This is not the first time NATO has found itself in a crisis and in the past the alliance has come through them. The problem is that in the near future there is less certainty about Article 5, said Tomas Jermalavičius in an interview for Postimees. balticsentinel.eu/8445016/toma...

Just 7️⃣ weeks to go until this year’s #LennartMeriConference 𝗟𝗠𝗖 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲: 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝗙𝗮𝘃𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗿𝗮𝘃𝗲 Visit the website – the first speakers are already announced, and the page is being updated regularly. ➡️ lmc.icds.ee

Europe’s economic stability and strategic autonomy rely on secure gas supply, yet its ability to act independently remains constrained without American LNG—highlighting the need to balance energy realities with renewable-energy ambitions, writes Andrei V. Belyi.

Netanyahu tegutseb põhimõttel, et maapinnal kehtestatud fakte on keeruline hakata tagasi pöörama ka siis, kui Trump või mõni järgmine USA president peaks Ameerika poliitikat muutma, kirjutab @icds-tallinn.bsky.social uudiskirjas @meriliarjakas.bsky.social.

A Taiwan Strait crisis would pose indirect but serious risks for Estonia—especially by altering Moscow’s strategic calculations. Indo-Pacific developments have tangible implications for Baltic security, write Toomas Hanso and Urmas Hõbepappel.

An infiltration by the "little green men" into Estonia is a scenario that would fail. The question "Is Narva next?" has become a persistent theme in international journalistic discourse. The answer is unequivocally 'no'. Marek Kohv sets out clearly why Estonia's security remains firm.

The lesson of 2022 was not only that the countries closest to Russia had the clearest view of the threat—but that much of Europe failed to act on those warnings. That lesson remains relevant today, writes David Cattler.

The EU is "contemplating" whether to implement a service ban on tankers transporting Russian oil. Together with Henrik Wachtmeister and Henrik Praks I've written a short text on how such a service ban can be implemented to make it bite. +

China may be losing its ability as well as a sense of immediacy to attack Taiwan. The 2028 elections open an intriguing possibility for peace, writes Urmas Hõbepappel.

Hetkel on veel vara hinnata Iraani sõja pikaajalist strateegilist mõju Ukrainale ja Venemaale, ent Iraani sõja vahetud tagajärjed paistavad Ukraina jaoks pigem kahjulikud, kirjutab Kristi Raik RKK uudiskirjas. @kristiraik.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social

Bookmark the repository for the NB8 Institute Series www.ui.se/english/news... Also published at icds.ee/en/nb8-serie... @icds-tallinn.bsky.social #NB8 #estonia #latvia #lithuania #finland #sweden #denmark #norway #iceland

A full maritime services ban could cut Russian oil revenues by raising transport costs and deepening sales discounts. But it may also bring side effects that must be planned for, write Henrik Wachtmeister, Daniel Spiro and Henrik Praks. #NB8briefs @danielspiro.bsky.social @uisweden.bsky.social

Iraan ei pea merel ülemvõimu saavutama, vaid looma piisavalt ebakindlust, et laevaomanikud ja kindlustusfirmad väldiksid piirkonda. Iraani doktriin on suuresti kujunenud 1980. aastate Iraani-Iraagi sõja kogemuste põhjal, kirjutab Marek Kohv.

Russia continues to benefit financially despite exporting about 20% less energy commodities than it did in 2022. While less dependent on oil and gas than many petrostates, energy trade remains the backbone of the Russian economy, writes Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen. @vptynkkynen.bsky.social

When it comes to national defence policy, should we be doing more as individuals? In the final commentary from our #InternationalWomensDay series, Merili Arjakas argues that in the 'age of unpeace', European citizens need to increase their crisis preparedness. www.ceps.eu/with-europea...

In this piece for @iai.tv, I argue that agency of smaller states matters especially in times of rupture. Without their own determined agency, Estonia, Finland, or Ukraine would never have emerged as independent states and would not have survived against all odds. iai.tv/articles/sma...

Sõja ajal tähendavad unistused vastupanu. Unistamine on keeldumine alistuda hirmule ja vastuhakk vaenlase tahtele. Dmitri Teperiki ja Tetiana Fedosiuki intervjuu ühiskonna vastupidavuse ekspertide dr Fahmy Hanna ja Oksana Zbitnjevaga.

