Enjoyed discussing the Saudi-Pak SMDA, the May crisis, the 12-Day War, and broader questions surrounding nuclear weapons, with Ayesha Malik of the War Law Institute. youtu.be/ClREjgfuVvU?...

In the latest of a series of articles assessing recent hostilities between India and Pakistan, Syed Ali Zia Jaffery ( @alizia1992.bsky.social ) says that India’s post-May signalling has centred a willingness to exercise force that invites “uncontrollable escalation“. basicint.org/indias-post-...

As part of @basicint.bsky.social 's series on the Indo-Pak crisis, I examine how India's post-Sindoor signaling has contributed to eroding restraint in South Asia. Grateful to Nicholas Wheeler and Chiara Cervasio for their thoughtful comments all along. basicint.org/indias-post-...

It was great hosting Dr. Ahmad Khan in the @CSSPR_UOL Webinar Series. Our discussion was centered on his new book entitled "Sabre Rattling in Space: A South Asian Perspective." youtu.be/2xfjF42zWOY?...

My latest Substack on how the problem with defining terrorism has contributed to weakening India’s position on it. open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

My latest Substrack sheds some light on the disadvantages of counterforce targeting. open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

Subscribe to my Substack, Elusive Stability, in which I share my takes on a bevy of strategic, security, and foreign policy issues. Launched last week, Elusive Stability has released 5 posts on some interesting topics. open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

Out Now! In the latest episode of InFocus With Ejaz Haider at @CSSPR_UOL , Ejaz Haider hosted @nktpnd.bsky.social to discuss the May crisis between India and Pakistan, which set a number of dangerous precedents and thresholds. www.youtube.com/watch?v=il_G...

While the Dovals, Shahs, and Singhs help Modi to unsuccessfully deny Pakistan's its agency, John F. Kennedy had the sage Bob McNamara by his side! My latest Substack looks at how McNamara convinced Kennedy to empathize with the Soviet Union. open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

My latest Substrack delves into the Third Nuclear Age. open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

My latest Substack on why the onus is on Washington to win Tehran’s trust. "An unwillingness on the part of the U.S. to win Iran's trust will be bad news. It will further subvert diplomacy, leaving Iran on its own and unaccountable." open.substack.com/pub/alizia19...

Just launched: Elusive Stability by @alizia1992.bsky.social. If you care about where South Asian nuclear and strategic debates are headed, this Substack will shape how we think about tomorrow’s crises today.

I am happy to launch my Substack, Elusive Stability. Subscribe, engage, and take the debate forward. open.substack.com/pub/alizia1992…

Enjoyed speaking with @ludovicacast.bsky.social on her excellent co-authored book, The Global Third Nuclear Age. youtu.be/i2QFk0atuIg?...

In my latest article for Australian Outlook, I argue that the U.S. must win Iran's trust if it wants to reach a new nuclear agreement. It should renounce regime change while dropping its zero-enrichment demand. www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australi…

In the next episode of the Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR) Webinar Series, I look forward to hosting Ludovica Castelli , PhD for a conversation on her excellent co-authored book, "The Global Third Nuclear Age. The book can be read here: lnkd.in/g-gdG25P

It is India's unsafeguarded facilities and fissile materials that the world must worry about. I discussed all this in my recent @CSSPR_UOL conversation with @mansoorahmed.bsky.social youtu.be/QxZ_vYvpLFA?...

I hosted Dr. @mansoorahmed.bsky.social for a discussion on the recent Indo-Pak crisis, India"s evolving strategic posture, and conventional and nuclear deterrence dynamics. Given the situation in the Middle East, we also delved into Iran’s nuclear program. youtu.be/QxZ_vYvpLFA?...

President Trump is not the only one who has bypassed the Congress while employing force. According to a Congressional Research Service report, from 1789 until 2020, approximately 10% of U.S. military engagements abroad were subjected to congressional approval or authorization.

What to make of the IAEA's response to Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities? How compliant has Iran been with the NPT? Ejaz Haider hosted Dr. Tariq Rauf. youtu.be/vt5lojoSGls?...

Fighting, at the end of the day, is a tactical action in service of politico-strategic objectives. Israel is unlikely to achieve any of its overarching ones.

Israel has established complete air superiority over Iran, and that is quite telling. Iran was far too reliant on its indirect, proxy-centered strategy. Since the Axis has fallen, Iran has been in doldrums.

There is enough evidence to suggest that nuclear weapons are considered critical to regime survival. The ongoing Israeli operation and statements from U.S. officials are likely to be construed as an existential threat.

