Chris Fonnesbeck
@fonnesbeck.bsky.social
📤 347
📥 217
📝 211
Quantitative hack, PyMC Labs
reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs
8 days ago
An uncalibrated
#MMM
can get ROAS direction wrong, not just magnitude. We walk through prior predictive checks, ROAS parametrization, saturation likelihoods, and where lift tests break down. Full recording available on youtube :
dub.sh/oAjXCiG
#MMMCalibration
#BayesianModeling
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Miles Klee 🦉
15 days ago
please nuke us
add a skeleton here at some point
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🇭🇺🇪🇺
add a skeleton here at some point
16 days ago
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Hot take: all the City Connect uniforms are dreadful. All of them.
18 days ago
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Its not wild, its the perfect encapsulation of America.
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18 days ago
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You could argue that teams with massive negative goal differences don't belong in the playoffs.
18 days ago
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Why do software companies assume Linux users want .deb installers?
18 days ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs
20 days ago
Most data scientists learn Bayesian stats from textbooks. Few get to learn from the people who built the library. This June,
@fonnesbeck.bsky.social
Niall Oulton & Robert Zinkov are running a 2.5-day hands-on PyMC workshop in London. Reserve your spot:
dub.link/oaudJAt
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I'm looking forward to teaching this. I do love the small-group, in-person format. If you can get yourself to London (or are already there), come join us!
add a skeleton here at some point
20 days ago
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Very exciting!
add a skeleton here at some point
26 days ago
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Of all the vile things Trump has done, this is what will finally topple him.
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
The New York Times
about 1 month ago
Since the start of the war in Iran, the average price of gas in the U.S. has climbed by nearly a dollar, according to the Energy Information Administration. See the full state-by-state look at the increase and how it could affect you.
nyti.ms/4bPAGrw
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Just heading up to Boston for
@sloansportsconf.bsky.social
today. If you happen to be at the meeting, please stop and say hello!
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Melanie D’Arrigo
about 2 months ago
Updated:
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VAR is quite literally ruining football. Who wants to watch this?
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
NY Times Pitchbot
about 2 months ago
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Fuck this. Connor Hellebuyck is the only reason the US is wearing gold medals. The only reason.
www.tsn.ca/olympics/art...
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McDavid named MVP at Milano Cortina 2026 despite silver-medal finish
Canadian forward Connor McDavid was named the MVP and top forward at Milano Cortina 2026 despite Canada falling to the United States 2-1 in overtime in the gold-medal game on Sunday.
https://www.tsn.ca/olympics/article/mcdavid-named-mvp-at-milano-cortina-2026-despite-silver-medal-finish/
2 months ago
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Word of the day: profligate (ˈpräfləɡət)
2 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
William Shakespeare
2 months ago
My gentle Puck, come hither.
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Shooting on Hellebuyck short side when he's hugging the post is a low-probability shot.
#hockeyanalytics
2 months ago
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Maybe the softest goal you will ever see. Canada appeared to have no idea how to run an OT.
2 months ago
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If you haven't cancelled your
@paramountplus.com
subscription, you are complicit.
2 months ago
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Springsteen next year. I'm sure he'd love it.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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First appearance of Bayes formula in a Superbowl commercial.
share.google/0wy4mU4LefXk...
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Inside OpenAI’s Super Bowl Return, Where Codex Takes Center Stage
The 60 second spot will air at the end of the first quarter.
https://share.google/0wy4mU4LefXkhiUnS
3 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
ArtButMakeItSports
3 months ago
Mercury, Messenger of the Gods, by Giovanni Battista Tiepolo, 18th c, 📸 by @PhilEllsworth1
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Wow, Mike Johnson is actually swearing in Democrats now! What has the world come to?
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Why on earth would you list command options in anything but alphabetical order?
3 months ago
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How are those tariffs working out?
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3 months ago
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I see blog posts like this almost every day. You never see the follow up post where the half-baked OSS tool doesn't measure up and they crawl back to the subscription. Lather, rinse and repeat.
3 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
David Phillips
3 months ago
Someone might want to tell Pep who owns Man City. He'd doubtless be shocked to learn what they've done, perhaps even resign.
bsky.app/profile/scot...
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OpenClaw FTW
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Somebody's getting a cabinet post!!
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Steffani Cameron 🇨🇦
3 months ago
Someone said "It's like Canada's Mom just died." And it's true. I'm still crying.
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Patrick Skinner
3 months ago
Left hand on the ground trying not to hit the pavement; right hand still holding a cell phone. ICE person standing with a one handed grip pointing his gun right at the man’s head. There is nothing about this that we should accept. We all must reject this. This is our government, & they want this
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
William Shakespeare
3 months ago
The storm is up, and all is on the hazard.
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
The Onion
3 months ago
ICE Agents Wait At Edge Of Delivery Table To Deport Newborn
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A simple Claude Code skill for working with marimo notebooks.
github.com/fonnesbeck/m...
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https://github.com/fonnesbeck/marimo-notebook-dev/blob/main/SKILL.md
4 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Wendy Thurm
4 months ago
Should say: “Soon-to-be former top Democrats”
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Time to end the Kevin experiment.
#FFC
4 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Strictly 4 My Navigators
4 months ago
Rest easy, Rob Reiner 🙏🏾💙🕊 This scene from "All In The Family"..... still applicable. Caroll O'Connor 🕊 Sally Struthers 💙
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs
5 months ago
How do you build an end-to-end
#MMM
leaders can trust? Our new case study shows a transparent, reproducible
#Bayesian
workflow with uncertainty, lift, forecasting, and budget simulation. Check the Case study here 👉
dub.link/FwwUUNA
#MarketingMixModeling
#PyMCLabs
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
T. Greg "86 47" Doucette
5 months ago
Amazing 😆
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
TW
5 months ago
lol sign worked
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Is there any way to simply opt out of USPS mail service altogether? It's just pounds of trash every day.
5 months ago
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This is going to be great. Don't miss it if you happen to be at OSDC AI West!
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs
7 months ago
What if your next product test didn’t need a human panel? New research by
#PyMC
Labs &
#Colgate-Palmolive
shows LLMs can replicate human survey patterns with 90%+ accuracy—no fine-tuning, no panels, no bias. Read the white paper:
dub.link/ifoZHIR
#SyntheticConsumers
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AI-based Customer Research: Faster & Cheaper Surveys with Synthetic Consumers
https://dub.link/ECczk6S
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Why does VS Code look for local paths when running on a remote server? I know ssh is new technology, but it should be doing better than this.
7 months ago
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Years ago I passed up an opportunity to work with Nick, and I still regret it. Don't be me.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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reposted by
Chris Fonnesbeck
Nick Wan
7 months ago
The Cincinnati Reds are hiring for our Baseball Ops and Analytics trainee roles! Based in Cincy $20/hr (+ COL stipend for trainees in Cincy)
www.teamworkonline.com/baseball-job...
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Cincinnati Reds
Connect with 1,500+ employers from the NFL, NBA, WNBA, MLB, NHL, MLS, NWSL, college athletics, sports tech startups, agencies, arenas, and more
https://www.teamworkonline.com/baseball-jobs/cincinnati-reds/cincinnati-reds
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Some fresh Van Halen graffiti in East Nashville actually warms my heart.
7 months ago
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