"Even after accounting for the upfront costs and delayed benefits, enrolling marginal applicants to public universities generates substantial net returns for society, the marginal students themselves, and the government budget." Public Universities FTW!

A nice figure by @gelliottmorris.com summarizing Trump approval by respondent issue priority. Trump is net positive on issues that only 19% of respondents rank as top priority (border, crime, immigration).

This month we are spotlighting EGAPers researching #poverty & #inequality in North America. First up, @claireadida.bsky.social & @melinaplatas.bsky.social w/ Adeline Lo ask whether a perspective-taking exercise leads to more positive attitudes and behavior toward vulnerable groups.

🤔

This Georgia flip is in a district that the GOP drew to drown Democratic voters in Athens into a neighboring red county, Oconee. But tonight, Dems in Athens were out in FULL FORCE to swamp that gerrymander.

It's happening! Canada launched two programs to recruit international researchers. Canada Impact+ Research Chairs (1 million/yr for 8 yrs +) Canada Impact+ Emerging Leaders. I will do my best to facilitate the process for those interested. Hit me up. www.canada.ca/en/impact-pl...

I’m actually terrified to do this, but here goes. One request. You do not comment until you read the entire thread. And you are respectful when you do. If not I will either restrict you or block you depending on how hateful you are. Great, glad we’re on the same page, let’s begin. 1/

Here's a useful and important factcheck of the December ACIP (Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices) meeting. Shame on RFK Jr.

A bit too on the nose for thanksgiving

For our final featured policy brief on voting behavior, we're sharing a project by @claireadida.bsky.social, @gmcclendon.bsky.social, Eric Kramon, and Jessica Gottlieb that studies the effects of increasing voters’ access to information in reducing ethnic voting in Benin.

Put differently: If you look at a group of voters with the same education, their level of racial resentment strongly predicts their vote choice. But in a group of people with the same level of racial resentment, educational attainment does not allow for a strong prediction of their politics.

Among white people, the correlation between racial resentment and their voting decision is much, much stronger than between educational attainment and political alignment. In fact, if you control for racial resentment, education polarization basically disappears.

Yes, Trump dominates among the *white* working class (if defined as people without a college degree). But even here, religion played a key role: In 2024, about 86 percent of non-college white evangelicals voted for Trump – vs. only a minority of the non-evangelical white working class.

Trump does not represent the “will of the people” – a stable majority of Americans, including about two thirds of those who call themselves independents, reject core tenets of the Trumpist agenda. It is the Republican Party that is losing touch with the mainstream of American society.

The tribune of the poor, the downtrodden? Studies clearly indicate that Trump’s most ardent supporters, especially in poorer areas, are, by local standards, quite wealthy / financially stable. Their “economic anxiety” is mostly downstream from anxieties over racial and cultural status.

BREAKING: Sen. Elissa Slotkin says police responded to her home tonight in response to a bomb threat. Slotkin wasn't at home at the time. This is two days after Trump said Slotkin and other Democrats committed "seditious conspiracy, punishable by death."

Before the midterms of 1866, President Andrew Johnson called his congressional opponents traitors and said they should be hanged. Voters were so profoundly moved by his words... that they gave his opponents a supermajority in Congress, and the nation got the Fourteenth Amendment.

Whether it's Barack Obama wearing a tan suit to a press conference or Donald Trump calling for the execution of Democrats, both presidents engaged in norm-busting behavior.

Republicans just putting the government in every thing. Is that liberty?

New: Reuters has tallied job losses, suspensions and investigations stemming from the reaction to Charlie Kirk's Sept. 10 assassination. Its findings: More than 600 Americans have been punished, and the figure is likely to be an under-count. www.reuters.com/investigatio...

I will never forget having to edit Jamal’s final, posthumous piece for the Washington Post, after he was murdered. He was calling for free expression in the Arab world. You can read it here : www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/glo...

