Even measuring the strike zone, that isn't moving, for individual hitters cannot be measured this precisely. I work with launch monitors every day and there's a 0% chance that you can make a strike call by a fraction of the size of the seams on the ball itself.

🚨🚨🚨 IN-SEASON PROJECTIONS are up @ftnfantasy.com! Weekly, Daily, or by period (M-Thu, F-Su) Input your league's custom settings ➡️ get projections and $ values to help set your lineups 🔥 ftnfantasy.com/mlb/custom-r...

!!!

the march is madnessing

If you turn the madness meter up to 100, you can get some very interesting results.

The FTN Final Forecaster is LIVE. Our "perfect," no-variance bracket would have Michigan edging out Duke by one point in the championship (subject to change). Generate a new, unique bracket with each click and get real win probabilities for each team in each round. ftnfantasy.com/march-madnes...

The FTN Final Forecaster is LIVE. Our "perfect," no-variance bracket would have Michigan edging out Duke by one point in the championship (subject to change). Generate a new, unique bracket with each click and get real win probabilities for each team in each round. ftnfantasy.com/march-madnes...

We pushed an update to the Final Forecaster. This is our new "perfect" final four with scores. Check it out below.

We pushed an update to the Final Forecaster. This is our new "perfect" final four with scores. Check it out below.

We have a new tool at FTN: The Final Forecaster ftnfantasy.com/march-madnes... Pick your settings and simulate your bracket. Every push gives you a new, unique simulation WITH game scores. Hover on teams to see their round-by-round probabilities. It's free to try and very addicting.

We have a new tool at FTN: The Final Forecaster ftnfantasy.com/march-madnes... Pick your settings and simulate your bracket. Every push gives you a new, unique simulation WITH game scores. Hover on teams to see their round-by-round probabilities. It's free to try and very addicting.

I'm reminded every 365 days how terrible the MAIN roads of Indiana are as I'm on my way to the combine. 90 miles of bouncing up and down. If you're here, hit me up!

correlation causation tenth grade math idk

heard @minakimes.bsky.social @fieldyates.bsky.social talking about alec pierce and it reminded me of the most hilarious graphic I made last year

The Vikings reportedly removed middle-of-the-field concepts from J.J. McCarthy's reads in 2025, and he still had a higher middle-of-the-field pass percentage than Jalen Hurts

The FTN Spring Training Report is back! 2x per week, by Lucas Biery & Joe Orrico this series is 🆓🆓🆓 at @ftnfantasy.com ftnfantasy.com/mlb/yordan-a...

probably should just play him at this point

Fate of Castellanos is clearly a Taylor Swift album closer.

~~ nflverse data update ~~ 2025 participation data is now live thanks to @ftnfantasy.com and @realfrankbrank.bsky.social. Access with nflreadr nflreadr.nflverse.com/reference/lo... or with nflreadpy nflreadpy.nflverse.com/api/load_fun...

Some discussion in here about why DVOA had Seattle higher than EPA-based power ratings for most of the season. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/super-bo...

sneaky one of the best teams ever and not far off from an undefeated season

I would not change anything about how the season turned out. This is not a complaint. But this team was like 3 plays away from 20-0. Just insane

Kon Knueppel ranks 7th in the NBA in total Points Over Expectation, sandwiched between Steph Curry and Donavan Mitchell. On threes, he ranks second best in the NBA. He's shooting +7.4% higher than you'd expect from an average shooter from three.

Kon Knueppel ranks 7th in the NBA in total Points Over Expectation, sandwiched between Steph Curry and Donavan Mitchell. On threes, he ranks second best in the NBA. He's shooting +7.4% higher than you'd expect from an average shooter from three.

Joe Alt for MVP /s actually maybe though

Re-upping the big stat preview. Darnold against the blitz, Patriots defense against play-action, lots of stuff in here!

Seahawks historically elite (top 5 DVOA ever), Pats red-hot (2nd weighted DVOA). @aaronschatz.com breaks down every Darnold/JSN vs Maye/Stevenson matchup edge before Super Bowl LX 🧐 ftnfantasy.com/nfl/super-bo...

our new NBA charted feed is so neat

rehire all the same head coaches so they can rehire all their same assistants and hope it works this time

Nikola Jokic has played 10+ games less than most leaders in our new metric: Points Over Expectation He's scored nearly 170 more points and shot 13.5% higher from the field than you'd expect from an average player when you consider shot locations and quality of contest against him.

Some guys create better looks for their teammates than others. Luka Doncic and Scottie Barnes are particularly good at generating quality looks and finding the right shot. On assists and potential assists this season, Luka has generated +43.5 expected points more than the average passer.

The Jazz have three of the worst defenders are preventing points. Opposing shooters have shot more than 14% better than expected over Gabe Vincent this season.

Shooters have scored 65 less points than expected when Chet Holmgren is the primary shot contester. Paul Reed has forced a field goal percentage more than 10% worse than expected.

On the opposite end, Derrick White and KAT have had especially bad seasons considering their usual output. Although no one can compare to Jeremiah Fears' shooting inability and willingness to get shots up.

Nikola Jokic has played 10+ games less than most leaders in our new metric: Points Over Expectation He's scored nearly 170 more points and shot 13.5% higher from the field than you'd expect from an average player when you consider shot locations and quality of contest against him.

To go off of this.. Darnold had the third-highest turnover worthy throw rate in the regular season behind Tua and Allen per @ftnfantasy.com. New England's defense created the fifth-most turnover worthy throws this season. If we include the postseason, they're 2nd-most.

An interesting finding from the FTN StatsHub. Sam Darnold this year was 26th in DVOA on in-breaking routes (dig, slant, post, drag). He was fifth in DVOA on out-breaking routes (quick out, deep out, corner). ftnfantasy.com/nfl/stats

I pulled every team's explosive play differential in 2025 because I was so enamored by the idea from that @tafootballshow.bsky.social episode about the lessons learned from the conference championship game participants. I used @ftnfantasy.com's explosive play benchmarks for ease of research. (1/3)

You know it Tom!

The Tonight Show doesn't post on Bluesky but there's a post on the other site... Tom Brady mentioned DVOA last night when Kendall Jenner called him on the show to ask who she should pick in Super Bowl LX. Absolutely crazy.

how it really went

they've had a lot of recent success with the idea of picking the guy from pittsburgh regardless of the talent evaluation

dude clearly never had the opportunity to crack a fresh beer and queue up with the boys on a friday night no shot having a child is better than that feeling

Brandon Beane giving himself a promotion after firing Sean McDermott:

they've had a lot of recent success with the idea of picking the guy from pittsburgh regardless of the talent evaluation

it's important to remember that most talking heads that have microphones don't know anything about football and the ones that do are called nerds and ran off

once a team gets eliminated, you should be able to get two of their players like summer baseball josh allen could be starting for denver next week

the extra one yard never worth it