Anton Barbashin
@abarbashin.bsky.social
📤 4436
📥 310
📝 1220
Russia foreign and domestic politics. Editorial Director at ridl.io
How has Sergey Chemezov's role changed since the beginning of full-scale war? Why is Rostec allowed to openly lobby for the lifting of sanctions in the United States? Why does Chemezov oppose further rapprochement with China? Does Chemezov advocate for ending the war?
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UOtI...
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Крепость "Ростех" и амбиции Сергея Чемезова - S02e11(Андрей Перцев)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UOtIMn1ZhG0
about 14 hours ago
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1
0
#Moldova
is adapting a new security approach backed by EU and NATO. However Russia is spinning it to help convince Moldovan electorate that this approach is the opposite of what ruling party wants to achieve.
ridl.io/neutral-in-n...
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Neutral in Name Only – Riddle Russia
Rasmus G. D. Hardt and Lærke Holst on Moldova’s Westward Security Shift and Its Significant Risks
https://ridl.io/neutral-in-name-only/
about 14 hours ago
0
4
2
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
There is a new ideological and cultural phenomenon that is becoming increasingly visible in both Russia and the United States: the Dark Enlightenment movement. This movement represents a hybrid of illiberalism, techno-optimism, and Christian metaphysics
ridl.io/the-dark-enl...
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The Dark Enlightenment and the Return of Political Theology in Russia and the United States – Riddle Russia
Maria Engström examines the Dark Enlightenment in Russia and the US: a philosophical doctrine that reintegrates metaphysical elements into political thought and promotes a new authoritarian world orde...
https://ridl.io/the-dark-enlightenment-and-the-return-of-political-theology-in-russia-and-the-united-states/
3 days ago
4
12
9
There is a new ideological and cultural phenomenon that is becoming increasingly visible in both Russia and the United States: the Dark Enlightenment movement. This movement represents a hybrid of illiberalism, techno-optimism, and Christian metaphysics
ridl.io/the-dark-enl...
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The Dark Enlightenment and the Return of Political Theology in Russia and the United States – Riddle Russia
Maria Engström examines the Dark Enlightenment in Russia and the US: a philosophical doctrine that reintegrates metaphysical elements into political thought and promotes a new authoritarian world orde...
https://ridl.io/the-dark-enlightenment-and-the-return-of-political-theology-in-russia-and-the-united-states/
3 days ago
4
12
9
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
Highly recommend this Harry Halem piece for Riddle Russia on the evolution of war in Ukraine and how both parties are adapting to it
ridl.io/can-the-russ...
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Can the Russia-Ukraine War Transition to Maneuver Warfare? – Riddle Russia
Harry Halem on Drones, Middlestrikes, and the Future of Operational Mobility in Ukraine
https://ridl.io/can-the-russia-ukraine-war-transition-to-maneuver-warfare/
5 days ago
0
14
4
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
"The contradiction of Russia’s economic policy apparatus is that its competence is its incompetence. Where it succeeds—it just as often creates more problems it cannot fix as it does «improve» things"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/contradictio...
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Contradictions of (In)competence – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (February 2−6)
https://ridl.io/contradictions-of-in-competence/
5 days ago
0
11
1
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
Putin spoke at the launch of «Year of Unity of the Peoples of Russia» yet he spoke about unity around Russians and through the lenses of war in Ukraine. No ideas about other forms of unity have emerged
ridl.io/military-uni...
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https://ridl.io/military-unity/amplifying
5 days ago
1
9
1
Putin spoke at the launch of «Year of Unity of the Peoples of Russia» yet he spoke about unity around Russians and through the lenses of war in Ukraine. No ideas about other forms of unity have emerged
ridl.io/military-uni...
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https://ridl.io/military-unity/amplifying
5 days ago
1
9
1
"The contradiction of Russia’s economic policy apparatus is that its competence is its incompetence. Where it succeeds—it just as often creates more problems it cannot fix as it does «improve» things"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/contradictio...
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Contradictions of (In)competence – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (February 2−6)
https://ridl.io/contradictions-of-in-competence/
5 days ago
0
11
1
Highly recommend this Harry Halem piece for Riddle Russia on the evolution of war in Ukraine and how both parties are adapting to it
ridl.io/can-the-russ...
