"Amidst the flurry of trade announcements ahead of the August 1 deadline to secure new tariff rates, one country ended up near the bottom of the pack, and it’s not the one you’d expect." Read @inumanak.bsky.social & Victoria Fenton's latest piece 👇 policyoptions.irpp.org?p=117808

Inu Manak & Victoria Fenton: Why no trade deal with Trump might be good for Canada policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/au... @inumanak.bsky.social @policyoptions.irpp.org

The United States has a unique opportunity to catalyze market demand for green technology and services, write @inumanak.bsky.social and Helena Kopans-Johnson.

With voters like this, maybe America will be OK. Just need more of them.

Glad to see Americans quizzing members of Congress about who has tariff authority in the United States. newrepublic.com/post/199291/...

A lot of what makes trade agreements long is the schedules of tariff concessions. If these agreements aren't long, one reason might be that other countries haven't actually agreed to lower many tariffs.

No, Trump is not ushering in a new global trading order. My latest, for @financialtimes.com on.ft.com/45LiCLf

"But it is foolish to think the US can simply will a new order into existence when it hasn’t convinced anyone of the merits of its self-harming approach." Other countries don't want to touch the stove. They're desperately hoping we'll stop doing it, too. Spot on from @inumanak.bsky.social

Oh good, the FT has @inumanak.bsky.social trying to balance out the nonsense about a new US led trading order. Or indeed deglobalisation. Or the many other fashionable arguments about trade that aren't in fact happening.

From @inumanak.bsky.social in the FT: "No, Trump is not ushering in a new global trading order"

"Trade deals don’t make Trump’s emergency tariffs legal" -- Marc Busch and I break down the latest attempt by the DOJ to call for an even more expansive view of the president's tariff authority. thehill.com/opinion/inte...

Worthwhile read on what the Trump administration gets wrong about the history of the international trading system

Exciting news: GOD, GUNS, and SEDITION is out today in paperback! My @cfr.org and @columbiaup.bsky.social book, co-authored with @hoffmanbruce.bsky.social, tells the story of far-right terrorism in America and beyond—a topic that sadly remains as relevant as ever. bookshop.org/p/books/god-...

Here's our newly updated guide to the president's newly updated tariffs, in charts and maps, hot off the presses www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

My latest, for @foreignaffairs.com: Mass shootings now constitute a particularly bloody form of American foreign influence. By destabilizing U.S. allies, they threaten to undermine America's global image—and foil its ability to advance its geopolitical aims. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

What Trump Trade Policy Has Achieved Since ‘Liberation Day’ www.cfr.org/article/what...

EU to ring-fence billions of farming subsidies - on.ft.com/4nIoo8w via @FT

The Biden administration started a USMCA complaint against the Canadian digital services tax. Would be sensible to more forward with that to get a neutral ruling on whether it violates Canada's trade obligations.

on.ft.com/4dNjrGI Donald Trump’s go-it-alone trade doctrine shakes Paris summit

A court ruled on Wednesday that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are illegal. A federal appeals court has since paused the decision. Much can happen while this legal drama unfolds. In the meantime, @inumanak.bsky.social unpacks the major implications.

Will the courts rein in Trump's tariff initiatives? Mark your calendar for May 27 at noon Eastern when @ilyasomin.bsky.social and I will be doing a webinar conversation on the lawsuits challenging Trump's use of IEEPA powers (Ilya helped file one of them). Brent Skorup will moderate.

I join the Why It Matters podcast for their special trade series to discuss trade agreements-- what are they, and why do they matter? on.cfr.org/43j6D6a via @cfr.org

A headline like "Welcome to the new age of geoeconomics" makes me think of my paper with @inumanak.bsky.social from a few years ago: "Meet the New Geoeconomics, Same as the Old Geoeconomics" (I am particularly proud of the cite to "the philosopher Dave Mustaine")

As vague as it is in other respects, Trump’s “deal” with the UK establishes his universal 10% tariff as the baseline for trade - a dramatic break from post-WW2 US policy.