From @marcelias.bsky.social on @democracydocket.com : Epstein was emailing former NYT reporter Landon Thomas Jr. — Dec. 8, 2015 — at the exact same time the newspaper was hyping Hillary Clinton’s emails; these emails were highly damaging to Trump... yet, we never saw them.

Bookmarking for teaching

the republican party is engaged in a cover up to keep the american people from learning whether president trump is president pedo

Rocket Money no more! @juddlegum.bsky.social ‘s impact as a journalist is unparalleled. popular.info/p/update-roc...

Empathy is a simple but profound mechanism for building social cohesion, says @claireadida.bsky.social of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social. Using quantitative and field methods, Adida studies what creates or dissolves cohesion, and how that can be used to inform better policymaking.

A Republican sheriff in a swing county that Trump won by 0.1% signed a contract to help ICE, then lost last week by 11. New by me in @boltsmag.org: boltsmag.org/sheriff-of-b...

If you score remap shifts between safe/competitive seats as +/-0.5, here's how the count looks today, to my eye: CA: Dem +4.5 MO: GOP +1 NC: GOP +0.5 OH: GOP +0.5 TX: GOP +4 UT: Dem +1 That leaves Republicans ahead by half a seat, w/ FL, IN & VA the biggest remaining variables.

Dems score huge redistricting victory in Utah, as judge overrules GOP legislature and orders a map w/ a new Harris +24 #UT01, guaranteeing Dems a one seat pickup. www.nbcnews.com/politic…

🔖

Beam, Eight Sleep, and Rocket Money are sponsoring Tucker Carlson's podcast. h/t @juddlegum.bsky.social:

@gelliottmorris.com makes a compelling case that Trump is Biden now:

So relieved!!!

Cable news covers more culture war issues; campaign ads focus on kitchen table issues. paper by Noy and Rao; h/t @gelliottmorris.com www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...

While elon becomes the world’s first trillionaire.

"The cost of all this success was a short, transitory burst of moderate inflation...& then the burst...stopped cold. It was over after the middle of 2022." "I characterize 2024 as...a worldwide failure to break the misinformation system..." All. Of. This. In re: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Affordability will be dominant theme in politics over the next year.

Let’s not forget how instrumental Nancy Pelosi was in passing the ACA. Thank you for your service! time.com/5832330/nanc...

Rainbow on my way to work this morning.

With @aoc.bsky.social flashing her smile at the end. Amazing.

Tonight, was another reminder: there is no single mold for a Democratic winner. Progressives won. Moderates won. Rural, suburban, urban —they all won. Black, White, Latino, AAPI — they all won. We won in the East, South, Midwest and West. Victories in races from City Council to Governor.

What we know, 12:10am [Now in 2 parts] —Prop 50 wins —VA Dems flip Gov, LG, AG —Dems flip ≈13 seats in VA House —Dems defend NJ-Gov + Assembly —Dems win NJ+VA trifectas —Mamdani wins —PA Dems win supreme court —ME vote-restricting measure loses —GA Dems flip 2 statewide offices —Krasner & Bragg win

The Oregon Department of Justice submitted multiple videos as trial exhibits that show federal officers using force against what appear to be nonviolent protesters outside the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement building on various nights since June. www.oregonlive.com/portland/202...

Ok, one last race call for the night from a bellwether county... The Democrats have FLIPPED the Erie County, PA (Trump+1) County Executive position by 24 POINTS!

BREAKING: Colorado voters approved a ballot measure that would raise state income taxes on higher-earning households to fund free meals for all public school students. Follow AP for live updates.

So I think an easier question is… did Republicans win anything today?

The latest, 11pm: —Prop 50 wins —VA Dems flip Gov, LG, AG; & gain in House —Dems win NJ-Gov —Mamdani wins —PA Dems win supreme court —ME vote-restricting measure loses —Krasner & Bragg win —JD's half-brother loses —GA Dems flip 2 statewide offices + Dem are leading to flip so many local offices.