ICDS Tallinn
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
📤 1306
📥 214
📝 506
The International Centre for Defence and Security in Tallinn. Regional knowledge hub. www.icds.ee
This year’s edition of the EU Enlargement Conference has come to a close. 🤝 We are grateful to all participants, speakers, partners and volunteers for their engagement and contributions throughout the event. Photo gallery:
flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx
#EUEC2026
3 days ago
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Although support for EU membership has not risen by much, the public has warmed up to having a debate. — Pernille Rieker, Director of ARENA Centre for European Studies Norway
@prieker.bsky.social
@unioslo-arena.bsky.social
Panel IV: A new northern enlargement?
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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EU Enlargement Conference: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back?
#EUEC2026
Costs and benefits of enlargement / integration capacity
@miriamkosmehl.bsky.social
, Johannes Tralla, Irena Joveva,
@keitkasemets.bsky.social
@heathergrabbe.bsky.social
📸
flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx
🎦
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikjl...
4 days ago
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Anti-corruption institutions in Ukraine are a fire brigade. We now need a backup in the form of the judiciary. Enlargement is possible because Ukraine has tremendous social capital. —
@miriamkosmehl.bsky.social
, Senior Expert Eastern Europe
@bertelsmannst.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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EU enlargement is not a technical or merit-based issue; everything stands or falls on political will. If there's one, and if we act as one, it will be really helpful not only for the candidate countries but also for us. — Irena Joveva, Member of the European Parliament
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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During the latest uproar in the Arctic, with President Trump threatening Greenland, it immediately started a discussion in Iceland. — Guðni Jóhannesson, Professor of History, University of Iceland, former President of Iceland
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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The business argument may not win hearts and minds in EU debates, but it is a very strong supportive argument. Economic force is also part of our security. — Asees Ahuja, Director EU Policy, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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I don't think an economic argument will win EU membership discussions in Norway and Iceland. The opportunity to turn to a larger power during crisis might. — Matti Maasikas, Deputy Secretary General for Geoeconomics and Interinstitutional Issues
@eudiplomacy.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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EU Enlargement Conference 2026: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back?
#EUEC2026
Panel IV: A new northern enlargement? Guðni Jóhannesson,
@prieker.bsky.social
, Matti Maasikas, Asees Ahuja Moderator:
@alanderminna.bsky.social
📸
flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx
🎦
www.youtube.com/watch?v=DE8B...
4 days ago
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The one issue with the Western Balkans is that they have been preparing for 20 years without a clear perspective. We need a concrete time frame not only for Ukraine but also for other candidates. — Keit Kasemets, Secretary of State,
@estoniangovt.bsky.social
@keitkasemets.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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How the Balkans idealise the EU and potential accession can serve as a valuable reflection on how we see the EU. These countries are serious about the accession process in the same way we were 20 years ago. — Johannes Tralla, Journalist at the Estonian Public Broadcasting
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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In the Western Balkans, the US has very much been the doer and the EU the talker. The new US administration has publicly said that they do not wish to have this role any more. This means we, ourselves, and the EU need to take an active role. — Nikola Dimitrov 🇲🇰
@ndimitrov.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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"If two countries have different approaches to history, they are unlikely to have a happy future together." — Aivo Orav, Head of the EU Office in Kosovo and EU Special Representative in Kosovo
@euambks.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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Panel II of
#EUEC2026
| Bilateral disputes: when and how to resolve them? One challenge discussed: an EU member state can wield enormous power over a candidate country in a bilateral dispute. This requires an EU-level solution. 🎦 Re-Watch:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0s1...
4 days ago
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It was a strategic missed opportunity on behalf of the EU not to send a signal to Western Balkans that it is worth investing [in bilateral dispute resolution] and that the EU will be there for you. —
@ndimitrov.bsky.social
, President, Balkan Center for Constructive Policies 🇲🇰
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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"EU membership fundamentally altered the Irish–British relationship. The EU gave Ireland the psychological confidence that it didn't have before membership." — Brigid Laffan, Professor Emerita, European University Institute.
@brigidlaffan.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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EU Enlargement Conference 2026: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back?
