As long as the #Lebanon ceasefire lasts the Strait of Hormuz will be open, #Iran's Foreign Minister announces.

In Gaza, the IDF has spent the months since the ceasefire completing the demolition of all urban areas behind the Yellow Line (and some a little beyond it) bsky.app/profile/wesl... bsky.app/profile/wesl...

Debate ongoing in Lebanon over how to attribute ceasefire, and which local/int'l party to credit. I think I buy that U.S. mainly wanted a ceasefire because of Iran's insistence, to allow new round of Islamabad talks (e.g., www.axios.com/2026/04/16/lebanon-ceasefire-trump-aoun-israel-netanyahu) 1/3

Still waiting to see how Lebanon ceasefire announced yesterday (www.state.gov/releases/off...) will be implemented, in practice. I think the terms, though, indicate the Trump administration's intended direction of travel as U.S.-sponsored Israel-Lebanon talks move forward. 1/4

@wsj.com's Omar Abdel-Baqui and Dov Lieber, "The Push for Israel-Lebanon Peace Risks a New Confrontation With Hezbollah" www.wsj.com/world/middle... Includes my thoughts.

Here’s our full Ezra Klein show. I thought his introduction was outstanding. youtu.be/UPCvEHtBSp0?...

Which is dumb, because the United States is clearly not on Lebanon's side! The U.S. is not Lebanon's friend! bsky.app/profile/abuj...

Was told in Washington last week that Issa is now owner of Lebanon file inside U.S. government, and Lebanon portfolio not currently being contested by other administration factions (e.g., Barrack).

If Israel tries to maintain lasting military presence inside south Lebanon, as it did after November 2024, I'm not sure it will be uncontested this time. In retrospect, absence of Hizbullah attacks 2024-26 looks like a strategic choice, as Hizb was preparing for this conflict.

Israeli army sources to Haaretz's Yaniv Kubovich: Israeli military establishing new permanent-seeming outputs inside south Lebanon; employing Gaza-style tactics despite clear difference between Gaza and Lebanon terrain. www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...

Nabih Berri to al-Akhbar on Lebanese-Israeli talks: "They went to the United States to get a ceasefire, then came back to fight Hizbullah!" www.al-akhbar.com/NewspaperArt...

Chris Coons wants more villages in south Lebanon to be obliterated and more Palestinians to die, it seems

Ahead of two votes later today in the Senate on whether or not to block $450 million worth of bombs and bulldozers from being sent to Israel, Bernie Sanders pens an op-ed in the Guardian calling for an end to all taxpayer-funded military assistance to Israel.

🚨 Chris Coons is circulating a statement for Dem senators to use to continue OK’ing bombs & bulldozers for Israel, per a source Statement says Isr is under threat; criticizes Netanyahu & compares situation there to the US, saying Israelis like Americans have had to ask outsiders to look beyond gov

Smart Camillo Stubenberg @centuryintl.bsky.social report on how changing structural conditions led to rural Lebanon's diesel generators quietly going extinct: tcf.org/content/repo...

Democrats in the Senate face a big test soon on whether they’re OK with the status quo of the US-Israel relationship — & associated devastation in Palestine, Lebanon, Iran, Syria & beyond They’re likely to vote at 5:30 tomorrow on bills that would block bulldozers+bombs Trump wants to send Israel..

If one or both of the JRDs tomorrow reach 35 votes, that'll be a massive step in the right direction. For comparison, last time JRDs to block bombs to Israel came up, we reached a record 27 Democratic votes. That was over half of the caucus and well before this war of aggression on Iran. The 27:

In the last 20 years, the "two state solution" has been a discursive mechanism to convince people that (1) this is a "conflict between neighbouring peoples" rather than between the state and dominated/colonised people within (2) That there's a credible route towards partition, when there isn't one

I don’t doubt that this 👇🏻 is what Lebanon’s president and prime minister are attempting, but the United States cannot be enrolled in a process that produces the Lebanese government’s desired outcomes. That is not what the U.S. is doing here. Rather… x.com/beirutcallin... 1/2

Worth reflecting on how fast public discourse on this has changed. When we published “The One State Reality” in @foreignaffairs.com in 2023, three influential participants in a forum the next issue called as antisemites (in kinda embarrassing and lazy pieces).