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Can the Russia-Ukraine War Transition to Maneuver Warfare? – Riddle Russia
Harry Halem on Drones, Middlestrikes, and the Future of Operational Mobility in Ukraine
https://ridl.io/can-the-russia-ukraine-war-transition-to-maneuver-warfare/
5 days ago
0
14
4
Instead of a deal on Ukraine, the UAE talks have led to the resumption of US - Russia dialogue that can be sustained regardless of Russia - Ukraine status
6 days ago
1
8
2
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
As crises of automotive and metallurgical industries are set to deepen in 2026—just as Russia’s federal legislative election is nearing—Moscow may very well be forced to pay more attention and perhaps fork out more money to these industries and regions
@minczifra.bsky.social
ridl.io/russia-s-ind...
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Russia’s industrial winter – Riddle Russia
Andras Toth-Czifra on the political economy of industrial decline in Russian car manufacturing and metallurgy
https://ridl.io/russia-s-industrial-winter/
9 days ago
0
16
5
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
András Tóth-Czifra
9 days ago
My newest for Riddle - after discussing the fiscal troubles of the Irkutsk and Kemerovo Regions in December, I'm taking a look at Samara, Vologda and some additional regions and their issues with cash flow.
add a skeleton here at some point
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As crises of automotive and metallurgical industries are set to deepen in 2026—just as Russia’s federal legislative election is nearing—Moscow may very well be forced to pay more attention and perhaps fork out more money to these industries and regions
@minczifra.bsky.social
ridl.io/russia-s-ind...
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Russia’s industrial winter – Riddle Russia
Andras Toth-Czifra on the political economy of industrial decline in Russian car manufacturing and metallurgy
https://ridl.io/russia-s-industrial-winter/
9 days ago
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16
5
Check out this Riddle Russia piece on how Trump's sanctions against Russia oil are making a significant difference
ridl.io/striking-the...
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Striking the Gray Zone: Why Sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil Could Prove Decisive – Riddle Russia
Vakhtang Partsvania On the Cumulative Impact of Sanctions and the Shrinking Space for Russia
https://ridl.io/striking-the-gray-zone-why-sanctions-on-rosneft-and-lukoil-could-prove-decisive/
10 days ago
0
4
3
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
"We are now seeing Russian industrial data that shows annualized declines, with underlying trends suggesting the economy can’t be pushed past current limits unless military production directly reallocates capacity or labor from other pursuits"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/running-out-...
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Running out of nose – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 26 — 30)
https://ridl.io/running-out-of-nose/
13 days ago
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12
7
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
"There are no indications that either side is exhausted enough to accept peace. Unless a major strategic breakthrough occurs on either side, the fighting is on track to continue—or even intensify—into 2027"
@erwoods.bsky.social
ridl.io/attrition-no...
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Attrition, Not Victory – Riddle Russia
Eric Woods on Russia’s tactical gains, attritional strategy, and no strategic breakthrough in sight
https://ridl.io/attrition-not-victory/
13 days ago
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15
6
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
"As with much of the Russian military, the war against Ukraine has brutally exposed and greatly accelerated pre-existing weaknesses. Any increased naval spending will be unable to remedy those weaknesses through capital infusion alone"
@jhawn.bsky.social
ridl.io/russian-navy...
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Russian Navy Between Practicality and Fantasy – Riddle Russia
Jeff Hawn on feasibility of a large-scale modernization of the Russian navy
https://ridl.io/russian-navy-between-practicality-and-fantasy/
16 days ago
0
9
4
"There are no indications that either side is exhausted enough to accept peace. Unless a major strategic breakthrough occurs on either side, the fighting is on track to continue—or even intensify—into 2027"
@erwoods.bsky.social
ridl.io/attrition-no...
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Attrition, Not Victory – Riddle Russia
Eric Woods on Russia’s tactical gains, attritional strategy, and no strategic breakthrough in sight
https://ridl.io/attrition-not-victory/
13 days ago
0
15
6
"We are now seeing Russian industrial data that shows annualized declines, with underlying trends suggesting the economy can’t be pushed past current limits unless military production directly reallocates capacity or labor from other pursuits"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/running-out-...
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Running out of nose – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 26 — 30)
https://ridl.io/running-out-of-nose/
13 days ago
0
12
7
"As with much of the Russian military, the war against Ukraine has brutally exposed and greatly accelerated pre-existing weaknesses. Any increased naval spending will be unable to remedy those weaknesses through capital infusion alone"
@jhawn.bsky.social
ridl.io/russian-navy...