#EUEC2026
Bilateral disputes: when and how to resolve them?
@brigidlaffan.bsky.social
,
@ndimitrov.bsky.social
,
@euambks.bsky.social
Moderator:
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
📸
flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx
🎦
www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0s1...
4 days ago
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The European Union enlargement methodology was made for peaceful times... — yet we are living in times that are quite the opposite. For the first time, we have outside forces that want to see us fail as enlargement project — we have to react, said Marta Kos.
@martakos.ec.europa.eu
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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EU Enlargement Conference 2026: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back?
#EUEC2026
Matching the need for speed and the merits-based approach
@martakos.ec.europa.eu
, Taras Kachka, Cristina Gherasimov,
@iivanisevic.bsky.social
,
@vseviov.bsky.social
. Moderator: Helga Kalm 🎦
www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGG9...
4 days ago
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Future accession treaties should have stronger safeguards against sliding back on commitments. [...] And those safeguards must bite hard, said Marta Kos in her keynote address.
@martakos.ec.europa.eu
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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Russia wants darkness. Europe delivers light. Russia wants fear. Europe brings solidarity. Russia wants Ukrainian children to forget their identity. Europe brings hope. Let's make Europe great again, and let's talk about what is already great in Europe.
@martakos.ec.europa.eu
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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"We need to understand what kind of Europe we want in the future." Minister of Foreign Affairs of Estonia Margus Tsahkna underlined the need to find courage and responsibility in Europe in his opening speech at the EU Enlargement Conference.
@tsahkna.bsky.social
@mfaestonia.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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The new momentum in the EU enlargement process stems largely from the geopolitical context, including Europe’s push for a stronger voice in the US-mediated effort to end Russia’s war against Ukraine, said conference director
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
in his opening remarks. 1/2
#EUEC2026
4 days ago
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HAPPENING NOW | EU Enlargement Conference: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back? Keynote address: Marta Kos, European Commissioner for Enlargement
@martakos.ec.europa.eu
🔴 Follow us LIVE:
www.youtube.com/live/rGG95L5...
#EUEC2026
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EUEC 2026: Introduction + Keynote + Matching the need for speed and the merits-based approach
YouTube video by International Centre for Defence and Security
https://www.youtube.com/live/rGG95L5cfy8?si=cs2ShT-oPly7LWAE
4 days ago
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🔔 European Union Enlargement Conference is about to start! Participants will discuss the prospects for Ukraine, Moldova, Montenegro, Albania, and other countries to join the EU at a time when the enlargement process has gained new momentum.
@mfaestonia.bsky.social
#EUEC2026
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EU Enlargement Conference: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back? - International Centre for Defence and Security
Today, 13 February, the European Union Enlargement Conference is taking place in Tallinn. Participants will discuss the prospects for Ukraine, Moldova, Montenegro, Albania, and other countries to join...
https://icds.ee/en/eu-enlargement-conference-two-steps-forward-one-step-back/
4 days ago
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reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
Exceptional circumstances demand exceptional measures. Now is the moment to rethink the EU’s enlargement process and introduce much-needed flexibility. An analysis by Steven Blockmans and Michael Emerson ahead of the EU Enlargement Conference.
#EUEC2026
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
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The State of EU Enlargement at the Outset of 2026: On The Brink of Major Breakthroughs - International Centre for Defence and Security
The EU enlargement process received a jolt of energy in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and saw major developments in 2025.
https://icds.ee/en/the-state-of-eu-enlargement-at-the-outset-of-2026-on-the-brink-of-major-breakthroughs/
11 days ago
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reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
Diplomaatia
5 days ago
Eurooplaste väitlus selle üle, kas Vene-Ukraina rahukõnelusteks tuleks nimetada eriesindaja, on kaasa toonud nii palju segadust ja lahkhelisid,et maailmajagu ei saa veel pidada tõsiseltvõetavaks strateegiliseks tegutsejaks, leiab RKK direktor Kristi Raik.
