Depressingly comprehensive look at his post-SCOTUS options. But: “…a plurality of Americans think that the president should not be allowed to impose tariffs without congressional approval, and support some guardrails on the president’s tariff authority.”

The Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s IEEPA tariffs are unconstitutional. The president was quick to respond. Here’s what that means: www.cfr.org/articles/how...

Out today--> CFR-Morning Consult survey on what Americans really think about trade and tariffs: -Americans understand what tariffs are, and their costs -They prefer cooperation over confrontation -They support some guardrails on executive tariff action www.cfr.org/articles/wha...

👨‍🎓Alex Kiwara Irungu had little experience in international trade law when he entered the John H. Jackson Moot Court Competition. What helped him level the playing field? The free trade law e-casebook. Read Alex’s account and learn how the trade law e-casebook supported his journey (link below).

"American households would feel better about the cost of living if tariffs were lowered as part of the affordability policy agenda," write Rebecca Patterson, Allison J. Smith, and Ishaan Thakker about the findings from a new poll from CFR.

Now that’s a headline. 🤡 @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/c39d...

Tariffs announced with fanfare and might, Allies confused—is it left turn or right? Consequences mount as the prices all soar, Oops, never mind—let's try something more! #TradeValentines

"An Illinois supplier of nuts, bolts and screws could be all that keeps President Donald Trump's national security tariffs from escalating into a torrent of government overreach," write Scott Lincicome and CFR expert @inumanak.bsky.social for the Washington Post.

Overall, we have tallied 4x more protests through Jan 31, 2026 than we had through Jan 31, 2018

A new lawsuit reveals how businesses are forced to navigate an opaque and arbitrary system, Scott Lincicome and @inumanak.bsky.social write.

I'm also in @postopinions.bsky.social today with @inumanak.bsky.social, talking about Trump's other tariffs - the ever-growing "national security" ones - and how a new lawsuit shows they've morphed into a costly bureaucratic nightmare for US companies: wapo.st/3MjucaH (🎁)

In Trump’s first term, @scottlincicome.bsky.social and I detailed the many ways Section 232 was being used and abused. It hasn’t stopped. With a new case pending, it’s another reminder that this law needs serious reform. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

Another update to our trade deal tracker this afternoon to account for the unannounced rollbacks of India's commitments (see update under status for India): www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

Around this time last year, I explained why the use of IEEPA was an attempt by the president to expand executive authority on trade. Today, Congress reminded him of Art. 1, Sec. 8. The tariffs won't go away, but at least we know who supports them. www.cfr.org/articles/tru...

The home healthcare workforce is disproportionately comprised of immigrants, and it's certainly not because they take jobs US-born folks want. As a result, "a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide."

"The failed vote comes as House Democrats are preparing to force a vote to terminate Trump’s use of emergency powers to impose tariffs on Canada."

President Donald Trump has set out to rewrite the rules of trade one deal at a time, say economic expert @inumanak.bsky.social and Allison Smith. Explore CFR's new tracker, which breaks down the content of the deals to date:

Trump’s flurry of trade deals — 15 and counting — reflect his ambition to rewrite the rules of global trade. A new @cfr.org tracker by @inumanak.bsky.social and Allison Smith breaks down what's in each of the trade agreements. Check it out here. on.cfr.org/4qfOKyv

Want to know what's in all of Trump's trade deals? We combed through all of them, so you don't have to. Our tracker will be updated as more texts are released. Check it out here on @cfr.org: www.cfr.org/articles/tra...

This is true for trade and for many other issues. One of the few consistent things about Trump is that he doesn’t see himself as bound by the deals he makes. He is fundamentally untrustworthy, everyone knows it, and he is our most important representative to the world.

Back in July, I stated that Trump's tariff threats undermined the value of signing a trade "deal" with the United States. Events keep confirming this observation.

2026 is the year Bluesky and the Atmosphere really come alive here's what's next bsky.social/about/blog/0...

“Those hit hardest by tariffs are small businesses, which make up 97 % of U.S. importers. In September, they shed 40,000 jobs. These businesses have a harder time navigating erratic policy shifts.”