U.S.-UK Trade Deal Illustrates Trump’s Shifting Trade Policy on.cfr.org/3GPnV3f My latest for @cfr.org

FRUS is VITAL to International Relations scholarship.

Your Home Without China www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

What Mark Carney’s Election Win Means for Trade and U.S.-Canada Relations on.cfr.org/4jtF80x via @CFR_org And yes, I'm still refreshing the Elections Canada page every few minutes for the full results. What an election!

Save 20% with code CUP20SM at cup.columbia.edu.

Lawful channels for migration are a much better response to black-market immigration than vast deportation camps. Without immigration our labor force would be shrinking. Now, today. I talked with @samjsutton.bsky.social of @politico.com —> www.politico.com/news/2025/01...

Gee, where have I heard that before?

Trade can support our climate goals, if we leverage the tools at our disposal. This Earth Day, read about our project, Trade Tools for Climate Action, and share your thoughts on where you think trade can have an impact on decarbonization.

This is dumb. The 10% tariff on Australia is comparatively low, and almost certainly not going anywhere unless there's a total rethink of US trade policy. The US has made few demands of Australia, so Aussie negotiators would just be bidding against themselves trying to guess what might suffice.

The (bipartisan) mercantilism will continue until morale improves

“If you’re in a protected market where you have no foreign competition,” said Manak, “why would you hire more workers?” It was great to chat with student journalist, Ezra Nielsen, for his piece on the Trump administration's steel tariffs. issuenumberone.journalism.cuny.edu/2025/03/31/r...

Looking forward to participating in this discussion on "Global Supply Chains Under Pressure: Economic Statecraft and the Changing Trade Landscape" at @GtownLawIIEL on April 16, 12:00 - 1:00pm ET. Register here: www.eventbrite.com/e/global-sup...

As part of @cfr.org's Climate Realism launch, Jennifer Hillman and I shared our latest project, Trade Tools for Climate Action. Watch this space for updates throughout the year! www.cfr.org/article/trad...

At event today, CEA chair Stephen Miran was asked about notorious tariff formula Said CEA proposed a bunch of ways to estimate non-tariff barriers, but Trump ultimately instead chose a formula designed to close deficits, proposed by "someone else in the administration" www.hudson.org/events/chair...

New: The S&P ended the week down 9.1%, the biggest decline since March 2020, while the Nasdaq 100 entered a bear market. Follow our coverage bloom.bg/4hYSEaY

This feels like the defining image from this year’s Midwest Political Science Association annual meeting. The National Science Foundatipn paid for a booth in the exhibit hall. But the booth sits empty, because NSF has been DOGE’d, and there is no one left to send.

A haunting read from my @cfr.org colleague @inumanak.bsky.social. www.cfr.org/article/trum...

Yesterday I quoted trade expert @inumanak.bsky.social: “This is a shocking abuse of the president’s authority to declare national emergencies. I don’t think that will stand up to a court challenge.” wapo.st/4lcJ2fw

“This is a shocking abuse of the president's authority to declare national emergencies,” @inumanak.bsky.social told me. “I don't think that will stand up to a court challenge.” wapo.st/4lcJ2fw

Breaking now: Ministry of Economics reporting the tariffs have not caused significant changes to our trading volumes

I have tariffed the penguins that are on Heard Island and which you were probably assuming did not export goods forgive me they were taking advantage of us so cunning and so cold

"Today, the New Civil Liberties Alliance filed the first Complaint challenging President Donald Trump’s unlawful attempt to require Americans to pay a heavy tariff on all products they import from China." (This is about the IEEPA fentanyl tariffs on China, not the "reciprocal" ones from yesterday)

My latest on the trade news that never ends--- Trump’s Liberation Day Attempts to Put Americans in Shackles www.cfr.org/article/trum...

“This is a shocking abuse of the president's authority to declare national emergencies,” @inumanak.bsky.social told me. “I don't think that will stand up to a court challenge.” wapo.st/4lcJ2fw

Joined Asking for a Trend to talk about the latest tariff hikes finance.yahoo.com/video/tariff...