The Myth of a Rightward Realignment   Let’s discard some stubborn misconceptions about Trump’s support and what happened in the 2024 election. They are only obscuring our understanding of a profound de-alignment. As the piece is partially behind a paywall, I’ll share some key thoughts: 🧵

What about “education polarization” though, often presented as the root cause of everything that is happening in U.S. politics – the closest thing we have to a widely accepted master narrative?   Its impact is dramatically overstated; its implications are generally misinterpreted.

Among white people, the correlation between racial resentment and their voting decision is much, much stronger than between educational attainment and political alignment. In fact, if you control for racial resentment, education polarization basically disappears.

Must be wild to see your geopolitical rival commit suicide like this lmao

Not sure how many people realize that battery storage already supplies 30% of California’s electricity demand at peak. Batteries aren’t the future — they’re here now.

My politics normally: / My politics now:

America needs an EFF

BREAKING: Twitter

Well, Twitter is cooked

I still don’t know how to get the main feed working on this. Can I get something other than five news outlets please?

I rather have Julius Malema run Twitter

Surprised I got a post on Blue Sky to pop off

I forgot how boring Truth Social is

I should do some trolling on Truth Social

Elon Musk is the whitest guy on Earth

day 125 of saying fuck donald trump

twitter is such a stupid site. they can't even keep it running

I probably should take a break from all social media today

Which there was more of Political Twitter active now on here

People shouldn't act like affluent college educated suburban Republicans are somehow more moderate than Republican voters as a whole, it might been true back in 2012, but not now

Yep it's not an education thing. Highly educated Republicans are *more* likely to be climate deniers than less educated Republicans. It's conservative ideology and far right media.

Also if non white voters aren't actually a monolith for Dems, then we should pay more attention towards class voting as a whole, not just whites, also you can split up white voters by different religious sects

Presidential vote among whites shows continued income polarization (data from @electionstudies.bsky.social's 2024 timeseries), with income negatively correlated to GOP presidential vote.

I think the 2008 data is off since Romney did noticeably better in affluent white precincts, and didn't do that much better in a lot of poor white areas

Mamdani is the greatest campaigner of the modern era. I have some skepticism about his policies, but you can't deny that he's managed to break into both highly educated liberal and low info voter spaces. If he was 10% less Muslim/socialist he'd be a future president (and maybe despite that...).

The 2025 NY Special election in NY SD-22, a contest between Dem Sephardic community leader Sam Sutton and GOP Attorney Nachman Carl Caller following the resignation of Simcha Felder to take a seat on the New York City Council proved an easy hold for Dems in this Orthodox seat

Tricia Cotham made national news when she switched from the Dems to the GOP in 2023, handing the North Carolina GOP a supermajority and receiving a favorable district in redistricting. Her #HD105 did flip from Trump to Harris, but she held on and won re-election by 200 votes.

The three Dems dropping dead was bad but not actually pivotal in anything. Under a realistic gerrymander of New York however (see below), Dems would’ve had three more seats, and thus the house majority.

this isn’t even true. here’s a chart from David Shor showing how climate change and the environment is one of the strongest issues for democrats! the problem is that it’s low salience!

Unlike Twitter, these bad boys never go down.

i have never once in my life met a security professional who thinks security questions are a good idea but every major corporation uses them. it's like some kind of collective mania

Update - Given the breakup of the coalition, this is the new seat-count: Labor 94, Libs 29, Nats 15, Independents/others 11, Greens 1. In doubt: - Calwell(Lab vs Ind) Labor is favoured due to expected preference flows - Bradfield(Lib vs Ind) Genuine coin toss Shades: elected/likely/ahead

The cruelty is the point.

The reason I don't use Blue Sky more often is due to the other site still having a bigger user base

Me right now

Julius Malema of the EFF is so right about Elon

Thanks a lot to President Elon

Some account chimed in to defend David Shor from accusations that he's a race "realist" (read: racist), but their account had zero followers and followed zero other people and exclusively posted to defend David Shor. When I pointed that out, they deactivated lmao

anyway, if you were wondering why David Shor keeps arguing that Republicans will never pay an electoral penalty for racism under any circumstances, this is why

St. Louis, Missouri, adopted two significant reforms to her elections in ~recent years: In 2012, voters cut the number of Alders from 28 to 14, taking effect after the 2020 Census. In 2020, voters adopted a top-two nonpartisan primary with approval voting for city elections.

I guess late night tea spillage because it's a new website and I want to be messy. The fact that Clare is still on Election Twitter and people still favorably interact with her even though she proudly works for a staff-abusing, transphobic, piece of crap Congresswoman just really irks me

Map of the 1986 Spanish General Election by Municipality

This app is so much smoother ngl but so few oomfs here

Just followed back a lot of people, since this is my first time in months using Blue Sky

I probably won't use this account very much unless Twitter completely collapses

I'm on Blue Sky now thanks to @jaames.bsky.social !