This is an excellent piece by @rabsaa.bsky.social for TheWire.in ,explaining how nuclear weapons continue to play a stabilizing role in South Asia. She rightly argues that the next crisis will start from a higher baseline. Worth your while. thewire.in/security/sou...

A nuclear non-NPT state has attacked a non-nuclear NPT state, but not many will talk about this while discussing the challenges that the NPT-based NPR faces.

Israel has launched airstrikes on Iranian targets. If the objective is to stop Iran from going nuclear, this approach defies military and strategic logic.

Yesterday, I heard Yalda Hakim wrongly accuse Pakistan of bringing the Taliban back into power. This claim is bogus. In a 2021 The National Interest article ,I explained why Pakistan cannot be blamed for the capitulation of the Ghani government. nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/do...

Both the IAEA's Resolution and Iran's response were expected. According to the late Henry Kissinger, Iran was the toughest country as far as safeguarding national interests was concerned. www.npr.org/2025/06/12/n...

If we don't like it, and attack Iran, Iran can withdraw from the NPT and then none of the facilities are under safeguards. That's what the DPRK did when the US shattered the 1994 Agreed Framework. Of course, when the DPRK did it we immediately bombed Yongbyon ... oh wait. 🙃

One more thing that needs to be said about Iran's new enrichment facility ... the submission of a DIQ to the @iaeaorg.bsky.social means that the plant will be under safeguards. Again, Iran is perfectly within its rights* to do this.

With Iran's access to nuclear energy being restricted and sovereignty threatened, it might no longer find its NPT membership in its national interests.

The NPT stands on a grand bargain. When the so-called NWS and their appendages, inside and outside of the Treaty, don't hold their side of the bargain, a sovereign NNWS has every right to withdraw from it under Article X.

Well, I don't think this is signaling to put pressure on Iran ahead of the next round of talks. If anything, a strike seems imminent. I hope I am wrong!

Someone really wants to scuttle President Trump-driven negotiations with Iran. apnews.com/article/stat...

This WAPO article, penned by @nukestrat.bsky.social , @mattkorda.bsky.social , @elianajjohns.bsky.social , and @alliemaloney.bsky.social , reminds us of the prospect of nuclear accidents, not least due to human errors. Worth your while. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/int...

I look forward to hosting Dr. @mansoorahmed.bsky.social in an upcoming episode of Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR) Webinar Series. We will discuss the South Asian strategic landscape in the wake of the recent Indo-Pak crisis.

I just started reading @fiona-cunningham.bsky.social 's book and feel it will be a treat. The limited war dilemma is a phenomenon that scholars and practitioners just cannot ignore.

In any future crisis, Pakistan must think about using the Ra'ad II missile. In a 2020 piece for South Asian Voices ,I outlined some of its benefits. southasianvoices.org/the-raad-ii-...

Did India achieve its politico-strategic objectives in the recent Indo-Pak showdown? Ejaz Haider , @claryc.bsky.social ,and @ilhanniaz.bsky.social deal with this overarching question here: youtu.be/77Tc3qjJmFI?...

"In this proposal, the U.S. stance on enrichment on Iranian soil remains unchanged, and there is no clear explanation regarding the lifting of sanctions." The biggest threat to the nonproliferation regime comes from the gatekeepers! www.reuters.com/world/middle...

We are in for some serious escalation in the Russo-Ukrainian War. To expect Russia to hold back now is but illogical.

Worth a watch for those who follow India-Pakistan politics:

John Bolton has been making ridiculous remarks on Pakistan's nuclear safety and security. I had titled my review of his book "The Frustrated Wrecker-in-Chief" for a reason! www.dawn.com/news/1618866...

Out Now on the Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR): Ejaz Haider, Jeffrey Knopf , and @devbo62.bsky.social make sense of the idea of coercion in the context of the recent Indo-Pak showdown. youtu.be/t3kTegPhAPE?...

U.S.-Iran nuclear talks are going nowhere. That's not surprising to me. I recently wrote about the limited prospect of their for @poni.csis.org. nuclearnetwork.csis.org/despite-prog...

Coming soon on UOL Csspr. @devbo62.bsky.social and Jeff Knopf discuss the dynamics of coercion at play in the recent Indo-Pak crisis.

Enjoyed discussing the broader contours of the recent Indo-Pak showdown with Omkaar K NIKAM 's Access Hub. I argued that India’s strategic recklessness is an anathema for strategic stability, and that Pakistan had the legal right to respond to unprovoked aggression. lnkd.in/g29wUaCY