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Russian Navy Between Practicality and Fantasy – Riddle Russia
Jeff Hawn on feasibility of a large-scale modernization of the Russian navy
https://ridl.io/russian-navy-between-practicality-and-fantasy/
16 days ago
0
9
4
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
Anton Shekhovtsov
17 days ago
Striking the Gray Zone: Why Sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil Could Prove Decisive
ridl.io/striking-the...
On the Cumulative Impact of Sanctions and the Shrinking Space for Russia’s Oil Rent.
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Striking the Gray Zone: Why Sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil Could Prove Decisive – Riddle Russia
Vakhtang Partsvania On the Cumulative Impact of Sanctions and the Shrinking Space for Russia
https://ridl.io/striking-the-gray-zone-why-sanctions-on-rosneft-and-lukoil-could-prove-decisive/
0
14
8
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
RU technocracy lost control of macroeconomic stability in 2024. Last year they were lucky enough to muddle through with marginal interest-rate decreases. This year with a lower oil-price environment and growing uncertainty, they won’t be so lucky.
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/let-the-good...
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Let the Good Times Roll – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 19−25)
https://ridl.io/let-the-good-times-roll/
16 days ago
1
17
4
RU technocracy lost control of macroeconomic stability in 2024. Last year they were lucky enough to muddle through with marginal interest-rate decreases. This year with a lower oil-price environment and growing uncertainty, they won’t be so lucky.
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/let-the-good...
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Let the Good Times Roll – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 19−25)
https://ridl.io/let-the-good-times-roll/
16 days ago
1
17
4
What role does Israel assign to Russia in Middle East? What is the current level of relations between Israel and Russia? Could Russia act as a mediator in negotiations between Iran and Israel? Watch our latest Russia Talk with Vladimir Ze'ev Khanin
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mzL...
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Интересы России. Интересы Израиля - Russia Talk S02E10 (Зеэв Ханин)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_mzLI2_qjzE
17 days ago
0
4
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Sanctions against Lukoil and Rosneft work quite well. We are seeing decreasing cash flows. If this persists, and it will, Russia would need to cut spending much faster to keep the war going
ridl.io/ru/udar-po-s...
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Удар по «серой зоне»: почему санкции против «Роснефти» и «Лукойла» могут стать переломными — Riddle Russia
Вахтанг Парцвания о накопленном эффекте санкций и сужении пространства нефтяной ренты
https://ridl.io/ru/udar-po-seroj-zone-pochemu-sanktsii-protiv-rosnefti-i-lukojla-mogut-stat-perelomnymi/
17 days ago
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15
3
Kremlin is testing ideas on who will lead ruling United Russia party for 2026 Duma elections. Two key observations: 1. All of the names are affiliated with war in Ukraine. 2. Dmitry Medvedev is genuinely considered to be #1
ridl.io/duma-warm-up/
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Duma Warm-Up – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev sums up the political week (January 19−24)
https://ridl.io/duma-warm-up/
18 days ago
2
4
1
Belarussian hybrid warfare on EU borders should be seen as complementary, not separate, from Russian global strategy to empower «Make Europe Great Again» sovereigntists forces against the EU’s supranational elites
@dioniscenusa.bsky.social
ridl.io/migrants-and...
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Migrants-and-Balloons – Riddle Russia
Denis Cenusa on Belarus’s Hybrid Warfare and Its Strategic Alignment with Russian Policy
https://ridl.io/migrants-and-balloons/
21 days ago
0
4
1
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
How did the position of Rostec and Sergei Chemezov "clan" change since 2022? His "clan" is known to groom at least three potential successor to Putin and he is an outspoken critic of Russian dependence on China
ridl.io/rostec-s-pos...
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Rostec’s Position Amid the War – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev on the Political Influence and Prospects of Sergei Chemezov
https://ridl.io/rostec-s-position-amid-the-war/
22 days ago
0
6
3
How interested is China at all in “helping” Russia? How does Beijing view the future of the war in Ukraine? Is it beneficial for China for the fighting to continue as long as possible? Russia Talk with Alexei Chigadaev
www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0Bq...
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Китай, Гренландия и окончание войны в Украине - Russia Talk S02E09(Алексей Чигадаев)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0BqSBitdwc
21 days ago
0
4
0
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
War in Ukraine collapse of Russia - EU ties and lingering hope of cutting some kind of deal with USA have left Moscow with limited room to maneuver. Those realities have kept RU officials from taking too harsh a public line toward US plans for
#Greenland
@anurlan.bsky.social
ridl.io/how-moscow-s...
