Marianne Paire
@marpaire.bsky.social
📤 101
📥 226
📝 46
Visiting Fellow at the
@ICDS-tallinn.bsky.social
- Baltic way of life - RT ≠ endorsement
reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
16 days ago
NATO figures show Europe and Canada are catching up with the US: their share of
#NATO
defence spending rose from 28% in 2015 to 36% in 2024, and is expected to reach 38% this year. ⬇️ Felix Gasper reviews current defence spending by each NATO ally:
icds.ee/en/defence-s...
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Defence Spending: Who Is Doing What? September 2025 - ICDS
According to NATO's latest figures, most Allies have increased their defence spending compared to July 2024, when we last examined the data. But most also have a long way to go if they are to meet the...
https://icds.ee/en/defence-spending-who-is-doing-what-september-2025/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Diplomaatia
22 days ago
📧 RKK UUDISKIRI: - Prantsusmaa valitsuse kukkumine
@marpaire.bsky.social
- Felix Gasper: Kes teeb mida? NATO riikide kaitsekulude ülevaade - Marek Kohv: Nädalavahetuse rünnak Kiievile - Sahaidatšnõi keskus: Droonisõja õppetunnid Ukrainast - Finn-Niklar Brünner: Euroopa vajab paremat tuumaheidutust
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Prantsusmaa ja Euroopa kaitsevõime, Ukraina – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 37. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikasprantsusmaa-ja-euroopa-kaitsevoime-ukraina/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Diplomaatia
29 days ago
📩 UUDISKIRI: - Ukraina rinne - Gaza lõks
@meriliarjakas.bsky.social
- Tollimaksud muutsid India suhtumist - Külma sõja õpitunnid - Prantsusmaa kaitse- ja julgeolekustrateegia uuendamine
@marpaire.bsky.social
- Armeeniast Aserbaidžaani läbi Washingtoni
@koen-claessen.bsky.social
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Ukraina, Iisrael, SCO, Armeenia-Aserbaidžaan, külma sõja õppetunnid NATOle – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 36. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-ukraina-iisrael-sco-armeenia-aserbaidzaan-kulma-soja-oppetunnid-natole/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
about 1 month ago
🤝 We are delighted to welcome Helga Kalm as the International Centre for Defence and Security Deputy Director and Head of the Foreign Policy Programme, and Eda Ahi as the new Director of the
#LennartMeriConference
. More:
icds.ee/en/icds-welc...
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ICDS Welcomes New Deputy Director and LMC Director - ICDS
We are excited to welcome Helga Kalm in her new role as the Deputy Director of ICDS and the Head of the Foreign Policy Programme from August 2025. It is also our pleasure to announce that Eda Ahi has ...
https://icds.ee/en/icds-welcomes-new-deputy-director-and-lmc-director/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Elie Tenenbaum
about 1 month ago
📢 Ma tribune dans
@lemonde.fr
à propos de l'Ukraine et du débat sur les garanties de sécurité: j’y défends une idée simple mais exigeante : ne pas attendre le cessez-le-feu pour agir 👉 :
www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...
Petit 🧵à dérouler ⤵️
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Face à Poutine, il faut « retourner le facteur temps à l’avantage de l’Ukraine »
TRIBUNE. Les forces de garanties de sécurité que les Européens proposent d’engager sur le front ukrainien doivent être déployées avant et non après un cessez-le-feu pour forcer le Kremlin à signer un ...
https://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2025/08/22/face-a-poutine-il-faut-retourner-le-facteur-temps-a-l-avantage-de-l-ukraine_6633524_3232.html
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The key takeaways from the French National Strategic Review ? Read my latest commentary for the
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
👇
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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Read my commentary for
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
on the latest developments on European defence issues 👇
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2 months ago
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On the Bastille Day, I'd like to go back over the key points from the President's speech to the armed forces he made yesterday🧶👇:
m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwM...
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Discours aux armées du Président Emmanuel Macron depuis l'Hôtel de Brienne.
YouTube video by Élysée
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=eLwMjTTjldU
3 months ago
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French CHOD’s press conference this morning was the first in a series of defence events in France over the next few days. The President will deliver a speech on 13 July, a day before the traditional military parade for Bastille Day 🧶👇
3 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Minna Ålander 🌻
3 months ago
Great news: after Denmark signed an agreement with Ukraine that allows for Ukrainian companies to move parts of their production to Denmark, Sweden is also open for a similar agreement. There’s a very productive competition among the Nordics and Denmark holds the bar really high
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Försvarsministern öppnar för ukrainska vapenfabriker på svensk mark
Danmark och Ukraina har ingått i ett avtal som låter ukrainska försvarsföretag att öppna fabriker på dansk mark, skriver Kyiv Independent.
https://www.dn.se/varlden/forsvarsministern-oppnar-for-ukrainska-vapenfabriker-pa-svensk-mark/
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Laulupidu pluvieux, Laulupidu heureux! Feel very lucky to have the chance to attend the Estonian song festival. Even with the rain, such a great atmosphere! Elagu Eesti 🇪🇪
3 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
3 months ago
European Allies must find the confidence to pursue their own interests more assertively, writes Tony Lawrence. That confidence will stem, in part, from delivering on the summit’s key commitments.