Western efforts to curb Russia’s economic and technological capacity remain incomplete. Weak sanctions enforcement limits their impact. Hydrocarbon revenues underpin Russia’s economic resilience and its ability to finance the war, writes Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen. @vptynkkynen.bsky.social

Germany’s pivot to the Indo-Pacific is about more than de-risking from China. It is also tied to deterring Russia and strengthening Europe’s security posture. Berlin’s interests in the region are increasingly interconnected, writes Prannavan Surendran.

Inimkontrolli kaotamine otsuste üle ning elu ja surma küsimuste delegeerimine masinale on miski, mida paljud riigid ei sooviks näha. RKK teadusjuht Tomas Jermalavičius selgitab, kuidas ja mil määral kasutatakse tänapäeva sõjas tehisintellekti. #DELFI

Ukraina vasturünnakud on olnud aasta algusest saati edukad, olles tagasi võitnud pea 300 km² territooriumi. Ukraina on hästi vastu pidanud ja eeldatavasti suudab Vene üksuseid ka järgnevatel kuudel tagasi hoida, kirjutab RKK uudiskirjas Marek Kohv. @icds-tallinn.bsky.social

Sino-Russian emotional resonance is neither secure nor stable, but an emotional battleground requiring constant refurbishment. Urmas Hõbepappel examines how Chinese online narratives frame Russia and its war in Ukraine.

Europe must treat digital interference as an existential threat to democracy, not merely a platform management issue. The past decade shows elections are vulnerable periods when domestic and foreign actors leverage their resources, writes Thiemo Feldmann.

While ongoing developments in Iran will affect Tehran’s relations with its main strategic partners to its north and east, implications for Sino-Russian relations can also be drawn, writes Toomas Hanso.

Until the morning of 28 February, the Kremlin assumed that under Donald Trump the US would confine its interests to the Western Hemisphere. A joint US-Israeli military operation upended that calculation, writes Igor Gretskiy.

Read the paper we wrote with July Decarpentrie for @icds-tallinn.bsky.social on the key points of the French president’s speech on nuclear deterrence ⤵️

On the basis that growing threats and uncertainty require a more autonomous European defence, Macron has offered partners a small step towards European-based nuclear deterrence, write Marianne Paire and July Decarpentrie. @marpaire.bsky.social

USA administratsiooni hinnangul kestab sõda Iraanis veel vähemalt 4-5 nädalat, aga võibolla ka kauem. Eeldatakse, et USA kaitseväelasi hukkub veel, märgib RKK/ICDS uudiskirjas Helga Kalm. ⬇️

Euroopa seisab keerulise valiku ees, kas toetada oma suurimat liitlast operatsioonis, mis on vastuolus Euroopa põhimõtetega, või jätta toetus andmata ja riskida omaenda otsese julgeolekutagatisega. @kristiraik.bsky.social 📺 ETV "Esimene stuudio": www.err.ee/1609956992/r...

#Blog If America Wants KFOR Out, the EU Must Be Ready to Step In Tony Lawrence @icds-tallinn.bsky.social Ending #KFOR would deepen doubts about U.S. reliability & the EU would have to take over to maintain regional stability & prove its own security commitments Read here tinyurl.com/4rpbwc2c

#REUNIR Panel at the @ceps.eu Ideas Lab! On March 2, 50+ policymakers, diplomats and experts gathered for a high-level debate on Europe’s security architecture and the future of #EUenlargement 🌐 Read the news on our website tinyurl.com/4wkfwykp @horizoneu.bsky.social @stevenblockmans.bsky.social

📺 Täna kell 21.40 analüüsib RKK direktor Kristi Raik viimaseid välispoliitilisi arenguid Eesti Televisiooni saates "Esimene stuudio". ➡️ www.err.ee/1609956674/k... #ERR @kristiraik.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social

This week The Power Vertical Podcast marks four years of Russia's war against Ukraine. I speak with the always insightful James Sherr & Serhiy Kudelia about what we have learned and what happens next. www.powervertical.org/2026/02/27/f...

Eilses rekordpikas aastakõnes peatus USA president Donald Trump välispoliitikal alles kõne lõpus, rõhutades oma saavutusi rahusobitajana ja väljendades lootust, et rahu Ukraina ja Venemaa vahel saab olema tema üheksas edulugu. ⬇️ RKK uudiskiri: Helga Kalm ja Trumpi kõne.

