Legalized, device-based gambling is a terrible, terrible idea.

In any normal week this would be a huge story. France moves toward extending a nuclear umbrella over European allies-- a major sign of declining credibility of US extended deterrence. www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

“Bankability” of critical minerals is in the eye of three beholders — investors (returns), users (low prices), and governments (security). You can’t optimize all three at once. That tension will shape the future of ex-China supply chains. My latest for @piie.com.

I would want to see benchmarks against other EVs, but for those old enough to remember this is a really damning association.

we don't yet know why superintendent carvalho had his home raised, but just some context:

Charades, BoP edition.

This is a really good post. If the 122 tariffs were really about a balance of payments crisis equities and bond markets would not be nearly as sanguine.

If you aren't already following @mclem.org, it's well worth your while. Foremost person I know working on the economics of immigration and immigration enforcement, a great guy, and my @piie.com colleague. Best of luck at Hopkins!

"Diversification at scale requires allies to accept near-term costs [...] But for the first time in decades, US political stability and policy continuity are themselves part of those allies’ risk calculations." must read

The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.

You don't revoke scientific findings. You revoke those findings informing official US policy. Reality has not changed.

For example, in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying ‘Beware of the Leopard.'

"Hegseth's Pentagon gives CBP an anti-drone laser and they almost immediately misuse it to fire on a child's party balloon, shutting down local airspace," would be rejected as a side plot in Veep for being too unrealistic and too on the nose as a metaphor.

For non-academics, this is exactly what people mean when they mock these centers as "DEI for conservative viewpoints": there isn't a snowball's chance in hell this record gets you an assistant professorship at a regional comprehensive, much less a flagship R1, without a 800-ton thumb on the scale.

The #BRICS have the least tangible but perhaps most important assets for tackling the growing food security gap: skin in the game and something to prove on the global stage. Both provide strong incentives to step up as advanced economies retreat from food aid.

‘One officer told me that I "had no chance of returning to Minnesota" and that "the best thing for (me] is self-deportation." … She offered me $2600 to self-deport. I refused. I wanted to talk to my attorney. They didn't tell me the judge had already ordered my release and return to Minnesota.’

Can we talk about how incredible it is that Norway - with a population roughly that of Minnesota - just dominates the Winter Olympics?

The US seeks price floors with allies to build ex-China mineral supply chains. If US allies and trading partners start pricing US political risk alongside Chinese leverage, Western minerals coordination will get much harder to sustain. My latest at @piie.com. www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

happening this morning in Minneapolis -- ICE agents drawing guns on observers. I reiterate again that it is only a matter of time before DHS kills more innocent people in Minnesota. Congress needs to shut this shit down right now.

What happens to global food security if U.S. food aid keeps retreating? Our new @piie.com brief looks at a transformative possibility: the gap may be filled not by traditional donors — but by BRICS+ countries and biotechnology. www.piie.com/publications... 1/5

Holy shit. Not only was Tulsi Gabbard present for the raid on Georgia's election center, she called Trump and put him on speaker phone to the FBI agents conducting the raid! (Gift link)

I was just hearing the other day that there is a nationwide coke and fentanyl shortage. Oh, wait. “Cocaine sold in the U.S. is cheaper and as pure as ever for retail buyers,” reports the WSJ. It's whack-a-mole at best.

Huge thanks to @pkrugman.bsky.social for the invite to be on the show — really fun conversation on all things trade policy, tariffs, and global weirdness. Also confirming for family record-keeping purposes: this is indeed my “talking to a Nobel Laureate” face.

This is great news (at least in short term): I have a Tacoma and the biggest concerns about going electric have been towing range and fear of getting stranded in the wilderness. This goes a long way to solving the latter. Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

NEW: Many food-insecure developing economies with significant hunger lack the resources to self-finance agricultural R&D & have to depend on themselves—& one another—to meet rising food needs. @cullenhendrix.bsky.social argues that BRICS+ are well positioned to fill the world’s food security gap.

Since 2017 progress combatting hunger has stalled. It's set to get even harder. Climate shocks and conflict are driving up hunger while food aid from advanced economies — especially the US — has pulled back. Can BRICS+ countries and biotech innovation step in to fill it? My latest for @piie.com.