@kristiraik.bsky.social
RKK uudiskiri ⬇️
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Mida on teha Euroopa erisaadikul, tuumarelvad, Ukraina lapsed lõksus, Jaapan, ELi laienemise konverents – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2026. aasta 7. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-mida-on-teha-euroopa-erisaadikul-tuumarelvad-ukraina-lapsed-loksus-jaapan-eli-laienemise-konverents/
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Connectivity has become a means for states to project influence, contest rivals, and shape global order. Today, Bart Gaens, Wrenn Yennie Lindgren, Jagannath Panda, Ville Sinkkonen and Prannavan Surendran present their new report on Japan’s use of strategic connectivity.
@sinkkonenville.bsky.social
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Japan and Strategic Connectivity: Policies, Partners, and Possibilities - International Centre for Defence and Security
Infrastructure, institutions, and norms are becoming weaponised in a dynamic geopolitical competition, linking development, security, and great-power rivalry.
https://icds.ee/en/japan-and-strategic-connectivity-policies-partners-and-possibilities/
6 days ago
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The EU enlargement process received a jolt of energy in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and saw major developments in 2025. ↘️ This momentum will be reflected at the EU Enlargement Conference in Tallinn on 13 February:
icds.ee/en/euec-2026/
#EUEC2026
6 days ago
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Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi now has a strong mandate to pursue domestic reforms and her foreign policy agenda. What does the election result mean for Japan's domestic politics and international posture? Commentary by Bart Gaens and Prannavan Surendran.
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Japan’s Highly Successful Electoral Gamble: What are the Dividends? - International Centre for Defence and Security
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi won a sweeping victory in Japan’s general election, delivering the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) a commanding two-thirds majority in the Lower House. Her decision to dis...
https://icds.ee/en/japans-highly-successful-electoral-gamble-what-are-the-dividends/
7 days ago
0
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📣 EU Enlargement Conference 2026: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back? The conference is co-organised by the ICDS and the
@mfaestonia.bsky.social
in partnership with the European Commission Representation in Estonia, the Embassy of Sweden in Tallinn, and the Embassy of Cyprus to Estonia.
#EUEC2026
7 days ago
1
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Talk that is not backed by credible hard power is counterproductive vis-à-vis an aggressive, revisionist power such as Russia. Russia is not yet under sufficient pressure to make it interested in ending the war, writes Kristi Raik.
@kristiraik.bsky.social
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A special representative of Europe for Russia—to do what? - International Centre for Defence and Security
While another round of peace talks was being held between Russia, Ukraine, and the US in Abu Dhabi, Europe was debating whether to appoint a special envoy to these talks. There are public disagreement...
https://icds.ee/en/a-special-representative-of-europe-for-russia-to-do-what/
7 days ago
0
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reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
Diplomaatia
8 days ago
USA ja Venemaa oleksid valmis Euroopat kaasama ainult siis, kui Euroopa survestaks Ukrainat järeleandmistele. Täna saab Euroopa hoopis toetada Ukrainat, tugevdada oma sõjalist võimekust ja Venemaa-vastaseid sanktsioone.
@kristiraik.bsky.social
🎧 Raadio Kuku:
kuku.pleier.ee/podcast/sihi...
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It is not in Europe’s interest to join the talks in order to become a party to a bad deal that would increase the likelihood of a new invasion of Ukraine or even a broader war on the continent, writes Kristi Raik.
@kristiraik.bsky.social
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A special representative of Europe for Russia—to do what? - International Centre for Defence and Security
While another round of peace talks was being held between Russia, Ukraine, and the US in Abu Dhabi, Europe was debating whether to appoint a special envoy to these talks. There are public disagreement...
https://icds.ee/en/a-special-representative-of-europe-for-russia-to-do-what/
8 days ago
0
16
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Exceptional circumstances demand exceptional measures. Now is the moment to rethink the EU’s enlargement process and introduce much-needed flexibility. An analysis by Steven Blockmans and Michael Emerson ahead of the EU Enlargement Conference.
#EUEC2026
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
loading . . .
