From the days of typewriter prepared manuscripts to the LLMing of today's vibey journal submissions one constant remained: Double Spacing ! and All Figures Placed at the End ! Some changes are too disruptive to allow.

Here are some of my favourite Lexis plots. 1. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 2. ourworldindata.org/causes-of-de... 3. www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol3...

Ok, I'd like to on the record saying: "Everything in mortality is a tempo effect", "Excess deaths are an artifact of displaced deaths". -JS

This is so cool. This atlas has Lexis plots on how various things have changed over time in different age groups – mortality rates, fertility rates, number of parents and siblings. And you can reach out to Jonas to add your own plots too. I'd like to see Lexis plots for absolutely everything.

Fertility stats are conventionally denominated in births per *woman* - as if men have no agency. @cdudel.bsky.social & @demomapper.bsky.social hold men responsible by calculating trends in male fertility by age. Check out their male fertility collection on demoscapes: demoscapes.org/collections/...

🎉Congrats! Isabella Marinetti successfully defended her doctoral thesis, “Effects of short-term events on mortality in Europe.“ University of Groningen | Rijksuniversiteit Groningen https://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_events_6123/news_press_releases_4630/news/congratulations_isabella_marinetti_15488

Speaking as a demographer, the individualization of aggregate relationships is both impossible to resist in public discourse and an ongoing massive misrepresentation of research. It's not well known at all, how badly individual behavior is predicted using statistical regularities.

Excellent move.

New from me: "Pronatalism isn't sending their best." In which I cast considered doubt on the precious bodily fluids fecundity theory of fertility decline.

We are recruiting for a PhD student who will be studying jointly between Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and University of St Andrews, More information are attached. @phrg-standrews.bsky.social @cpc-cg.bsky.social @bspsuk.bsky.social

I was just asked about reproducibility issues in demography and healthy life expectancy came to mind.

Today marks 50 years since John Chambers and Rick Becker presented a new project to colleagues at Bell Labs - an interactive environment that became the S language. For more details, see the #RStats blog entry "S at 50": blog.r-project.org/2026/05/05/s...

Adding this directly to the slides for this week's lecture of the course on Introduction to demographic methods. Thanks for creating great resource and sharing @jschoeley.com et al.

What is the main reason for premature male mortality in Mexico? @ikashnitsky.phd and Aburto answered this question in 2019 for every Mexican state, every year since 1990 and all ages from 15 to 50. Their rich results are available on demoscapes. demoscapes.org/collections/...

🥳New article out! Exploring the full spectrum of reproductive experiences doi.org/10.20377/jfr... Using Czech health register data, we analyse reproductive trajectories of women born 1976–1991, including live births, miscarriages, induced abortions, stillbirths, and infertility treatment (ART).

I don't understand this comment... On an unrelated note, have you seen this cartogram below? Give it some days and you *really* start to see.

This is a fantastic project, and I am so honored to have contributed with the two dimensional hazard surfaces from my paper on transitions from cohabitation to marriage in Germany demoscapes.org/collections/... More 2D hazards to come - stay tuned

@angelacar.bsky.social et al. show a nice age effect, where men start to marry in larger numbers right around hitting age 30. This age threshold is quite stable, no matter how old men were, when they moved in with their partner. Explore in greater detail at demoscapes.org/collections/...

www.ratemygithub.com/u/jschoeley So LLMs are great at roasting. I would be somewhat upset if a human made these observations and told me - They are all true, of course - But I'm not upset at all being analyzed like that by a machine. This must be why we all got so comfy being intimately surveilled.

“Estimates of Under-Five Mortality From a Mobile Phone Survey”: This study by Julio Romero-Prieto et al. represents “one of the first attempts to collect survival data via mobile phones and to randomize different survey instruments.” @lshtm.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

💡New Research Article from Hal Caswell just out! He shows how delayed reproduction has unexpected effects on population growth and structure #demography @demographyvienna.bsky.social austriaca.at?arp=0x004183...

How many siblings does a recently born child in China likely have? @demography.bsky.social etal have estimated global kinship by age since 1950 and can answer the question (and a million others). Check out their results as interactive heatmaps on demoscapes.org. demoscapes.org/collections/...

demoscapes.org is a visual atlas of demographic surfaces hosted at @mpidr.bsky.social. It is also my passion project growing out of my 2016 human mortality database explorer. Did you publish something containing Lexis surfaces? Consider reaching out and having your work featured on the site.

Check out @jschoeley.com's very cool project: Demoscapes! It now features interactive Lexis surfaces based on our recent PNAS paper tracking cohort trends in major causes of death in the US. It's (to us data lovers) so fun! demoscapes.org/collections/...

Das sind mal geile Beutel.

Wir sind bereit für die Lange Nacht der Forschung morgen! 🥳 Besucht uns an der @oeaw.bsky.social und holt euch eine Tasche und andere Goodies! 👇

That must be a maximum entropy estimator. If one has no data or relevant prior information Laplaces principle of indifference leads to, "meh, prolly 50/50". Good that we're kept informed on the latest whale statistics.