#NATOsummit
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The Hague Summit: Mission Accomplished - ICDS
NATO's summit in The Hague succeeded in producing a substantial and important deliverable—a new defence investment pledge. But in dealing with the underlying strains in the transatlantic relationship,...
https://icds.ee/en/the-hague-summit-mission-accomplished/
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Read my last brief for
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
on the EU-NATO relation. It is part of a series of briefs focusing on NATO ahead of next week's summit in The Hague:
icds.ee/en/the-hague...
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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@marie-doha.bsky.social
at
#RigaStratComDialogue
: “need to understand Stratcom as an element of NATO deterrence also” ; “it needs planning to trigger right”
4 months ago
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Paul Zajac on nuclear deterrence at
#RigaStratComDialogue
: « resolve & determination towards European public opinions ; need to communicate together »
4 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Manuel Lafont Rapnouil
4 months ago
Tomorrow, at the
#RigaStratComDialogue
, do not miss the panel on
#NuclearDeterrence
where my colleague Paul Zajac from
@cea.fr
will share views on the renewed focus on nuclear power in the interplay between powers, and the consequences for Europe. Cc
@stratcomcoe.bsky.social
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Manuel Lafont Rapnouil
4 months ago
Listening to
@baibabraze.bsky.social
on this
#RigaStratComDialogue
panel about the identity dimension of current challenges to
#democracy
, or how strongmen and populists change the
#truth
and conviction dialectic, play divides over
#resilience
, and ultimately weaken our understanding of democracy.
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Minna Ålander 🌻
4 months ago
For
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
, I wrote that the whole Nordic-Baltic region is a potential frontline in a conflict with Russia - not only the Baltic states and Finland but also Norwegian High North and even Denmark together with Sweden as gatekeepers of the Baltic Sea and Iceland along the GIUK gap.
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A Region in the Making: The Nordic-Baltic Alignment - ICDS
In the past three years, the Nordic-Baltic group has reached unprecedented levels of coherence and prominence. The main drivers of the alignment are the shared threat assessment that Russia poses an e...
https://icds.ee/en/a-region-in-the-making-the-nordic-baltic-alignment/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
4 months ago
A shared threat assessment of Russia and tangible support for Ukraine have given the NB8 a strong voice in Europe on security and defence issues. Minna Ålander explains what underpins the region’s unity—and why it matters.
@alanderminna.bsky.social
@chathamhouse.org
#LennartMeriConference
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A Region in the Making: The Nordic-Baltic Alignment - ICDS
In the past three years, the Nordic-Baltic group has reached unprecedented levels of coherence and prominence. The main drivers of the alignment are the shared threat assessment that Russia poses an e...
https://icds.ee/en/a-region-in-the-making-the-nordic-baltic-alignment/
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Read the latest brief of the
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
EU series on the key issue of military mobility written by Mihai Chihaia from
@epc-official.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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Read my last piece for
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
on the treaty recently signed between France and Poland in Nancy which includes an interesting section on (European) defence 👇
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
5 months ago
"We have to be careful. If we say "we have to do this or we are screwed", and we don't do it, what kind of message does this send?" —
@brunotertrais.bsky.social
, Deputy Director of the Foundation for Strategic Research A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself?
#LennartMeriConference
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
5 months ago
"I think a lot of the NATO message to Finland has been that they need to NATO-ise, but I think NATO needs to Finlandise." —
@camillegrand.bsky.social
, Distinguished Policy Fellow at the
@ecfr.eu
A Herculean Task: Can Europe Defend Itself?
#LennartMeriConference
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
5 months ago
#LennartMeriConference
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
4 months ago
💬 "The NB8 has become, if not the, then a powerhouse of Europe, and other states gravitate towards us." —Espen Barth Eide, Minister of
@norwaymfa.government.no
🔹 How to Make the NB8 the New Powerhouse of Europe?
#LennartMeriConference
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
4 months ago
❓ What makes the Lennart Meri Conference special? JJ Green of
@wtopnews.bsky.social
explains why
#LennartMeriConference
is unlike any other. 🎙️ Day 2 interview with
@jjgreenjr.bsky.social
We Shall Go Forward Together
#LennartMeriConference
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
The 🇫🇷 Joint Staff - Millitary operations
5 months ago
📍Far North | PEGASE 25 kicks off 🇫🇷 combat power deployed to Northern Europe. 🎯 A concrete commitment to European security, side by side with our allies, to deter and defend. Next stop: 🇸🇪
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
6 months ago
"It is utterly naïve to think that what is happening in the trade dimension will not affect defence relations." The political connection, built on trust, is just as crucial as the material one, writes Tomas Jermalavičius.
