Here is the thing: No one can predict backlashes, public sentiment and turnout next year. But voter suppression and intimidation have real, measurable and lasting effects. So alot will hinge in how successful these efforts will be, and how united Republicans stay while receiving backlashes today.

Yesterday, we were able to watch "Lyd" at the Hebrew University. A moving testimony to the Nakba and a reflection on the erasure of Palestinian identity in Israel - today, the film was again banned from being screened publicly: www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...

Look at this beautiful chapter, co-authored with @tbonacker.bsky.social on how Global South(s) is conceptualized across disciplines! Out now and Open Access, in an incredible Handbook edited by @sidtrip.bsky.social & Solveig Richter www.bloomsburycollections.com/encyclopedia...

I think an underappreciated aspect about young candidates is how much time they have to pursue a political career: Mamdani could serve two terms before running for another office, and still be one of the youngest candidates for Senate / Governorship. Less worry about him leaving for higher office.

really important element of this basically total victory is that it puts the fear of god in republican incumbents and may bring the redistricting push to a total halt

Mit Janna Luisa Pieper habe ich ein Themenheft des Forschungsjournal Soziale Bewegungen herausgegeben, das heute erschienen ist. In der open access Einleitung fassen wir die Ergebnisse zusammen und machen einige Bemerkungen zu Empirie und Theorie der Landwirtschaftsproteste in Deutschland.

Four wins for democrats with huge margins do not bode well for Trump - especially considering the ongoing unpopularity of the party. As for the strategy debate: Both leftist and moderate candidates won, seems almost as if candidate quality and state composition matters more than universal strategy.

Short answer: Yes, but they have little interest in doing so Longer answer: Some powers could pressure other powers into pressuring armed groups www.dw.com/en/sudan-war...

With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.

In den nächsten 2 Tagen berichten @mariamsalehi.bsky.social und @mariaketzmerick.bsky.social vom Workshop der DVPW-AKs Konflikt- und Gewaltforschung sowie Internationale Politische Soziologie am @zmo-berlin.bsky.social. Gemeinsam denken wir über Vergangenheit, Gegenwart und Zukunft von Gewalt nach.

We have published an English translation of our working paper on the "All Eyes on Gaza/Zusammen für Gaza" demonstration @protestinstitut.bsky.social You can download it here.

🔔 New paper with @susanszky.bsky.social in Social Science Quarterly: The Effect of Politicization on Protest Participation in Non-Democracies: The Case of Hungary 🔔 We test whether politicization mobilizes or demobilizes partization in an autocratizing context Paper: doi.org/10.1111/ssqu...

Admittedly, it has been a while since I have read Przeworski. His recent writing on uncertainty amid U.S. political dynamics, however, do strike a cord beyond what most commentary has to offer: adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/musings-2?...

We are also working on a translation for international colleagues interested in the results - stay tuned!

Unsere @protestinstitut.bsky.social Studie zu "All Eyes on Gaza/Zusammen für Gaza" ist online. Sie zeigt ein differenziertes Bild der Proteste und liefert die bisher 1. systematische Analyse einer Großdemo zum Thema. Team-Work mit tollen @jannisgrimm.bsky.social, @teraqerat.bsky.social, Nina & Elias

„Krieg ist ein großes Geschäft, Wiederaufbau ist auch ein großes Geschäft.“ Mit Berlin direkt @zdfde.bsky.social habe ich über die Wiederaufbaupläne für Gaza gesprochen. www.zdf.de/play/magazin...

Das Programm zu meinem Workshop steht: 3 Tage fragen wir uns: Wie werden Konflikte um Wasser, Boden oder Kohle erzählt? Welche Narrative tragen den Protest und wie hängen Erzählungen und Proteste zusammen? #Literaturwissenschaft #Soziologie #Protest #erzählen #Literatur #klima #Ressourcenkonflikt

After adding new data to our spreadsheet, our central estimate of turnout for the No Kings Day protests yesterday has risen to 5.5 million, with an upper bound of 8.7 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/second-no-...

Pretty telling about how messy negotiations are: Do Israel-backed militias count as Israeli forces, and are covered by ceasefire? Or would an agreement leave them completely unprotected in Gaza? Unlikely they will get evacuated. www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

Madagaskars Militär hat die Macht ergriffen. Die Soldaten unter Oberst Randrianirina müssen vor allem die „Gen Z“ zufriedenstellen.

Mit der @fr-zeitung.bsky.social habe ich vorab über die Ergebnisse unserer Studie zu den Gaza-Solidaritäts-Demos gesprochen (heute auch im Print). www.fr.de/politik/stud...

It seems few lessons have been learned theconversation.com/a-gaza-peace...

Unironically, calling this something like "the Trump deal" might end up increasing its chances of survival... www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...