The State of EU Enlargement at the Outset of 2026: On The Brink of Major Breakthroughs - International Centre for Defence and Security
The EU enlargement process received a jolt of energy in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and saw major developments in 2025.
https://icds.ee/en/the-state-of-eu-enlargement-at-the-outset-of-2026-on-the-brink-of-major-breakthroughs/
11 days ago
1
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As US commitments grow more conditional and strategic priorities shift, the alignment between deterrence, reassurance, and restraint is weakening. In this environment, managed unpredictability risks multiplying rather than containing instability, writes David Cattler.
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Managed Unpredictability Is a Strategic Risk Multiplier for Europe - International Centre for Defence and Security
As US commitments grow more conditional and strategic priorities shift, the alignment between deterrence, reassurance, and restraint is weakening. In this environment, managed unpredictability risks m...
https://icds.ee/en/managed-unpredictability-is-a-strategic-risk-multiplier-for-europe/
12 days ago
1
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1
reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
Diplomaatia
12 days ago
Kuigi tõelise rahu saavutamine 2026. aastal on ebatõenäoline, on mõte Ukraina võimalikust ülikiirest liitumisest sundinud Euroopa Komisjoni otsima uusi lahendusi. Steven Blockmans ja Michael Emerson analüüsivad RKK uudiskirjas ELi laienemise hetkeseisu.
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: ELi laienemine, India, Venemaa desinformatsioon, Euroopa julgeolekupilt – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2026. aasta 6. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-eli-laienemine-india-venemaa-desinformatsioon-euroopa-julgeolekupilt/
1
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reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
There is ample experience of negotiating with Putin, with little to show for it. Debating who should represent Europe now is premature and counterproductive, signalling weakness and inviting attempts to fracture European unity, writes Igor Gretskiy.
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Europe Must Hold Its Line: Talking to Putin Is Not a Peace Strategy - International Centre for Defence and Security
Media reports suggest that the governments of France and Italy are considering the possibility of resuming contacts with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and are lobbying for the appointment of a speci...
https://icds.ee/en/europe-must-hold-its-line-talking-to-putin-is-not-a-peace-strategy/
24 days ago
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reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
REUNIR
12 days ago
#REUNIRRelatedPublication
originally published by ICDS 📚𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐔 𝐄𝐧𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐨𝐟 2026: 𝐎𝐧 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐁𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐤 𝐨𝐟 𝐌𝐚𝐣𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐬 ✍️
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
& Michael Emerson
@ceps.eu
,
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
🌐Read here
reunir-horizon.eu/the-state-of...
@horizoneu.bsky.social
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New Delhi's efforts to manage uncertainty with Washington while keeping stability with Beijing are giving Europe a chance to become a consequential partner, writes Anna Maria Treifeldt.
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India’s Strategic Recalibration: Managing US Volatility and China’s Opportunism - International Centre for Defence and Security
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is forcing India to rethink several assumptions about its external environment.
https://icds.ee/en/indias-strategic-recalibration-managing-us-volatility-and-chinas-opportunism/
12 days ago
0
4
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As India seeks predictable partnerships and supply-chain diversification, Europe appears to be finding a timely opening as uncertainty over the Quad prompts New Delhi to reassess Washington’s reliability, writes Anna Maria Treifeldt.
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India’s Strategic Recalibration: Managing US Volatility and China’s Opportunism - International Centre for Defence and Security
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is forcing India to rethink several assumptions about its external environment.
https://icds.ee/en/indias-strategic-recalibration-managing-us-volatility-and-chinas-opportunism/
13 days ago
0
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Europe's risk today lies less in catastrophic failure than in incremental erosion—small, rational moves that narrow room for manoeuvre. The greatest danger is assuming managed unpredictability will resolve itself without consequence, writes David Cattler.
loading . . .
Managed Unpredictability Is a Strategic Risk Multiplier for Europe - International Centre for Defence and Security
As US commitments grow more conditional and strategic priorities shift, the alignment between deterrence, reassurance, and restraint is weakening. In this environment, managed unpredictability risks m...
https://icds.ee/en/managed-unpredictability-is-a-strategic-risk-multiplier-for-europe/
13 days ago
0
4
0
There is now a rare opportunity to rewrite the rules behind the long and arduous enlargement process and introduce much-needed flexibility. Exceptional circumstances call for exceptional measures, write Steven Blockmans and Michael Emerson.