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Treaty on the Rocks? - ICDS
Anyone familiar with NATO will say it is a political as much as a military alliance. This means the political principles and decisions that underpin its cohesion and unity are as important as its mili...
https://icds.ee/en/treaty-on-the-rocks/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Diplomaatia
6 months ago
Lisaks RKK/ICDS nädalakirjas: - Tomas Jermalavičius: Leping karidel? - Venemaa hävitustöö Ukrainas jätkub
@marekkohv.bsky.social
- Euroopa kaitsepoliitika valge paber
@marpaire.bsky.social
- Henrik Praks: Venemaa hübriidrünnakud Euroopas. Heidutusest omistamise ja reageerimiseni
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: USA tollid ning EL ja NATO, tsiviiltaristu ründamine Ukrainas, ELi kaitsepoliitika, hübriidrünnakud – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 15. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-usa-tollid-ning-el-ja-nato-tsiviiltaristu-rundamine-ukrainas-eli-kaitsepoliitika-hubriidrunnakud/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
6 months ago
The EU Commission's White Paper is clear: the key to Europe's future defence lies in swift and strong action. But for it to be credible, all member states must be deeply involved. ⬇️
@marpaire.bsky.social
breaks down how Europe plans to secure its future.
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EU Defence Series: The White Paper for European Defence Readiness 2030 - ICDS
The Commission presented its White Paper on defence on 19 March at a press conference with the Commissioner for Defence and Space, Andrius Kubilius, and the High Representative for Foreign Affairs and...
https://icds.ee/en/eu-defence-series-the-white-paper-for-european-defence-readiness-2030/
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My analysis of the EU White Paper on Defence for the
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
is available here 👇
icds.ee/en/eu-defenc...
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EU Defence Series: The White Paper for European Defence Readiness 2030 - ICDS
The Commission presented its White Paper on defence on 19 March at a press conference with the Commissioner for Defence and Space, Andrius Kubilius, and the High Representative for Foreign Affairs and...
https://icds.ee/en/eu-defence-series-the-white-paper-for-european-defence-readiness-2030/
6 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
The Kyiv Independent
6 months ago
⚡️'Coalition of the Willing' agrees at least one European leader should engage with Russia, Stubb says. Finnish President Alexander Stubb suggested that either France or the United Kingdom, as key coalition leaders, should initiate contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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'Coalition of the Willing' agrees at least one European leader should engage with Russia, Stubb says
Finnish President Alexander Stubb suggested that either France or the United Kingdom, as key coalition leaders, should initiate contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
https://kyivindependent.com/coalition-of-the-willing-agrees-at-least-one-european-leader-should-engage-with-russia-stubb-says/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Diplomaatia
6 months ago
📧 Lisaks uudiskirjas: - Ukraina: vaherahu pole märgata
@marekkohv.bsky.social
- Tetiana Fedosiuk: Kadunud laste saatuse uurimine - ELi kaitsepoliitika: kaitsetööstuse tugevdamine
@marpaire.bsky.social
- Enamat kui süsteemne rivaal. Hiina väljakutse ELi julgeolekule.
@toehk.bsky.social
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On the eve of the publication of the EU White Paper on Defence, my brief for
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
describes the challenges and the issues at stake for the European defence industry 👇
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Kevin Limonier
7 months ago
Ce terme de guerre hybride est un pb. Il aseptise l'adversaire et entretient le flou artistique sur l'effet final recherché. Il donne de la guerre une représentation lointaine, technique, qui ne concernerait que peu les gens ordinaires et ne changerait rien à leur quotidien, ce qui est faux. 1/4
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The challenges facing the European defence industry are at the heart of strategic debates. Read the first brief
@icds-tallinn.bsky.social
in a series on this subject written by
@imaxcdt.bsky.social
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Emmanuel Mignot
7 months ago
Excellente édition de la conférence Russie du Baltic Defense College à Tartu Estonie . Merci à Pierre Lévy et à Colin Gérard de leur contribution
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Shashank Joshi
7 months ago
‘"Responding to the historic appeal of the future German Chancellor [Friedrich Merz], I decided to open the strategic debate on the protection by our [nuclear] deterrence of our allies of the European continent," announced Mr. Macron’
lemonde.fr/international/…
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Elie Tenenbaum
7 months ago
🚨 In a formal address to the nation 🇫🇷 President Emmanuel Macron calls on a meeting of selected European Chiefs of defense staff for possible deployment of a security guarantee force in Ukraine 🇺🇦
www.lemonde.fr/internationa...