JUST OUT: "Boundaries and Cleavages: Elements of a Cultural Sociology of Political Divides." OA: direct.mit.edu/ecps/article... It develops what the cultural sociology of group formation can contribute to research on political cleavages. (And why "Somewheres vs Anywheres" really doesn't cut it.)

Tofu (agglomeriertes Sojaprotein) & Tempeh (fermentierter Sojakuchen) sind seit Jahrhunderten Teil täglicher Ernährung in Asien - aber auch in Deutschland hat Fleischersatz eine längere Geschichte. 1915 versuchte Konrad Adenauer ein Patent für die Sojawurst anzumelden adenauerhaus.de/digital/unse...

"She is richer in social clout than in Emmys or Pulitzers. And she is known more for wanting to rid the world of so-called wokeness than for promoting journalistic traditions." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/b...

Mein Essay aus der NZZ von heute

Why you generally try not to politicize aid, or to concentrate its distribution in the hands of few people, example number one thousand or so

Starker Text - darüber, was der Krieg mit der israelischen Gesellschaft macht. Aspekte davon hat man auch im deutschen Diskurs mitbekommen. www.zeit.de/kultur/2025-...

New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵

As big as the recent Gaza protest in Berlin was, it is remarkable how much bigger mobilization in countries like Italy and Netherlands is. Amsterdam has less than one million inhabitants, Berlin roughly four. www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/l...

Das Postgeheimnis gehört historisch zu den liberalen Grundrechten, die die Demokratie erst möglich machten und machen. #justsaying netzpolitik.org/2025/anlassl...

Es war mir ein großes Vergnügen mit @karingothe.bsky.social vom »Blätter«-Podcast über die aktuellen Entwicklungen in der Türkei und die laufenden Verhandlungen zu sprechen. Danke für die Einladung!

"Demnach lag die bereinigte Schutzquote im Juni, Juli und August bei nur noch rund 20 Prozent. Anfang 2024 hatte sie noch bei etwa 95 Prozent gelegen." Bei einer Lage die objektiv schlimmer wird, nicht besser taz.de/Deutsches-As...

See also this recent interview:

In the past, Taliban communicated similarly about school bans for girls. No matter what happens: There is not exactly alot of trust in public statements, fuellung anxiety and gossip. apnews.com/article/afgh...

Pretty terrifying news from Afghanistan: A total Internet shutdown, after slowing down in the preceding days. Alot of confusion on rationale: Is this about permanently breaking down access? About implementing new censorship tools? A test of repressive capacity? www.bbc.com/news/article...

I talked to @afp.com about Germany being under increasing pressure for its Israel policy. German responsibility "could be seen as the responsibility towards international law, the international rules-based order, the promise that genocide must never happen again." www.france24.com/en/live-news...

Unfassbar, 600 staatl. #digitaleDienste in #Südkorea laufen nur in 1 Rechenzentrum, u es gibt keine Redundanz für Zwischenfälle wie jetzt, wo viele Dienste nach 1 Feuer wochenlang ausfallen! betroffen: Sozialhilfe, Renten, Postdienste, eID für Banken (Kredite, Kontoeröffnung) 😱 #Resilienz #KRITIS

Mit dem RBB habe ich über die Gaza-Demonstration am Sonntag gesprochen, auf der wir für eine Protestbefragung vor Ort waren. www.radioeins.de/programm/sen...

Gemeinsam mit einem Team des @protestinstitut.bsky.social haben wir am Wochenende die Demos All Eyes on Gaza/Zusammen für #Gaza befragt. Hier eine erste kurze Einschätzung. Ein ausführlicher Bericht folgt. f20250929_0600/radio3_aktuell_0640.html

"But this, like MAGA, is a “back again” ideology, one of “restoring” democracy rather than transforming the conditions that generated the present disaster. To restore democracy, it needs to be reformed." Very insightful Adam Przeworski interview www.dissentmagazine.org/article/how-...

"Portland-area officials repeated a single instruction to residents: Don’t take the bait."

🚨 Why do people protest against authoritarian regimes even when facing extreme danger? 🚨 In our new paper on Romania's 1989 Revolution, we find that communities exposed to the communist Gulag showed 5x higher dissent levels. doi.org/10.1177/0010... 1/🧵

Big if true: Both U.S. and Qatari position might be shifting enough to facilitate an agreement. Still alot of open question if all sides follow through, and how U.S. would react if agreement is violated / no peace process initiated after. www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...

Vor 4 Jahren erschien übrigens mein Buch, „Amerikas Gotteskrieger“. Was gab es damals Empörung wegen des Titels (und Inhalts) - die Warnung vor christlichem Nationalismus & Theokratie (noch dazu von einer jungen Frau!) wurde als hysterisch abgetan. Jetzt titelt der Spiegel genau das: „Gotteskrieger“

Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...