This year's #NFL divisional round feels like there are a lot of turnovers? That's correct! Counting in the 8 turnovers in the Texans @ Patriots game (so far!), there have been 17, which is tied for 3rd most since realignment! #HOUvsNE

Today's update of the 2026 #NFL head coach tracker. Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam. Please @ me if I am missing something.

Today's update of the 2026 head coach tracker. Harbaugh hasn't been officially announced yet, but I'll take the risk. Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam

-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Divisional Round Geo-Rooting Map -- Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location. This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S. Yes, you HAVE to root for your biggest rival. I didn't make the rules.

Today's update of the 2026 head coach tracker. Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

Today's update of the 2026 head coach tracker. No Steelers yet, for obvious reasons. Data per AroundTheNFL and various other sources (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker. Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

Today's update of the 2026 head coach interview tracker. Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map -- Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location. This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S. Enjoy the playoffs!

-- 2025 NFL 🏈 Playoff Geo-Rooting Map -- Geo-Rooting is the concept of rooting for the geographically closest team to the current location. This map shows closest team (stadium location) by county in contiguous U.S. Enjoy the playoffs!

Today's update of the 2026 head coach and general manager interview trackers. Data per AroundTheNFL and @cbssports.bsky.social (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

Today's update of the 2026 #NFL head coach and general manager interview trackers. Data per AroundTheNFL (Please note that this is a snapshot of a rapidly changing landscape, and I only post once a day to avoid spam)

Interview season might be the fastest-evolving news landscape in the NFL year. I love it - even though I don't wish anyone to lose their job.

It's NFL job interview season, and I'll be posting daily updates on the current status. Data per AroundTheNFL

Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season. The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.

Each NFL team's regular season point differential in the Super Bowl era through the 2025 season. The Seahawks and Texans have reached new high points, while the Raiders and Jets have nearly matched their worst seasons ever.

I'm sure Steelers fans won't have any problem with the record being broken in Week 18.

Myles Garrett made history by recording 23 sacks in a single season. Here is the list of games and how he arrived at the number 23.

With the 14 remaining #NFL 🏈 games, there are 2^14 = 16,384 Week 18 outcome combinations (ignoring ties). If we calculate playoff seeds for all combinations, we get the following results. It was only today that I realized the Jaguars could still get any seed except #4.

-- WEEK 17 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Seeding Probabilities -- For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting. The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season.

Thought experiment: Imagine the Chargers and the Rams make it to the championship game and have home field advantage. What would the NFL do then? Schedule one of the two games on Saturday or Monday?

-- WEEK 15 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 14 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 13 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 12 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see 1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and 2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.

With last night's games, the #NBA circle of parity is now complete! How to read this: Going clockwise (starting wherever you want) every team has beaten the next team that's beaten the next team and so on until it circles back.

@tuta.com you might want to check the mail signature of invoice mails.

-- WEEK 10 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.

Apparently, the Steelers kicked off from the 50, kicked it out of bounds, and it started at the 25. That might be the solution, deliberately kick out of bounds if you get the ball for a kickoff from the 50.

-- WEEK 9 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage -- Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.

Monday bump. Apparently I am missing out on Reddit karma

With their 39-38 victory, the Jets have now completed the 2025 #NFL circle of parity!

NFL schedule weirdness that I just happened to discover. The Titans are playing 4 home games (!) between weeks 9 and 13, with a bye in week 10. I couldn't find any such 4-game home game streak between 1999 and today.

Here we have the lowest and highest series conversion rates we have seen so far in the nflfastR era (1999 until today)

Does unit investment pay off? Here is how much NFL teams spend on their units in 2025 vs. their respective PFF grades through week 6. (You don't want your team in the red area which means "expensive and below average")

@hadley.nz is there an option in pkgdown to list reexports in the reference index? I am aware of the reexports site, e.g. dplyr.tidyverse.org/reference/re..., but those don’t appear on the index. I would like to have those on the index for cases where I outsource functions to separate packages.

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Has Chase Daniel already complained that the Chiefs lost because the kickoff landed half a yard short of a made-up landing zone?

Updated the look of the box score site (with thanks to @mrcaseb.com)

The Indianapolis Colts currently lead the league with a point differential of +77 points

Testing new styles in boxscore app

@davisvaughan.bsky.social I see that you use {cross} in PRs for benchmarks across branches. Is that an internal posit package? I would love to use this for performance PRs but I have trouble finding the source.

Continuously moving the ball is just as important in the NFL as explosive plays. This chart shows offensive EPA per play (x-axis) and success rate (plays where EPA > 0) split by dropback and rushing. Imagine the Patriots fixing their rushing game!

Brian Thomas Jr. has a 46.7% catchable target rate this season, the lowest among wide receivers with 12 or more targets per @sportsinfosolutions.com. Only 1 other receiver is even below 60%.

Thanks to @ftnfantasy.com, I can renew this old graphic I call Pillboxes. Each tick is one snap. Upticks are passes, downticks are runs. See all 11 players on the field at the same time! Pacheco and B.Smith sticking with mostly early down work, Kareem getting most of the 3rds.