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How Moscow Sees the Current U.S.-EU Spat over Greenland – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on Moscow’s Mix of Schadenfreude and Caution in the U.S.-EU Greenland Dispute
https://ridl.io/how-moscow-sees-the-current-u-s-eu-spat-over-greenland/
22 days ago
0
9
3
War in Ukraine collapse of Russia - EU ties and lingering hope of cutting some kind of deal with USA have left Moscow with limited room to maneuver. Those realities have kept RU officials from taking too harsh a public line toward US plans for
#Greenland
@anurlan.bsky.social
ridl.io/how-moscow-s...
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How Moscow Sees the Current U.S.-EU Spat over Greenland – Riddle Russia
Nurlan Aliyev on Moscow’s Mix of Schadenfreude and Caution in the U.S.-EU Greenland Dispute
https://ridl.io/how-moscow-sees-the-current-u-s-eu-spat-over-greenland/
22 days ago
0
9
3
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
"The more Russian regime tries to engineer a great leap forward into the industrial future, the more active its interventions become into an economy it has mismanaged and underdeveloped"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/the-great-le...
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The Great Leap Forward? – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 12−18)
https://ridl.io/the-great-leap-forward/
22 days ago
0
9
1
How did the position of Rostec and Sergei Chemezov "clan" change since 2022? His "clan" is known to groom at least three potential successor to Putin and he is an outspoken critic of Russian dependence on China
ridl.io/rostec-s-pos...
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Rostec’s Position Amid the War – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev on the Political Influence and Prospects of Sergei Chemezov
https://ridl.io/rostec-s-position-amid-the-war/
22 days ago
0
6
3
"The more Russian regime tries to engineer a great leap forward into the industrial future, the more active its interventions become into an economy it has mismanaged and underdeveloped"
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
ridl.io/the-great-le...
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The Great Leap Forward? – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 12−18)
https://ridl.io/the-great-leap-forward/
22 days ago
0
9
1
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
Clocks are ticking yet Putin is saying nothing about Venezuela as if nothing is happening. On the one hand, he doesn't want to contradict Trump too much, on the other - what can he do, really?
ridl.io/the-silence-...
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The silence of the Kremlin – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev sums up the political week (January 12−16)
https://ridl.io/the-silence-of-the-kremlin/
25 days ago
0
9
4
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
One of the least discussed consequences of Russia's war in Ukraine is Russia's increased cooperation with Egypt. Nikita Smagin for Riddle Russia on the scale and limits of Moscow - Cairo friendship
ridl.io/gateway-to-a...
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Gateway to Africa: The Dynamics of Russian-Egyptian Relations – Riddle Russia
Nikita Smagin on whether Egypt will become the new pillar of Russia
https://ridl.io/gateway-to-africa-the-dynamics-of-russian-egyptian-relations/
24 days ago
0
6
3
One of the least discussed consequences of Russia's war in Ukraine is Russia's increased cooperation with Egypt. Nikita Smagin for Riddle Russia on the scale and limits of Moscow - Cairo friendship
ridl.io/gateway-to-a...
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Gateway to Africa: The Dynamics of Russian-Egyptian Relations – Riddle Russia
Nikita Smagin on whether Egypt will become the new pillar of Russia
https://ridl.io/gateway-to-africa-the-dynamics-of-russian-egyptian-relations/
24 days ago
0
6
3
Clocks are ticking yet Putin is saying nothing about Venezuela as if nothing is happening. On the one hand, he doesn't want to contradict Trump too much, on the other - what can he do, really?
ridl.io/the-silence-...
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The silence of the Kremlin – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev sums up the political week (January 12−16)
https://ridl.io/the-silence-of-the-kremlin/
25 days ago
0
9
4
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
More than any national-conservative ideology, Russia for twenty-five years and more has been governed in a way that protects privilege and unearned wealth
ridl.io/inequality-i...
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Inequality in Russia at War – Riddle Russia
Jem Morrow on why inequality, not military spending, will shape Russia’s wartime future
https://ridl.io/inequality-in-russia-at-war/
28 days ago
1
11
2
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
“Rearranging elites, including senior members, to redirect resources toward his children risks fracturing the key alliances that brought Kadyrov to power, potentially leading to elite defections if Ramzan is perceived as sufficiently weak”
ridl.io/new-year-s-e...
