Here's the kind of thing that annoys me about classic NFL play-by-play. By rule, this should be a 0-yard run and fumble by the QB Pelluer with a recovery by Herschel Walker. Instead, it is scored as a -3 yard run by Walker with no fumble marked at all. youtu.be/04bstbsm2W0?...

Social media needs a setting where one day a week you can shut off anything related to Trump. We will call it “sanity Shabbos.”

I love doing the historical data and we added another year of DVOA this week!

🏈 @aaronschatz.com officially unlocks the 1977 NFL season in the DVOA database! Showcasing a dominant Dallas squad alongside historic statistical extremes... including the worst passing offense ever tracked 👀 ftnfantasy.com/nfl/1977-tea...

Player DVOA from 1977! Walter Payton wins MVP but was Mark van Eeghen almost as good? Plus, more obscure wide receivers than a Tampa Bay GOP congressional hopeful can shake a stick at. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/1977-pla...

By the way, the stats for the 1977 Tampa Bay quarterbacks truly must be seen to be believed.

I was hoping I could complete today's Immaculate Grid with nothing but obscure wide receivers from the early 2000s but they included a passing category.

Player DVOA from 1977! Walter Payton wins MVP but was Mark van Eeghen almost as good? Plus, more obscure wide receivers than a Tampa Bay GOP congressional hopeful can shake a stick at. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/1977-pla...

Ken Paxton Show Your Immaculate Grid Stats Challenge.

If any Republicans want to have an obscure wide receiver-off I will wipe the floor with them.

Let's go back in time again! We introduce 1977 DVOA to our database. -- Cowboys as No. 1 SB champions. -- Bucs with the worst offense in history. -- Great no-name Dolphins running game. -- Incredibly easy Bears schedule. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/1977-tea...

Eight trivia questions about 1977 play-by-play weirdness.

Today's contribution to the AI is a cesspool discourse.

In case you missed this yesterday.

Let's go back in time again! We introduce 1977 DVOA to our database. -- Cowboys as No. 1 SB champions. -- Bucs with the worst offense in history. -- Great no-name Dolphins running game. -- Incredibly easy Bears schedule. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/1977-tea...

He’s not just a safety! This is where I point out that in this year’s FTN Almanac we are ranking nickelbacks separately in stats from outside corners and safeties.

Coming tomorrow on @ftnfantasy.com: Adding 1977 to the DVOA database! Team stats Wednesday, player stats Thursday.

New content from @brykno.bsky.social on @ftnfantasy.com is a look at "caused pressures" vs. "uncaused pressures" and which teams saw pressure because of OL failures vs. QB decisions in 2025. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/caused-p...

Fantasy football team names! 400+ of them! So many bad puns! Check it out on @ftnfantasy.com. ftnfantasy.com/nfl/the-best...

Reminder on our Memorial Day sale! Get all our fantasy projections AND all the DVOA stats with charting splits throughout the NFL season.

People would complain a lot less about the “Bluesky echo chamber” if they just understood that this is meant to be a sports app.

Your path to 1st Place starts now 🔒 ftnfantasy.com/pricing

Doing some early work for the Colts chapter and man, according to Google, I remember less about the 2025 season than I thought I did.

🚨Announcing the Too Deep Zone/Between the Hashmarks Unstacked Special!🚨 ➡️Subscribe to my newsletter or @mattlombardo.bsky.social 's, and get 6 months of the other FREE ➡️Plus, 20% of proceeds go to @trevorproject.bsky.social We're kicking Pride Month off early & celebrating our exits from Substack!

Hollywood liberals say they believe in “No Kings” but what hockey team do they all support, I ask you?

We're unloading a ton of data in this @ftnfantasy.com piece by @brykno.bsky.social about how successful pass rushes were in 2025 and who blitzed the most often, including who sent the most or fewest sim pressures. Lots of data from the upcoming FTN Almanac! ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2025-def...

It's interesting reading what Nate Silver has written now about Disney scrubbing old FiveThirtyEight material from the Internet. Like me with FO, he tried to get his content back to save the archives. At least he didn't have to try to negotiate across international lines. I'm still trying BTW.

The drones are coming for Jalen Hurts.

We're unloading a ton of data in this @ftnfantasy.com piece by @brykno.bsky.social about how successful pass rushes were in 2025 and who blitzed the most often, including who sent the most or fewest sim pressures. Lots of data from the upcoming FTN Almanac! ftnfantasy.com/nfl/2025-def...

I’m the Kevin Bacon linking Fritz and Mina, wooo!

“Secrets of the Buzzer” gets a shout-out from giant-killer and new celebrity champ @minakimes.bsky.social. Practice works!

Forget the country music artists and just make Nate Bargatze the halftime performer.

Stuck in the mud ⌛️

Bill is, of course, completely right here.

NFL Schedule DVOA Rollercoaster 🎢

Running Wild 🐏

It's counterintuitive, but the data suggests that there is no discernible advantage or disadvantage to rest differential. My colleague, @bruchhaus.bsky.social, summarized these findings last year: sumersports.com/the-zone/nfl...

Deleted my message about Steelers schedule, which I was remembering wrong from 2024. It's actually like this: 2024: much harder at end 2025: much easier at end 2026: much harder at end again

Based on DVOA projections Schedules harder in Weeks 1-9: Chargers, Cardinals, Broncos, Bills, Commanders, Jaguars Schedules harder in Weeks 10-18: Steelers, Packers, Jets, Eagles, Titans

OK, a serious response to this instead of the expected obnoxious one. 1) Appears to overestimate just how much CPOE correlates to winning. 2) You can't just write off most of the season based on injuries. 3) No matter who plays QB, I expect defensive regression based on personnel losses.

I am writing the Giants @ftnfantasy.com Almanac chapter. It's one long splash of ice water about Giants enthusiasm for 2026. Here's one of the reasons why.

Make sure you get in on the Almanac pre-sales!

I'm sorry Netflix, but the proper terminology is "Erev Thanksgiving."

I left Substack, a decision driven by my morals and a refusal to share a neighborhood that the platform allowed hatred to inhabit. It was an easy moral decision. It was a scary financial one. If you support independent NFL journalism, check out what we are building. BetweenTheHashmarks.com/upgrade

More preview of FTN Almanac 2026 with our pressure numbers from last year. Not just who brought the most pressure, but which defenses were best and worst when they did bring pressure. By @brykno.bsky.social, this one is free. Don't forget Almanac pre-sales! ftnfantasy.com/nfl/defensiv...

Sure, this often works at the NFL level.

Note that the Rams and 49ers each lose a home game this year while the Seahawks do not. (The 49ers also lose a road game, however.)

More preview of FTN Almanac 2026 with our pressure numbers from last year. Not just who brought the most pressure, but which defenses were best and worst when they did bring pressure. By @brykno.bsky.social, this one is free. Don't forget Almanac pre-sales! ftnfantasy.com/nfl/defensiv...

The late Craig Morton was very consistent by my numbers, ranking between 9th and 15th in passing DVOA for five straight seasons from 1977 to 1981. As you might expect, the 1977 SB year was his best year, with a 17.2% passing DVOA which ranked 9th.

Breaking: The Steelers did not meet with Aaron Rodgers over the weekend, but they did land on "Love" when they spelled out RODGERS on their paper fortune teller