New Ortagus and Sehnaoui.

@apnews.com's @sewella.bsky.social talks to Hizbullah's Wafiq Safa: apnews.com/article/hezb...

L'Orient-Le Jour: Iraq delivers fuel donation to support Lebanese displaced overland, via Syria: today.lorientlejour.com/article/1503...

@npr.org's Lauren Frayer and Jawad Rizkallah talk to Hizbullah commander who describes deliberately low-tech, compartmented organization: www.kuow.org/stories/a-he...

Reuters on Israel's post-October 7 strategy of "buffer zone" territorial aggrandizement and unending regional war: www.reuters.com/business/aer... Seems like something crazy that the U.S. shouldn't support and enable!

Has any other nation ever gone to such incredible lengths—not just abandoning its foundational principles and curtailing its own citizens’ freedoms but even dismantling its own institutions—to shield another nation from scrutiny and criticism? www.nytimes.com/2026/04/11/u...

Spotted in Dahiyeh. #beirut #lebanon

National murder-suicide 🇺🇸🏴☠️

We have entered the “you can’t kill me if I commit suicide” phase of American Decline

After a bunch of autocrats sucked up to Trump at the big dumb ceremony nobody except Morocco and UAE have actually delivered promised money for Gaza via Trump’s corrupt and stupid Board of Peace. Meanwhile Gaza continues to suffer mostly unnoticed. www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

We really sent the guy who couldn’t pick out donuts.

Trump says the United States will now also blockade the Hormuz Strait. Next thing you know he’ll threaten to fund Hezbollah. truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...

I feel like if the White House staff had included a medieval magician trained to look for bad omens, U.S. strategy would have been different

Things you post when you are definitely in a strong negotiating position after definitely winning a war.

middle american normies, welcome to the [axis of] resistance

The best, most coherent argument for trying to appease Washington like this 👇🏻 is that a new U.S.-sponsored agreement that further diminishes, formally, Lebanon’s sovereignty and territorial integrity is actually better than an even more deadly and destructive alternative. 1/2

Should be clear to everyone, but: Lebanese authorities’ attempts to prove their anti-Hizbullah bona fides and earn U.S. goodwill will not actually convince the Americans to restrain Israel militarily, or to compel Israeli withdrawal from occupied territory in south Lebanon. 1/2

Iranian prez vows to “never forsake” #Lebanon on same day #Beirut’s govt said it - & it alone - will negotiate a ceasefire, angering some who say better chance in regional deal given Beirut govt’s inability to get Israel to comply w previous truce. Other Lebanese say Iran is interfering

I may never know who the original artist is. but one day a cheeky historian or museum curator will be absolutely correct to use this image to capture our particular political moment.

I suspected wrong! x.com/ElizLanders/...

Turning the U.S. Constitution on its head, Graham opposed a role for Congress in the decision to go to war but now tries to use Congress to block its end.

Help I'm an Israeli public relations attaché and the math isn't mathing

Can't suffer a strategic defeat...if you have no strategy.

60% of U.S. adults have an unfavorable view of Israel, up from 53% last year. In both political parties, majorities of adults under the age of 50 now rate Israel and Netanyahu negatively.

It is called consensus building

Lol

Under extreme pressures — state collapse and war — Lebanon made an unplanned transition to solar energy. What can the rest of the world learn? @jnucho.bsky.social for @centuryintl.bsky.social tcf.org/content/comm...

We’re the baddies

“The Iranian officials made clear to the mediators they don't want to be caught in a Gaza or Lebanon situation where there is a ceasefire on paper, but that the U.S. and Israel can attack again whenever they want to.” So strange

@nytimes.com's Christina Goldbaum and @dguttenfelder.bsky.social on Israeli efforts to cleanse Shi'a from south Lebanon, including direct calls to Christian and Druze communities directing them to expel their displaced Shi'a neighbors: www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/w...