There's a whale stranded on the German Baltic coast and the intensity of news reporting matches the crises of past years. The live news ticker borders on sarcasm.

💡 Changes life expectancy follow changes in total death counts @araksha.bsky.social ✨ 📝 doi.org/10.31219/osf... 🔗 #rstats code: github.com/ikashnitsky/... 🧙‍♂️ no ai jumpstarter this time, I worked off @jschoeley.com's code, all here github.com/ikashnitsky/... DAY 16 -- causation 💫 #30DayChartChallenge

🎨 {linuxcolors} a small #rstats package with the identity colors of the most popular #Linux distros 🐧 💎 #ggplot2 ready with scale_{color/fill}_linux() functions 🔗: github.com/ikashnitsky/... 📦 DAY 13 -- ecosystems 🌍 #30DayChartChallenge ✨ #FOSS world is a unique human #ecosystem

We are hiring a tenure track (!) senior researcher in political economy! This is obviously a great job (permanent without teaching obligation) and I hope you all apply. However, I would like to take a moment to share just how significant this is in the German academic context ⬇️

"Low birth rates are simply not a problem," and other profoundly important observations from @lesja.bsky.social, to redirect the left away from the myth of progressive pronatalism.

Let's return to hand written letters to the editor as a publication hurdle.

1/ Has life expectancy fully recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic? In a new pre-print, we find that 31 of 34 high-income countries had still not returned to their expected life expectancy trajectories five years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6... #demography

I wonder if these findings translate to self rated health.

After 5 years I can finally share a full WP of our project conducting cognitive interviews of life satisfaction reporting. Main findings: 1. LS scales are psychometrically valid, but... 2. Standard statistical assumptions made when analysing LS data are not credible. osf.io/gv5e3/files/...

Call for abstracts: Nordic Yearbook of Population Research 2026 ➡️ Abstract submission deadline 15 March 2026. Thank you for sharing the call @populationeu.bsky.social #PopulationStudies

Weaponizing Kinship: A Demographic Analysis of Bereavement in the Colombian Conflict

Five years after the pandemic began, have countries returned to their pre-COVID life expectancy trajectories? New research shows 31 of 34 high-income countries still have life expectancy deficits in 2024, suggesting lasting effects on population health. www.demography.ox.ac.uk/news/new-lcd...

I made an animated map of ship movements in the Straights of Hormuz using data from marinetraffic.com. Ship track frames rendered using #ggplot, base map created using #gdal, video editing using #ffmpeg, video player written in #svelte. 🎁 www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2...

Got flashbacks to me using yaml 1.1. Parsed Norwegian country codes as boolean and age groups 01, 02, 03, etc. as octal. Have been a fan ever since.

FYI, I had a look at the Dutch data not long ago and it is infuriating 1/2 bsky.app/profile/jean...

"Temporary shock or lasting scar?" By 2024 nearly all high-income countries remained below their pre-pandemic life expectancy trends. We identify four distinct mortality shock patterns since 2020. Full analysis in our preprint: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

Join us in Bologna for the 1st meeting of the EAPS WG Open Science in Demography. Program: group intro + 2h workshop led by @jschoeley.com & @akbaritabar.bsky.social. Free & open to all. Register: [email protected] #EPC2026 #OpenScience #Demography @eaps.bsky.social @populationeu.bsky.social

You want a strong guarantee that OpenAIs agent doesn't read your ssh keys and copies them to US servers? Tough. Apparently sharing arbitrary files outside of its sandbox is codex "working as designed" as just stated by an OpenAI engineer: github.com/openai/codex...

Is life expectancy still increasing in the UK? A short thread on why experts have come to different conclusions in recent years but why I think the latest data clearly shows an underlying trend of increasing #longevity. 1/6

🎓🎩Congratulations, Donata Stonkute! She successfully defended her doctoral thesis “Measuring and Explaining the Educational Gradient in Health Across Europe: The Role of Individual and Contextual Factors” at the University of Helsinki. IMPRS-PHDS https://www.demogr.mpg.de/go/phdds

1992 two optimistic takes on the future were published: Fukuyama reflected on global convergence towards liberal democracy while Lee & Carter revolutionized mortality forecasts with a model of ever lasting log-linear progress in mortality improvements. From my recent talk on Lee-Carter with crises.

The Geography of the Labour Force Composition in the Netherlands by Ate Poorthuis (doi.org/10.1111/tesg...). One of the best uses of the centered ternary balance scheme (www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...) I've seen so far. Build with tricolore github.com/jschoeley/tr... @ikashnitsky.phd

Today, launching the World Urbanization Prospects 2025 with new UN estimates and projections of urbanization for 237 countries and areas of the world & 12,000+ cities with 50,000+ inhabitants in 2025. www.un.org/development/... - see also new online datasets and plots: population.un.org/wup/