The accepted version of "Tutelary Power and Autocratic Legitimacy: Experimental Evidence from Kazakhstan's Diarchy" with @mhigashi.bsky.social is now available @thejop.bsky.social! See also shiraito.github.io/research/pag... for SI and code/data. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

When and why do some elite divisions in authoritarian governments improve democratization prospects and others dont? @mhigashi.bsky.social & I provide one answer in a new article in @cpsjournal.bsky.social Comparativesky Dictatorsky CivMilSky Polisky #openaccess journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

"Tutelary Power and Autocratic Legitimacy: Experimental Evidence from Kazakhstan’s Tutelage" with @mhigashi.bsky.social has been conditionally accepted at the JOP! We examine whether a de fact guardian boosts popular support for a de jure autocratic leader. shiraito.github.io/research/pag...

Paul Schuler and I would like to invite you to submit a proposal for a mini-conference on "Un-Democratic Politics" in Seattle as part of the WPSA annual meeting on April 17-19, 2025. If interested, please send a title and abstract here: www.dropbox.com/request/bMva...) by Monday, November 7. (1/5)

New article with Yujin Woo has been published at International Studies Quarterly! The paper explore the relationships between political regimes and refugee movements, finding that refugees tend to be clustered into mixed regimes. Open-access and available from here: academic.oup.com/isq/article-...

My new paper with Hidekuni Washida has been published by EPSR! It identifies two types of clientelism — relational and single-shot — by using the V-Party dataset and conducts exploratory analyses on the correlates of clientelism. Open access: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...