The idea that electoral outcomes are sometimes very high variance is extremely threatening to a model of politics that suggests that the optimal strategy is reducing how much you do when you're in power to increase your mean outcome in elections slightly

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New short from me, it's been nearly 2 years that there's been a huge amount of Central Sq under construction. All they're building is a plaza youtube.com/shorts/kc5hU...

1990 rain (orange) and snow (blue)

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There's this weird overestimation of how common the anti abortion position is because it's the one socially conservative position that's tolerated among liberal circles so Iiberals imagine it's the most popular one

Maximum daily temperature by month, aggregated 1990-2020. Coming soon(?) to urban stats 👀

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There's this weird people do when discussing conservative Christians they want you to simultaneously believe that 1. They believe everything in the Bible is true 2. They believe the Bible says X is correct 3. They do not believe X is correct

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Of course they are. Any level of free protection from dental issues runs the risk of one of "us"... the "underclass"... accidentally breaking through the barriers and being unjustly allowed to participate in jobs & activities meant exclusively for our betters.

Need some tiktok and Instagram influencers to start saying that this is a conspiracy by big dentist to sell more dental care

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There's this weird sense in which I think people who are mechanically and practically advocating inaction believe they're actually very radical which is that their *analysis* is more dire than other people's

It's simultaneously true that stuff like No Kings/Indivisible isn't particularly meaningful and also that the *reason* it's not meaningful is that the government simply ignores it It's impossible for it to be meaningless and unsafe simultaneously

Amazing!

Juxtastat 746 5/5 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 It has been done…

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Modern reactionary sentiment seems extremely uninterested in actually knitting together an ideology that everyone can coherently agree on, relative to 20th century reactionary ideology. Like you also see this in how modern anti feminism has nothing to offer women even rhetorically

Real

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Idk if I've shared this on bluesky but here's Steamed Hams but all the Chalmers lines are replaced with Sisko's from the Pale Moonlight monologue youtu.be/a5jhv38P0bo?...

Going to become a Caracalla stan as a bit because of @gaius.bsky.social's latest video

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Imo this is extremely underdiscussed! It's not even a red/blue state thing, it's basically a pure regional effect where it's the northwestern part of the country (more ag) vs everywhere else

In a country where very few people actually work in agriculture and manufacturing it's ridiculous that we are treating low grain prices as the negative part of the tarrif trade-off where the positive part is that we have high prices for manufactured goods

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No no this is just the newest innovation in New England making sure incumbents never get voted out

Look I know that Avi Loeb is a bit of an embarrassment, but does Harvard really need to open a whole center to cover drama related to him?

Cursor loves input validation so much it does it on your environment, a thing it also controls! Just complete and total nonsense. If you want to use rasterio, install it!

In a lot of these high profile shooting cases you get all these images of 5-year-olds who later turn out to be assassins/mass shooters holding guns, stories about how their parents bought them a gun at age 15, etc., and it's all just such a sick alien culture to me. Culture of death

Oh wait, is this why there's that stereotype about assassins all being referred to by three names?

🚨 Urban Stats 29.0.0 🚨 Added election data at county level and above (states, MSAs, CSAs etc) for 2008, 2012, and 2024. While detailed precinct data does not exist for these elections, I decided I would stop waiting around for 2024 and just add it. Questions also added to Juxtastat.

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The theme is way better in a minor key, though

On the other hand, this is a significantly more sane response to an influencer being shot than a national day of mourning and a bunch of glowing editorials

People have a tendency to just assume people's motives are beyond comprehension when in fact it's just normal low info politics + gun. Like Luigi Mangione wasn't a committed ideological leftist or a Nazi? His politics must truly be incomprehensible and not just median voter anti healthcare stuff+gun

"I think [I'm holding up] very good. And by the way, right there you see all the trucks. They just started construction of the new ballroom for the White House" is such an unhinged response to someone who dedicated their entire career to you being murdered lol

I get where people are coming from to some degree but I think this just doesn't engage with what conservatism necessarily is: bigotry. There's no reason to value tradition over reason except to justify bad ideas from the past

This one French Japanese Cafe in Cambridge (Vervienne) is like ridiculously busy, I thought I would go there now because it's like 1:30 on a work day, but like the line was entirely full and every table was taken

Genuinely insane to me that the Romans decided to make their national mythology Augustus's commissioned self-insert fanfic of The Iliad

It's an interesting way to carve up a compromise because it means that a bunch of areas that are either poor or rich but don't mind housing will get up zoned while the rich areas that almost certainly would never get apartments anyway, but absolutely hate the idea and are terrified of it, are not

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Funniest possible thing for him to say. Bestie, losing a jungle primary by 45 is not a "poll"

As someone who didn't like the whole Roy Cooper prayer thing much, I think this is a fairly effective use of Christian themes in a relatively secular way

California is so woke that the KKK runs non-white candidates

I don't love the California "50% in the jungle primary means you win" rule, but imo there should be *some* threshold, like maybe 50%*(prev general turnout)/(prev primary turnout), which would be 66.0% in this case. Like what's the point of even having a general atp