I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social "the authors of the NSS may want to delay their victory lap until the end of the Trump administration. As Proverbs 16:18 warns, pride goeth before a fall." Read his latest article for @thenewarab.bsky.social. www.newarab.com/analysis/how...

“When the US brands such actors ‘terrorists,’ it reinforces the longstanding narrative that Washington is hostile not just to Islam but also Muslim civil society & will side with any autocrat who promises ‘stability’ ..........,” writes @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social www.newarab.com/analysis/why...

@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @thenewarab.bsky.social: “Occupation and opportunity: Israel's strategy in post-Assad Syria” www.newarab.com/analysis/occ... Includes my thoughts:

@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social's most recent article in @thenewarab.bsky.social about the Mohammed bin Salman's visit includes my comments. www.newarab.com/analysis/f-3...

Amid escalating tensions between Afghanistan and Pakistan, GCC states have emerged as pragmatic and influential actors promoting de-escalation, stability, and dialogue. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social

Across the Arab world, Israel’s provocations are widely seen as a liability. For Gulf capitals and their allies, long-term stability and regional security outweigh any fleeting gestures or transactional promises from Tel Aviv. By @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social www.newarab.com/analysis/isr...

It is well-worth reading this fresh analysis about the Southern Transitional Council by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @arabcenterdc.org.

Giorgio Cafiero writes about the Southern Transitional Council’s willingness to normalize relations with #Israel if it establishes an independent state in southern #Yemen. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social arabcenterdc.org/resource/isr...

A most useful piece by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social explaining who's who among the armed factions in Gaza. www.stimson.org/2025/gazas-a...

Gulf Diplomacy Eases Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/gul...

@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social analyzes Israel's political future in his latest piece for @thenewarab.bsky.social. Giorgio quotes me in his article, among others. www.newarab.com/analysis/net...

While Iran’s efforts to position itself as a credible alternative to Western security guarantees have met with little practical success, this narrative remains a central theme in its diplomatic outreach to neighboring Arab states. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social

@giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for @theipaper.com on Tom Barrack's dumb south Lebanon economic zone idea: inews.co.uk/news/world/t... Includes my thoughts 👇🏻

The European trio operates in a sharply different environment shaped by East-West divisions, which helps explain the E3’s hardening stance toward Iran. @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social agsi.org/analysis/geo...

My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social article is about #Russia's perspective on American-Iranian nuclear talks. This piece quotes Ghoncheh Tazmini, Mark Katz, and Samuel Ramani. amwaj.media/en/article/h...

My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece is about #Trump's upcoming #Gulf visit. This article quotes @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Dina Esfandiary, Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, Anna Jacobs, and Courtney Freer. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha... #SaudiArabia #Qatar #UAE

“Rather than signalling political endorsement/readiness to leverage influence in 🇺🇸 on Syria’s behalf, 🇦🇪’s engagement stems from more pragmatic concerns, i.e a desire to avoid being excluded in a rapidly evolving regional order shaped by the involvement of 🇹🇷 and 🇸🇦” I told @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social

"The UAE is being pragmatic about Syria’s new reality. Abu Dhabi assesses that by minimizing friction with Syria’s new government, it can steer Damascus away from conduct that could threaten Emirati interests." By @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social. responsiblestatecraft.org/al-sharaaa-u...

I spoke to @jongambrell.bsky.social about #Oman's role as a diplomatic bridge between #Washington and #Tehran. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

Read @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social's article about the increasing rate of citizenship revocation in Kuwait. He quotes me, @seanyom.bsky.social, Courtney Freer, and Michael Herb. amwaj.media/en/article/m...

Here is my latest @wpr.bsky.social piece... #Turkey and #Russia Will Remain ‘Frenemies’ in #Syria www.worldpoliticsreview.com/syria-turkey...

My new @thenewarab.bsky.social piece analyzes how the situation in post-Assad Syria is fueling lots of tension between #Turkey and #Israel. This article quotes @ambgordongray.bsky.social, Matthew Bryza, Gokhan Ereli, Mustafa Caner, and Joshua Landis. www.newarab.com/analysis/isr...

After returning from #Baghdad late last month, I produced this analysis for @arab-center-dc.bsky.social. arabcenterdc.org/resource/geo... #Iraq #DevelopmentRoad #Qatar #UAE #Turkey #Iran #China #Kuwait #Europe #SuezCanal #BeltandRoadInitiative

After returning from #Iraq and #Lebanon, where I gained some insight into some regional perspectives on post-Assad #Syria, I wrote this @newarab.com.web.brid.gy about the future of Lebanon-Syria relations. www.newarab.com/analysis/cou...

My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece is about the future of #Syria-#Turkey relations. This piece quotes @aronlund.bsky.social, @carolinerose8.bsky.social, Qutaiba Idlbi, and Mustafa Caner. www.newarab.com/analysis/how...