If I were on the Supreme Court, and thinking about the IEEPA tariff case on which I was about to rule, I might read this latest tariff threat from Trump and think, hmm, maybe there should be some limits on the power of the President to use tariffs.

My latest, for Time, on why the economic security rationale is a dangerous catchall that threatens to undo U.S. trade policy well beyond Trump. time.com/7345873/trum...

“Noem: U.S. Citizens Should Be Prepared To Show Proof.” Did you vote for a “Show Me Your Papers” society?

With Trump in Dearborn today, re-upping this 2024 piece showing: -1/3 of the F-150s parts are sourced from abroad -U.S. firms trading in goods support 1/2 of the jobs in the economy -raising barriers to trade hurts U.S. manufacturing competitiveness www.cfr.org/article/trad...

Back in the office and just daw this on my desk. Thank you @rajakorman.bsky.social!

Trade wars have consequences 🤷‍♀️

The Party of National Security

In his first book, Peter Navarro declared that tariffs “make everyone a loser.” Then he started working for a man who called them “the greatest thing ever invented.” Ian Parker profiles Donald Trump’s obsequious economics cheerleader. newyorkermag.visitlink.me/pnlZTU

My former Cato colleague @jkuznicki.bsky.social has a special talent for speaking truths that nativists and other authoritarian fellow travelers really hate. It's also why Jason is so absolutely awesome. 😎

While U.S. trade policy has disrupted global trade, it presents an opportunity for the rest of the world to regroup and reform the architecture of the rules-based trade system to meet modern challenges, argues trade expert @inumanak.bsky.social.

Reader, that’s not what this president is focusing on

I have exactly 37 pencils!

"El periodo más largo de intercambio económico pacífico y liberalización comercial sostenida aún no ha llegado a su fin, pero se enfrenta a su reto más importante", @inumanak.bsky.social analiza el impacto de la política comercial de Trump en el #AnuarioCIDOB2026

It Sure Looks Like the Trump Admin Is Prepping for SCOTUS To Demolish Its Tariff Policy talkingpointsmemo.com/news/it-sure...

"El període més llarg d’intercanvi econòmic pacífic i liberalització comercial sostinguda encara no ha arribat a la seva fi, però afronta el seu repte més important", @inumanak.bsky.social analitza les implicacions de la política comercial de Trump #AnuariCIDOB2026

Grateful for the opportunity to contribute to CIDOB (Barcelona Centre for International Affairs) 2026 International Yearbook, with my essay on the historic change facing the global trading system. Thoughts and reflections welcome! www.cidob.org/en/publicati...

What happens when Trump’s trade wars hit a family-owned North Carolina sawmill. I took a roadtrip recently for @davidgura.bsky.social’s @bloomberg.com Big Take podcast. www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2...

USTR asked for public comments on the upcoming USMCA review, and received 1,515 of them. That's way too many to summarize, but @inumanak.bsky.social and I submitted one of those comments, and we provide a brief summary in an IELP blog post. (Just for fun, we also did some Oren Cass criticism.)

In September I organized a panel at the WTO Public Forum on subsidies and industrial policy. Many thanks to my fantastic panelists for giving me so much to reflect on! Here’s what I took away —>

Almost Half of U.S. Imports Now Have Steep Tariffs www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Five years ago, @inumanak.bsky.social and I wrote "Meet the New Geoeconomics, Same as the Old Geoeconomics" ( papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....), but people really like creating narratives, and it has been hard to convince anyone that the new geoeconomics narrative is being oversold.

"Amidst the flurry of trade announcements ahead of the August 1 deadline to secure new tariff rates, one country ended up near the bottom of the pack, and it’s not the one you’d expect." Read @inumanak.bsky.social & Victoria Fenton's latest piece 👇 policyoptions.irpp.org?p=117808

Inu Manak & Victoria Fenton: Why no trade deal with Trump might be good for Canada policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/au... @inumanak.bsky.social @policyoptions.irpp.org

The United States has a unique opportunity to catalyze market demand for green technology and services, write @inumanak.bsky.social and Helena Kopans-Johnson.

With voters like this, maybe America will be OK. Just need more of them.

Glad to see Americans quizzing members of Congress about who has tariff authority in the United States. newrepublic.com/post/199291/...