goodnight

what an athletic way to do kb swings lmfao

On one side of the ball, two fantastic units and great coaches. On the other side, Keystone Cops vs. backups who just got off the couch. @brykno.bsky.social uses stats from @ftnfantasy.com StatsHub to preview 49ers-Eagles. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/49ers-vs...

Aaron Rodgers' avoidance of pressure with quick, short passes may help neutralize the Texans pass rush. The Texans secondary will need to continue to be elite if Anderson and Hunter don't have the time to get home.

Abdul Carter gets pressure on the quarterback absurdly fast.

Air yards have a lot of impact on finding open receivers. That's why it's insane that Drake Maye threw to open receivers over 55% of the time while being second in ADOT. I suppose that easy schedule helped after all.

This is where the playoff teams rank in offensive and defensive DVOA. (h/t @aaronschatz.com)

All quarterbacks struggle under pressure. Jordan Love and Drake May have excelled when they are clean.

Alec Pierce broke DBs this season (and my graph)

Jamel Dean allowed 2 of his 26 tight coverage targets to be completed this season for 0.42 yards per target.

Quick Reads with the best and worst players of Week 18 by DYAR. Longer Quick Reads covering the whole year will come tomorrow along with DVOA commentary later today! ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-18-...

The 2025 Seahawks just posted the highest Defensive DVOA in franchise history. Yes, you read that correctly.

NBA analytics game-changer 😤 Expected Points 👀 @realfrankbrank.bsky.social breaks down this new shot metric, spotlighting Jokić, Curry & hidden gems 💎 ftnfantasy.com/nba/ftns-new...

idiots

We can use the concept of Expected Points to evaluate every field goal attempt based on shot location, shot value, quality of contest, and more. Below are the best and worst players in Points Over Expectation (PTOE) so far this season.

McConkey is Herbert's favorite target when he's under duress, but the returns are far better when Gadsen is targeted.

Sustained success can come from quarterbacks and play callers that are efficient and on the same page.

+37.9% DVOA when out of the pocket, whch leads the NFL. Make it make sense.

I asked @realfrankbrank.bsky.social to put together for me a list of this year's top QBs by Win Probability Added. So unlike DVOA or EPA, this is more context and defense dependent. Jordan Love and Dak Prescott are on top! J.Love 566% D.Prescott 545% D.Maye 451% M.Stafford 404%

FTN's NBA charting has allowed us to introduce some new stats into the nerd-sphere centered around the idea of Expected Points. You can read about that here: ftnfantasy.com/nba/ftns-new...

this is so obvious if you're watching the entirety of this game

the steelers and browns face and play a ton of stacked boxes this really will be a battle of attrition

there should probably be better safety measures in the NFL than "we can't do anything unless the refs see the player strike a fan"

He's right. They are three-score underdogs. Our model would favor Notre Dame over all but two teams in the country. Wouldn't everyone rather watch that game instead of hoping for a 10/1 outcome?

Wake up it's DVOA Bowl Thursday

get him on the pod? @minakimes.bsky.social

Derrick Henry's struggles are most likely due to facing stacked boxes far more than anyone else in the NFL.

Two guys are running away with this one.. only catchable balls are considered.

No quarterbacks have created positive outomes under pressure this year. Mahomes and Prescott have been the least bad, though.

No one has been remotely close to the Seahawks efficiency on and against play action this year. @aaronschatz.com

While we're all laughing at Hurts, this has been the perfect Justin Herbert experience. There are a few throws a game very few QBs can make. Everything in between is filled with questionable decision making, quick pressures, and accuracy issues.

so that wasn't a catch by Likely but it was by Rodgers on his own throw?

yay fun stuff with FTN

pretty cool to put two 20 point underdogs in a playoff instead of a team that can win the playoff

Chidobe Awuzie has been elite in tight coverage this season. He's allowed just one catch for six yards.

Really great read, Sam is excellent. Coincidence that the top two performers use FTN???

would the other teams sign his brothers too

DVOA offenses and defenses headed into Week 14. @aaronschatz.com

this is a Josh McDaniels skeet

According to our charting team, Aidan Hutchinson now leads in pressures generated. Myles Garrett still leads in the rate in which he turns dropbacks into pressures.

When you consider pressure and sack rates along with play on the field, Dak is making a compelling case for MVP.

The 12 worst 9-3 teams by DVOA since 1978 ended the season a combined 29-19. The 12 best 6-6 teams by DVOA since 1978 ended the season a combined 31-19.

don't forget

is cheesecake cake? fundamentally, it is a pie. the best pie.

We at FTN have some amazing things coming for #NBASky from our charting team that's been watching every play since the start of last season. More coming soon!

That Tim Patrick drop was Trevor Lawrence's 29th suffered drop this season per @ftnfantasy.com. That's 6 more than any other quarterback. Lawrence has more drops this year than Tyrod Taylor, Lamar Jackson, J.J. McCarthy, Jordan Love, and Sam Darnold had pass attempts in the early window today.

tomlin imagining another 9 wins with a bad qb

Most analysts exaggerate the impact of singular players on an NFL team that aren't quarterbacks. If anything, the Joe Alt discourse might be understating his impact. h/t @aaronschatz.com

looking good, Rod

Dak’s having a monster year given how tight the windows have been. Shows how far just one more quality receiver can take him.