Quoted here by @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social alongside @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Neil Quilliam, and Amb. Patrick Theros on the limits of the U.S.-Saudi 'bromance' -- like his first term, the two do not have the same strategic interests, especially on oil prices.

Writing for @thenewarab.bsky.social today, @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social analyzes Middle East policy in the second Trump administration. He quotes me, @thomasjuneau.bsky.social, @tparsi.bsky.social, @shadihamid.bsky.social, Neil Quilliam, and Ferial Saeed. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...

My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article is about Trump's desire to see #Israel and #SaudiArabia normalize. This piece quotes Aziz Alghashian, Nabeel Khoury, Annelle Sheline, Kenneth Katzman, and Charles Dunne. www.newarab.com/analysis/tru...

My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social article analyzes the #UAE's cautious approach to post-Assad #Syria. Featuring quotes from Abdulkhaleq Abdulla, Courtney Freer, Neil Quilliam, and Hamdullah Baycar. amwaj.media/article/why-...

#China Will Approach Post-Assad #Syria With Caution Many thanks to @wpr.bsky.social for publishing my latest article. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/china-syria-...

My latest analysis for the @arab-center-dc.bsky.social is about #Oman's perspective on post-Assad #Syria. arabcenterdc.org/resource/syr...

My latest TRT World article is about #Ukraine's relationship with post-Assad #Syria. This piece quotes Ferial Saeed and Wolfgang Pusztai. www.trtworld.com/magazine/a-n...

What role will #Gulf states play in post-Assad #Syria? Check out my latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece, featuring quotes from @ibish.bsky.social, @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, Anna Jacobs, and Qutaiba Idlbi. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...

Many thanks to Gulf International Forum for publishing my latest article, which analyzes #Russia's relationship with #Yemen's Houthi rebel movement. gulfif.org/russian-supp...

The key trends set to shape the Middle East in 2025. Check out my latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article, featuring comments from @carolinerose8.bsky.social, Veena Ali-Khan, Ali Bakir, Erwin van Veen, Osama al-Sharif, and Francesco Salesio Schiavi. www.newarab.com/analysis/key...

Why #Bahrain is considering future in #BRICS+ My latest @amwajmedia.bsky.social piece, featuring comments from @ryanbohl.bsky.social, Ali Bakir, Abdulla Aljunaid, and Narayanappa Janardhan. amwaj.media/article/cons...

I was in #Qatar attending the #DohaForum when news broke about the #Assad government's fall. That was an interesting time to be in #Doha meeting with many Syrians. This piece I wrote for Peoples Dispatch analyzes Qatar's potential role in post-Assad #Syria. peoplesdispatch.org/2024/12/21/q...

My latest TRT World article is about how the #Iran-#SaudiArabia detente fared in 2024 with a look at what is in store for this relationship next year. www.trtworld.com/magazine/ami...

How do Arab states see #Assad's fall? Here is my latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article with comments from Ferial Saeed, Barbara Slavin, Eleonora Ardemagni, Marco Carnelos, Federica Saini Fasanotti, and Sarah Leah Whitson. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha... #Syria

My latest @almonitor-rss.bsky.social article is about how #GCC states view the recent developments in #Syria. This piece features comments from @andreaskrieg.bsky.social, @carolinerose8.bsky.social, and Neil Quilliam. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social article is about #Iran's perspective on the #Hezbollah-#Israel ceasefire. This article quotes @azodiac83.bsky.social, @thomasjuneau.bsky.social, Veena Ali-Khan, Ghoncheh Tazmini, and Negar Mortazavi. www.newarab.com/analysis/how...

My latest @trtworld.com piece is about recent developments in the #Ukraine war. This article quotes Istvan Gyarmati, a former Hungarian ambassador, and Vladimir Trapara, a senior research fellow at the Belgrade-based Institute of International Politics and Economics. www.trtworld.com/magazine/ukr...

"Kuwait is at a crossroads, though you would never know it from the calm and peaceful public reaction to the suspension of parliament," writes Joshua Yaphe. nationalinterest.org/feature/kuwa...

In her latest article, @afrahnasser.bsky.social explains, "The second #Trump administration will play a critical role in determining the future of #Yemen." www.stimson.org/2024/how-wil... @stimsoncenter.bsky.social

What the killing of an Israeli rabbi could mean for the #UAE My latest @thenewarab.bsky.social piece, quoting @ibish.bsky.social, @miraalhussein.bsky.social, @ambgordongray.bsky.social, @monicamarks.bsky.social, and Aziz Alghashian. www.newarab.com/analysis/wha...

Giorgio Cafiero analyzes how Saudi-Iranian rapprochement is leading to security cooperation between the two countries despite the clear possibility of a harsher American policy toward #Iran in a second #Trump administration. arabcenterdc.org/resource/sec...

Everybody go follow @giorgiocafiero.bsky.social for great Gulf state analysis!