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New Year’s Elite Cycles Already Begin in Chechnya – Riddle Russia
Harold Chambers on Chechnya’s accelerating elite reshuffle
https://ridl.io/new-year-s-elite-cycles-already-begin-in-chechnya/
27 days ago
0
7
3
“Rearranging elites, including senior members, to redirect resources toward his children risks fracturing the key alliances that brought Kadyrov to power, potentially leading to elite defections if Ramzan is perceived as sufficiently weak”
ridl.io/new-year-s-e...
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New Year’s Elite Cycles Already Begin in Chechnya – Riddle Russia
Harold Chambers on Chechnya’s accelerating elite reshuffle
https://ridl.io/new-year-s-elite-cycles-already-begin-in-chechnya/
27 days ago
0
7
3
More than any national-conservative ideology, Russia for twenty-five years and more has been governed in a way that protects privilege and unearned wealth
ridl.io/inequality-i...
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Inequality in Russia at War – Riddle Russia
Jem Morrow on why inequality, not military spending, will shape Russia’s wartime future
https://ridl.io/inequality-in-russia-at-war/
28 days ago
1
11
2
Why does Kremlin like Trump's Monroe Doсtrine? First(among many), it implies that Washington's activity in the Caucasus and Central Asia is half-serious. Second, it almost invites Russia to stay in the Middle East.
ridl.io/russia-and-t...
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Russia and the «Trump Middle East»: New Realities or Old Patterns? – Riddle Russia
Vladimir (Ze
https://ridl.io/russia-and-the-trump-middle-east-new-realities-or-old-patterns/
about 1 month ago
0
8
3
reposted by
Anton Barbashin
The cost of financing Russia's war in Ukraine for just one week now equals the entire annual budget of 75% of Russian regions combined
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
for Riddle Russia on how this is (un)sustainable
ridl.io/marching-to-...
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Marching to Nowhere – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 5−9)
https://ridl.io/marching-to-nowhere/
about 1 month ago
0
17
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How do the new Trump sanctions differ from all previous rounds directed against Russian oil? How seriously could Russia's oil revenues shrink in 2026? Why has Russian auto industry been so badly hit by the sanctions? Russia Talk with Vakhtang Partsvania
www.youtube.com/watch?v=euPv...
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Влияние санкций: российская нефть и автопром - Russia Talk S02e08 (Вахтанг Парцвания)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=euPvB-XW38M
about 1 month ago
0
4
0
The cost of financing Russia's war in Ukraine for just one week now equals the entire annual budget of 75% of Russian regions combined
@ruboyinthehood.bsky.social
for Riddle Russia on how this is (un)sustainable
ridl.io/marching-to-...
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Marching to Nowhere – Riddle Russia
Nicholas Trickett with the economic summary of the week (January 5−9)
https://ridl.io/marching-to-nowhere/
about 1 month ago
0
17
4
When Orthodox Christians around the world were celebrating Christmas, Russian patriarch addressing the Russian spoke of unique "Russian civilization", the West, national traitors and the need for self-sacrifice for the Russian state. No Jesus
ridl.io/a-sermon-fro...
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A Sermon from the Kremlin – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev sums up the political week (5−9 January)
https://ridl.io/a-sermon-from-the-kremlin/
about 1 month ago
1
11
0
"The Central Asian five are forging a shared regional identity and aligned policies. This has transformed the region into «nobody’s backyard.» In the long run, this proves advantageous for all involved"
ridl.io/living-in-th...
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Living in the Middle: Central Asia’s 2025 in Review – Riddle Russia
Roman Chernikov on how the five Central Asian states have learned to speak with one voice
https://ridl.io/living-in-the-middle-central-asia-s-2025-in-review/
about 1 month ago
1
6
1
How many political prisoners are there in Russia now? How do the repressions in Russia differ from the repressions in the occupied territories of Ukraine? Russia Talk with Sergey Davidis
youtube.com/watch?v=6bIMtjmwaR4&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2F&source_ve_path=Mjg2NjY
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Репрессии в России и в оккупированной Украине - Russia Talk S02E07 (Сергей Давидис)
YouTube video by Russia Talk
https://youtube.com/watch?v=6bIMtjmwaR4&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2F&source_ve_path=Mjg2NjY
about 1 month ago
0
1
0
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