@stevenblockmans.bsky.social
@ceps.eu
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The State of EU Enlargement at the Outset of 2026: On The Brink of Major Breakthroughs - International Centre for Defence and Security
The EU enlargement process received a jolt of energy in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and saw major developments in 2025.
https://icds.ee/en/the-state-of-eu-enlargement-at-the-outset-of-2026-on-the-brink-of-major-breakthroughs/
14 days ago
0
7
4
reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
REUNIR
15 days ago
Last week, REUNIR researchers and policy experts gathered in Berlin for the Policy Design Workshop led by
@gppi.bsky.social
The workshop developed policy recommendations underlining the importance of preparedness for both cooperative & competitive futures in 🇪🇺 neighbourhood
@horizoneu.bsky.social
0
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The People’s Republic of China remains high on the National Defence Strategy agenda, just behind the newly prioritised Western Hemisphere and far ahead of the de-prioritised Russia, writes Toomas Hanso.
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The 2026 National Defence Strategy: US-China Dialogue For Strategic Stability In A Shaky Environment - International Centre for Defence and Security
The US Department of War (DoW) has published its 2026 National Defence Strategy (NDS), calling for a “decent peace” in the Indo-Pacific and “strategic stability” with China.
https://icds.ee/en/the-2026-national-defence-strategy-us-china-dialogue-for-strategic-stability-in-a-shaky-environment/
19 days ago
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Washington’s tactics towards Beijing have shifted considerably: more communication, less confrontation. ⬇️ Toomas Hanso examines the US stance on China in the new National Defence Strategy.
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The 2026 National Defence Strategy: US-China Dialogue For Strategic Stability In A Shaky Environment - International Centre for Defence and Security
The US Department of War (DoW) has published its 2026 National Defence Strategy (NDS), calling for a “decent peace” in the Indo-Pacific and “strategic stability” with China.
https://icds.ee/en/the-2026-national-defence-strategy-us-china-dialogue-for-strategic-stability-in-a-shaky-environment/
20 days ago
0
4
1
reposted by
ICDS Tallinn
Diplomaatia
20 days ago
Olukord Ukrainas on ei midagi vähemat kui humanitaarkatastroof, kus inimesed peavad tugevate miinuskraadidega hakkama saama ilma elektri, vee ja soojuseta. Vähe on märke, et Venemaa sel talvel survet vähendaks, kirjutab Marek Kohv RKK uudiskirjas.
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Humanitaarkatastroof Ukrainas, Gröönimaa, USA kaitsestrateegia, rahunõukogu ja Gaza – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2026. aasta 5. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-humanitaarkatastroof-ukrainas-groonimaa-usa-kaitsestrateegia-rahunoukogu-ja-gaza/
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Today, we hosted the
#McCainGlobalLeaders
regional cohort to discuss disinformation, sovereignty, and the growing challenges facing democratic systems and shared Estonia’s perspective on these issues.
@mccaininstitute.bsky.social
21 days ago
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There is ample experience of negotiating with Putin, with little to show for it. Debating who should represent Europe now is premature and counterproductive, signalling weakness and inviting attempts to fracture European unity, writes Igor Gretskiy.
loading . . .
Europe Must Hold Its Line: Talking to Putin Is Not a Peace Strategy - International Centre for Defence and Security
Media reports suggest that the governments of France and Italy are considering the possibility of resuming contacts with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and are lobbying for the appointment of a speci...
https://icds.ee/en/europe-must-hold-its-line-talking-to-putin-is-not-a-peace-strategy/
24 days ago
0
12
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Drawing Europe into a debate over who should represent it in negotiations with Putin is premature and harmful. Notably absent from calls to renew contacts with the Kremlin is any clear sense of purpose, writes Igor Gretskiy.
loading . . .
Europe Must Hold Its Line: Talking to Putin Is Not a Peace Strategy - International Centre for Defence and Security
Media reports suggest that the governments of France and Italy are considering the possibility of resuming contacts with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin and are lobbying for the appointment of a speci...
https://icds.ee/en/europe-must-hold-its-line-talking-to-putin-is-not-a-peace-strategy/
25 days ago
0
8
5
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