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En direct, allocution d’Emmanuel Macron : « Qui peut croire que la Russie d’aujourd’hui s’arrêtera à l’Ukraine ? »
Le président s’adresse aux citoyens mercredi à 20 heures. « Dans ce moment de grande incertitude où le monde est confronté à ses plus grands défis », il devrait évoquer en particulier la guerre en Ukr...
https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2025/03/05/en-direct-allocution-d-emmanuel-macron-suivez-la-prise-de-parole-du-chef-de-l-etat-sur-l-ukraine-et-la-situation-internationale_6576604_3210.html?lmd_medium=al
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Diplomaatia
7 months ago
📩 RKK/ICDS uudiskirjas veel: - Musk tegutseb edasi | Helga Kalm - Prantsusmaa katsed ohje haarata | Marianne Paire
@marpaire.bsky.social
- Zelenskõi avaldas Hiina noortele muljet | Urmas Hõbepappel - Trumpi eesmärk on Trump suureks teha | Kai Kaarelson
@kaikaarelson.bsky.social
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Nädal välis- ja julgeolekupoliitikas: Ukraina, Euroopa ja USA – Diplomaatia
Rahvusvahelise Kaitseuuringute Keskuse (RKK) 2025. aasta 10. nädala uudiskiri. RKK teadurid kommenteerivad olulisi sündmusi ja suundumusi välispoliitikas ja julgeolekuvaldkonnas.
https://diplomaatia.ee/nadal-valis-ja-julgeolekupoliitikas-ukraina-euroopa-ja-usa/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
VIGINUM
7 months ago
Trois ans après le déclenchement de l’invasion du territoire ukrainien par les forces armées de la Fédération de Russie,
#VIGINUM
publie une synthèse des principaux modes opératoires informationnels observés depuis le 24 février 2022 ➡️
www.sgdsn.gouv.fr/publications...
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
7 months ago
Today, we celebrate our freedom! It's a day to honour the past, embrace the present, and look forward to a brighter future. Happy 107th birthday to Estonia, and strength to our Ukrainian friends!
#EV107
#SlavaUkraini
📸 Kaitsevägi /
pildid.mil.ee
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Kaja Kallas
7 months ago
EU delivers: Foreign Ministers just approved the 16th package of sanctions against Russia. It hits everything from shadow fleet ships to gaming controllers used to control drones. We now have the most extensive sanctions ever, weakening Russia’s war effort.
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Head iseseisvuspäeva kallis Eesti 🇪🇪 French MoD @SebLecornu is in Tallinn to celebrate and demonstrate France’s commitment on the Eastern flank at your side! Elagu Eesti !
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
ICDS Tallinn
8 months ago
"The coming year is expected to mark the final phase of the war of attrition – both sides are at the limits of their capabilities."
@marekkohv.bsky.social
writes why 2025 is the most important year of the ongoing war in Ukraine apart from 2022.
icds.ee/en/2025-will...
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2025 will be Decisive for Ukraine’s Future
The year 2025 is likely to be the most important year of the ongoing war in Ukraine, apart from 2022, when Ukraine successfully resisted Russia and managed to liberate a significant portion of its ter...
https://icds.ee/en/2025-will-be-decisive-for-ukraines-future/
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Céline Bayou
8 months ago
États baltes : connectés au réseau électrique européen !
regard-est.com/etats-baltes...
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États baltes : connectés au réseau électrique européen - REGARD SUR L'EST
Les trois pays baltes se sont déconnectés le 8 février au matin du réseau électrique BRELL (Biélorussie, Russie, Estonie, Lettonie, Lituanie) et se sont connectés sans […] Read More
https://regard-est.com/etats-baltes-connectes-au-reseau-electrique-europeen
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Maxime Audinet
8 months ago
I’m incredibly relieved to share that the Judicial Court of Créteil acquitted me yesterday in the libel suit filed by RT France against both my publisher, INA, and me! 1/9
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reposted by
Marianne Paire
Société des Rédacteurs du Monde
8 months ago
La Russie a pris la décision de révoquer l’accréditation du correspondant
@lemonde.fr
, Benjamin Quénelle. Cette décision vient clore près de 70 années de présence du Monde en Russie. Nous condamnons ferment la révocation de l’accréditation notre journaliste.
www.lemonde.fr/le-monde-et-...
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For French readers interested in the step up of the Polish army 👇
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8 months ago
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«Our mission is first and foremost to share information between allies in order to have the most up-to-date picture possible of maritime traffic in the area, to establish a dialogue with merchant ships, to share criteria for suspicion, and thus to deter any attempts at sabotage» 👉
t.co/flTzFxadwt
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https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2025/02/04/dans-les-eaux-troubles-de-la-baltique-la-france-et-ses-allies-au-defi-de-la-guerre-hybride-sur-les-infrastructures-energetiques_6530350_3210.htm...
https://t.co/flTzFxadwt
8 months ago
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