As Russia's full-scale war enters its fifth year, and Ukraine keeps on fighting for their sovereignty, we should keep in mind that it’s not only Ukraine that is at stake. #StandWithUkraine 📸 Kaitsevägi

Today we celebrate Estonia's 108th independence day. Freedom is never to be taken for granted – it comes at a high price, and we must treasure it every day. Head vabariigi aastapäeva, Eesti! 📸 Kaitsevägi | #EV108

🤝 ‘Minilaterals have the potential for significantly strengthening collective defence, crisis response and resilience – against both conventional and sub-threshold threats,’ says Nele Loorents, International Centre for Defence and Security #StrategicDefenceUnit #Memorandum #BritainsWorld

Last Thursday, ICDS held a public discussion on how to win the hybrid war. Speakers: Ieva Bērziņa, Aleksander Olech, Shin Kawashima, Anna Rennéus Guthrie. Moderator: Marek Kohv Thank you to all the panellists for an engaging exchange of ideas, and to everyone who joined us! 📸 flic.kr/s/aHBqjCLiMa

Hybrid operations are relatively cheap and easy for Russia to carry out in Europe. Their objective is to divide our societies and European countries, weaken support for Ukraine, and fuel infighting and mutual blame, says Marek Kohv in an interview with Georgia Today. @vazhatavberidze.bsky.social

We are launching a new project 📣 #ChangingTIDE: Together to Inform, Debunk & Empower 👉 Over the next 1️⃣8️⃣ months, we will host events to equip citizens with media literacy skills 🔗 tepsa.eu/projects/cha... @oegfe.bsky.social @infooiip.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social @edmoireland.bsky.social

Last week, ICDS hosted a seminar to launch its annual Japan Chair Report. Bart Gaens, Wrenn Yennie Lindgren, Jagannath Panda, Ville Sinkkonen, and Prannavan Surendran presented their report on Japan's use of strategic connectivity. ↘️ Read more: icds.ee/en/presentat... @sinkkonenville.bsky.social

Müncheni julgeolekukonverents näitas, et Euroopal pole põhjust kergendust tunda. Meil on vaja otsusekindlust, kirjutab Kristi Raik RKK uudiskirjas. @kristiraik.bsky.social @munsecconf.bsky.social #MSC2026

This year’s edition of the EU Enlargement Conference has come to a close. 🤝 We are grateful to all participants, speakers, partners and volunteers for their engagement and contributions throughout the event. Photo gallery: flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx #EUEC2026

Although support for EU membership has not risen by much, the public has warmed up to having a debate. — Pernille Rieker, Director of ARENA Centre for European Studies Norway @prieker.bsky.social @unioslo-arena.bsky.social Panel IV: A new northern enlargement? #EUEC2026

EU Enlargement Conference: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back? #EUEC2026 Costs and benefits of enlargement / integration capacity @miriamkosmehl.bsky.social, Johannes Tralla, Irena Joveva, @keitkasemets.bsky.social @heathergrabbe.bsky.social 📸 flic.kr/s/aHBqjCKecx 🎦 www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikjl...

Anti-corruption institutions in Ukraine are a fire brigade. We now need a backup in the form of the judiciary. Enlargement is possible because Ukraine has tremendous social capital. — @miriamkosmehl.bsky.social, Senior Expert Eastern Europe @bertelsmannst.bsky.social #EUEC2026

EU enlargement is not a technical or merit-based issue; everything stands or falls on political will. If there's one, and if we act as one, it will be really helpful not only for the candidate countries but also for us. — Irena Joveva, Member of the European Parliament #EUEC2026

During the latest uproar in the Arctic, with President Trump threatening Greenland, it immediately started a discussion in Iceland. — Guðni Jóhannesson, Professor of History, University of Iceland, former President of Iceland #EUEC2026

The business argument may not win hearts and minds in EU debates, but it is a very strong supportive argument. Economic force is also part of our security. — Asees Ahuja, Director EU Policy, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise #EUEC2026

I don't think an economic argument will win EU membership discussions in Norway and Iceland. The opportunity to turn to a larger power during crisis might. — Matti Maasikas, Deputy Secretary General for Geoeconomics and Interinstitutional Issues @eudiplomacy.bsky.social #EUEC2026