No money for any of this. That has to be the line.

Great new piece by @oliverkaplan.bsky.social on the tools and strategies protesters are using in Minnesota, and how they are part of a toolkit used widely by communities in war zones. theconversation.com/anti-ice-pro...

I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good. Stay free

Jew in Amsterdam here. Please use Anne Frank as a comparison point to explain how state persecution of scapegoats impacts children, that is the point of her example, thanks

Service, fitness, outdoorsmanship, chivalry, and a willingness to absorb harm to protect others: by the very standards the right lionizes, Alex Pretti embodied a more ‘Greatest Generation’ masculinity than the agents who killed him or the politicians who put them in a position to do so.

The Ilhan Omar video is disturbing and her in the moment response very brave. This was a much more dangerous situation than the one leading to Alex Pretti's shooting, and security managed to get the guy on the ground and reestablish order without killing anyone.

Alex Pretti’s coworkers take a moment of silence this morning

As insane as this sounds, it’s true: Pam Bondi sent Minnesota officials a letter today saying ICE would leave the state if Minnesota turns over its voter files to the Trump Administration." Isn't this called extortion? The coup continues🤬 Read more👇✊ www.rawstory.com/pam-bondi-26...

I would not expect anything like this from the NFL. NBA, maybe.

A reminder to the news media: “conflicting accounts” is what you say BEFORE the incontrovertible video evidence appears. After that, your job is to ask why one side is lying, not to repeat the lie and pretend no one knows the truth.

From the NY Post. You know they are really scrambling when they are running "The gun was no angel" stories.

Also, may I say that I don’t agree with people saying ICE and CBP need “more training.” They’re doing exactly what this administration has trained them to—impose a reign of fear in blue cities. They don’t need more training. They need to be ripped up root and branch.

"The armed suspect reacted violently." An outright, barefaced and monstrous lie, conclusively disproven by irrefutable video evidence.

This analysis by the New York Times paints a damning picture of ICE's decision to kill Alex Pretti after Pretti had attempted to help a woman who had been shoved (assaulted) by ICE. ICE had Pretti pinned on the ground when one agent appears to come across a gun. After taking the gun, they kill him.

Breaking MS NOW: Aides to Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche directed the U.S. Attorney's office and FBI agents in Minnesota to shut down the civil rights investigation into the fatal shooting of Renee Good and instead alter it to probe Good for possible criminal liability.

Breaking NYT: The FBI agent who sought to investigate the federal immigration officer who fatally shot Renee Good has resigned from the bureau, according to two people familiar with the matter, after leadership pressured her to discontinue a civil rights inquiry into the officer.

Best thing I've read on higher ed in years. Years. Rarely do you see systems thinking and institutional analysis this sharp.

Al-Qaeda groups in Mali. ISIS affiliates in Syria and Nigeria. Insurgencies in Pakistan. Have foreign aid cuts, the emphasis on domestic immigration, and other policy shifts neglected critical global security threats? Join us Friday, Jan. 30 at American Univ in DC www.eventbrite.com/e/ignored-in...

BREAKING: Pension funds in Sweden, Denmark, and Finland say the risk premium on U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar has risen, prompting some to sell U.S. Treasuries, per Reuters

“The strong do what they can" is what Athens said right before destroying itself. New piece on the Carney Doctrine, Vaclav’s grocer, and American hubris. hegemon.substack.com/p/the-strong...

@cullenhendrix.bsky.social joined @mdebolle.com on Policy for the Planet to discuss why the Trump admin adjusted its stance on critical minerals, how the globe responded to the new & aggressive approach, & what it means for the green transition. Listen here or wherever you get podcasts:

THE WOMAN WHO WAS DRAGGED OUT OF HER CAR AND ARRESTED BY ICE SPEAKS OUT… We’ve all seen the videos, but it matters to hear Aliya Rahman say it herself. 📌 She says her treatment in custody was dehumanizing, and that officers completely failed to take her disability seriously.

There is no point in dancing around this. @mdebolle.com and I recorded several months ago but the point is no less relevant today; new episode of @piie.com Policy for the Planet podcast on critical minerals and US critical mineral strategy. Available on your platform. www.piie.com/newsroom/pol...