social, Livia Schubiger & @miweintraub83.bsky.social on this important contribution!

"More than half of the 100 congressional districts with the largest proportion of federal workers are held by the GOP, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis." (@wsj.com chart below shows congressional districts in the South.) www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

I know so many talented young people who decided to pursue careers in public service in the past year and were excited to receive jobs in the federal government. It’s just sickening to see how they are being treated. We are losing people who were working hard on our behalf.

Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia doi.org/10.1017/S000... Paper in @apsrjournal.bsky.social by @edebruin.bsky.social, @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social, @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow Livia I. Schubiger ‪and @miweintraub83.bsky.social

📢 ¡Agéndese para la transmisión del seminario (en español) del @ceseduniandes.bsky.social! 🗓️Este lunes 17 de febrero, a las 12:30 pm. Inscríbase aquí: shorturl.at/zoalR

A tremendously important report. Bravo.

My paper with @edebruin.bsky.social, @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social, and Livia Schubiger, "Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia," has been published online at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. Here is a 🧵on our paper. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

You could say this about so many things. USAID. Dept of Ed. But we have representatives in Congress who are elected to hash out these arguments and write the compromises into law. Either we do it that way, or we recognize that we are in a completely new country.

El otro día @miweintraub83.bsky.social comentaba en el Seminario de Políticas y Desarrollo de la FEG EAFIT cómo podemos evitar la llegada de alguien como Bukele a un país como Colombia. Aquí van algunas pistas:

Psyched about the final proofs for this paper (w/ @edebruin.bsky.social @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social & Livia Schubiger). As soon as the manuscript is up on the @apsrjournal.bsky.social website, I will do a thread describing the paper!

Wednesday.

Thanks for your visit, @miweintraub83.bsky.social! We are very happy to have started our Politics and Development Seminar Series with your presentation.

I loved presenting today at Universidad EAFIT. This coauthored paper (with Joana Monteiro and André Mancha) studies the creation of a new police unit in Brazil. Thanks to @santiagotobon.bsky.social and colleagues for the warm welcome. (Photo credit: the excellent Pablo Sanabria.)

I received a desk reject yesterday for one of my papers. It sucked! (This post is part of my campaign to normalize failure.)

applications close 12 January for our doctoral search! focus on political violence; global south; methodological rigor; fun community and great city! bsky.app/profile/maca...

new year, new ways to help graduate students! :) during graduate school, I found grant/fellowship applications overwhelming & it was hard to know where to start. Hopefully having access to some successful examples can help: www.angietorresbeltran.com/service

Read a draft of this and delighted to see it live in @cpsjournal.bsky.social! @danigilbert.bsky.social explains armed group cooperation through 113 tough-to-get interviews on Colombian kidnapping. Want impressive research on crime and politics? Read this 👇 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Para todos mis colegas académicos: les deseo mucha suerte logrando en estos 9 días lo que no hemos podido hacer durante todo el semestre.

Hard to deny that the collapse of civic life is connected to: 1) the collapse of religious involvement among younger generations 2) the total collapse of local and regional news organizations. Everyone wants to solve the problem without reversing these two changes, but that's very hard.

Como siempre, fue espectacular pasar unos días en Cali, explorando proyectos que me emocionan.

Email nowadays is everyone apologizing to everyone else for replying a month late to the other's message. What a world.

It's astounding how the anti-immigrant crime narrative has taken over, despite this: We've had the fastest increase in the immigrant share of the population in decades, and the fastest ever decline in the US homicide rate.

This paper looks 🔥🔥🔥

Did Austerity Scar Young Men? Budget cuts led to widespread closures of youth centers & police stations, creating two distinct natural experiments by @carmenvillaecon.bsky.social & @elisafacchetti.bsky.social Fantastic new papers on what works to prevent crime open.substack.com/pub/dralicee...

Although this article by @shelleyliu.bsky.social is not recent, its relevance is clear as events unfold in Syria. The study analyzes how rebels consolidate power after civil war through strategies like leveraging ties in wartime strongholds or deploying loyal bureaucrats in unsecured areas.

Still trucking through The Making of the Atomic Bomb (halfway there). So much to say about the writing and how Rhodes structured the story! But one of the most fascinating things is his telling of how physicists, politicians, and military folks differ in their approaches to solving problems.

As we witness the extraordinary events in Syria, I recommend reading work by @shelleyliu.bsky.social on what happens when rebels take power after civil war. She highlights how wartime experiences shape post-war patterns of governance 👇🏽 dukespace.lib.duke.edu/server/api/c...

Figs and roses from our garden / Brevas y rosas de nuestro jardín

Many of us work with high-frequency spatial & temporal data that can frustrate causal inference. That's why we created geocausal, a new R package that helps you identify counterfactuals for user-specified windows even in the face of spillover & carryover effects. Check it out:

Just received proofs for our article "Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia," forthcoming at @apsrjournal.bsky.social (w/ @edebruin.bsky.social @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social and Livia Schubiger). I'll post a thread here in the coming days!

Applications are now open for IPSI 2025! June 8-12, 2025 Washington, DC. IPSI is a five-day professional development program for professors and post-docs in the field of international affairs who want to build the tools and networks to produce and disseminate policy-relevant academic research.

This album.

Estaré presentando en el Congreso de la República en unos minutos sobre la política de drogas en Colombia. www.youtube.com/watch?v=FP35...

Great work by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah

Highly recommended ⬇️

1/🧵 Excited to share findings from our paper, "Loss Framing and Risk-Taking in Territorial Disputes," co-authored w/ @andizhou.bsky.social & @heingoemans.bsky.social, accepted at Journal of Politics. It explores how framing affects public support for risky escalation in territorial conflicts.

I'm still on the *other* site, so for a while at least I may post things that also appear on my feed over there. Sorry :/